📄 Extracted Text (281 words)
18 October 2016
REITs
US REIT 3O16 Earnings Preview
Table Of Contents
REIT 3Q16 preview 3
Set up into 3Q better than it's been in a long time 3
...but catalysts remain elusive 4
Data Centers remain our favorite property type 4
Strip REIT valuations looking better, but Sports Authority optics could be a
challenge 5
Slowing trends expected in the Apartments, Malls, and Office sectors... 5
...Healthcare fundamentals healthy, but investment volumes remain soft 5
3Q16 earnings call schedule 6
REIT outlook 7
Macro outlook calling for sub 2.0% GDP growth and continued low yields 7
CRE fundamental slowing, but still growing
Pricing in the private markets proving resilient 9
Unsecured markets remain healthy 10
DB REIT coverage trading at a 7.1% discount to consensus NAV meaningfully
below the 5.0% premium seen in July 11
Rising yields weighing on REIT stocks 12
REIT performance trends 13
DB REIT coverage returns 13
Index level performance 14
Sector Previews 15
Apartment: Slowing job growth and new supply continue to impede rent
growth 15
Malls: Rising demand headwinds and slowing SS NOI growth expected 22
Shopping Centers: Store closures to hit 3Q internal growth, but progress for re-
tenanting more important 27
Office: Valuations remain attractive, but specter of recession remains an
overhang 37
Data Centers: Measuring growth in years not quarters 43
Industrial: Fundamentals remain solid, backed by e-commerce and retail
demand 47
Healthcare: Rents continue upward climb as primary markets mostly shrug off
new supply 49
Summary of ratings and estimate changes 54
Valuation and risks 56
DB REIT comp sheet 57
Page 2 Deutsche Bank Securities Inc.
CONFIDENTIAL - PURSUANT TO FED. R. CRIM. P. 6(e) DB-SDNY-0092222
CONFIDENTIAL SDNY_GM_00238406
EFTA01388586
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