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Mega Fires, Climate Change, Spotted Owl Habitat Supply & Timber Supply in Pacific Northwest and Western US: 1980 - 2014 versus 1846 - 1952
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Hi there John.
I saw the story about tying Wildfires to Climate Change.
http://www.upi.com/Science_News/2014/08/05/White-House-looking-to-tie-wildfi
res-to-climate-change/5941407250327/
I believe that we have been through some of this before, perhaps as much as
75% of the Wildfire Activity from 1846 - 1952 could be used to compare with
the 1980 - 2014 period.
How do I know??
I have been looking at your data, in particular Mega Fires 1846 - 1952,
Forest Harvesting and Subsequent Slash Burns.
This data tells me that in the 1920s & 1930s which were the two warmest
decades in the 20th Century until the 1990s & 2000s, there were 190,000
acres being burned each year in Western Washington forests from 1918 - 1925
and 120,000 acres being burned each year in Western Oregon forests from 1918
- 1925.
The 1846 - 1952 period in these Western Forests (OR & WA) was also very
active in terms of Mega Fires:
* 1846 Yachina ( Yaquinna) Fire (West Oregon)
450,000 acres
* 1853 Nestucca Fire (West Oregon near Cascade Head)
320,000 acres
* 1868 Silverton Fire (SE of Portland)
1 million acres
* 1868 Coos Fire (Coos Bay Oregon)
300,000 acres
* 1902 Yacolt Burn (SW Washington near Stevenson WA)
240,000 acres 21 Fire Events: 1789, 1902, 1910 - 1952
* 1933 Tillamook Burn ( NW Oregon)
240,000 acres
* 1939 Tillamook Burn ( NW Oregon)
190,000 acres
* 1945 Tillamook Burn ( NW Oregon)
180,000 acres
* 1951 Tillamook Burn ( NW Oregon)
32,700 acres
From 1880 - 1957, Railroad Logging ruled the forests with steam Donkeys and
Spar Trees (Google Railroad Logging, Steam Donkeys & Spar Trees) in the
Pacific Northwest.
Railroad Logging also operated in Alaska, British Columbia, Alberta and
Ontario in Canada, and almost all Lower 48 States from 1860 - 1960.
The West Coast Version operated from Alaska to California (Redwoods & Sierra
Nevada)
Railroad Logging actually maintained Prehistoric Fire Regimes along the West
Coast over its 80 year run.
Railroad Logging impacted tens of millions of acres in the West.
Railroad Logging started the Tillamook Burns and the 1902 Yacolt Burn and
many small Slash Burns that were not Mega Fires.
Railroad Logging, Slash Burns, Mega Fires and Climate of the past can be
used to answer the Mega Fires, Wildfires and Climate that we are facing
today.
As well, Railroad Logging, Slash Burns, Mega Fires and Climate of the past
can be used to answer the continuing questions and problems in the West
about Habitat for the Spotted Owl and Timber Supply.
This is a continuing conundrum for the US Forest Service and the US Fish &
Wildlife Service in their implementation of the Northwest Forest Plan.
This information could also help solve problems with the O & C Lands in
Oregon (which was a Railroad Land Grant and most of the area was Railroad
Logged).
This information could also ground truth or validate Variable Retention
Harvesting and Ecosystem Based Management that is being currently employed
on Bureau of Land Management Lands in Oregon.
This information could also be used to validate the Northwest Forest Plan.
These are also important issues for State DNR & Dept of Forestry agencies as
well.
I also know that I can link most WA, OR & CA Spotted Owl sites with one or
more and very likely all three of the following:
* Railroad Logging
* Railroad Logging Slash Burns (Post)
* Mega Fires
I call it:
Learning From The Past, To Understand The Present, and To Predict The Future
I also call it:
Ecosystem Decoding
This data is hidden and forgotten on the shelves of libraries and archives
across the US and waiting to be utilized.
I would like to discuss these issues and especially this data, YOUR DATA,
with you and John Holdren.
Thank you John.
Erik
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