EFTA01472039.pdf

Subject: RE: One idea for diver in policies - calls on global dispersion [C] From: Paul Morris Date: Thu, 29 Jan 2015 16:03:05 -0500 To: Daniel Sabba Vahe Stepanian Classification: Confidential Does he have a view on oil? He usually does, perhaps there is something to structure there Paul Morris Managing Director Deutsche Bank Private Bank Office: Cell: From: Daniel Sabba Sent: Thursday, January 29, 2015 2:54 PM To: jeffrey E. Cc: Vahe Stepanian; Richard Kahn; Paul Morris Subject: One idea for diverging policies - calls on global dispersion [C] Classification: Confidential Jeffrey, As we look at the world, the enormous dispersion of monetary and fiscal policies is obvious. One transaction we have used in the past to articulate this theme, and it trickling down to equity markets, are calls on dispersion. This is an OTC transaction in which a client pays a premium and receives a payout based on the average realized dispersion across global markets. It is a way to be economically short correlation and long volatility across markets, similarly to outperformance index options. I have plotted the historical ly average realized dispersion between S&P500, EFTA01472039 EuroStoxx50, Nikkei, EEM and HSCEI to illustrate. fcid:[email protected] Indicative Transaction Terms: Client buys: European Call on Dispersion, quanto USD Dispersion Basket: SPX, EEM, SX5E, HSCEI, NKY Expiry: 18 Dec 2015 Strike: ATMF (11.2%) Offer: 2.4% where Final Payout = Notional * max(Average Realized Dispersion — Strike,0) Average Realized Dispersion = Average(absolute value of Individual Dispersion for each Index i) Individual Dispersion for Index i = Final Performance for Index i — Average Performance Average Performance = average (Final Performance for each Index i) Final Performance for Index i = (Final_level(i)/Initial_level(i) -1) Please let us know when would be a good time to connect. Regards, Daniel Daniel Sabba EFTA01472040 Key Client Partners Deutsche Bank Securities Inc. Tel. Mobile Email EFTA01472041