EFTA01385336.pdf

3 January 2018 HY Corporate Credit HY Multi Sector.Media, Cable & Satellite programs implying meaningful cash burn. The hedge strategy is widely dispersed among Higher Quality credits - we have CLR which is completely unhedged at one end and PE with a peer-leading 78% oil hedge ratio at the other end. The Lower Quality oily names, which need downside protection the most, have an average liquids hedge ratio of just 39% - except DNR (51% hedged), the rest of the names are hedged <50% of their liquids production. The gassy peers have more solid hedging programs with an average hedge ratio of 54% in FY 18E. This is comparable to a 56% hedge ratio for FY 17 at the same time last year. Specifically looking at gas hedges given heightened downside risks to price for FY 18E, average hedge ratio is strong at 65% with floor prices close to $3/mcf. Excluding AR which has traditionally had an impressive medium term hedging program (almost 100% hedged for FY 18E), the average gas hedge ratio would still be a robust 59% with all names hedged 50% a higher. The FY 19 peer group hedges except for AR (71%) are minimal. rFigure 22: Hedge profile of oily credits foE FY 13 11111 • 049 -Road 099 Ursaye4 •PI • lit02.1 -Pi • Urtseegea Same Ccnion R 0949699417/tsnartt Detwow Sent [Figure 23: Hedge profile of oily credits for FY 19 100% • 9094 • 11091 70% SO% 00% • 40%% • 30 20% 10% 0% FANG RF% .We -Hedged .0•• •Ulthedged •011•Medged 401•Ialwilged Secs Conway a Bloonittag Piwrost W, Detache ant [Figure 24: Hedge profile of gassy credits for FY 18 [Figure 25: Hedge profile of gassy credits for FY 19 ; 1004 100% 1 do-; 80% or; *0% 404 494 20% 20% 11:1 0% MAI RRC aR CM( GPOR ECR RRC •Ges • ReeGeS Oa UrtitaRIG ROA •I*400R1 04 -UR •Gas • Hadgett Gas Unn44044 • OS • laidGed 04 • Vrawdged wra 61...,(0ery ;visit:Atte Dewy &rat 5:.•c. P., / vu 4114/7.3morev Sea Deutsche Bank Securities Inc. Page 61 CONFIDENTIAL - PURSUANT TO FED. R. CRIM. P. 6(e) DB-SDNY-0086620 CONFIDENTIAL SDNY_GM_00232804 EFTA01385336