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JE Meeting - January 10, 2014
I. Your DB Investment Team - Delivering the Institution [Paul & Caroline]
Key Client Partners (KCP) — Your Global Capital Markets:
Caroline Kitidis is the Head of Key Client Partners Americas (US and
Latam). Her team is comprised of 8 senior sales professionals, 8 junior
sales professionals and a support team. Sister desks are situated in
Singapore, London, and Zurich/Geneva. Through KCP, Key Clients of Deutsche
Bank receive global coverage across Capital Markets, Private Markets,
Structured Credit, and Alternative Investments. Your Global Capital
Markets Team Includes:
Vinit Sahni - Global Head of Key Client Partners Capital Markets [London]
Nav Gupta - former global macro with Citadel(?) [London]
Vanshree Verma — formerly fixed income research [London]
Roger Pocsh — [Zurich]
Tazia Smith — [New York]
Raphael Zagury — [Latam]
Luis Chavez — [Latam]
Bobby Abraham — [Singapore]
Ed Lam — [Hong Kong]
Apurva Gupta — [Mumbai]
Delivering the Institution:
In addition to their own experience and cross-asset expertise, your KCP
Capital Markets Team delivers the best thinking and implementation solutions
from across the entire firm — both the Institutional side of the firm
(Corporate Bank & Securities, CB&S) and the asset management side of the
firm (Asset & Wealth Management):
FX — Number 1 in FX trading, dominate —1/3 of the —$4T FX market
[Faraz Munaim, CB&S FX Sales; Caleb David, Head of AWM FX Sales; George
Saravelos, DB Research]
Equities— Leverage the extensive work of DB Global Markets Research,
Traders, and Equity Capital Markets
[Joe Spinelli, CB&S Equity Strategy; Brian Rigney, ECM; Frank Wendels, ECM]
Equity Derivatives — Greg Kuppenheimer (CB&S US), Andy Yaeger (structured
lending), Chris Loudon (AWM)
Bonds — High Yield, Municipal
Asset-Backed/Mortgages —
Structured Credit —
Distressed — [Phil Giordano]
Alternative Investments -
Private Markets —
II. Outlook into 2014 [Tazia & Vinit]
Selective Equities . Bullish global equities, be selective. After a year of
Beta, favor Alpha, equity long/short, and relative value. Sectors: Bullish
global financials, bullish Tech (anticipate cap-ex /enterprise spend,
valuation)
Favor DM >EM.
Bullish Japanese Recovery, equities and assets. Bearish JPY vs. USD.
EFTA01466576
Bullish European Recovery. Note: Periphery spreads have collapsed, favor
equity and real assets. Bullish SMID cap equities. Bullish Germany (DAX
11,000)
Bullish USD. Bearish Euro. The year it finally fumbles
Rates — 5yr part of the curve should sell off further, short end stays
anchored through mid 2015, back end has steepened/fairly valued at present.
Inflation — upside risk to inflation long-term given the Fed's tolerance for
inflation short-term and the sheer magnitude of liquidity in the system.
III. JE DB Account Summary [Tazia]
IV. JE Position Review [Vinit & Tazia]
V. Reccomendations
(1) 10yr USDcJPYp 85 strike, 90 KO
(2) DBUUPPN Index — 13mo Call option
(3) Gymboree (GYMB) 9.125% '28 at —94.625 (10.5%)
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