📄 Extracted Text (469 words)
Minn pOliflt,
FOCUI
It ,: :us 4,,p(.,
Irramincot w,WC iionts
Ais01-0.04 prspsttixri
Pon/0o
?..icn.00*.ovk!tyn !dais
VilItel SUN% 2-y..st 0.68 or 1.35 vrilad Stites &moral hint irk) 0.0.26 1 0.75-1.00
0nit0d S-a.tes, I 0-ste 2.10 2.25 !-:?0/c.r. 000 ri!,40 0.05 0.05
Vni 00140: 2E13 .01 2.90 Uretod 0.c. pc. :4r,' 0.50 r 0.75
Sofmany. 2igge -0 26 -0.20 J4r4n :mcnollt trim 0.10 0.10
Gelm.wry.10.var 0 59 -• 0.75
Unitr.rd States (federal funds ratril
until /00000m. 10-vow 1.77 2.15
atram.2-vear 0.01 0.00
0 - 0.25% a 0.75 1.00°/0
3.200n.
Germany. 10-year
0.36 0.35
(Current) (Sept 20151j 111l
The Fed postponed its first rate hike due to decelerating growth
air
in China and volatile capital markets. It might dare to take the
0.59% -)0.75% 1©Y
first step in December.
(Current • " {Septerrther 2016F)
The ECB is likely to expand its quantitative-easing (OE) program
due to low inflation. The 10-year German Bund yield should rise
only modestly. Euf!v9 USD 1.12 'Is 1.00 —11
Vg.) 120 130 9
NA vs CHF 1.09 1.13 3
Commodities in U.S. dollars SSP vs. USD 1.52 1.49 .2
UST) vs /NV 6.37 6.65 4
A:It'd ear0 '16 66 20
USD vs. JPY
C*:
silver
Capin,
1,125
15
6,078
1.260
6,700
19
II
29
32
120
(Ca!" °)
s 130
I S0pl 2o, cri
ws
Akin-mum ILMEI 1,589 1,800 13
The inflation target of the Bank of Japan is sti€I tar off. OE should
Crude oil (Will therefore be continued. The high rate differential between the
46
(Current')
$ 55
(Sept 2016H
United States and Japan is likely to further weaken the yen.
LOW!" Mo0IEItha004. W I = Itaca Tin13% MUMIte"179
Shale-oil production and the oil-rig count in the United States
have fallen due to low oil prices. At the same time, demand for oil
is on the rise. The outcome: higher oil prices.
Past performance is not indicative of future returns. F refers to forecasts. Our forecasts are as of 9/21/15.
It is not possible to invest directly in an index. No assurance can
be given that any forecast or target will be reached. Forecasts • Source: Bloomberg Finance L.P., as of 9/22/15
are based on assumptions, estimates, opinions and hypothetical • • Expected total return includes interest, dividends and capital
models or analyses that may prove to be incorrect. Investments gains where applicable
come with risk. The value of an investment can fall as well as Source: Bloomberg Finance L.P., as of 9/28115
rise and your capital may be at risk. You might not get back the ' Total-return index {includes dividends)
amount originally invested at any point in time. = Our equity-market forecasts are as of 9r23/15
in U.S. dollars
C Ye \kw Are, ..44/1"Ed+., I I>. Nu 20! 5 =Iv., ca
CONFIDENTIAL - PURSUANT TO FED. R. GRIM. P. 6(e) DB-SDNY-0118578
CONFIDENTIAL SDNY_GM_00264762
EFTA01458598
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