EFTA01367330.pdf
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31 May 2015
Integrated Oil
US Integrated Oils
Figure 15: Brazil and Canada: Exclude them and Non-OPEC crude production is down -1500 MMIard horn 2014-2020.
include them and production is up 400 Mbid
43000
, 1 .r 1 r________,
38000 1
33C00
28000
23000
18000
13000
8000
3000
1
-2000 2014 2015E 2016E 2017E 2018E 2019E 2020E
• GoM • Colombia • Non-OPEC Africa
• Non-OPEC Middle East • Australia • Malaysia
ell Indonesia • Other Non-OECD Asia • Russia
• Caspian Sea i Total North Sea a Other Non-OPEC Latin America
• Other i Mexico • China
i India OTotal Canada 0 Brazil
▪ n'ell.11
Through 2017, the vast majority of this growth (-99%) is currently on-stream
or under development, reducing the potential risk of low current oil price.
Onshore projects remain the largest source of growth (36%), with deepwater
projects representing an increasingly meaningful 35% of incremental barrels
(vs. only 8% of current Non-OPEC production).
f Figure 16: 99% of Growth from 2015-2017 of "Other
Bbls" are either "Onstream" or 'Under Development"...
N.Y. OMICOM
III
Figure 17: ...With the onshore remaining single highest
'source of growth
SMIMMIdell
15%
Seta Oast -* 14taditabseal* !EA apses Ice IsalLiMilleiVado PRIMA:gangly Savor Daalithe Bet MedA Oder" lEst
walinIell
Deutsche Bank Securities Inc. Page 11
CONFIDENTIAL - PURSUANT TO FED. R. CRIM. P. 6(e) DB-SDNY-0058862
CONFIDENTIAL SDNY_GM_00205046
EFTA01367330
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