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From: Gregory Brown
To: undisclosed-recipients:;
Bcc: [email protected]
Subject: Fwd: Greg Brown's Weekend Reading and Other Things.... 07/07/2013
Date: Sun, 07 Jul 2013 17:15:52 +0000
Attachments: The_Last_Mystery_of_the_Financial_Crisis_Matt_Taibbi_Rolling_Stone_June_19,_2013.pd
f; War_On_the_Unemployed_Paul_Krugman_NYT_June_30,2013.pdf;
U.S._Poverty,fly_the_Numbers_The_Nation_2011_data_07_03_2013.pdf;
The_Gap_Between_SNAP_and_Basic_Economic_Security_John_Light_Moyers_&_Co_Jun
e_28,_2013.pdf;
Hunger_and_the_Sequestration_by_the_Numbers_Gregyaufman_Moyers_&_Companyiu
ly_2,2013.pdf;
Why_Is_SNAP_Part_of_the_Farm_Billioel_Berg_Moyers_&_Co_July_2,2013.pdf;
Big_Companies_Paid_a_Fraction_ofCorporate_Tax_Rate_Nelson_Schwartz_NYT_July_l,
_2013.pdf;
Gregyaufinann_on_the_Truth_About_American_Poverty_Moyers_&_Companyiune_28,
2013.pdf; AltaVista._What's_That_Nick_Bilton_NYT_July_l ,_2013.pdf;
Army_Ousts_Egypes_President,_Morsiis_Taken_Into_Mi_litary_Custody_David_Kirkpatr
ick_NYT_July_3,_2013.pdf; 80%_of_Pre-
Packaged_Foods_in_America_Are_Banned_in_Other_Countries_CNCBC_June_24,_2013.d
ocx
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DEAR FRIEND
There is a serious question that we Americans should ask ourselves. Here in the richest country on
earth, 50 million of us — one in six Americans — go hungry — WHY? More than a third of them are
children. Yet Congress can't pass a Farm Bill because our representatives continue to fight over how
many billions to slash from the Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program, better known as
food stamps. The debate is filled with tired clichés about freeloaders undeserving of government help,
living large at the expense of honest hardworking taxpayers. A new documentary, A Place at the
Table, paints a truer picture of America's poor. Last week Bill Moyers spoke with Kristi Jacobson,
one of the film's directors and producers, and Mariana Chilton, director of the Centerfor Hunger-
Free Communities, explain to Bill how hunger hits hard at people from every walk of life.
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Web site for Bill Moyer's interview: http://billmovers.com/segmentfkristi-jacobson-and-mariana-chilton-on-how-hunger-
hurts-evervone/
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In the film there is a rancher and a police officer in Colorado, each struggling to make ends meet. And
to make ends meet they have to rely on the charitable food programs sponsored by the church of a
local Colorado minister, Pastor Bob Wilson. In the film the police offer explains that until recently
there use to be three officers but due to budget constraints only he is left and he hasn't received a pay
raise in four years, while what he use to spend on a month in groceries now only lasts about two weeks.
Hence, he uses a local minister, Pastor Bob Wilson's food bank to get by. In a second story, after
working from dam to 3pm on his ranch, cowboy Joel goes immediately down to the local school to
dean it up from 3pm to iipm, so that he can buy groceries to put food on the table for his kids. What
is mind blowing is that a cop who doesn't make enough money to meet all of his food needs and a
cowboy who has to take two jobs to help feed his children, are not the exception, in fact they're very
representative. 8o% of people receiving government food assistance are working poor. That means
their wages are so low that they're eligible for food stamps.
There is a stereotype that food banks are for the unemployed or the disabled, people who can't go out
and get a job or don't want one. Today, this isn't always the case, hard working people even with two
jobs need a little extra help and for them the stigma is humiliating. They are hard working fathers of
families, single-mothers, excellent parents. They want the best for their kids. They're often working
two or three jobs. Sometimes they'll have to work under the table in order to make ends meet, trying
to find side jobs. They're hustling really hard. And there's an enormous amount of shame that they
experience when they run out of money before they can get more food. It really tests their sense of
manhood, motherhood, their sense of citizenship, of belonging. It's very isolating. And not only for
the parents, but for their children too, who when hungry they are always told, "Don't talk about it.
Don't let anybody know how hard it is. Always put on a goodface. Always look good," so that you
are treated with a sense of dignity and respect. As a result, they often hide their own experiences of
hunger or hide the fact that they can't feed their own children.
Even worse is that hunger sometimes passes down as a legacy to the next generation. It gets
transferred from generation to generation. Now, during an economic downturn when there are not
enough good paying jobs, of course hunger will skyrocket. But people don't realize that hunger is very
damaging to children, especially to young children. Food insecurity affects the cognitive, social and
emotional growth of very young children. That means that by the time they arrive to kindergarten
they're not ready for school. That means that when they're in school if they're hungry they won't be
able to concentrate on what they're learning and they won't do as well on their math and their reading
tests. That means they won't be as successful, won't get a good paying job so that when they have
children they, too, will be poor. So poverty is an experience that is seared into the bodies and brains of
children and possibly their children.
What happens to someone who gets too little nutrition early in life? If you think about what's
happening in the first three years of life the brain is growing so fast. They're the most important years
of human development. So every moment those are the building blocks of good cognitive, social and
emotional development. Neurons are growing and pruning and very active. boo neurons are growing a
second for an infant. It's an important window of human development. So any type of
nutritional deprivation during this time has a severe impact on the brain even if it's just episodic, even
if it happens once or twice a month those are moments of lost opportunity to be able to interact with
their family and their environment, to pay attention and to learn something new which helps to grow
more neurons.
It affects the cognitive, social and emotional development. It creates a certain kind of a stress on the
child that's very toxic. And we know from experts that children who experience this kind of toxic stress
can't learn as well, can't learn as fast. We know that this can turned around with food assistance
programs, with a program called WIC, Women, Infants and Children or the food stamp program. The
best investment of our dollars in this country is investing in very young children and their families
because again those are the most important times when a child's brain is growing. So for every one
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dollar that you spend on a child you make seven dollars back when they become an adolescent. It's a
beautiful investment. But more importantly, it's the right thing to do.
The effects of hunger: You see it in school performance, their ability to get along with others, their
ability to pay attention for children of school age. Attendance. You see it in the increased
hospitalizations, showing up more to the emergency room when they don't-- with preventable
diseases, or preventable exacerbation of asthma. If we treated poverty during childhood as a type of a
disease, if we paid as much attention to poverty for children as we pay attention to infectious disease,
we could definitely eradicate hunger in this country.
The film — A Place at the Table — makes dramatically clear the relationship between
malnutrition and obesity. As they are neighbors and that they happen often at the same time and often
in the same family, in the same person is because they are both signs of having insufficient funds to be
able to command food that you need to stay healthy. If you look at what has happened to the relative
price of fresh fruits and vegetables -- they have gone up by 40 percent since 1980 when the obesity
epidemic first began. In contrast, the relative price of processed foods has gone down by about 40
percent. So if you only have a limited amount of money to spend you're going to spend it on the
cheapest calories you can get and that's going to be processed foods. Finally this has to do with our
farm policy and what we subsidize and what we don't.
Hunger and obesity are both forms of malnutrition. Obesity often means not getting the right kinds of
nutrients for an active and healthy life. If you go back to the definition of food insecurity it
means — not having enough foodfor an active and healthy life. So when people think about hunger
they think, "Oh, it's just not enoughfood." But actually its food insecurity which is a much broader
term, much more precise, captures a type of experience where families don't have enough money for
healthy and fresh food so they will, in order to stretch their dollar.... they'll spend it on soda or on
foods that have very high calories. Because they know that their kids are hungry, they have to be able
to stretch their dollar in order to fill their own tummies and the tummies of their children. They know
it's not healthy, but they're just trying to solve the immediate and the immediacy of hunger. The end
is eating lots of high calories, salt, sodium. And those are the kinds of foods that are not good for an
active and healthy life. It's another form of hunger. So you can look at people who are overweight and
obese and think maybe they don't have enough money for food, maybe they're anxious about where
their next meal is coming from. As a result there are 5o million people, one in six Americans who are
food insecure, who do not have enough good nutrition to thrive.
Conservatives who hate big government will tell you that charities should take the lead against hunger.
When the fact is that we need government to take a leadership role as there are millions of people
suffering from hunger and food insecurity in every county and in every state in our country. The 80's
created the myth that A. hungry people deserved it and B. well we could really fill in the gaps with the
charities. And we had a proliferation of emergency responses, soup kitchens, food pantries moving
from literally a shelf in the cupboard of the pastor's office to an operation with regular hours.
Something changed during that period of time. There developed this ethos that government was doing
too much and more importantly, the private sector is wonderful and let's feed people through charity.
Obviously this hasn't worked.
If you want to talk about dependency in this country, let's talk about corporations and businesses that
pay such low wages that they depend on the United States government to add money to those wages
through the Income Assistance Programs, like SNAP. Lets take a company like Wal-Mart, who pays
their workers so low that their workers are actually eligible for food stamps. And Wal-Mart has
the chutzpah to have paid employees on staff help their own employees qualify for food stamps. When
you look at the situation this way, who's dependent on the U.S. government? I'd have to say it's Wal-
Mart is the welfare queen here. There are 48 million people are receiving food stamps. But it's also
important to look at how many corporations and agribusinesses are collecting subsidies out of the
same government bill, the farm bill. There is an ethos in Congress right now that assisting those
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individuals who need help via the food stamp program or WIC or school meals is big government and
is going to put us into debt. But providing subsidies to large agribusinesses and big corporations is just
business as usual.
We have basically created a kind of secondary food system for the poor in this country. Millions and
millions of Americans, as many as 5o million Americans rely on charitable food programs for some
part of meeting their basic food needs. The churches and the community groups that hand out food
are doing an incredible service to this country and to the children that are experiencing hunger, but
that's just a quick fix, that's for today and tomorrow and maybe for next week. We call it emergency
food? It's no longer emergency food. This should be called a chronic use of a broken system for which
people cannot be held accountable. But as the actor Jeff Bridges says in A Place at the Table:
"Charity is a great thing, but it's not the way to end hunger. We don'tfund our Department of
Defense through charity, you know. We shouldn't you know, see that our kids are healthy through
charity either." The average food stamp benefit is $3 a day. I challenge you to go to your local
supermarket and try tofeed yourseif and yourfamily on $3 a day.
Children by family income, 2011
Less than
100% FPL
Above 22% Low- income
law-income
45%
55%
100-199% FPL
22%
Percentages may not odd to 100 due to rounding.
© National Center for Children in Powqty (www.nccp.org)
Basic Facts Aixot Low-income Children: Children Under 18 Years, 2011
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• Children in poverty: 1.6.1 million, 22 percent of all children, including 39 percent of African-
American children and 34 percent of Latino children. Poorest age group in country.
• Deep poverty (less than $11,510 for a family of four): 20.4 million people, 1 in 15 Americans,
including more than 15 million women and children
• People who would have been in poverty if not for Social Security, 2011: 67.6 million (program
kept 21.4 million people out of poverty)
• People in the U.S. experiencing poverty by age 65: Roughly half
• Gender gap, 2011: Women 34 percent more likely to be poor than men
• Gender gap, 2010: Women 29 percent more likely to be poor than men
• Twice the poverty level (less than $46,042 for a family of four): 106 million people, more than 1
in 3 Americansobs in the U.S. paying less than $34,000 a year: 5o percent
• Jobs in the U.S. paying below the poverty line for a family of four, less than $23,000 annually: 25
percent
• Poverty-level wages, 2011: 28 percent of workers
• Percentage of individuals and family members in poverty who either worked or lived with a
working family member, 2011: 57 percent
• Families receiving cash assistance, 1996: 68 for every 100 families living in poverty
• Families receiving cash assistance, 2010: 27 for every 100 families living in poverty
• Impact of public policy, 2010: Without government assistance, poverty would have been twice as
high — nearly 3o percent of population
• Percentage of entitlement benefits going to elderly, disabled or working households: Over 90
percent.
• Number of homeless children in U.S. public schools: 1,065,794nnual cost of child poverty
nationwide: $55o billion
• Federal expenditures on home ownership mortgage deductions, 2012: $131 billion
• Federal funding for low-income housing assistance programs, 2012: Less than $50 billion
The Gap Between SNAP and Basic Economic Security
There's a wide gap between the income cutoff for government food assistance and the income required
to provide children with a nutritious diet. As of early 2013, nearly 48 million Americans received food
assistance through the Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program (SNAP). That's about 15
percent of the country. Despite those numbers, a May 2013 report by the U.S. Department of
Agriculture (USDA), which oversees SNAP, found that 21 percent of families with children
experienced food insecurity in 2011 - meaning that at least some family members couldn't get enough
to eat to lead `active, healthy lives."
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The SNAP gap for a family of three
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To qualify for SNAP - which, until 2OO8, was called the Federal Food Stamp Program — a
family can earn no more than 13O percent of the federal poverty guideline, which is established each
year by the Department of Health and Human Services. Until October 2O13, that figure is set at
$2,O69 per month ($24,828 @ year) for a family of three; after that, it will be bumped up by about
$5O. But many antipoverty advocacy groups point out that 13O percent of the poverty guideline is
hardly a comfortable income for a family with children.
The nonprofit group Wider Opportunities for Women (WOW) has developed its own indicator
for economic security called the Basic Economic Security Tables index, or BEST index. The
index differs from state to state, and even between cities within a state, because of differences in the
cost of living, including the price of food and childcare. WOW found that across the country, the
actual income required for a family of three (one adult and two children) to be economically secure is
2OO or 3OO percent of the federal poverty guideline, not the 13O percent the USDA uses as the cutoff
for SNAP.
That leaves many families — especially those headed by a single parent — in an uncomfortable place
where they may not make enough money to buy quality food, but make too much to qualify for
government assistance. The chart above shows that gap in a handful of states across America. Mouse
over each bar for details.
*0 *000
Hunger and the Sequester, By the Numbers
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SEQUESTRATION IMPACT
ON MEALS ON WHEELS PROGRAMS BY THE NUMBERS
1IN7SENIORS
STRUGGLE WITH HUNGER
are eliminating staff are reducing the number are cutting the number
positions of seniors being served of meals served
Over 70% are establishing or adding to existing waiting lists. Ift
1 IN 6 PROGRAMS
are closing congregate sites or home delivered meal programs.
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Sequestration cuts will total $1.2 trillion through fiscal year 2021. This year there is a 5.3 percent cut,
totaling $85 billion. The cuts are indiscriminate and will impact nearly every federal program.* Here
are some of the ways this year's cut is affecting food and hunger programs, in America and abroad.
Domestic Programs
• Meals for needy seniors lost in programs like Meals on Wheels (MOW): 4 million
• Savings from cut of 4 million meals: $10 million
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• Rise in Medicaid costs due to cut of 4 million meals: $489 million
• Net cost to U.S. federal budget due to cut of 4 million meals: $499 million
• Loss of senior meals, California: 750,000
• Loss of senior breakfasts, Palm Beach County, Fla.: 24o daily
• Loss of senior meals in group dining facilities, Detroit suburbs and several counties: 86,000
• Loss of home-delivered and group dining senior meals, La Crosse County, Wis.: 6,000
International Programs
• Cuts to global poverty-focused development assistance (PFDA) programs: $1.1 billion
• People who will experience reduced or denied access to lifesaving food: 2.1 million
• Children who will experience reduced or denied access to school feeding programs: 234,000
• Children who will be unable to receive nutritional interventions that save lives and prevent
irreversible damage caused by malnutrition: 605,625
• Farmers and small businesses in poor countries that won't receive support from Feed the Future,
a program to help them lift themselves and their communities out of poverty: 1.17 million
Reflections
• Ellie Hollander, president and CEO of the Meals on Wheels Association of America: "The real
impact of sequester is that our programs don't have the ability to expand to meet the growing
need. We should be investing in these programs to ensure our seniors have the nutritious meals
they need to remain healthy and independent."
• Patricia Hoeft, director of senior center nutrition, the Mid-East Area Agency on Aging
(Missouri): "How do I decide which 300 seniors aren't going to eat that day?"
• Meals on Wheels recipient, home delivery program, La Crosse County, Wis.: "These meals are
sometimes the only meal that I have a day. I don't drive, so I have to rely on others to get around
to doctors' appointments. I only get $16 a month for food."
Some low-income programs are exempt from cuts, including Medicaid, Supplemental Nutrition
Assistance Program (SNAP,formerlyfood stamps), the refundable tax credits and some child
nutrition programs.
by Greg Kaufmann
July 2, 2013
As many of you know I am a big fan of TED which is a nonprofit devoted to Ideas Worth
Spreading. It started out (in 1984) as a conference bringing together people from three worlds:
Technology, Entertainment, Design. Since then its scope has become ever broader. Along with
two annual conferences -- the TED Conference on the West Coast each spring, and the
TEDGlobal conference in Edinburgh UK each summer -- TED includes the award-winning TED
Talks video site, the Open Translation Project and TED Conversations, the inspiring TED
Fellows and TEDx programs, and the annual TED Prize. Recently TED has join together with The
Huffington Post to reach a broader audience through its TED Talks Weekends, and while
perusing their offering this week, I ran across and interesting lecture (Talk) by former Greek Prime
Minister, George Papandreou - titled, Imagine A European Democracy Without
Borders.
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Web Link: http://www.huffingtonpost.com/tedglobal/george-papandreou-at-tedg_b_3428741.html
Greece has been the poster child for European economic crisis, but Papandreou wonders if it's just a
preview of what's to come. "Our democracies," he says, "are trapped by systems that are too big to
fail, or more accurately, too big to control" -- while "politicians like me have lost the trust of their
peoples." How to solve it? Have citizens re-engage more directly in a new democratic bargain.
Talking about the failure of leadership in our globalizing economy. Papandreou believes that the
failure of leadership is that people have been taking out of the process, based on the foundation of
democracy that people working together could be masters of their own fate and democracy was the
political innovation that protected this freedom, limiting the tendency of the powerful to maximize
power and wealth at the expense of the greater good for everyone else. And although Greece triggered
the economic crisis in the Eurozone but he says that today most people would agree that Greece was
just a symptom of the greater structural problems in the Eurozone due to vulnerabilities in the wider
global economic system, "vulnerabilities of our democracies, our democracies are trapped by systems
too big tofail, too big to control. Our democracies are weaken by people in the global economy with
players who can evade laws, evade taxes, evade environmental or labor standards. Our democracies
are undermined by the growing inequality ofpower and wealth, lobbyist, corruption, the speed of
the markets or sometimes when wefear an impending disaster which have constrained our
democracies and our ability to use our potential infinding solutions."
Papandreou says that Greece was only a preview and hopes that Greece, Europe and the world will
make radical transformations in our intuitions. He says that in this new paradigm of globalization
there is a collective ignorance and fears, which lead European leaders to fully invest in the "blindfaith"
of orthodoxy of austerity. And when austerity didn't work, they then blame the people for being lazy
as a result of indulgent social policies. No one blamed the banks and bankers who made millions and
billions writing loans that those profligate, idle, ouzo swilling, Zorba dancing Greeks they are the
problem Papandreou warns that this is not just about Greece, as this could be the pattern that
leaders follow again and again when we deal with these complicated cross-border problems, whether
its climate change, migration or financial regulations, abandoning our collective power to imagine our
potential, falling victim to our fears, our stereotypes or dogmas, taking our citizens out of the process
instead of building the process around them and doing so will only test the faith of our citizens in their
democracy.
And although it appears that Greece and Europe has weathered the economic storm, if politics is the
power to imagine then 6o% youth unemployment in Greece and in other countries is a lack of
imagination if not a lack of compassion. So far Europeans have only used economics to solve the
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problem and mostly austerity, whereas they could have designed other strategies, such as investing in
green jobs and new technologies. Without broad-based participation, we are losing trust in our
democracies, especially when today we have globalize the markets but we have not globalized our
democratic institutions. As a result, our politicians are limited to local politics while our citizens are
prey to forces beyond their control. Papandreou says that because the EU is the largest and most
successful cross-border peace experiment, we should use it as a model for more expansion with a
common identity, where education is through participation, where participation builds trust and
solidarity rather than exclusion and xenophobia. A Europe of and by the people, a Europe in deepen
and widening democracy.
As Papandreou confessed, it can sounds naive to put faith and power in the wisdom of the people. But
something has to change. And this disruptive change won't be given easily, as it is the interest of those
in power to keep the status quo. As such all of us will have to have to take a stand if we really want
things to change. The means, everyone who stands up against justice and inequality, everyone who
preaches racism instead of empathy, dogma rather than critical thinking, technocracy rather than
democracy and everyone who stands up to the unchecked power whether they be authoritarian
leaders, plutocrats hiding their assets in tax havens or powerful lobbyist protecting the powerful few.
Again, I know that this sounds naive, but so did the dream of democracy when the Greeks first
invented it in the 5th Century BCE Remember: if we collectively or individually don't reach for a
higher place, we will never get there
On Wednesday July 3, 2013 the Egyptian military announced the removal of Mohammed Morsi as
President, presenting a roadmap for reconciliation in the country. In a televised statement Egyptian
military chief Abdel Fattah al-Sisi announced that the plan calls for the temporary suspension of the
constitution and the institution of a technocrat government. The chief justice of the constitutional
court will lead the country in the interim. Tahrir Square, where thousands of people had gathered
during the day, erupted in celebrations as soon as the news was announced. It was announced that
Morsi was under house arrest at a Presidential Guard facility where he had been residing, and 12
presidential aides also were under house arrest. The constitution, drafted by Morsi's Islamist allies,
was "temporarily suspended," and a panel of experts and representatives of all political movements
will consider amendments, el-Sissi said. He did not say whether a referendum would be held to ratify
the changes, as customary.
The armed forces announced they would install a temporary civilian government to replace Islamist
President Mohammed Morsi, who denounced the action as a "full coup" by the generals. They also
suspended the Islamist-drafted constitution and called for new elections. On July 4, 2013 Adly
Mansour, Egypt's top judicial authority, is appointed as interim president during the transitional
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period. Millions of anti-Morsi protesters around the country erupted in celebrations after the televised
announcement by the army chief. Fireworks burst over crowds in Cairo's Tahrir Square, where men
and women danced, shouting, "God is great" and "Long live Egypt." Fearing a violent reaction by
Morsi's Islamist supporters, troops and armored vehicles deployed in the streets of Cairo and
elsewhere, surrounding Islamist rallies. Clashes erupted in several provincial cities when Islamists
opened fire on police, with at least nine people killed, security officials said. Beyond the fears over
violence, some protesters are concerned whether an army-installed administration can lead to real
democracy.
The ouster of Morsi throws Egypt on an uncertain course, with a danger of further confrontation. It
came after four days of mass demonstrations even larger than those of the 2011 Arab Spring that
toppled longtime autocrat Hosni Mubarak. Egyptians were angered that Morsi was giving too much
power to his Muslim Brotherhood and other Islamists and had failed to tackle the country's mounting
economic woes. President Barack Obama urged the military to hand back control to a democratic,
civilian government as soon as possible but stopped short of calling it a coup d'etat. The U.S. wasn't
taking sides in the conflict, committing itself only to democracy and respect for the rule of law, Obama
said. He said he was "deeply concerned" by the military's move to topple Morsi's government and
suspend Egypt's constitution. He said he was ordering the U.S. government to assess what the
military's actions meant for U.S. foreign aid to Egypt — $1.5 billion a year in military and economic
assistance.
On July 5th Islamist supporters of Morsi clashed with Egyptian security forces and fought brutal street
battles with Morsi opponents deep into early hours of Saturday morning, as violence surged following
Wednesday's military coup. The violence left at least 36 people dead, and more than 1,000 injured
across the country, according to Egypt's health ministry. Frustrated, angry civilians divided
themselves into warring camps that went after each other with clubs, rocks and gasoline bombs over a
major bridge and thoroughfares in central Cairo, in scenes that recalled the revolution that ousted
autocrat Hosni Mubarak in 2011. So chaotic and fast-moving were events that Egyptian television
news broadcasters split their screens into not just two but often three competing scenes of violent
unrest. Near midnight, government troops in armored personnel carriers roared up to protect state
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media offices from advancing crowds of Morsi supporters. Many of them were drawn from the ranks
of the Muslim Brotherhood, which suddenly finds itself shoved out of power and into a more familiar
role as an oppressed opposition group. The day's turbulent developments reflect an ominously divided
country, and region. From beyond Egypt, radical Web sites called for jihad against the nation's
military, even as most Arab governments continued to look on approvingly of the coup. The United
States has expressed concern but has generally avoided taking sides.
The fact that Egypt's first democratically elected president was overthrown by the military, just one
year in office by the same kind of Arab Spring uprising that brought the Islamist leader to power,
present its own new set of problems for supporters of democracy here and America and around the
world . As Fareed Zakaria pointed out this week in an op-ed in The Washington Post - Egypt's
lost opportunity - Over the past three decades, when American officials would (gently) press
Egypt's Hosni Mubarak to stop jailing his opponents and initiate more democratic reforms, he would
invariably snap back: "Do you want the Muslim Brotherhood in power?" Wednesday's events suggest
that Egyptians continue to face this choice, between military dictatorship and an illiberal democracy. T
o succeed, the new leadership in Egypt has to find a way to reject both. That's a task for Egyptians, not
for the United States.
Much of the Western media has tended to describe the divide in Egypt as between secularists and
Islamists, portraying ousted Egyptian President Mohamed Morsi as having pursued a radical Islamic
agenda in his year in office. There is certainly a strand of truth to this narrative, though the story is
more about grabbing power than enacting sharia. Morsi and the Muslim Brotherhood have been
deceptive, avaricious and venal. The party promised that it would neither run for the presidency nor
seek a parliamentary majority. It reneged on both pledges. It rushed through a constitution that was
deficient in many key guarantees of individual rights. It has allowed discrimination and even violence
against the Coptic Christian minority in Egypt. It has tried to shut down its opposition, banning
members of Mubarak's old party from all political offices in Egypt for life.
But its biggest failing has been incompetence. Egypt is in free fall. In the year that Morsi was in
power, the economy sunk, unemployment skyrocketed, public order collapsed, crime rose, and basic
social services have stalled. This would by itself by enough to produce massive public discontent.
Public discontent was first channeled against the army, which ruled Egypt for 16 months after the fall
of Mubarak in 2011. Now it has been directed towards Morsi. If the objective situation does not
improve in the country, this discontent might not easily dissipate.
Egypt's military has presented this coup as a "sot" one, aimed at restoring democracy, not subverting
it. If it succeeds, it could work like the Turkish military's removal of an Islamist government in 1997.
If it fails, it could look like the Algerian coup of 1992, ushering in a decade of violence. For now, it has
certainly preserved the army's immense power and perks, which have continued despite the formal
end of military rule. The military budget, for example, remains a black box subject to no parliamentary
or presidential scrutiny. And while Morsi's misrule galvanized liberal forces, it is an irony that they
have sought a path to power on the backs of a fairly repressive military regime.
In Egypt, we see the results of an unfortunate dynamic produced by decades of dictatorship. Extreme
autocracy produced, as its counterpoint, extreme opposition. As the regime became more repressive,
the opposition grew more Islamist and obstinate, sometimes violent. Arab lands have been trapped
between repressive regimes and illiberal political movements, with little prospect than that from
within these two forces, liberal democracy might breakthrough.
Morsi and the Brotherhood had the opportunity to break this vicious cycle — to be the force for
democracy and for a liberal order with a separation of powers and a constitutional government. They
overplayed their hand resulting in a popular uprising that allowed the Egyptian military to ousted
them for leadership. As Zakaria pointed out in his op-ed, there is a road map to democracy. It was the
one that Nelson Mandela used when he and the African National Council (ANC) took control of South
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Africa — he did everything in his power to accommodate and reassure the Afrikaners that they had an
important place in the new South Africa. Being in South Africa at the time, the pressures on Mandela
from newly empowered blacks to treat these people, who had created apartheid was immense. Yet he
resisted and did what was right for his country and history. I remember asking a white South African
friend at the time what he liked best about Mandela, his response was, "his generosity."
The United States has tried to chart a middle course, supporting the democratic process, working with
the elected president, and yet urging him toward moderation. It's not enough to satisfy either side —
and where once Washington was blamed for supporting the military, it is now blamed for supporting
the Brotherhood. The reality is that leadership from Washington is largely irrelevant. What matters is
leadership in Cairo. Morsi is not Mandela and most likely neither is his successor. Because of that
difference, Egypt will follow a more difficult democratic course than did South Africa. And if
Egypt doesn't carefully navigate this balance of tolerance, inclusion,fairness along
with the rule of law, thefault will be theirs alone
THIS WEEK's READINGS
One of the most important investigative journalist in America covering Wall Street, financial markets,
big banks and big business is RollingStone's Matt Taibbi who most recently wrote another expose on
malfeasance in finance titled - The Last Mystery of the Financial Crisis — exposing systemic
wrong doings by the major rating agencies whose shady practices helped triggered the financial
meltdown in 2008, as almost none of the fraud that swallowed Wall Street in the past
decade couldn't have taken place without companies like Moody's and Standard & Poor's rubber-
stamping it
Thanks to a mountain of evidence gathered for a pair of major lawsuits by the San Diego-based law
firm Robbins Geller Rudman & Dowd, documents that for the most part have never been seen by the
general public, we now know that the nation's two top ratings companies, Moody's and S&P, have for
many years been shameless tools for the banks, willing to give just about anything a high rating in
exchange for cash. In incriminating e-mail after incriminating e-mail, executives and analysts from
these companies are caught admitting their entire business model is crooked. "Lord help ourfucking
scam ... this has to be the stupidest place I have worked at," writes one Standard & Poor's executive.
"As you know, I had difficulties explaining 'HOW' we got to those numbers since there is no science
behind it," confesses a high-ranking S&P analyst. "If we are just going to make it up in order to rate
deals, then quants (quantitative analysts] are ofprecious little value," complains another senior S&P
man. "Let's hope we are all wealthy and retired by the time this house of card[s]falters," ruminates
one more.
Ratings agencies are the glue that ostensibly holds the entire financial industry together. These
gigantic companies — also known as Nationally Recognized Statistical Rating Organizations, or
NRSROs — have teams of examiners who analyze companies, cities, towns, countries, mortgage
borrowers, anybody or anything that takes on debt or creates an investment vehicle. Their primary
function is to help define what's safe to buy, and what isn't. A triple-A rating is to the financial world
what the USDA seal of approval is to a meat-eater, or virginity is to a Catholic. It's supposed to be
sacrosanct, inviolable: According to Moody's own reports, AAA investments "should survive the
equivalent of the U.S. Great Depression."
It's not a stretch to say the whole financial industry revolves around the compass point of the
absolutely safe AAA rating. But the financial crisis happened because AAA ratings stopped being
something that had to be earned and turned into something that could be paid for. That this happened
is even more amazing because these companies naturally have powerful leverage over their clients, as
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they are part of a quasi-protected industry that enjoys massive de facto state subsidies. Largely that's
because government agencies like the Securities and Exchange Commission often force private
companies to fulfill regulatory requirements by retaining or keeping in reserve certain fixed quantities
of assets — bonds, securities, whatever — that have been rated highly by a "Nationally Recognized"
ratings agency, like the "Big Three" of Moody's, S&P and Fitch. So while they're not quite part of
the official regulatory infrastructure, they might as well be.
It's not like the iniquity of the ratings agencies had gone completely unnoticed before. The Financial
Crisis Inquiry Commission published a case study in 2011 of Moody's in particular and discovered that
between 2000 and 2007, the agency gave nearly 45,000 mortgage-backed securities AAA ratings. One
year Moody's doled out AAA ratings to 30 mortgage-backed securities every day, 83 percent of which
were ultimately downgraded. "This crisis could not have happened without the rating agencies," the
commission concluded.
Thanks to these documents, we now know how that happened. And showing as they do the back-and-
forth between the country's top ratings agencies and one of America's biggest investment banks
(Morgan Stanley) in advance of two major subprime deals, they also lay out in detail the evolution of
the industry-wide fraud that led to implosion of the world economy — how banks, hedge funds,
mortgage lenders and ratings agencies, working at an extraordinary level of cooperation, teamed up to
disguise and then sell near-worthless loans as AAA securities. It's the black box in the American
financial airplane.
In April, Moody's and Standard & Poor's settled the lawsuits for a reported $225 million. Brought by a
diverse group of institutional plaintiffs with King County, Washington, and the Abu Dhabi Commercial
Bank taking the lead, the suits accused the ratings agencies of conspiring in the mid-to-late 2000s with
Morgan Stanley to fraudulently induce heavy investment into a pair of doomed-to-implode subprime-
laden deals, called Cheyne and Rhinebridge. Stock prices for both companies soared at the settlement,
with markets believing the firms would be spared the hell of reams of embarrassing evidence thrust
into public view at trial. But in a quirk, an earlier judge's ruling had already made most of the
documents in the case public. Although a few news outlets, including The New York Times, took
note at the time, the vast majority of the material was never reported, and some was never seen by
reporters at all. The cases revolved around a highly exotic and complex financial instrument called a
SW, or structured investment vehicle.
The SW is a not-so-distant cousin of the special purpose entity, or SPE, which was the main weapon of
destruction in the Enron scandal. The corporate scam du jour in those days was mass accounting
fraud, in which a company would create an ostensibly independent corporate structure that would
actually be controlled by its own executives, who would then move their company's liabilities off their
own books and onto the remote-controlled SPE, hiding the firm's losses. The SW is a similar concept.
They first started showing up in the late Eighties after banks discovered a loophole in international
banking standards that allowed them to create SPE-like repositories full of assets like mortgage-
backed securities and keep them off their own books.
These behemoths operated on the same basic concept as an ordinary bank, which borrows short-term
cash from depositors and then lends money long-term in the form of things like mortgages, business
loans, etc. The SW did the same thing, borrowing short-term from investors and then investing long-
term on things like student loans, car loans, subprime mortgages. Like banks, a SW made money on
the spread between its short-term debt and long-term investments. If a SW borrowed on the
commercial paper market at 3 percent but earned 6.5 percent on subprime mortgages, that was an
easy 3.5 percent profit. The big difference is a bank has regulatory capital requirements. A SW
doesn't, and being technically independent, its potential liabilities don't show up on the books of the
megabank that created it. So the SIV structure allowed investment banks to create and take advantage
of, without risk, billions of dollars of things like subprime loans, which became the centerpiece of the
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