📄 Extracted Text (346 words)
To: Michael Fowle
From: Lesley Groff
Sent Tue 4/22/2014 4:15:27 PM
Subject: Re: ATorus Daily Portfolio Report - 4/18
had a great vaca! and will ask JE re a call...
thanks
On Apr 22, 2014, at 11:37 AM, Michael Fowler wrote:
Lesley,
Welcome back! Hope you are well. Please see attached the Daily Portfolio
Report for 4/18 and a short daily commentary. Also if you can ask Jeffrey
whenever would be convenient to have a call or meeting to discuss structure or
any relevant matters per previous email. Thank you and have a good day.
- Daily Commentary -
Today, ALGN received an offer to be acquired. This has been a large winner and the
model has been long for a considerable period of time. While it would be obviously
more beneficial in this case if we were position sizing on a discretionary basis and
allocated excess risk (even though "risk" is a relative term depending on how you
determine the measurement), the underlying assumption, and it is just that, is that
by relying on a global opportunity set the law of large numbers lowers aggregate
downside volatility. This is obviously based upon our assumption that the
distribution of market returns on (i) a rolling ROC basis and (ii) measured in vol-
days (net movement divided by avg. realized volatility) conforms to a parcto
distribution. While no distribution is perfectly stable when measured in discrete
time, we find this distribution to have the least amount of variance when measured
from one interval to the next.
Best Regards,
Michael J. Fowler
- Intl. Mobile
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