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Subject: B XLK Calls - low im lied vol [I]
From: Tazia Smith <
Date: Wed, 22 Jan 2014 11:46:43 -0500
To: jeevacation@gmail com
Cc: Paul Morris
Vinit Sahni
Nav Gu•ta <
Vahe Stepanian <
Classification: For internal use only
Jeffrey -
Nav highlights XLK OTC calls below; we like this big-cap US tech underlier.
The listed market offers comparable low implied vol entry point. The March
$37 strike calls are offered -72bps (offer vol: 11.9%). Jun $38 calls are
offered -1% (offer vol: 11.8%). Spot reference of $35.88 on XLK.
Meanwhile, your AAPL shares are up -1.1% ahead of earnings on Monday, largely
due to Ichan tweeting today that he has been buying (source: Bloomberg,
1/22/14). January implied vol on AAPL shares is over 40% ahead of the earnings
announcement (skew is fairly flat between 80-120%). Note: Jan31 $575 strike
are presently $7.35 (-1.3%) bid (vol offer: 43.3%, $555.35 spot ref). You
could sell those if you're more bearish than Ichan into earnings! (i suggest
that tongue-in-cheek, i suspect you'd rather just keep the upside potential
in your shares, but let us know).
Let us know your thoughts on XLK.
Best Regards,
Tazia
Indicative levels only. Subject to market movement. Source: Bloomberg,
1/22/14.
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Tazia Smith
Director I Key Client Partners - US
Deutsche Bank Securities Inc
Deutsche Asset & Wealth Management
Email
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Forwarded by Tazia Smith/db/dbcom on 01/22/2014 10:45 AM
EFTA01479416
From: Nav Gupta/db/dbcom@DBEMEA
To:
Date: 01/22/2014 09:43 AM
Subject: OTC Call options on XLK US (tech) look good value at 13-14% vol [I
Classification: For internal use only
XLK is a $13.7bn tech sector ETF.
Investors bullish tech should consider short dated OTM calls on XLK which
combine low levels of implied vol and an efficient underlying
Trades:
Buy 3m expiry XLK 3% OTM call @ 1.24% (offer vol: 12.8)
Buy 6m expiry XLK 6% OTM call @ 1.44% (offer vol: 13.6)
Spot ref: XLK Index = 35.85
XLK top 10 Holdings
AAPL 14%
GOOG 9.3%
MSFT 8%
IBM 5.6%
T 5.1%
VZ 4%
QCOM 3.7%
CSCO 3.5%
V 3.4%
Past Returns and Implied Vol
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Compared to most of its components, XLK has relatively low implied volatility
vs returns
XLK Price
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Short dated implied volatility is low
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Blue Line Implied Vol I White Line Delivered vol
EFTA01479417
KCP Capital Markets London
Vinit Sahni I Nav Gupta I Vanshree Verma
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Nam Gupta
Managing Director
Deutsche Bank AG, Filiale London
Deutsche Asset & Wealth Management
ers Hall), EC2N lEN London, United Kingdom
mat
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EFTA01479418
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