podesta-emails

podesta_email_02061.txt

podesta-emails 1,207 words email
P17 V11 V16 D6 V9
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Fact-check on the polling numbers from McCain "Strategy Briefing<http://www.johnmccain.com/strategybriefing/>" that the campaign has been touting since this weekend. Proof his numbers are as out of touch as the rest of the campaign: * Obama, Not McCain, has More Positive Image * Rick Davis claims, "John McCain may be one of the most resilient candidates in modern history. His image ratings far surpass those of Barack Obama. he is viewed more favorably than Obama is." - In the early June CBS News poll Obama's rating was 41 percent "favorable," and 31 percent "not favorable." In the same poll, McCain was rated favorably by only 34 percent and as unfavorable by 37 percent. [CBS<http://www.cbsnews.com/sections/opinion/polls/main500160.shtml>, 6/4/08] - A USA Today/Gallup poll found 58 percent rated Obama favorably with 37 percent giving him an unfavorable rating. McCain lagged behind slightly, with 56 percent rating him favorable and 37 percent rating him not favorable. [USA Today/Gallup<http://blogs.usatoday.com/onpolitics/2008/06/gallup-obama-cl.html>, 6/2/08] - McCain's favorability is dropping. In March, 43 percent of voters viewed him favorably and 36 percent had an unfavorable view. By May, only 40 percent gave him a warm rating while 40 percent gave him a cool rating. [Democracy Corps <http://www.democracycorps.com/strategy/2008/04/national-security/>, 4/3/08; Democracy Corps<http://www.democracycorps.com/strategy/2008/05/national-survey/>, 5/16/08] *Americans Do Not Agree with McCain Policies…* Davis says, 'Voters believe John McCain's ideology is close to their own...they overwhelmingly view Obama as a liberal, far outside of the limits of their own ideological perspective." * Unlike McCain, Americans believe the condition of the economy is bad and getting worse* - Nearly eight in ten (78 percent) say the condition of the economy is bad while only 20 percent say it is good. [CBS<http://www.cbsnews.com/sections/opinion/polls/main500160.shtml>, 6/4/08] - Nearly seven in ten (69 percent) say the economy is getting worse. [CBS<http://www.cbsnews.com/sections/opinion/polls/main500160.shtml>, 6/4/08] - 65 percent of Americans say their income is not enough to pay the bills or is only "just enough to pay the bills." [CBS<http://www.cbsnews.com/sections/opinion/polls/main500160.shtml>, 6/4/08] *Unlike McCain, Americans government should provide health care.* - Six in ten (61 percent) agree they think it is the responsibility of government to provide health care to all Americans. [Quinnipiac<http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x1295.xml?ReleaseID=1178>, 5/15/08] *Unlike McCain, Americans favor withdrawal from Iraq within two years.* - A majority of 62 percent say that things are going badly for the US in Iraq. Sixty-three percent favor withdrawing troops within two years. [CBS<http://www.cbsnews.com/sections/opinion/polls/main500160.shtml>, 6/4/08] *Unlike McCain, Americans favor diplomacy and negotation.* - 67 percent of Americans believe the president of the United States should meet with the leaders of countries that are considered enemies of the United States. [Gallup<http://www.gallup.com/poll/107617/Americans-Favor-President-Meeting-US-Enemies.aspx>, 6/2/08] - Nearly six in ten (59 percent) favor the president of the United States meeting with the president of Iran. [Gallup<http://www.gallup.com/poll/107617/Americans-Favor-President-Meeting-US-Enemies.aspx>, 6/2/08] *Unlike McCain, who has 130 lobbyists <http://mccainsource.com/corruption/>on his campaign or raising money for him, Americans believe lobbyists have too much influence on government.* - Eight in 10 Americans believe lobbyists have too much influence on government policy. [Harris Poll<http://www.harrisinteractive.com/harris_poll/index.asp?PID=880>, 2/11/08] - When asked to rate the honesty and ethical standards of 22 types of professionals, Americans ranked lobbyists last with a strong majority of 58 percent of Americans saying they had "very low" or "low" honesty and ethical standards -- and just 5 percent of Americans saying they had "very high" or "high" standards. [Gallup<http://www.gallup.com/poll/103123/Lobbyists-Debut-Bottom-Honesty-Ethics-List.aspx>, 12/10/07] - Of the other professions, only car salesman also had a majority of Americans (53 percent) rating them as "low" or "very low" ethical standards. [Gallup<http://www.gallup.com/poll/103123/Lobbyists-Debut-Bottom-Honesty-Ethics-List.aspx>, 12/10/07] *…And Americans Link McCain to Bush, Say It is Obama Who Cares about Their Problems* - When it comes to policy, 64 percent say that McCain was either like Bush (43 percent) or even more conservative (21 percent).[CBS<http://www.cbsnews.com/sections/opinion/polls/main500160.shtml>, 6/4/08] - Thirty-eight percent said Obama "cares a lot about your problems" while only 22 percent agreed that McCain does. [CBS<http://www.cbsnews.com/sections/opinion/polls/main500160.shtml>, 6/4/08] - From April to May, the number who said McCain cared slipped by 4 points, from 26 to 22, while Obama's rose from 34 to 38 percent. [CBS<http://www.cbsnews.com/sections/opinion/polls/main500160.shtml>, 6/4/08] *McCain Running Behind, Even with Obama in Surveys * Davis claims that McCain is leading, or at least tying, Obama, in recent polling. - Obama 48, McCain 40 [Rasmussen<http://rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/daily_presidential_tracking_poll>, 6/8/08] - Obama 46, McCain 44 [Gallup<http://www.gallup.com/poll/107725/Gallup-Daily-Obama-46-McCain-44.aspx>, 6/8/08] - Obama 49, McCain 46 [CNN/Opinion Research<http://pollingreport.com/wh08gen.htm>, 6/6/08] - Obama 48, McCain 42 [CBS<http://www.cbsnews.com/stories/2008/06/04/opinion/polls/main4154051.shtml>, 6/5/08] - Obama 49, McCain 44 [USA Today/Gallup<http://blogs.usatoday.com/onpolitics/2008/06/gallup-obama-cl.html>, 6/2/08] *McCain Won GOP Base at Cost of Moderates, Obama Wins Independents * Davis says, "When we look at voters across partisan lines we see McCain has a strong GOP coalition, winning almost 90 percent of this base vote. Obama however loses 13 percent of his base. And among Independents, we're tied. Every public poll has showed us tied or leading among Independents over the last 6 months. - In the last Gallup analysis of Independents' vote preferences, it was Obama, not McCain, who led: 44 to 42 percent. [Gallup<http://www.gallup.com/poll/107272/Obama-McCain-Highly-Competitive-Independent-Vote.aspx>, 5/14/08] - Independent primary voters in the Democratic primary support Obama more strongly than independents voting in the Republican primary support McCain. Seventy-one percent of independent voters in the Democratic primary said they would be satisfied with Obama's nomination while only 66 percent of their Republican counterparts said the same of McCain.[CBS<http://www.cbsnews.com/sections/opinion/polls/main500160.shtml>, 6/4/08] *McCain in Trouble with Key Swing Demographics * With women: - While Bush won 48 percent of women in 2004, McCain gets support from only 44 percent. Obama has support from 50 percent of women, about the same as Kerry's 51 percent. [Democracy Corps, 6/3/08] With Latinos: - While Obama has improved on Kerry's level of support from Latinos, from 53 to 56 percent, McCain's performance among Latinos is 7 points behind that of Bush in 2004. [Democracy Corps, 6/3/08] - Just 21 percent of Latinos rated the Republican party favorably while 47 percent gave an unfavorable rating. Meanwhile a strong majority of 59 percent of Latinos rated the Democrats favorably, with only 15 percent giving an unfavorable rating. [Democracy Corps<http://www.democracycorps.com/strategy/2008/06/the-obama-gap/>, 2/1/08] - More Latinos give McCain an unfavorable rating (32 percent) than favorable, just 25 percent. [Democracy Corps<http://www.democracycorps.com/strategy/2008/06/the-obama-gap/>, 2/1/08] With working class Americans: - Bush won 51 percent of working class voters in 2004, but only 45 percent support McCain now. [Democracy Corps<http://www.democracycorps.com/strategy/2008/06/the-obama-gap/>, 6/3/08] - Obama is matching Kerry's performance among white working class voters while McCain, at 54 percent, is trailing Bush's performance by 6. [Democracy Corps <http://www.democracycorps.com/strategy/2008/06/the-obama-gap/>, 6/3/08] -- Rebecca Buckwalter-Poza Progressive Media USA [email protected] 202-609-7674 (o) 919-423-4783 (m) --~--~---------~--~----~------------~-------~--~----~ You received this message because you are subscribed to the "big campaign" group. To post to this group, send to [email protected] To unsubscribe, send email to [email protected] E-mail [email protected] with questions or concerns This is a list of individuals. It is not affiliated with any group or organization. -~----------~----~----~----~------~----~------~--~---
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