EFTA01385386.pdf
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3 January 2018
HY Corporate Credit
HY Multi Sector.Media. Cable & Satellite
DJO Global f( £NMC) 3.125% 2nd Liens
We rate the 8.125% 2nd Lien bonds Buy and the 10.75% 3rd lien bonds Hold.
We believe a Yield to Most Likely (YTML) of 18.03% on the 8.125% bonds is
attractive for risk at the 2nd lien level. At an offer price of 94.5, the 2nd lien
bonds trade at a YTW of 10.03%. We believe, however, that the most likely call
date for these bonds is towards the end of 2018 (we expect DJO would
refinance all of its bank and bond at the same time). Using a 12/31/18 call date,
this implies a YTML of 18.03%.
We acknowledge that DJO is in the midst of a significant strategic shift, and
given its current capital structure it has little room for error in executing its cost
save plan or little room for error related to any unexpected negatives in the
core business. In addition, DJO has a relatively short window to work through
this strategic plan given its bond maturities in 2020 and 2021. All this said we
believe the strategic plan management has laid out is sensible, and that
management is making tangible progress. And despite our expectation for
bumps along the way we suspect even if DJO can show progress (i.e. hitting
our 2018 estimates with an upward trajectory and no material negative
developments) the markets could be open to reasonably refinance its capital
structure.
We believe DJO's core businesses have significant market positions and brand
value. With low capex, little in the way of cash taxes, and expected
diminishing cash add backs, we believe this company can exist on higher
levels of leverage than many other companies in our HY universe. We believe
DJO's significant NOLs (federal NOLs were S813.1 mm at 12/31/16) would
shield it from incremental cash tax liability (per tax reform) for many years to
come. We rate the 10.75% bonds Hold as we believe this thin layer of capital is
subject to significant volatility and potential impairment if DJO is not able to
execute adequately on its initiatives
The risks to our ratings are most significantly centered around operational
performance. If DJO falls meaningfully short of its strategic initiatives and/or
experiences an adverse development in its core business, we believe the 2nd
lien bonds could underperform (we rate them Buy). On the other hand, if DJO
meets or exceeds expectations and does not experience other negative events
or trends, the 10.75% bonds could rally (we rate them Hold).
Deutsche Bank Securities Inc. Page 111
CONFIDENTIAL - PURSUANT TO FED. R. CRIM. P. 6(e) DB-SDNY-0086670
CONFIDENTIAL SDNY_GM_00232854
EFTA01385386
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EFTA01385386
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