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From: Neal Berger
To: [email protected]
Subject: Eagle's View Capital Management, LLC- October 2014 Performance Update...
Date: Mon, 10 Nov 2014 00:32:07 +0000
Eagles View Capital Management LLC October
2014 Performance Update
Nov 9, 2014
The Month Long Flash Crash
Click here to view our most recent investor tearsheet
Dear Partners/Friends,
Eagle's View Capital Partners, is estimated at -0.65% for the month of October with
YTD estimated at +8.69% net of all fees and expenses.
Eagle's View Offshore Fund, Ltd. Class G is estimated at -0.30% for October with YTD
2014 performance estimated at +8.83% net of all fees and expenses.
Eagle's View Offshore Fund, Ltd. Class B ("High Alpha") is estimated at -1.70% for
October with YTD (Inception April '14- Oct. '14) estimated at +2.96% net of all fees and
expenses. This Share Class seeks to generate substantially higher returns through a more
concentrated portfolio of some of our historically higher return opportunities. Investors
in this Class should have a willingness to accept increased volatility and risk in
exchange for the potential for higher returns.
Although Eagle's View seeks to maintains no explicit long (or short) volatility exposure,
we have often mentioned that we believe Eagle's View should perform better during
more normalized or higher volatility environments whereby market inefficiencies tend
to be more pronounced and robust. We believe this is the case and our modest loss for
October does not negate our belief. With that said, we have no way of knowing if our
strategies or Managers will make money during any brief window of time and
particularly during the start of a distressed and chaotic market environment. In fact, at
the outset of a chaotic environment, seemingly intelligent positions can go against our
Managers during the initial phase, however, we believe our Managers will take
advantage of the chaotic market environments putting on positions that have become
dislocated and anomalous due to forced trading activity. We believe this should lead to
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positive performance during more sustained periods of market dislocation and
normalized or higher volatility. Simply put, there is more alpha to be extracted from the
markets during periods where markets become volatile and inefficient, although, this
may or may not generate profitable trades immediately. Overall, we welcome a higher
volatility and more active trading environment which we believe is beneficial to us
overall.
October was one of the most unusual months for the markets I've witnessed during my
25 year career. While there was distress and inefficiencies, they were simply so fleeting
and so short-lived, that it was quite difficult for our Managers to fully capitalize upon
them versus a more sustained pick-up in activity and dislocation. We hope and expect
that we are gradually moving toward a more "active" market environment, which we
believe will benefit Eagle's View's investment positions. We are heavily weighted
toward quantitatively driven strategies that have the ability to detect and capitalize upon
these opportunities.
With all the market turbulence, Eagle's View had a rather "normal" month and certainly
well within the range of expectations. We never felt any undue stress even during the
thick of the chaos, although, the rest of the industry was largely "bailed out" by the
massive rally during the second half of the month. If one looks at the mid-month
performance of the industry during October versus the end of month performance, it
becomes truly obvious that the broader industry is highly correlated to market beta. Of
course, for anyone who has observed the broader industry for any length of time, this is
certainly no shock.
We have more regard for Managers who took steps to cut some losses and protect
capital mid-month during the thick of the chaos, even if that led to locking in some
short-term losses. Our preference is for Managers who fight to live another day rather
than Managers who simply sit on their hands and hope for the best by month's end.
Unfortunately, we believe the latter approach was far more prevalent and similar to the
attitude during prior crises' such as 2008. We appreciate Managers who are in motion
attempting to preserve capital as we believe nobody could honestly predict the course of
events and how things would turn out during this one month flash crash.
While we generally do not comment about macro movements in the markets, October is
a bit of an exception because we believe it shows potential cracks or susceptibilities
within the markets. Simply put, we believe October was a hedge fund unwind problem.
We don't think that is a big secret or revelation. We believe nothing changed in the real
economy over the prior 4-6 weeks that precipitated the events of October, and, we also
do not believe that the market suddenly woke up to the geopolitical risks around the
world. Rather, we believe, for whatever reason, we tipped a precarious balance within
leveraged players that led to a vicious unwind of very similar positions without much
liquidity to take the other side of these trades. To be sure, it was short-lived and maybe it
was a one-off event. However, the broader hedge fund industry with $2.8+ Trillion of
equity capital and many multiples of this on a leveraged basis, has simply become a
major market moving force (or even THE major market moving force).
In our opinion, the problem is that many of these Managers have the same or very
similar positions on (both long and short), have mathematical models that are written
based upon very similar assumptions, and investor assets are simply concentrated into
few hands. Stress can tip a precarious balance. Hedge funds do not have 'captive' capital
and investors are often flighty and thusly, short-term challenging performance can lead
to redemptions which leads to liquidation which feeds upon itself in a self-reinforcing
loop. The banks certainly are not the liquidity providers that they once were, and, we
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believe this scenario presents the potential for further market stress from leveraged
players forced to exit through a narrow door.
This is one reason that Eagle's View tends to invest in strategies that are outside the
mainstream and we believe will not suffer if these type of events occur. We believe the
fact that we suffered little stress during October helps to reinforce our hypothesis. We
believe strategies such as electricity arbitrage, capitalizing upon structural inefficiencies
in shipping derivatives, equity lines of credit in Australia and UK, algorithmic pattern
recognition, energy volatility arbitrage, etc. fall outside the boundaries of the more
common and highly capitalized mainstream strategies. In short, part of the risk
management construction of the Eagle's View portfolio seeks to take this into account.
We do very little thinking about the overall direction or macro view of markets. We do
not seek to invest with Managers who attempt to predict the course of the global macro-
economic landscape as we do not believe anyone has an advantage in doing so. We
simply do not attempt what we feel is a losing battle.
We are accepting new clients within our Fund of Funds products as well as within our
Advisory business. Please contact me with further interest in our products/services.
Disclaimer: Past performance is not indicative of future results. This newsletter is provided for
informational uses only and should not be used or considered an offer to sell, buy or subscribe
for securities, or other financial instruments. Prospective investors may not construe the
contents of this newsletter or any prior or subsequent communication from us, as legal, tax or
investment advice. Each prospective investor should consult his/her personal Counsel,
Accountant, and other Advisors as to the legal, tax, economic and other consequences of hedge
fund investing and the suitability of such investing for him/her. Further, the contents of this
newsletter should not be relied upon in substitution of the exercise of independent judgment.
The information contained herein has been obtained from sources generally deemed by us to be
reliable, however, all or portions of such information may be uniquely within the knowledge of
parties which are unaffiliated with us or our affiliates and, therefore, may not be amenable to
independent investigation or confirmation. In such cases, we have not undertaken to
independently investigate or confirm the accuracy or adequacy of such information, but we have
no reason to believe that such information was not accurate and adequate, to the best of our
knowledge, when given. The index comparisons herein are provided for informational purposes
only and should not be used as the basis for making an investment decision. There are
significant differences between client accounts and the indices referenced including, but not
limited to, risk profile, liquidity, volatility and asset composition. Funds included in the HFRI
Monthly Indices must report monthly returns; report net of all fees retums; report assets in US
Dollars, and have at least $50 million under management or have been actively trading for at
least twelve (12) months. Fund of Funds invest with multiple managers through funds or
managed accounts. The strategy designs a diversified portfolio of managers with the objective of
significantly lowering the risk (volatility) of investing with an individual manager. The Fund of
Funds manager has discretion in choosing which strategies to invest in for the portfolio. A
manager may allocate funds to numerous managers within a single strategy, or with numerous
managers in multiple strategies. The minimum investment in a Fund of Funds may be lower than
an investment in an individual hedge fund or managed account. The investor has the advantage
of diversification among managers and styles with significantly less capital than investing with
separate managers. PLEASE NOTE: The HFRI Fund of Funds Index is not included in the HFRI
Fund Weighted Composite Index. It is important to note that investing in hedge funds involves
risks. Please request and read the Private Placement Memorandum for a complete description
of the risks of hedge fund investing. Hedge fund investing may involve, in addition to others, the
following risks: the vehicles often engage in leveraging and other speculative investments which
may increase the risk of investment loss; they can be highly illiquid; hedge funds are not
required to provide periodic pricing or valuation information to investors; they may involve
complex tax structures and thus delays in distributing important tax information may occur;
hedge funds are not subject to the same regulatory requirements as mutual funds and they
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often charge high fees. Opinions contained in this Newsletter reflect the judgment as of the day
and time of the publication and are subject to change without notice. Eagle's View Capital
Management, LLC provides investment advisory services to clients other than the Funds, and
results between clients may differ materially. Eagle's View Capital Management, LLC believes
that such differences are attributable to different investment objectives and strategies between
clients. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. If you are not the intended
recipient or have received this communication in error please notify the sender immediately and
destroy this communication. Any unauthorized copying, disclosure or distribution of the material
in this communication is strictly forbidden.
Kindest regards,
Neal Berger
President
Eagles View Capital Management LLC
212.421.7300
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Eagles View Capital Management LLC I 135 East 57th St. 123rd Floor I New York I NY 10022
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ℹ️ Document Details
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