📄 Extracted Text (394 words)
From: Vahe Stepanian
Sent: 12/5/2013 2:09:
To: [email protected]
CC: Paul Morris
Subject: Fw: GBP + AAPL (C]
Classification: Confidential
Good Afternoon Jeffrey - following up Tuesday's email (included below):
1) WSJ has reported that AAPL has signed a deal w/China mobile, providing it a boost in the worlds largest mobile
market. Shares have reacted, reaching a new 52 wk. high today @ —$572 (vs. $565.00 close yesterday) on the back of
the report. Consider selling Jan 595 or 600 Calls (currently $12.20 and 510.70 bid, respectively).
2) We believe the GBP trade is still relevant ahead of payrolls tomorrow. ADP came in ahead of street expectations
yesterday (215k vs. 170k expected; revised October +54k), and street is calling for headline number of +185k tomorrow
morning. GBP is currently —1.6330 (vs. USD), but is bouncing around today and we'd look to enter trade on additional
GBP strength.
Thank you,
Vahe
Forwarded by Vahe Steparaon 1205/2013 08 50 AM —
From: Vahe Stepaniaa
To. jeeyacaboregmad.com,
Cc:
Date: 12/03/2013 1020AM
Subject: GBP + AAPL [C]
Classification: Confidential
Good Morning Jeffrey,
Hope you had a great holiday weekend. As you have likely seen, GBP is currently at a 2 yr. high vs. USD (@ -1.64; see
graph below). The most recent move up has been attributed to a rise in construction activity for a seventh month, the
fastest pace since August 2007. I recall you mentioned in our meeting that your view is to sell GBP if it approaches 1.65.
For what it's worth, our DB analysts have a bearish view on the pound. A recent (DB) FX note discusses reasons why it's
tough to build a fundamentally bullish case for sterling with the market pricing the first BoE hikes by mid-2015 (well ahead
of the ECB and even the Fed). We see potential for GBP to reverse to the mid-1.50s by year-end.
With that said, we priced up a few options that I've included below - consider selling a call, buying a put or a risk reversal.
Recognize that GBP vol. is currently relatively low (vs. historical levels).
Spot ref = 1.6397
1) Sell European GBP Call on GBP/USD
Strike: 1.67
Notional: GBP 5,988,023.95 (or --$10mm)
Expiry: Tue 03-Jun-2014 (6m)
Settlement: Thu 05-Jun-2014
Premium: USD -103,400
2) Sell European GBP Call on GBP/USD
CONFIDENTIAL - PURSUANT TO FED. R. CRIM. P. 6(e) DB-SDNY-0 123104
CONFIDENTIAL SDNY_GM_00269288
EFTA01461212
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