EFTA01453261.pdf
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📄 Extracted Text (356 words)
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Feb 2014 Mar 2014
--- Forwarded by Tazia SmarsdbaThcom on 03i14/2014 09.52 AM ---
From' Varehree Vem
Date 03/14/2014 casa AM
Subject. Markets opening weaker. Kerry and Lavrov meeting today key I KCP Capital Markets III
Risk aversion continues from yesterday as we approach the weekend.
Nikkei -3.3.%, MICEX (Russia) -4%, DAX futures -1%
Commodities have remained relatively stable despite the movements in other markets
WTI and Gold (charts below) have hardly reacted
There is increasing nervousness ahead of Sunday's referendum in Crimea.
G7 leaders said they would not recognize the outcome of the referendum,
while Russia has maintained that they were prepared to "mirror" any sanctions
There were reports of Russian military "training exercises" along the border yesterday
Key events to watch today:
1) Russian Foreign minister Sergei Lavrov and US Secy of State John Kerry meet in London.
This is a last-ditch effort to de-escalate the situation
2) Central Bank of Russia meeting today at 9:30 where Bloomberg survey expects no change
Swaps curve is pricing in over a 100bp hike. How will the central bank react to FX pressures?
CONFIDENTIAL - PURSUANT TO FED. R. CRIM. P. 6(e) DB-SDNY-0 110780
CONFIDENTIAL SDNY_GM_00256964
EFTA01453261
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EFTA01453261
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