📄 Extracted Text (529 words)
From: roger schank
To: Jeffrey Epstein <[email protected]>
Subject: Re:
Date: Fri, 23 Oct 2009 12:30:18 +0000
didnt say it was secret; it was news to me when he told me this in '95, (but no surprise there)
I dont think he is smart because of what he says about shipping- I judge people by what they say about things I
know about -- no other way to judge; if they say something surprising, then I believ they have brains
I wouldnt say what I wrote about negotiation was a test of anyone in particular, but you are the only one who
made teh right comment; I was tired when I wrote it and then I got curious later whether anyone would call me
on the obvious -- namely taht you are always negotiating with children
roger schank
http://www.rogerschank.com/
On Oct 23, 2009, at 7:56 AM, Jeffrey Epstein wrote:
ditmitris well known secret from ten years ago. - sorry According to Martin Stopford, an economist with
Clarksons, the world's largest shipbroker, the secret of the Greek success is not, as you might expect, that
Greeks are good at running ships. They leave the grind of finding cargoes to specialists: they excel, instead, at
managing risk. The Greek shipping fortunes are based on buying ships cheaply and selling them dear. They
have an impressive record of spotting the tops and bottoms of the market.
Foolishness to the Greeks
That is in sharp contrast to certain other perennial investors in shipping: on the waterfront of Piraeus, where
owners and their agents mingle, they say that, while God gave the Saudi Arabians oil, he fortunately gave the
Greeks the Norwegians. Needless to say, Norwegians disagree. After all, the world's largest tanker owner is a
Norwegian company. Nor is it just Norwegians who are the fall guys. The price of second-hand bulk carriers
started to fall this spring as freight rates declined, catching out some firms. On July 21st, Jinhui, a Chinese
shipping company listed in, er, Oslo, issued a profit warning for precisely that reason.
Greeks buy and sell ships far more often than others in the industry. Naftiliaki, a trade magazine, says that of
535 ship trades from January until mid-May 2004, 264 involved Greeks. Most of the 733 Greek shipowning
firms are small, with only a few ships. But the industry is consolidating fast—which may limit the ability of
firms to time the market so well in future (at investment vehicles such as hedge funds, bigger generally means
worse). The 46 largest Greek shipping firms now control 70% of the fleet. Although the fleet has grown, the
number of firms is down by 25% since 1998.
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