podesta_email_21640.txt

podesta-emails 1,024 words email

P19 V16 D3 D1 D7

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from the washington times. hat-tip to Tara for the heads up. Article published Nov 30, 2007 *WT: Bush rebounding* November 30, 2007 By Clark S. Judge - As our Long-March presidential campaign picks up its pace, its road map to victory or defeat may soon change radically. For the more than a year, the Democratic presidential candidates, the mainstream media and the smart Washington money have all assumed an unpopular and discredited George W. Bush would drag down the Republican ticket, making next year's balloting a sure-thing replay of 2006. Now, amazingly, the president may be set for a comeback. True, Mr. Bush's poll numbers long ago went to where no president — or at least no president ever succeeded by his own party's candidate — had ever gone before, and remained there. The number of Americans who disapprove of his performance has exceeded by wide margins the number of those who approve for most of his second term. Yet more than two years of bad news for the president may have set the stage for good news in the year ahead. For months now, the president's critics have portrayed him as obstinate, deaf to the calls of the people, bullheadedly unwilling to abandon mistaken initiatives. Exhibit A has been the war in Iraq. But almost every administration initiative comes in for such an attack. Not a Democratic candidate debate goes by without some reference to the "failed policies" of the current administration. It has been a powerful narrative. But if the public sees those "failed" policies start to succeed, its understanding of the president could change on a dime. What was once regarded as "obstinate" would become "courageous." What was previously considered "bullheaded" would become "principled" — and "deaf to critics" would become "leadership." This kind of about-face could be in the works now. Changes on the ground in Iraq are the leading but not the only reasons public perceptions of the president may soon flip. Who would have imagined even a few months ago that the New York Times of all papers would run, as it did the Tuesday before Thanksgiving, a headline for the lead story on Page One that read, "Baghdad starts to exhale as security improves"? In an article reminiscent of its initial reporting of the turn of Sunnis chiefs to supporting coalition forces in Anbar Province, the Times reported that, "The security improvements in most neighborhoods are real. ... As a result, for the first time in nearly two years, people are moving with freedom around much of this city." With the surge working so well that even the Times acknowledges progress, a major miscalculation of the Democrats in Congress and running for president is starting to become evident. Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid and Speaker of the House Nancy Pelosi thought their party's victory in last year's midterm elections was due to voters agreeing with them that the Iraq invasion was a mistake and we should get out immediately. Mr. Reid's announcement we had lost reflected this misreading. But most Americans were never turned off to the mission — only to drift and lack of a strategy for victory in the year before the president announced the surge. With a new military command team sporting a coherent plan and a will to win, results on the ground have changed. If this keeps up, it is a fair bet that, sooner or later, the president will be seen as having stood firm under immense pressure and turned out to be right. Another headline from last week could add to this "man of courage vindicated" story. For years, Mr. Bush stuck by restricting use of embryonic stem cells in federally funded biomedical research. As with Iraq, if on a smaller scale, the result was heavy criticism — the kind that would have sent his predecessor racing to triangulate. But recently announced scientific breakthroughs now make the ghoulish use of fetal material in the laboratory entirely unnecessary. And who believes those breakthroughs would have occurred had the president relented and allowed embryo harvesting, thus making embryonic stem cells widely and cheaply available? A third challenge remains a work in progress, but if all goes well, it could be the tipping point in public reassessment of Mr. Bush. With the consequences to the broader economy of the subprime meltdown still mainly a matter of speculation, public anxiety about continued growth and prosperity is the most intense in years. Yet Mr. Bush's superb economic team, the strongest of his presidency, has handled the crisis with considerable assurance to date. If by March, the overall U.S. economy remains strong, the surefootedness of president's leadership in economic matters will be confirmed, too. In 1987, President Reagan's fortunes were down. The GOP had lost the Senate the year before. Iran-Contra and the defeat of Robert Bork's nomination to the Supreme Court had followed. But then the Soviets started to give way on arms and other agreements, the economy continued to grow despite the October stock market crash and Reagan began the long climb in the polls that helped put the current president's father in the Oval Office. The same could happen in 2008. Most of the fundamentals are in place. With one or two more developments breaking the president's way, this year's story of the stubborn chief executive could become next year's of a profile in courage. Who would have thought it possible? George W. Bush becomes Hillary Clinton's worst nightmare. *Clark S. Judge is managing director of the White House Writers Group Inc.*