📄 Extracted Text (573 words)
Subject: Twitter down -9% on earnings, lowest price since IPO. Earnings call to begin shortly, lock-
up expiry on Tuesda 5 6 C
From: Tazia Smith <
Date: Tue, 29 Apr 2014 16:55:26 -0400
To: jeevacation0gmail.com
Cc: Vinit Sahni < >,
Nav Gupta
Paul Morris >,
Vahe Stepanian <
Classification: Confidential
Jeffrey -
As you know, you own 1000 shares of TWTR at $26 (+$12.7k)
TWTR shares are at their lowest level since the stock's IPO (presently $38.70, vs. a close of $42.62
Conference call begins at 5pm ET
Twitter reported a better-than-expected top and bottom line for Q1, however, Monthly Active User (MA
U) growth was shy of whisper expectations. Investors are focused on valuation (still high at curren
t stock price - DB's price target of $65 implies 65x EV/EBITDA vs. Facebook which is -12x), and stoc
k action has reflected the forthcoming headwind: -474mm shares come out of 180 lock-up as of next Tu
esday, 5/6 (includes Execs and early stage PE).
Top and bottom line beat (like last quarter) but user growth is just inline with consensus ests and
disappoint vs expectations:
Revenues Better - $250mm vs $241.5mm
Earnings Better - $0.00 vs ($0.03)
But audience growth (Monthly Active Users) just inline - disappointing vs. whisper
MAU:
Total 255M vs SA 256.8M and 241M in Q4 - represents y/y growth of +25%
Mobile 198M vs 184M in Q4
US 57M vs SA 57.0M and 54M in Q4
International 198M vs SA 200.0M and 187M in Q4
(source: Streetaccount.com)
Guidance inline/better:
Q2 Guidance inline EBIDGA of 535-30mm vs $28mm
FY Guidance EBIDA of $180mm-205mm vs prior $150-180mm (cons 181mm)
TWTR Intra-Day/Aftermarket Price History
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TWTR 6mo Price History
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Tazia Smith
Director I Key Client Partners - US
DB Securities Inc
Deutsche Asset a Wealth Management
345 Park Avenue, 10154-0004 New York, NY, USA
Tel.
Fax
Mobile
Email
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EFTA01462620
From: Kevin Burns c >
To: Tazia Smith/db/
Cc: Bill Loftus Kevin Burns <
Date: 04/29/2014 04:24 PM
Subject: Re: TWTR shares down -7% from closing print of $42.62 to -$39.45 (giving back the days
gains) (C)
New low since breaking syndicate. 38.5
Sent from my iPad
On Apr 29, 2014, at 4:17 PM, •Tazia Smith• > wrote:
Classification: Confidential
corrected MAUs below to include totals (prey just Mobile)
From:
Smith/db/dbcom
TO'
EFTA01462621
Date: 04/29/
2014 04:15 PM
Subject: TWTR s
hares down -7% from closing print of $42.62 to -539.45 (giving back the days gains) (C)
<ATT00003.gif>
Tazia Smith
Director I Key Client Partners - US
DB Securities Inc
Deutsche Asset & Wealth Management
345 Park Avenue, 10154-0004 New York, NY, USA
Tel.
Fax
Mobile
Email
<ATT00004.gif>
This communication may contain confidential and/or privileged information.
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in error) please notify the sender immediately and destroy this
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material in this communication is strictly forbidden.
EFTA01462622
Deutsche Bank does not render legal or tax advice, and the information
contained in this communication should not be regarded as such.
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Tazia Smith
Director I Key Client Partners - US
DB Securities Inc
Deutsche Asset 6 Wealth Management
345 Park Avenue, 10154-0004 New York, NY, USA
Tel.
Fax
Mobile
Email
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EFTA01462623
ℹ️ Document Details
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