📄 Extracted Text (10,160 words)
DoubleLine Emerging Markets Outlook:
A Cautious Road Ahead
Eir
Live Webcast
Hosted By:
Luz Padilla
Director
Emerging Markets
Fixed Income Fund
(DBLEX/DLENX)
Low Duration Emerging
Markets Fixed Income Fund
(DBLLX/DELNX)
DoubleLine
October 6, 2015
EFTA01071219
DoubleLine
Fund Offerings
Emerging Markets Fixed Income Fund Low Duration Emerging Markets
Fixed Income Fund
Retail and Institutional Class Retail and Institutional Class
No Load Mutual Fund No Load Mutual Fund
Retail Inst. Retail Inst.
N-share I-share N-share I-share
Ticker DLENX DBLEX Ticker DELNX DBLLX
Min Investment $2,000 $100,000 Min Investment $2,000 $100,000
Min IRA Investment $500 $5,000 Min IRA Investment $500 $5,000
Gross Expense Ratio 1.15% 0.90% Gross Expense Ratio 1.16% 0.91%
Net Expense Ratio* 0.84% 0.59%
The funds' investment objectives, risks, charges and expenses must be considered carefully before
investing. The statutory and summary prospectuses contain this and other important information
about the investment company, and may be obtained by calling 1 (877) 354-6311/1 (877) DLinell, or
visiting www.doublelinefunds.com. Read carefully before investing.
Mutual fund investing involves risk; Principal loss is possible. The Emerging Markets and Low Duration Emerging Markets Funds Invest in debt securities in lower-
rated and non-rated securities present a greater risk of loss to principal and interest than higher-rated securities. The Funds invests in foreign securities which
involve greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods. These risks are greater for investments in emerging
markets. Derivatives may involve certain costs and risks such as liquidity, interest rate, market, credit, management and the risk that a position could not be closed
when most advantageous.
Opinions expressed are subject to change at any time, are not forecasts and should not be considered investment advice.
Fund holdings and sector allocations are subject to change and are not a recommendation to buy or sell any security.
'The Advisor has contractually agreed to waive fees and reimburse expenses through July 31, 2016.
Diversification does not assure a profit or protect against loss in a declining market.
DoubleLine Funds are distributed by Quasar Distributors, LLC.
While the Funds are no-load, management fees and other expenses still apply. Please refer to the prospectus for further details. DoubleLine EMFI Webcast 10.6-2015 1
EFTA01071220
DoubleLine
Announcements
Rising Rates Webcast — October 20, 2015
Funds for a rising rate environment featuring:
Andrew Hsu — Low Duration Fund
Luz Padilla — Low Duration Emerging Markets Fund
Robert Cohen — Floating Rate Fund
Go to www.doublelinefunds.com, Home page under "Events"
2015 Webcast Schedule to register
1:15 pm PDT/4:15 pm EDT
Jeffrey Gundlach — November 10, 2015
Closed End Funds (DBL/DSL)
Go to www.doublelinefunds.com, Home page under "Events"
2015 Webcast Schedule to register
1:15 pm PDT/4:15 pm EDT
To Receive Presentation Slides:
You can email
DoubleLine EMFI Webcast 10.6-2015 2
EFTA01071221
DoubleLinetir
Emerging Markets Fixed Income Fund F U N D S
Portfolio Performance — Quarter End September 30, 2015
Year-To- Since Inception
3Q 3-Year 5-Year
Date 1-Year Annualized
2015 Annualized Annualized
2015 (4-6-10 to 9-30-15)
I-share -5.09% -2.53% -4.84% 1.07% 4.19% 5.06%
N-share -5.15% -2.80% -5.17% 0.82% 3.94% 4.81%
JP Morgan Emerging Markets -1.71% -0.07% -0.62% 1.50% 4.73% 6.01%
Bond Global Diversified Index
s of September 30, 2015 I-share N-share
Gross SEC 30-Day Yield 5.60% 5.35%
Net SEC 30-Day Yield 5.60% 5.35%
I-share N-share
Gross Expense Ratio 0.90% 1.15%
Performance data quoted represents past performance; past performance does not guarantee future results. The investment return
and principal value of an investment willfluctuate so that an investor's shares, when redeemed, may be worth more or less than
original cost. Current performance of the fund may be lower or higher than the performance quoted. Performance data current to
the most recent month-end may be obtained by calling 213-633-8200 or by visiting www.doublelinefunds.com.
If a Fund invested in an affiliate Fund sponsored by the Advisor during the period covered by this report, the Advisor agreed to not charge
a management fee to the Fund in an amount equal to the investment advisory fee paid by the affiliated Fund's investment in the affiliated
Fund to avoid duplicate charge of the investment advisory fees to the investors.
JP Morgan Emerging Markets Bond Global Diversified Index is a uniquely-weighted version of the EMBI Global. It limits the weights of those
Index countries with larger debt stocks by only including specified portions of these countries' eligible current face amounts of debt
outstanding. The countries covered in the EMBI Global Diversified are identical to those covered in by EMBI Global.
Past Performance does not guarantee future results. Index performance is not illustrative of fund performance.
An investment cannot be made in an index.
The performance information shown assumes the reinvestment of all dividends and distributions. DoubleLine EMFI Webcast 10.6-2015 3
EFTA01071222
DoubleLiner
Low Duration Emerging Markets Fixed Income Fund F U N D S
Portfolio Performance — September 30, 2015
Since Inception
Year-To- Annualized
3Q2015 Date 2015 1-Year (4-7-14 to 9-30-15)
I-share (DBLLX) -3.39% -0.82% -1.93% 0.58%
N-share (DELNX) -3.45% -0.90% -2.06% 0.42%
JP Morgan CEMBI Broad Div. Maturity 1-3
-1.12% 2.82% 1.65% 1.74%
Year
s of September 30, 2015 I-share N-share
Gross SEC 30-Day Yield 4.13% 3.87%
Net SEC 30-Day Yield 4.40% 4.15%
I-share N-share
Gross Expense Ratio 0.91% 1.16%
Net Expense Ratio* 0.59% 0.84%
Performance data quoted represents past performance; past performance does not guarantee future results. The investment return and principal
value of an investment will fluctuate so that an investor's shares, when redeemed, may be worth more or less than original cost. Current
performance of the fund may be lower or higher than the performance quoted. Performance data current to the most recent month-end may be
obtained by calling 213-633-8200 or by visiting www.doublelinefunds.corn.
Short term performance, in particular, is not a good indication of the fund's future performance, and an investment should not be made based solely
on returns.
*The Advisor has contractually agreed to waive fees and reimburse expenses through July 31, 2016.
If a Fund invested in an affiliate Fund sponsored by the Advisor during the period covered by this report, the Advisor agreed to not charge a
management fee to the Fund in an amount equal to the investment advisory fee paid by the affiliated Fund's investment in the affiliated Fund to avoid
duplicate charge of the investment advisory fees to the investors.
JP Morgan CEMBI Broad Diversified 1-3 Year is a market capitalization weighted index consisting of 1-3 year maturity US-denominated Emerging
Market corporate bonds. It is a liquid global corporate benchmark representing Asia, Latin America, Europe and the Middle East/Africa. It is not
possible to invest in an index.
Past Performance does not guarantee future results. Index performance is not illustrative of fund performance.
The performance information shown assumes the reinvestment of all dividends and distributions. DoubleLine EMFI Webcast 10.6-2015 4
EFTA01071223
DoubleLine
TAB I
External Global Headwinds Remain
Doubletine EMFI Webcast 10.6-2015 5
EFTA01071224
DoubleLine
Emerging Markets Fixed Income
Headwind Starting 2015
In the February 2015 Emerging Markets (EM) webcast, we identified key risks for Emerging
Markets. As the year has progressed, we have seen these risk begin to play out.
• Country Specific Risks
• "Terrible 3" — Argentina, Venezuela, Ukraine
• Countries in Transitions — Brazil and Russia
• Greece
• Rising U.S. Treasury Yields
• Global Growth Slowdown
• Falling Commodity Prices
DoubleLine EMFI Webcast 10.6-2015 6
EFTA01071225
DoubleLine
Emerging Markets Fixed Income
Challenges Ahead
Risks we see for the remainder of the year
• Global Growth Slowdown
• China
• Political Risk
• Brazil, Venezuela, Argentina, Russia
• Potential for Rising U.S. Treasury Yields
• Potential for Falling Commodity Prices
DoubleLine EMFI Webcast 10.6-2015 7
EFTA01071226
DoubleLine
TAB II
Developed Market Headwinds
DoubleLine EMFI Webcast 10.6.2015 II
EFTA01071227
DoubleLinelr
Emerging Markets F U N D S
The Fed on Hold in September
- The FOMC maintained the target range for the federal funds rate at 0% to 0.25% at
the September 17, 2015 meeting
Probability of Fed Raising Rates at the December 2015
Meeting
90.0%
- 80.0%
- 70.0%
60.0%
- 50.0% -0
0-
- 40.0% -o
a)
30.0% g-
- 20.0%
10.0%
0.0%
in LA Ul Ul Ul Ul Lal Lal Lal Lal Ul Ul Ul Ul Ul Ul Ul Lal Lal Lal Lal Ul Lal Lal Lal Lal Lal Lal Ul Ul Ul Ul
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
NI NI NJ NI NI NI NI NI NI NI NI NJ NI NI NI NI NI NI NI NI NI NI NI NI NI NI NI NI NI NI NI NI
CNI N. fel rn
▪ Ul in NI CO en
▪ o▪ in
▪ cri
▪ in NI CO 1' 0 ct 0 Ul NI
▪ N. IN
▪ 00
• •Ct 00 •Ct 0
NI NI NI \ NI NJ NI NJ NJ M\ NJ NJ CH
▪ ul 01
Tr 1' ct O La La La La UD
▪ to
• to n r". r-. 00 00 00 00 0 0 0 0
Source: Doubleline, Bloomberg, Data as of 4/7/2015 to 9/30/2015
FOMC • Federal Open Market Committee which consists of twelve members. Probability of the Federal Reserve raising the target range for the Federal Funds Rate at the December 16, 2015 meeting,
as implied by Fed Fund futures
DoubleLine EMFI Webcast 10.6-2015 9
EFTA01071228
DoubleLinelr
Emerging Markets F U N D S
Monetary Policy Divergence
Policy Rate Q/E
0-0.25%
FED On hold, but looking to hike
Program ended
0.05% Purchases of EUR60bn Pc
ECB On hold month
0.1% Purchases of JPY80trn per
BoJ On hold year
Source: DoubleLine, Bloomberg,
FED: Federal Reserve, ECB: European Central Bank, BoJ: Bank of Japan. Q/E: Quantitative Easing. EUR: Euros, WY: Yen
As of October 5,2015, the EUR 60bn is equivalent to 567.12 bn US dollars and JPY 80bn is equivalent to 566.02 bn US dollars.
DoubleLine EMFI Webcast 10-6-2015 10
EFTA01071229
DoubleLine
Emerging Markets F U N D S
it
Dollar Strength a Headwind for Commodities
TWI Dollar vs GSCI Commodity Index
Source: DoubleLine, Bloomberg, Data as of 10/1/2014-10/1/20IS
TWI Dollar or the USTWBROA Index: US Trade Weighted Broad Dollar Index is the weighted average of the Foreign Exchange Value of the U.S. Dollar against the currencies of a Broad Group of Major U.S
Trading Partners. GSCI Commodity Index is widely recognized as a leading measure of general price movements and inflation in the world economy. It provides investors with a reliable and publicly
available benchmark for the investment performance in the commodity markets.
Please see index definitions in the appendix. One cannot invest directly in an index. DoubleLine EMFI Webcast 10.6-2015 11
EFTA01071230
DoubleLine
TAB III
China and Falling Commodity Prices
DoubleLine EMFI Webeast 10.6-2015 12
EFTA01071231
Emerging Markets
DoubleLine
F U N D S
ir
China Equity Sell Off - Shanghai Composite Index
1D 3D 1M 6M YID 1Y SY Flax [ma « Security/Study Po Event
track Annotate News . Zoom
T
M Last Price 3052.781
T Nigh on 06/12/15 5166350
e- average 3503.590
1 Low on 10/27/14 2290.437 5000
4500
4000
3500
2500
51• Volume 14.6648
itIlnull
506
Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep
2014 2015
Source: DoubleLine, Bloomberg, Data as of 09/30/2014 to 09/30/15
Shanghai Composite Index or the SHCOMP Index is a capitalization-weighted index. The index tracks the daily performance of all A-shares and B-shares listed on the Shanghai Stock
Exchange.
DoubleLine EMFI Webcast 10.6-2015 13
EFTA01071232
DoubleLiner
Emerging Markets F U N D S
China Currency Devaluation
China Currency Devaluation
Source: DoubleLine, Bloomberg, Data as of 12/29/2011 to 10/1/2015
USD/CNY Mid Rate or the CNYMUSD Index is the daily CNY fixing price released by the China Foreign Exchange Trading System
DoubleLine EMFI Webcast 10.6-2015 14
EFTA01071233
DoubleLind'
Emerging Markets F U N D S
China Currency Devaluation in Perspective
China Currency Devaluation Small Relative to EMFX Performance
Dedcd Custom PI Basket GBI EM ni Base Curr USD
12 31 2014 09/30/2015
Spot Returns (%)
-2.37 1)Chinese Renminbi CNY
-3.88 2) Indian Rupee INR
-4.29 3) Philippine Peso PHP
-6.37 4) Romanian Leu RON
-6.71 5)Hungarian Forint HUF
-6.72 6) Polish Zloty PLN
-7.08 7) Russian Ruble RUB
-7.85 8)Peruvian New Sol PEN
-7.93 9)Nigerian Naira NGN
-9.51 10)Thai Baht THB
-12.80 11) Mexican Peso MXN
-12.91 12)Chilean Peso CLP
-15.46 13) Indonesian Rupiah IDR
-16.49 14)South African Rand ZAR
-20.43 15) Malaysian Ringgit MYR
-22.83 16)Turkish Lira TRY
-23.03 17) Colombian Peso COP
-32.68 18) Brazilian Real BRL
Source: DoubleLine, Bloomberg
Dates: 12/31/2014 to 09/30/2015
DoubleLine EMFI Webcast 10.6-2015 15
EFTA01071234
DoubleLine r
Emerging Markets F U N D S
China Growth Slowdown
China GDP vs China Li Ke Qiang Index
ID 3D Ill 6M YTD lY SY Max Quarterly •
Track / , ,n0tate NenS . Zoom
O Reset
Last Price
r •CNG0PY0Y Index (R1) 7.0
x• CLICQINDX Index (L1) 3.09
3.05
01 Q3 01 Q3 01 03 01 Q3 01 Q3 01 03 01 Q3 01 03 0
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 20
Source: DoubleLine, Bloomberg,
Dates: 2008 to 10/1/2015
China GDP or the CNGCNOY Index is China's Gross Domestic Product
China Li Ke Qiang Index or the CLKQINDX index is the weighted average annual growth rates in outstanding bank loans (40%), electricity production (40%) and rail freight volume (20%).
DoubleLine EMFI Webcast 10-6-2015 16
EFTA01071235
DoubleLine
Emerging Markets F U N D S
II'
China's Commodity Consumption
China's Share of Commodity Consumption (2013)
Cement 58.50%
Pork 51.30%
Nickel 50.50%
Coal 50.30%
Steel 49.80%
Aluminium 47.20%
Copper 46.70%
Lead 41.90%
Cotton 31.80%
Rice 30.70%
Poultry 15.90%
Beef & Veal 12.20%
Oil 11.80%
Nat Gas 4.80%
0.00% 10.00% 20.00% 30.00% 40.00% 50.00% 60.00% 70.00%
Source: KKR, USDA, USGS, World Steel Association, China National Bureau of Statistics, EIA, !EA, BP Statistical Review, World Bureau of Metal Statistics, Bloomberg, Haver Analytics
Dates: 2013
DoubleLine EMFI Webcast 10.6-2015 17
EFTA01071236
DoubleLinelr
F U N D S
Emerging Markets
Falling Commodity Prices
GSCI Commodity Price Indexes
1.2
1.1
Standardized Index Level
0.9 Peak-to-
current
decline
0.8
0.7
-36.7%
— GSCI Energy (TR)
0.6 -38.1%
— GSCI Precious Metals (TR)
0.5 GSCI Copper (TR)
-59.2%
0.4
IN CM fel CM fel CM fel CM CM CM CM M CM ct V V a s '4' '4" '4" '4" '4" •cl" ‘I" Vt L.n Vt La La
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CV IN CV CV CV CV CV CV CV CV CV CV CV CV CV CV CV CV CV CV CV CV CV CV CV CV CV CV CV CV CV CV CV CV
•-•
▪ •-• CO rl▪ 0▪ rl 0 •-• rl 0 .-1 0 ."1▪ rl CO rl▪ 0 .-1 0 rl ."1 0 ."1
▪ 0▪ •-• .-1 CO ."1 0 rl 0 ."1 rl▪ 0
tel l-J COM COM COMO) ell etl COM/Om M COM COM COM CO tel /O COM MO) COMO)
M oo on 0 ti N *-1 N CO
▪ .* VI Up N 00 CO 0 (-4 CO Ct VI lip N 00
▪ CT
Source: DoubleLine, Bloomberg, CME
GSCI Energy: S&P Dow Jones GSCI Commodity Index is a sub-index of the S&P GSCI Index providing investment performance in the energy commodity market (WTI Crude Oil, Brent Crude Oil, Gas Oil,
Heating Oil, MOB Gasoline, Natural Gas). GSCI Precious Metals: S&P Dow Jones GSCI Precious Metals Index is a sub-index of the S&P GSCI Index providing the investment performance of the precious
metals sector (Gold, Silver). GSCI Copper: S&P Dow Jones GSCI Copper Index is the spot price of copper(LME Copper). GSCI Commodity Index is widely recognized as a leading measure of general price
movements and inflation in the world economy. It provides investors with a reliable and publicly available benchmark for the investment performance in the commodity markets.
Data from December 2012 to September 201S.
DoubleLine EMFI Webcast 10.6-2015 18
EFTA01071237
DoubleLine
Emerging Markets
China has a Strong Balance Sheet
•Reserves: US$3.6 trillion
•Net foreign assets: US$4.4 trillion
•Trade surplus averaged around US$45 billion a month so far this year
•Current Account Surplus: +2.76% of GDP
Source: DoubleLine Emerging Markets team as of October 5, 2015
GDP: Gross Domestic Product
DoubleLine EMFI Webcast 10.6-2015 19
EFTA01071238
DoubleLine
Emerging Markets
China Engaged in Significant Policy Easing
• Cutting interest rates
• Easing Reserve Requirements for banks
• Easing home purchase regulations
• Easing local government debt financing
These measures typically work with lags, so we expect to see the impact over the
coming quarters
DoubleLine EMFI Webcast 10.6-2015 20
EFTA01071239
DoubleLine
TAB IV
Brazil in Focus
DoubleLine EMFI Webcast 10.6.2015 21
EFTA01071240
DoubleLine
Emerging Markets Outlook
Brazil Political Risk
President Dilma Rousseff's government has been trying to implement deep and unpopular
fiscal and structural reforms. Congress opposition to the adjustment has led to continued
fiscal account deterioration.
High level executives and politicians allegedly received kickbacks from state-oil company,
Petrobras, in a corruption scandal know as Lavo Jato.
Corruption charges and policy uncertainty regarding the fiscal adjustment has led to:
• Erosion of consumer and business confidence
• Stalled investment and growth
• Deterioration of fiscal account and rising debt levels
• Loss of investment grade rating by S&P
S&P: Standard and Poors
As of September 30, DoubleLine Emerging Market Fixed Income Fund held 0% of Petrobras and the Low Duration Emerging Markets Fixed Income Fund held 0% of Petrobras.
DoubleLine EMFI Webcast 10.6-2015 22
EFTA01071241
DoubleLine
Emerging Markets Outlook F U N D S
Brazil Slowing Growth
Brazil GDP YoY 1995=100 IBGE
BZGDYOY% Index 99 Save As... 96) Actions - 91) Edit- 99 Table Line Cha rt
12 31/2010 06/30/2015 Last Price 11) Compare Mov. Avgs
1D 3D 1M 614 YID IV SY Max Daily • CC Security/Study ti Event
Track / Maletate t; Nerd ^. ZOOM
S. Last Price -2.60
- T High on 12/31/10 5.76 6.00
Average 1.90
1ton on 06/30/15 -2.60
5.00
4.00
3.00
2.00
1.00
0.00
-2.00
-3.00
3/31 6/30 9/30 12/31 3/31 6/10 9/30 12/31 3/11 6/30 9/30 /2/31 3/31 6/JO 9/30 12/31 3/31 6/30
Source: Bloomberg, Dates 2010 to 2Q2015
GOP: Gross Domestic Product
DoubleLine EMFI Webcast 10-6-2015 23
EFTA01071242
DoubleLine
Emerging Markets Outlook F U N D S
Brazil Deteriorating Fiscal Balances
BZPBPR% Index 95) Save As... 96) Actions - 97) Edit- 98) Table Line Chart
09/30/2009 08/31/2015ILast Price Compare Mov. _ No Lower Chart
1D 3D 1M GM YTD lY 5Y Max Monthly (.1". Security/Study Pa Event
rack / mnotate mihvs Zoom
• Last Price -0.760
i T High on 07/31/11 3.570
-,- Avant 1.762
1 Low on 07/31/15 -0.890
he' X
Dec Mar Jun See Dec Mar Jun See Dec Mar Jun See Dec Mar Jun See Dec Mar Jun Sep p
&RIM 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Source: Bloomberg, Banco Central do Brasil
Dates: 09/30/2009 to 08/31/2015
Brazil Public Primary Budget Result %of GDP 12 Month Flows DoubleLine EMFI Webcast 10-6-2015 24
ℹ️ Document Details
SHA-256
007c73889c45a1eadb2af7785c20068ab6fd1b5a90cb54fcc645fd0091a6daf6
Bates Number
EFTA01071219
Dataset
DataSet-9
Document Type
document
Pages
61
Comments 0