EFTA00797065
EFTA00797069 DataSet-9
EFTA00797255

EFTA00797069.pdf

DataSet-9 186 pages 61,013 words document
V15 D6 P21 D4 P24
Open PDF directly ↗ View extracted text
👁 1 💬 0
📄 Extracted Text (61,013 words)
ACKRELL 2018 CANNABIS CAPI TA L INVESTMENT REPORT GLOBAL CANNABIS CONSUMERS Contents • The United Nations recently estimated that more than 180 million people Foreword globally between the ages of 15 and 64, or more than 4% of this age group, consume cannabis annually. I Executive Summary II Cannabis Science 101 • At least 20 countries have implemented medical cannabis laws, including III Cannabis Industry Segmentation Australia, Canada, Colombia and Germany; countries without such laws IV U.S. Legal Landscape include China, Japan, Russia and the United States. V Global Cannabis Regulation VI U.S. and International Cannabis Market Estimates • Although federally illegal in the United States, 46 states and the District of Columbia have passed at least one law that permits the manufacture, VII Capital Markets for Cannabis Companies distribution, dispensing or polsession of cannabis. While most of these laws VIII Top 100 Private Cannabis Companies 2018 are medical cannabis laws, 8 states have enacted recreational laws. IX Cannabis Industry Risk Factors X Glossary of Terms • Across all medical cannabis laws in the United States, cannabis is legally Disclosures, Disclaimers, Sources and Use recognized asa form of therapy or medicine for more than 50 qualifying Ackrell Capital Cannabis Team conditions, including Alzheimer's disease, anorexia, arthritis, cancer, chronic pain, epilepsy and post-traumatic stress disorder. Inside Back Cover:The Green Field 2018 • California is poised to become the largest recreational cannabis market About Ackrell Capital in the world with the implementation of its recreational law in Januar)/ Founded in 2003, Ackrell Capital is a leading 2018—a watershed moment for the industry. independent investment bank focused on emerging growth companies. Ackrell Capital's • The illegal cannabis market in the United States is estimated to be more expertise includes: than 545 billion annually. (We estimate that the 2017 U.S. state-legal cannabis market was 58.0 billion.) If federal legalization occurs, we believe • Private Equity that the legal market could be more than two times the size of the current • Mergers and Acquisitions illegal market, ultimately exceeding 5100 billion annually. • Private Placements • Corporate Development • The cannabis industry provides a broad range of investment opportunities • Cannabis, Consurner, Technology, Digital in both the public and private markets for sophisticated investors who are and Other Emerging Growth Industries willing to take significant risks. Ackrell Capital is based in San Francisco, Get. Ackrell Capital isa member of FINRA and SIPC. lit report has been comSed for /ild matirnd panposes or*, and is not a res earchreport. rW repote nol and shou'd nol be consvued os on otte, sa sel secuntieS ora solcitohon ot dl orter lo bry sec anes. the nformanan n W. repol t ol o gened nottre. and Ilt report shou'd rot be cornlrued. reled opal or acled apen os irneslynenf. legal. medcd. health or !as adric e Ac kte0 Gagla' has mode investment, in ond ccfiducled nvestment ()ankra servKes ter compdmes menhoned in Un repot, and may do so in the !ukse. Reader ~Id be affere mat nobel Capild may have a conto ol interest glot c oud &led the °bloc hvity ot th.5 report. nobelt Capita,. Ilt sa member Ot FLARA Ond SIPC. ø 2017 ACktel Capita]. LIC. EFTA00797069 REPORT HIGHLIGHTS Select Countries with Legalized Cannabis Access (January 2018, ' 1,44110 - Recreational Law. 046 - Medical L. - StatelProWnce Conflict with Federal L. Tenstle arrent, has a .0.1 lax. Assumes Canada enacts a pop. .reational law in mid-2018. U.S. State Cannabis Laws (January 2018) unit-,,, - Recreational Law Medical L. CBD/Limbd L. rr c. Member EFTA00797070 Progression of U.S. State Cannabis Laws 2004 ail 2008 I t Ail 2012 1¶ %, -mmiar 41114rIC 2014 e trig' 111 - Recreatimal Law Me— Law CBDILImitad Law EFTA00797071 U.S. Legalized Cannabis Market 5140.(00 Path to Federal Legalization 70 M FDA Approves Cannabis•Derived Pharmaceuticals $120.000 60 M More Stales Adopt Medical Cannabis Laws 6100.030 50 M SlaWl1SU30 p laqUiliN More States Adopt Recreational Laws $80.000 FDA Routinely Approves CBD SO M FDA Routinely Approves THC Drugs vo $60.000 30M Federal Government Legalizes Cannabis $40000 20 M $20,000 10M so OM 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 II Legalized Cannabis Market Size Consumers Source: Ackrell Capital. Assumes cannabis \hill be legalized federally by 2027. Cannabis may never be legalized federally in the United States. Cannabis Industry Segments Production Business Solutions Production Production and Business Business Cultivation Equipment and Testing Services Software Services Supplies Distribution Digital Media Distribution Online Content Online Dispensaries E-Commerce Services and Networking Directories Consumer Products Vaporizers and Flower Concentrates Infused Products _a l Pharmaceuticals Accessories In Involves 'touching the plant' El Does not involve "touching the plant' 0 2017 Ackrell Capital, LLC I Member FINRA/SIPC EFTA00797072 ACKRELL CAPITA L Cannabis Investment Report December 28, 2017 I Foreword Ackrell Capital is pleased to present our 2018 Cannabis Investment Report. Much has happened in the nearly two years since we published our inaugural report: the cannabis industry grew significantly, com- panies in the industry raised large amounts of capital and their stock prices performed well, and the legal- ization movement continued worldwide as more countries and U.S. states implemented a framework for legal cannabis access. There was also a presidential election in the United States; its ultimate impact on the cannabis industry remains uncertain. What did not happen since we launched our inaugural report? Federal legalization: "marijuana" continues to be classified as a Schedule I controlled substance under the Controlled Substances Act in the United States. In this new edition, we introduce an outlook on global cannabis markets, analyze capital markets for cannabis companies and present updated market estimates. We also expand on the first edition by providing more in-depth analyses of the various market segments within—and analyzing the legal issues pertinent to—the cannabis industry. The Top 100 Private Cannabis Companies list has been updated and our industry landscape, The Green Fiel4 has been updated and expanded to include more than 500 companies. Cannabis legalization has accelerated domestically and internationally. In the 2016 U.S. elections, four states, including California, legalized recreational cannabis (bringing the total number of states with recre- ational laws to eight) and an additional four states legalized medical cannabis. Cannabis use is now state- legal in some form in 46 states. In January 2018, California will implement its recreational law, making it the largest market globally for the recreational use of cannabis. Similarly, Canada is expected to pass its recreational law in mid-2018. And in 2017, Germany became the most populous country in the world to pass a medical cannabis law. Cannabis has mass consumer appeal around the world. (According to the United Nations, more than 180 million people per year use cannabis and it is the most-consumed drug worldwide). While it is clear that there is significant demand for cannabis, less clear is how quickly illegal markets will transition to legal markets, as well as the extent to which legalization may increase overall demand. We continue to believe that it is a question of when—not if—the U.S. federal prohibition on cannabis will end. We believe that a path toward federal legalization exists and we believe this process has com- menced. According to Gallup, 64% of Americans today believe that cannabis use should be legal. Who is the cannabis consumer? It is the 80-year -old cancer patient ingesting cannabis to treat side effects of chemotherapy. It is the 12-year-old child using cannabis extracts on a doctor's recommendation to reduce epileptic seizures. It is the 30-something mother or father seeking to relax after a full day. It is a group of 20-year-olds on a Friday night heading to a concert. It is the millions of people suffering from anxiety and depression. It is the millions of people treating chronic pain and nausea. It is the millions of people using cannabis recreationally. Our team has met with more than 1,000 companies in the cannabis industry. We understand the oppor- tunities and challenges facing the industry, and we are happy to provide our insights. Sincerely, The Ackrell Capital Cannabis Team 0 2017 Ackrell Capital LLC I Member FINRA/ SIPC EFTA00797073 ACKRELL Cannabis Investment Report I December 2017 Table of Contents CHAPTERI Executive Summary 1 Global Cannabis Consumers ■ To Watch in 2018 0 Investment Outlook CHAPTER II Cannabis Science 101 15 The Cannabis Plant • The Human Endocannabinoid System Cannabinoids ■ Terpenes • Cannabis Formulations CHAPTER III Cannabis Industry Segmentation 31 2 Production u Distribution • Consumer Products • Business Solutions • Digital Media CHAPTER IV U.S. Legal Landscape 61 • U.S. State Law U.S. Federal Law • The Path to Federal Legalization CHAPTER V Global Cannabis Regulation 91 • Global Cannabis Legalization Momentum • United Nations Conventions • Global Legal Developments Global Outlook CHAPTER Vi U.S. and International Cannabis Market Estimates 103 • Global Market Overview • U.S. State-Legal Cannabis Market • U.S. Legalized Cannabis Market Forecast • International Legal Cannabis Market Forecast CHAPTER VII Capital Markets for Cannabis Companies 117 47i Capital Markets Overview n Public Capital Markets • Public Capital Markets: United States Public Capital Markets: Canada • Private Capital Markets I Final Thoughts CHAPTER VIII Top 100 Private Cannabis Companies 2018 137 CHAPTER IX Cannabis Industry Risk Factors 165 CHAPTER X Glossary of Terms 169 Disclosures, Disclaimers, Sources and Use 175 Ackrell Capital Cannabis Team 176 FRONT COVER Report Highlights BACK COVER The Green Field 2018 ii 3) 2017 Ackrell Capital. LLC I Member FINRA/ SIPC EFTA00797074 ACKRELL CAPITAL CHAPTER Executive Summary Global Cannabis Consumers Cannabis has mass consumer appeal around the world. Millions of people use cannabis recreationally. Millions more use it medicinally. In aggregate, across all state medical cannabis laws in the United States, cannabis is legally recognized as a form of therapy or medicine for more than 50 medical conditions, including Alzheimer's disease, anorexia, arthritis, cancer, chronic pain, epilepsy and post-traumatic stress disorder. Similar to the alcohol and pharmaceutical markets, we believe that the total addressable consumer market for cannabis consists of a significant portion of the global adult population. Cannabis is the most widely cultivated, produced, trafficked and consumed drug worldwide, according to the United Nations Office on Drugs and Crime (UNODC). In 2003, the UNODC estimated that the global illegal cannabis market was $113 billion, with 160 million consumers. The UNODC continues to estimate the number of cannabis users worldwide and recently estimated that 183 million people globally between the ages of 15 and 64, or more than 4% of this age group, con- sumed cannabis in 2015. In 2010, the RAND Corporation (RAND) estimated that the U.S. illegal cannabis market was $40 billion. Adjusting this estimate solely for inflation and population growth, the U.S. illegal market would now be approximately $48 billion. Both the UNODC and RAND acknowledge the challenges inherent in studying an illegal con- sumer market, and both allow significant room for error in their estimates. However approximate, their estimates make clear that there is significant global demand for cannabis. Less clear is how quickly illegal markets will transition to legal markets, as well as the extent to which legalization may increase overall demand. We believe that the growth of the global legal cannabis industry will be driven by increasing pen- etration in largely untapped "mainstream" consumer markets, and that the legal industry could grow to more than two times the estimated size of the current illegal market. We believe that cannabis will eventually become federally legal in the United States, for recreational enjoyment by adults and for use in a broad range of safe drugs and therapeutic products. After U.S. federal legalization, we believe that 0 2017 Ackrell Capital LLC I Member FINRA/ SIPC 1 EFTA00797075 ACKRELL CAPITAL Cannabis Investment Report I December 2017 the U.S. market will exceed $100 billion annually, with more than 50 million consumers. Globally, we estimate that the legal cannabis market has the potential to reach $500 billion annually, approaching one billion consumers. The Global Legal Cannabis Market Cannabis legalization is gaining momentum around the world. This momentum is driven primarily by the increasing recognition that cannabis may have a range of legitimate medicinal benefits and thera- peutic applications. At least 20 countries now have medical laws that facilitate patient access to can- nabis or cannabis concentrates for treating specified medical conditions. Notable countries with such medical laws include Australia, Canada, Colombia and Gcrmany; countries without such laws include China, Japan, Russia and the United States. (Contrary to U.S. federal law, 29 states, encompassing 62% of the U.S. population, permit the production and possession of cannabis or concentrates for use in treating a broad range of qualifying medical conditions.) While the merits of medical cannabis are currently driving legalization, we believe that—like Uruguay and numerous U.S. states—other coun- tries will ultimately enact legislation permitting the production, sale and use of recreational cannabis. (Canada is widely expected to do so in mid-2018.) The following world map illustrates select countries that (i) have enacted medical laws that facilitate patient access to cannabis or concentrates for treating specified medical conditions, (ii) have enacted recreational laws that permit the commercial production and sale of cannabis to adults for recreational and other uses, or (iii) include a state or province that has a cannabis law or policy in conflict with federal law. Select Countries with Le! alized Cannabis Access Janua 2018) Recreational Law' Medical Law State/Province Conflict with Federal Law 'Canada currently has a medical law. Assumes Canada enacts a proposed recreational law in mid•2018. 2 o 2017 Ackrell Capital, LLC I Member FINRA/SIPC EFTA00797076 ACKRELL CAPITAL CHAPTER I Executive Summary The U.S. State-Legal Cannabis Market The legal landscape for the cannabis industry in the United States continues to be character- ized by conflict between federal prohibition and the steady advance of state legalization. Accord- ing to federal policy, Americans can access tobacco, alcohol and prescription drug products that kill thousands each year, but they cannot access cannabis because it is a dangerous drug with no currently accepted medical application in the United States (notwithstanding the federal gov- ernment holds a U.S. patent for methods of treating diseases with cannabinoids). Meanwhile, 46 U.S. states have enacted at least one law that permits the manufacturing, distribution, dispensing or possession of cannabis or concentrates. These laws fall into three general categories: • 29 U.S. states (and the District of Columbia) have enacted medical cannabis laws that permit the production and possession of cannabis or concentrates for use in treating a broad range of qualifying medical conditions. • 19 U.S. states have enacted narrow CBD/limited laws that permit possession of small amounts of low-THC/high-CBD cannabis concentrates for use in treating a few serious medical condi- tions—in particular, severe forms of childhood epilepsy. • 8 U.S. states have enacted recreational laws that permit the commercial production and sale of cannabis to adults for recreational and other uses. The following map of the United States shows states with medical cannabis laws, CBD/limited laws or recreational laws (a state with more than one of these laws is represented on the map by its most permissive law). U.S. State Cannabis Laws (January 2018) Recreational Law Medical Cannabis Law CBD/Limited Law 4 a % 0 2017 Ackrell Capital LLC I Member FINRA/ SIPC 3 EFTA00797077 ACKRELL CAPITAL Cannabis Investment Report I December 2017 The U.S cannabis industry has proven adept at navigating this federal-state conflict, and is experi- encing rapid growth despite it. We estimate that the 2017 U.S. state-legal cannabis market was $8.0 billion, with more than four million consumers. While the overall state-legal market has grown sig- nificantly, the addressable market has been constrained due to the lack of access to purely recreational consumers and the sometimes-narrow scope of medical conditions that qualify a patient for access to medical cannabis. The breakdown of this market estimate by state is shown in the following chart. 2017 U.S. State•Legal Cannabis Market Estimate Other States 51.96 California $3.26 Colon& $1.56 Oregon Washington $470M $929M Source: Ackrell Capital U.S. Federal Law Current federal law effectively prohibits all cannabis use and all commercial cannabis activity in the United States. Producing, selling and possessing cannabis are federal crimes. No cannabis-derived drug has ever been federally approved for use in treating any medical condition. Otherwise legitimate busi- ness transactions conducted by cannabis companies—and their banks, for those who can access bank- ing services—are legally suspect. Certain intellectual property and bankruptcy protections critical to many U.S. businesses are not available to cannabis companies. Cannabis companies pay federal income tax at effective rates significantly higher than other businesses. Despite official prohibition, however, federal policies and laws recently passed by Congress have carved out a limited space in which the state-legal cannabis industry has managed to thrive. Enforce- ment policies published by the U.S. Department of Justice have unofficially invited cannabis business to proceed if certain conditions are respected. The U.S. Department of the Treasury established report- ing policies that create room for banks to service the cannabis industry. Federal budget legislation 4 o 2017 Ackrell Capital, LLC I Member FINRA/SIPC EFTA00797078 ACKRELL CAPITAL CHAPTER I Executive Summary has prevented allocated funds from being used to prosecute conduct that complies with state medical cannabis laws. And recent developments indicate the federal government may be pursuing policies and practices that create space for cannabis research and approval of cannabis-derived drugs. The following chart shows three general areas of federal law that impact the cannabis indus- try—food and drug regulation, banking and finance, and intellectual property—as well as specific laws and federal policies related to each area. (We expand on these laws, regulations and policies in Chapter IV, U.S. Legal Landscape.) Federal Laws and Policies Impacting the Cannabis Industry Justice Department Cole Memo Bank Secrecy Act Controlled and Financial Substances Transaction Act Laws Treasury Department Rohrabacher- FinCEN Memo Blumenauer Amendment Securities DRUG Federal Laws BANKING Law AND FOOD and Policies AND Agricultural REGULATION FINANCE Act Impacting the of 2014 Cannabis Industry Bankruptcy Law Food. Drug, and Internal INTELLECTUAL Revenue Cosmetic Act PROPERTY Code 0 (0 2017 Ackrell Capital LLC I Member FINRA/ SIPC 5 EFTA00797079 ACKRELL CAPITAL Cannabis Investment Report I December 2017 The Path to Federal Legalization We believe that the variable which will most impact the future size of the U.S. legal cannabis mar- ket is the federal legalization process. How and when federal legalization occurs will impact other primary drivers of the market, including the number of eligible consumers, penetration rates and consumer spending. We predict six developments relating to federal legalization: (1) the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) will begin approving individual pharmaceutical-grade drugs derived from cannabis; (2) more states will adopt medical cannabis laws; (3) more states will adopt recre- ational laws; (4) the FDA will adopt routine approval procedures for drugs with extracts of low-THC/ high-CBD cannabis varieties; (5) the FDA will adopt routine approval procedures for drugs with extracts of high-THC cannabis varieties; and (6) cannabis parts and derivatives will be removed from the CSA schedules (either incrementally, starting with CBD, or all at once) and will be fully legal for medical and recreational purposes. (We expand on these predicted developments in Chapter IV, U.S. Legal Landscape.) We do not predict that these developments necessarily will occur in the order presented. We do expect some of them to develop in parallel, and none of them depends fundamentally on any other. For example, Congress could cause development (6) at any time by passing legislation that removes cannabis from the CSA schedules and establishes Path to Federal Legalization a national framework for recreational and medical 1. The U.S. Food and Drug Administration will cannabis regulation. Developments (1) through (3) begin approving individual pharmaceutical- largely reflect incremental developments within grade drugs derived from cannabis. the existing legal environment. We do not expect 2. More states will adopt medical cannabis developments (4), (5) or (6) to occur during the laws. current presidential term, but we believe that there 3. More states will adopt recreational laws. is a reasonable chance development (4) could begin within the next five years and development (5) 4. The FDA will adopt routine approval procedures for drugs with extracts of could occur within two years thereafter. In total, we low-THC/high-CBD cannabis varieties. believe it could rake up to 10 years or more before the federal legalization process reaches development 5. The FDA will adopt routine approval procedures for drugs with extracts of (6) and cannabis becomes fully legal under federal high-THC cannabis varieties. law. For our market estimates, we assume (i) devel- opment (4) begins in 2023, (ii) development (5) 6. Cannabis parts and derivatives will be follows two years thereafter and (iii) development removed from the CSA schedules and will be fully legal for medical and recreational (6) occurs by 2027 and cannabis becomes fully purposes. legal in the United States. We believe that federal legalization will trigger rapid growth in the U.S. market, propelled by interstate commerce, access to the federal banking sys- tem and acceleration of the cannabis-derived pharmaceuticals market. A change in the federal status of cannabis in the United States will not only drive U.S. market growth, but should provide a significant catalyst to the market worldwide. The following graph illustrates the timeline of our predicted developments and the estimated impact on the U.S. legalized cannabis market. As discussed on page 175, readers are cautioned to not place undue reliance on our predictions or estimates. Almost certainly, our predictions and estimates will prove inaccurate in some respects. 6 1.) 2017 Ackrell Capital, LLC I Member FINRA/SIPC EFTA00797080 ACKRELL CAPITAL. CHAPTER I Executive Summary U.S. Legalized Cannabis Market S140.000 Path to Federal Legalization 70M FDA Approves Cannabis•Derived Pharmaceuticals $szo.000 60M More Stales Adopt Medical Cannabis Laws sloo.000 50M z More States Adopt Recreational Laws sao.000 FDA Routinely Approves CBD 40M F E FDA Routinely Approves THC Drugs 550.000 30M Federal Government Legalizes Cannabis a 540.030 20M 520000 10M OM 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 I Legalized Cannabis Market Size Consumers Source: Ackrell Capital. Assumes cannabis w7 be legalized federally by 2027. Cannabis may never be legalized federally in the United States. To Watch in 2018 We believe that the following events will impact the legalized To Watch in 2018 cannabis industry in 2018. • Increasing Recreational Legalization Increasing Recreational Legalization • Cannabis Consumer Experience We expect 2018 will be a watershed year for recreational goeslitainstream" markets, both in the United States and internationally. Cal- • FDA Approval of Cannabis- ifornia will begin implementing its new recreational law in Derived Pharmaceuticals January 2018, and Canada's proposed recreational law is widely expected to be approved in some form by mid-2018. • Commoditization of California, which has a population of 38 million people Cannabis Flower and receives 250 million visitors annually, is poised to tran- • Access to Banking Services for sition from the world's largest medical cannabis market to U.S. Cannabis Companies the largest recreational market with the implementation of • Increasing Strategic Investor its recreational law in January 2018. Activity; Continuing Funding In each of the three largest U.S. states to implement rec- Gap reational laws—Colorado, Oregon and Washington—the size of the legalized cannabis market expanded significantly, doubling the size of the overall market in each of these states in the first full calendar year after implementation. The world has yet to experience a legalized recreational cannabis market in a jurisdiction as large as California, and how the supply chain, consumer response and regulatory framework will coalesce in such a market remains to be seen. 7+ 2017 Ackrell Capital LLC I Member FINRA/ SIPC 7 EFTA00797081 ACKRELL CAPITAL Cannabis Investment Report I December 2017 Nonetheless, we believe that California's state-legal market may double from an estimated $3.2 billion in 2017 to approximately $6.5 billion in 2018. Canada has assumed the role of a global leader of cannabis legalization. Although Canada's legal cannabis market is presently limited to medical cannabis, it is currently the largest federally legal can- nabis market in the world, estimated at $1.5 billion in 2017. In April 2017, a proposed recreational law was introduced in the Canadian parliament; the proposed Cannabis Act would allow adults to pur- chase cannabis from federally licensed producers and to possess and share cannabis with other adults. The Cannabis Act is widely expected to be approved in some form by the Canadian parliament by mid- 2018. If approved, Canada would be the largest country in the world to legalize recreational cannabis on a national level, and we believe that the implementation of the Cannabis Act would significantly expand the size of Canada's overall market. Canada has demonstrated that by providing a national legal framework for cannabis, companies operating legally within the industry have had a clear "first to market" advantage, allowing them to raise significant amounts of capital and to pursue domestic and international expansion opportunities. If these recreational laws stimulate demand, as expected, and are otherwise viewed as successful, we expect more U.S. states and additional countries to follow suit with similar laws. In the United States, legislatures in eight states (Arizona, Delaware, Florida, Michigan, New Jersey, Ohio, Rhode Island and Vermont) are expected to introduce ballot measures or explore regulatory frameworks for recreational cannabis in 2018. Cannabis Consumer Experience Goes"Mainstream" Cannabis consumer product companies and retailers are rapidly evolving to meet the needs of the "mainstream" cannabis consumer. Cannabis consumers are no longer limited to smoking flower with joints, pipes or bongs, but have their choice of an increasing variety of products, including concen- trates, infused products and topicals. Products coming to market increasingly address the attributes demanded by the modem consumer—greater discretion, ease of use, product safety and accurate dosing. To attract more mainstream customers, companies have responded to these demands with increasingly sophisticated packaging and advertising. Where a consumer purchases a product can be as important as the product itself. In the United States, cannabis dispensaries play a critical role by providing consumers with access to a wide variety of products and "high-touch" education and sales services. Merchandising and branding have become more prominent as dispensaries increasingly seek to provide consumers with an experience similar to other mainstream retail shopping experiences. In 2018, we see an opportunity for cannabis dispensaries to drive consumer penetration and mainstream acceptance of cannabis by establishing storefronts in malls and other high-profile retail locations. In 2018, we believe that product innovation and advancements in cannabis varieties, concentrates, infused products, vaporizing technology and cannabis-derived pharmaceutical products will drive consumer adoption and spending. However, because numerous product categories have low barriers to entry, we expect a significant influx of cannabis brands that will aggressively compete for limited display space in dispensaries. We also believe product differentiation and availability will be more prevalent in legalized cannabis markets and will drive consumer transition from illegal to legal markets. 8 c' 2017 Ackrell Capital LLC I Member FINRA/ SIPC EFTA00797082 ACKRELL CAPITAL CHAPTER I Executive Summary "Mainstream" Consumer Experience V 2017 Ackrell Capital LLC I Member FINRA/ SIPC 9 EFTA00797083 ACKRELL CAPITAL Cannabis Investment Report I December 2017 FDA Approval of Cannabis-Derived Pharmaceuticals The FDA's first-ever approval of a cannabis-derived pharmaceutical may occur in 2018. The FDA has previously approved several drugs with chemically synthesized cannabinoids or cannabinoid-like compounds, but has never approved a drug derived from the cannabis plant. In October 2017, U.K.-based GW Pharmaceuticals submitted a New Drug Application (NDA) to the FDA for Epidio- lex, an oral formulation of cannabis-derived cannabidiol, or CBD, intended to treat severe forms of childhood epilepsy. (GW Pharmaceuticals also manufactures Sativex, a mouth spray used for treatment of spasticity caused by multiple sclerosis; it includes THC and CBD derived from cannabis. Sativex was first approved for use in the United Kingdom in 2010, and has been approved for use in at least 30 countries, but not in the United States.) If the FDA approves Epidiolex, such a precedent could be followed by similar approvals in the United States for other cannabis-derived drugs and result in a significant increase in the medical use of cannabis by consumers. Commoditization of Cannabis Flower The supply of cannabis in the United States has increased considerably with expanded state legaliza- tion. This increase has started to dampen retail and wholesale prices in various markets. While retail prices vary across the country, an examination of the price per gram of cannabis flower, or "bud," in the three largest states to implement recreational laws—Colorado, Oregon and Washington—reveals a downward trend. The following graph shows the average price per gram of cannabis flower in these three states since the beginning of 2016. Consumer Pricing Trends: Cannabis Flower Price per Gram $8.00 $7.50 $7.00 $6.50 $6.00 $5.50 $5.00 Jan 16 Mar 16 May 16 Julie Sep 16 Nov 16 Jan 17 Mar 17 May 17 Jul 17 Sep 17 Source: BDS Analyfics 10 2017 Ackrell Capital, LLC I Member FINRA/ SIPC EFTA00797084 ACKRELL CAPITAL CHAPTER I Executive Summary As prices decline, we are starting to see closer price parity between state-legal and illegal markets (in the United States, cannabis is generally priced lower in illegal markets than in state-legal markets). We believe that lower retail prices in state-legal markets will accelerate consumer transition from illegal to state-legal markets and drive increased overall penetration rates. However, state and local taxes will continue to impact pricing for cannabis products in state-legal cannabis markets, which will impede the transition to legal markets. In international markets, cannabis cultivators in South America, particularly in Colombia and Uruguay, are expected to proceed with large-scale operations in 2018, with the anticipated supply of cannabis entering the market in late 2018 or early 2019. These operations are designed to produce out- put that exceeds local demand, and South American countries are expected to export products to other legal markets, such as Canada and Germany. As legal markets increasingly import cannabis products, we anticipate downward-pricing pressure for cannabis in both the wholesale and retail markets. Canna- bis cultivators in domestic markets that permit imports may be challenged by large, low-cost cannabis producers in South America and elsewhere. While these dynamics are expected to impact international cannabis markets, they should not materially affect prices in the United States until the importation of cannabis products becomes legal under federal law. Access to Banking Services for U.S. Cannabis Companies Because most cannabis-related businesses in the United States violate federal law, most domestic finan- cial institutions do not provide services to participants in the cannabis industry. Companies in the cannabis industry may not be able to open or maintain bank accounts or access other products and services—such as credit facilities, payment processing and insurance coverage—typically provided by traditional financial institutions. A lack of access to banking and other traditional financial products and services continues to impede the growth of the industry; it increases the time, effort and expense related to ongoing operations and increases risks associated with cash transactions and the use of alter- native products and services. The California State Treasurer's Cannabis Banking Working Group —a panel convened by Califor- nia State Treasurer John Chiang that includes representatives from the cannabis industry and financial institutions, and government tax collection, law enforcement and regulatory agencies—issued a report in November 2017 on the cannabis industry's banking challenges. In the report, the State Treasurer's Office stated that the cannabis industry's lack of access to banking services is one of the biggest threats to the success of the state's recreational cannabis law, which is scheduled for implementation starting in January 2018. The U.S. Bank Secrecy Act (BSA) requires financial institutions to file "suspicious activity reports" (SARs) with the Financial Crimes Enforcement Network (FinCEN) regarding customers engaged in "marijuana-related business." From February 2014 through June 2017, FinCEN received a total of 33,692 marijuana-
ℹ️ Document Details
SHA-256
4108e36efc5a5173978a9367f803eade952acc079673b5f9d06346187b3241cc
Bates Number
EFTA00797069
Dataset
DataSet-9
Document Type
document
Pages
186

Comments 0

Loading comments…
Link copied!