podesta-emails
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** News as of January 22nd, 2016
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Weekly roundup about our democracy and The Common Good community
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* Three days until the first primary votes are counted!
* U.S. Economy slowed to 0.7% growth rate in the last 3 months of 2015
* Fed expresses doubts on raising interest rates
* Shortage of drugs causing doctors to ration or withhold medication for U.S. patients
* Saudi Arabia proposes oil-producing countries trim output, causing 3% hike in oil prices
* UN criticizes Israeli settlement activity in occupied Palestine territories
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Polls
New NBC News poll has Clinton leading Sanders by just 3 points — within the margin of error — just 4 days before the Iowa. Clinton 48%, Sanders 45%, O'Malley 3%. NBC News (http://msnbcmedia.msn.com/i/MSNBC/Sections/A_Politics/NBC%20News_WSJ_Marist%20Poll_Iowa%20Annotated%20Questionnaire_January%2028%202016.pdf)
Trump up 7 points in Iowa, with 32% to Ted Cruz's 25%. Rubio has 18%, Carson has 8%, Bush 4%, no one else tops 2%. NBC News (http://msnbcmedia.msn.com/i/MSNBC/Sections/A_Politics/NBC%20News_WSJ_Marist%20Poll_Iowa%20Annotated%20Questionnaire_January%2028%202016.pdf)
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2016 Campaign
Monday, Feb. 1 is game day in Iowa!
An Iowa win might make the Trump train unstoppable: "A top official of a rival GOP campaign... said: 'If Donald Trump wins Iowa, I think he has won-period. Ted Cruz is supposed to win Iowa. If Trump wins, he'll be on a trajectory to come out of the SEC primaries [March 1] with close to triple the delegates of anyone else.'" Eli Stokols, Politico (http://politi.co/1WRn0xb)
Trump GOP debate strategy worked: “The real reason [Trump] skipped out was to create a circular GOP fire squad - with Ted Cruz at the center. And it worked.... It was the worst possible time - on the eve of the deadlocked Iowa caucuses - for Cruz to stumble.” Glenn Thrush, Politico (http://www.politico.com/story/2016/01/gop-presidential-debate-takeaways-218393)
GOP leaders want to take down Cruz: “Many are trying to salvage the campaign of Sen. Marco Rubio (or any other more-mainstream alternative)...Republican leaders detest Cruz so much that they’re willing to run the risk an unelectable Republican will glide to the nomination.” Josh Kraushaar, Nat’l Journal (http://www.nationaljournal.com/s/616611/playing-with-fire-republican-bigwigs-want-take-out-cruz?mref=home_left_1)
Kochs launch new group to 'revitalize' society: The organization, known as Stand Together, is engaging in 'venture philanthropy' that seeks to strengthen American society. Fredreka Schouten, USA Today (http://usat.ly/1PEoaqa)
Sander’s & Clinton’s foreign policy may be their only major difference: However, neither wants to address these differences. “Hillary doesn't want to highlight her relative hawkishness in a Democratic primary and Bernie doesn't really want to highlight what his dovishness would mean in practice.” Conor Friedersdorf, The Atlantic (http://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2016/01/why-isnt-hillarys-hawkishness-a-dealbreaker/433887/)
Clinton’s ties to Obama may cost her Latinos’ support: “[W]hen the stakes involve whether [DREAMers’] loved ones could be torn from their families, it’s a grudge they won’t soon forget. ...disillusionment, particularly among young Latinos, matters.” Amanda Sakuma, MSNBC (http://www.msnbc.com/msnbc/what-hillary-clinton-missing-about-latino-voters)
Rising star Julian Castro (TCG Speaker) campaigning for Clinton: “Any presidential ticket could benefit from a qualified Latino to help win votes from the nation's fastest-growing demographic.” Kate Linthicum,LA Times (http://www.latimes.com/politics/la-na-julian-castro-iowa-clinton-20160125-story.html)
Inside the pro-Sanders independent groups aiming to compete with the organizational muscle behind Clinton: “[The groups are] employing professional political tactics such as use of entities that can raise and spend unlimited sums of money on campaigns…Although these entities can accept massive checks… [they are] relying instead on small donations from grass-roots supporters.” Matea Gold, Wash Post (https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/inside-the-pro-sanders-groups-taking-on-clintons-powerhouse-allies/2016/01/27/61aa4e00-c440-11e5-a4aa-f25866ba0dc6_story.html)
Sanders at crossroads - attack Clinton or stay positive? Some Sanders advisers think he must draw sharp contrasts with her as Clinton pulls slightly ahead in Iowa polling. The Sanders campaign has prepared an ad that takes aim at Clinton’s Wall Street ties. Jason Horowitz and Yamiche Alcindor, NY Times (http://www.nytimes.com/2016/01/28/us/politics/bernie-sanders-hillary-clinton-iowa.html?ref=politics&mtrref=www.nytimes.com&gwh=65217D912A36D4F32CE5AE9B3BF30446&gwt=pay)
More super PAC money has been spent so far in express support of Bernie Sanders than for either of his Democratic rivals, including Hillary Clinton, according to Federal Election Commission records. Nicholas Confessore, NY Times (http://www.nytimes.com/2016/01/29/us/politics/bernie-sanders-is-democrats-top-beneficiary-of-outside-spending-like-it-or-not.html?em_pos=small&emc=edit_cn_20160129&nl=first-draft&nl_art=11&nlid=30283247&ref=headline&te=1)
Equal pay litigant Lilly Ledbetter (TCG Awardee) endorses Hillary Clinton. Anne Gearan, Wash Post (https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/post-politics/wp/2016/01/29/equal-pay-litigant-lilly-ledbetter-endorses-clinton/?wpmm=1&wpisrc=nl_politics)
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The Economy
US economy slowed to 0.7% growth rate in the last 3 months of 2015: This is just the second time in almost two years that the nation has registered growth under 1%. “Tepid global growth is exposing new weaknesses in the nation’s long and sluggish recovery.” Chico Harlan, Wash Post (https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/wonk/wp/2016/01/29/u-s-to-release-figures-expecting-to-show-fourth-quarter-growth/?wpisrc=al_alert-COMBO-economy%252Bnation)
Survey reflects boosted American consumer confidence for 2nd month in a row: The survey shows “more people planning to buy homes in the next six months for the first time since December 2013... and the highest number of respondents expecting higher interest rates over the next year since 2006.” Chicago Tribune (http://www.chicagotribune.com/business/ct-consumers-confidence-20160126-story.html)
Wary Fed keeps options open: “Fed officials expressed renewed worry about financial-market turbulence and slow economic growth abroad, leaving doubts about whether the central bank will raise interest rates as early as March.” Jon Hilsenrath & Ben Leubsdorf, WSJ (http://www.wsj.com/articles/fed-signals-concern-about-economic-outlook-1453921436) “Fed officials have emphasized that their policy decisions will depend on the health of the recovery. If it proves stronger than expected, the central bank may raise rates more quickly than forecast. But if the economy stumbles, the Fed could draw out the process even longer.” Ylan Q. Mui, Wash Post (https://www.washingtonpost.com/business/economy/investors-await-federal-reserve-signal-on-interest-rates/2016/01/27/273016d2-c4af-11e5-a4aa-f25866ba0dc6_story.html)
Anti-Fed two-step: “It’s a very dubious claim that the Fed could have prevented the crisis with more aggressive policy in 2008; it’s three-card monte to transmute that into the claim that the Fed caused the crisis.” Paul Krugman (TCG Speaker), Op-Ed, NY Times (http://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2016/01/29/the-anti-fed-two-step/?_r=0)
The Russian energy minister said Saudi Arabia proposed that oil-producing countries trim output: “Oil prices were nearly 3% higher in first oil 3-day win streak of 2016.” The first global deal in over a decade could help “clear a glut that has depressed prices for over a year and a half.” CNBC (http://www.cnbc.com/2016/01/27/us-crude-falls-back-after-jumping-on-hopes-of-russia-opec-cooperation.html)
African-Americans were more likely to start a new business in the years following the recession, while white-owned businesses grew smaller in number. “However, in contrast to this trend, the average worth of a white-owned business was almost three times greater than its black counterpart,” according to a new report. Kate Davidson, WSJ (http://blogs.wsj.com/economics/2016/01/25/as-black-entrepreneurship-grew-the-value-gap-with-white-owned-businesses-widened/)
Obama proposes a new plan that allows small businesses to be part of multi-employer pension plans. “These businesses would receive greater tax breaks if they met certain standards for their offered retirement plans.” Jonnelle Marte, Wash Post (https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/get-there/wp/2016/01/26/how-president-obama-wants-to-make-it-easier-for-small-business-workers-to-save-for-retirement/)
Concerns over the accuracy of China’s reported economic statistics are heightening: Experts say China’s economic growth might not be as much as reported as “ the government’s attempts to prevent social unrest and China’s recent history of inflated investment figures.” Keith Bradsher, NY Times (http://www.nytimes.com/2016/01/27/business/international/china-economy-data-statistics-inquiry.html?ref=international&mtrref=www.nytimes.com&gwh=1A1F7B989671FF83BA89E7DBB7A05106&gwt=pay&_r=0)
Bank of Japan adopts a negative interest-rate strategy to spur banks to lend in the face of a weakening economy: “[According to Governor Kuroda] the BOJ won’t hesitate to add further monetary stimulus if needed.” Toru Fujioka & Masahiro Hidaka, (http://www.bloomberg.com/authors/ADOj8g5J59s/masahiro-hidaka) Bloomberg (http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-01-29/bank-of-japan-adopts-negative-interest-rates-by-vote-of-5-4)
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Foreign Affairs/National Security
Sweden, one of Europe's most welcoming nations for migrants, may expel up to 80,000 asylum seekers in coming years. Kim Hjelmgaard, USA Today (http://www.usatoday.com/story/news/world/2016/01/28/sweden-may-expel-tens-thousands-migrants/79448202/)
Top 13 national security issues of 2016: Beacon Global Strategies, Bloomberg (http://about.bgov.com/blog/13-national-security-issues-affecting-the-world-in-2016/)
UN criticizes Israeli settlement activity in occupied Palestine territories: Ban Ki-moon along with other ambassadors spoke up about their disagreement with Israel’s settlements within occupied Palestine lands, stirring discussions within the UN regarding Israeli Palestine situation. Peter Beaumont, The Guardian (http://www.theguardian.com/world/2016/jan/26/ban-ki-moon-calls-israeli-settlement-expansion-affront-to-world)
Human Rights Watch’s annual report shows European governments trend to promote fear regarding terrorism and the migration crisis: “This is in contrast to their expected commitment to civil rights and liberal ideas.” Sewell Chan, NY Times (http://www.nytimes.com/2016/01/28/world/europe/europe-migrants-refugees-report.html?ref=world)
French justice minister resigns as pressures for passing a terror policy is raised: “[Christiane Taubira] expressed doubts about controversial plan to strip people convicted of terrorism of their French citizenship.” Angelique Chrisafis, The Guardian (http://www.theguardian.com/world/2016/jan/27/french-justice-minister-christiane-taubira-resigns)
Putin is out to undermine Merkel: “Russia is tapping into Germany’s community of 1.2 million ethnic Russians to criticize Merkel’s policies and boost those who are unequivocally against Germany taking in refugees.” Judy Dempsey,Newsweek (http://www.newsweek.com/putin-out-undermine-merkel-europe-420678)
Iran’s comeback to the world’s economy: After international economic sanctions were lifted in Jan. 16, Iran has made a quick comeback to the world’s economy, as president Hassan Rouhani made several business trips to European countries. NY Times (http://www.nytimes.com/2016/01/27/world/middleeast/a-newly-gregarious-iran-gets-down-to-business.html)
Secretary John Kerry (TCG Speaker) urges China, North Korea’s biggest trading partner, to use its leverage to pressure North Korea into giving up its nuclear arsenal: “The Americans would like China to curb exports of oil, including aviation fuel, that help keep the bare-bones North Korean economy afloat. It has also asked China to crack down on its banks and businesses.” Jane Perlez & David Sanger, NY Times (http://www.nytimes.com/2016/01/28/world/asia/us-china-north-korea.html?ref=world)
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Domestic Affairs
Shortage of drugs causing doctors to ration or withhold medication for US patients: “Doctors and hospitals often do not tell patients about shortages and the resulting rationing because they do not want them to worry.” Sheri Fink, NY Times (http://www.nytimes.com/2016/01/29/us/drug-shortages-forcing-hard-decisions-on-rationing-treatments.html?emc=edit_na_20160129&nl=bna&nlid=30283247&te=1)
Multiple states clear Planned Parenthood of criminal charges: 11 states that had investigated Planned Parenthood’s work reached the conclusion that they did not illegally sell fetal tissue. Steve Benen, MSNBC (http://www.msnbc.com/rachel-maddow-show/gop-wont-drop-crusade-against-planned-parenthood)
CDC is not worried about Zika virus in US: Past experience with other mosquito-borne diseases such as dengue and chikungunya, leave health specialists less worried about the virus’ spread. Peter Sullivan,The Hill (http://thehill.com/policy/healthcare/267342-cdc-zika-outbreaks-in-us-likely-to-be-limited)
White House kicks off cancer-fighting task force headed by Vice President Biden: “The effort will be called the White House Cancer Moonshot Task Force – a reference to Biden’s speech...calling for a “moonshot” to cure the disease that led to his son’s death.” Sarah Ferris, The Hill (http://thehill.com/policy/healthcare/267308-white-house-kicks-off-efforts-for-cancer-moonshot)
Professor who helped uncover the Flint lead water crisis has been asked to fix it: Michigan Gov. Rick Snyder appointed Marc Edwards to a 17-person committee aimed toward finding a lasting plan to address the water crisis. Colby Itkowitz, Wash Post (https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/inspired-life/wp/2016/01/26/meet-the-heroic-professor-who-helped-uncover-the-flint-lead-water-crisis/)
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Books & Film
New HBO documentary, "Homegrown: The Counter-Terror Dilemma," takes a look at the changing face of terrorism in the US. almost fifteen years after 9/11. Trailer (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4lEELCa1CXY)
This Sunday on 60 MINUTES "Anonymous, Inc.”: The US is becoming a hotspot for crooked foreigners to launder money.” CBS Scoop (http://www.broadwayworld.com/bwwtv/article/Scoop-60-MINUTES-on-CBS-Sunday-January-31-2016-20160129)
“13 Hours” & “B (http://nypost.com/2016/01/28/13-hours-big-short-capture-why-sanders-trump-voters-are-furious/) ig Short” capture why Sanders & Trump voters are furious: “Both films chronicle failures of the government. Both films are deeply critical of the status quo without doubling as overly partisan broadsides.” Sonny Bunch, NY Post (http://nypost.com/2016/01/28/13-hours-big-short-capture-why-sanders-trump-voters-are-furious/)
The Birth of a Nation: “Star Nate Parker writes, produces and directs a vital American history chapter that’s more relevant than ever. It’s the biography of slave Nat Turner, who, in 1831, led a violent revolt in the South.” Variety (http://variety.com/2016/film/festivals/the-birth-of-a-nation-review-sundance-nate-parker-1201688498/)
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UPCOMING EVENTS
The Rt. Honorable Lord Christopher Patten, Chancellor of Oxford University
Tuesday, February 2, 2016, Reception & remarks: 6:15-7:45pm; Dinner & conversation: 8:00-9:30pm
https://www.runmyclub.com/TCGUSA/eventcalendar.asp?id=208981
The Common Good Forum on “Security and Opportunity in Turbulent Times”
Friday, May 20, 2016, 8am-4pm, Sessions all day on national and economic security
http://thecommongood.net/2015/12/the-2016-common-good-forum/
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Thank you TCG Digest contributors: TCG Staff, Isabelle Lehner, Emily Samuels, and Isaac Getlan, and our interns Emily Abrams, Juliet Kirk, Uzma Azhar, Daniela Gutierrez, and Grace Ewing.
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