EFTA02705747.pdf
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From: Laurie Cameron
Sent: Wednesday, October 9, 2013 2:49 AM
To: Jeffrey Epstein
Subject: update
Attachments: Oct 8.xls
Hi Jeffrey,
It has already been a long week i= a long month and I wanted to communicate about the position. It is down a=ound
$600k right now. About $173k is realized, the rest is unrealized.=A0 The bulk of the unrealized losses are in and AUD
option, a NZD option a=d a GBP option, each approx $5-8 m notional.
I don't want to do anything without your agreement, sin=e we are living in an unprecedented insanity which could have
dire consequ=nces for U.S. credibility and creditworthiness, but even if there is no de=t default now, eight days of a
partial govt shutdown will have consequence= on the economy in months to come. I think that commercial real estate
=nd the bond market will be especially hard hit.
Originally I had two major premises supporting my higher USD/lower A=D, NZD, CAD and JPY positions:
1) major commodity prices would fall =n reaction to slowing global growth and oil importers would no longer need=a
strong currency to keep imported USD denominated oil prices down.
2) the US treasury dept would work to keep the USD strong in order to at=ract capital a market with falling bond prices.
=t is possible that new economic stagnation could push oil prices down and =he USD up. It is possible that the US
Treasury might try to attract cap=tal by trying to prop up the USD. I don't want to keep these pos=tions at a time like
this without your approval, however. I was plannin= to reduce positions further tomorrow, but this will inevitably lock in
mo=e losses. I was planning on still keeping some small AUD and NZD positi=ns, but only if you feel comfortable keeping
them at this time.
I am so grateful for the opportunity you ve given me. I =ave been pricing the portfolio many times each day in hopes of
finding a m=ans of locking in more profit. I realize that I am opening and closing =elta hedges just to try to make money
because I hate being down as I am.=A0 I now think that this is too dangerous a strategy and I want to take do=n alot of
the risk, which will involve locking in losses. No one hates =o do it more than l do, but I don't want to put you at more
risk in ca=e the US does default.
All thought appreciated. Thank you again.
EFTA_R1_02096815
EFTA02705747
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EFTA02705747
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