The Daily 202 P.M. Special: What Post reporters will be watching during tonight's Republican debate

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on the Web: <http://link.washingtonpost.com/view/5483d5bc3b35d0d76d8c549c38apr.46m9/dc4c02cf> - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - THE DAILY 202 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - By James Hohmann - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - Share on Twitter: <http://link.washingtonpost.com/click/5425983.195201/aHR0cHM6Ly90d2l0dGVyLmNvbS8_c3RhdHVzPUNoZWNrJTIwb3V0JTIwVGhlRGFpbHkyMDIlMjBmcm9tJTIwJTQwUG93ZXJQb3N0JTIwaHR0cDovL2xpbmsud2FzaGluZ3RvbnBvc3QuY29tL3B1YmxpYy81NDI1OTgzJndwbW09MSZ3cGlzcmM9bmxfZGFpbHkyMDI/5483d5bc3b35d0d76d8c549cC44da7aad> Share on Facebook: <http://link.washingtonpost.com/click/5425983.195201/aHR0cHM6Ly93d3cuZmFjZWJvb2suY29tL3NoYXJlci5waHA_dT1odHRwOi8vbGluay53YXNoaW5ndG9ucG9zdC5jb20vcHVibGljLzU0MjU5ODMmd3BtbT0xJndwaXNyYz1ubF9kYWlseTIwMg/5483d5bc3b35d0d76d8c549cC1b7a19bc> - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - A crew member checks microphones ahead of tonight’s debate inside the Coors Events Center at the University of Colorado in Boulder. (AP Photo/Brennan Linsley) THE BIG IDEA: It’s another all-hands-on-deck night in The Post’s newsroom. We’ve got dozens of journalists, including five on the ground in Boulder, Colo., preparing blow-by-blow coverage from fact checks to in-depth analysis. The undercard debate starts on CNBC at 6 p.m. Eastern. The main event with the top 10 candidates begins at 8 p.m. EST. If you’re watching at home, I strongly encourage you to follow along on our robust live blog. (It’s accessible here.) — What are the pros watching for? This afternoon I asked my colleagues on the Post’s politics team, all living and breathing this campaign, what they’re watching tonight: Dan Balz: “Looks like a night of bumper cars. Lots of potential collisions that could occur. And then there is John Kasich’s shot across the bow. Candidates seem ready to break the rules. Would be surprised if there are not interruptions.” Karen Tumulty: “Will any of the other Republican candidates attack the new Iowa front-runner, Dr. Ben Carson? His favorable ratings are stratospheric, so they do it at their peril.” Matea Gold: “The must-see-TV factor tonight: the inevitable Trump-Carson engagement. Will Trump get a rise out of Carson? And will Cruz find a savvy way to navigate their tension and pull more conservatives to his camp? The secondary drama will be all about Bush and Rubio. I’m really curious to see which Jeb shows up: the scolding figure on display in South Carolina Saturday, or the upbeat, happy warrior who charmed donors in Houston on Sunday and Monday? And lastly: will anyone call Trump on his ties to the super PAC that disbanded last week?” Chris Cillizza: “WWJD: What Will Jeb Do? He has to find a way to make himself heard from in this debate after two forgettable performances and reports that his campaign was forced into cutbacks amid a fundraising shortage. Does he attack Trump? Carson? Rubio? All three? None? This is a guy who has always been uncomfortable getting down in the mud to win campaigns, but it looks like he might have to tonight.” David Weigel: “I’m looking for Rand Paul to out-denounce everyone in his approach to Washington; he’s been insisting that no one else credibly can destroy the IRS or pass a Balanced Budget Amendment. And I’m looking for Mike Huckabee to be the lone, full-bore defender of Social Security as it is.” Abby D. Phillip has been exploring why Carly Fiorina has faded so much since her breakout performance last month: “Her last debate polling bump is long gone, so she has a lot to prove. Can the one-time rising star of this Republican primary impress again? The former CEO will have a natural advantage: tonight’s CNBC debate will be heavily focused on economic and business issues — her strength. But she will need to stand out on a stage of big personalities.” Jenna Johnson, on the Trump beat, was with The Donald in Iowa last night. She wonders how he will respond if he’s no longer the center of attention: “In the past week, Trump has at times seemed to struggle with how to tactfully go after Carson, so it will be interesting to see if he takes the lead on that tonight or let’s his opponents have at it.” Philip Rucker is most interested in the Carson factor: “How does he handle policy-specific questions from the debate moderators? How will other candidates handle him? Will any attack? Donald Trump has begun hitting Carson hard and is likely to amplify his attacks on the debate stage. But will other candidates, such as Ted Cruz, draw contrasts with Carson considering that the mild-mannered doctor now stands in their way in Iowa?” Katie Zezima, who travels with Ted Cruz, is interested to see if the Texas senator tries to insert himself more in this debate and if he more explicitly sharpens the contrasts with his rivals. In recent weeks, he has still been effusive about Trump on the trail, but Katie has noticed a subtle shift. Cruz now says that Trump has reframed the central question of the primary as: Who will stand up to Washington? “I’m wondering if he’s going to draw a distinction between himself and Carson, now the front-runner, and Bush and Rubio, and if he’ll put any daylight between himself and Trump.” Sean Sullivan: “Jeb Bush’s top aides wouldn’t have branded Marco Rubio a ‘GOP Obama’ in a presentation to major donors on Monday if they weren’t prepared for it to come up during tonight’s debate. In the first two debates, the exchanges between Rubio and Bush were pretty tame. That could change tonight. Watch to see how aggressive Bush is against his longtime friend and whether Rubio wants to engage him. It will say a lot about the tone of the campaign moving forward.” Ed O’Keefe: “Does Jeb’s physical distance from Trump make him more willing to attack the frontrunner? And how will he confront Rubio standing right next to him?” Jose DelReal: “Kasich’s outburst yesterday was super interesting because it speaks to how frustrated establishment candidates are feeling about being ‘demonized,’ in Bush’s words, for being reasonable. They are having serious trouble messaging on the lacking political tenability that underlies many ideas put forward by Trump and Carson. The problem is that when they DO bring up how impractical some of these proposals are (Kasich on health care; Christie on Social Security; Bush on immigration), they turn off huge swaths of GOP voters AND also implicitly criticize those voters as impractical.” Anne Gearan: “The next president will inherit the morass in Iraq and Syria. With word this week that U.S. troops will be back on the ground in Iraq, albeit under very limited circumstances, I’d like to hear candidates either propose a true exit strategy or say plainly that they envision an ongoing U.S. military presence.” David Fahrenthold will watch closely to see how Carson responds if pressed on Medicare, guns and immigration. But he’s also looking forward to the undercard: “I’d also like to see if Lindsey Graham is still hung over. ‘No bright lights!’” Again, please follow our live blog for updates from these reporters and many others.  BREAKING THIS AFTERNOON: Bush now wants to “phase out” the sugar subsidy. This puts him at odds with and to the right of Rubio on an issue important to fiscal conservatives, many of whom decry the special breaks as “crony capitalism” at its worse. Tom Hamburger notes that Bush’s position comes as he retools his operation to focus on early-voting states, including Iowa, where the corn industry is preparing to begin an ad campaign attacking the subsidy. Bush’s campaign said he’s held this position for awhile now, but it caught industry players and old allies off guard. Rubio, who has steadfastly defended the special breaks, is being backed in a big way this year by members of the Florida-based Fanjul family, which controls one of the world’s biggest sugar empires. In light of his scoop, Hamburger wonders: “Will the candidates address the issue of agriculture subsidies, a tough but revealing question given the upcoming Iowa caucuses?” GET SMART FAST: Republicans nominated Paul Ryan to be the next Speaker. He received 200 votes to 43 for Florida Rep. Daniel Webster in a closed-door meeting. Many of the 43 signaled that they will vote for Ryan on the House floor tomorrow. The House passed the budget compromise bill on a 266 to 167 vote a little bit ago. Senate leaders have promised to quickly move it through the upper chamber, per Kelsey Snell. Bernie Sanders will come out for removing marijuana from a list of the most dangerous drugs outlawed by the federal government, “a move that would free states to legalize it without impediments from Washington,” John Wagner scoops. He’ll make the announcement during a town hall meeting at George Mason University tonight. Martin O’Malley met with families of victims from the Newtown, Columbine and Aurora theater shootings this afternoon at the University of Colorado Boulder, the site of tonight’s GOP debate. He’s calling tonight for tougher gun laws. (Denver Post) Hillary Clinton’s campaign will air its commercial touting her support for equal pay on CNBC during the debate. (Their pre-debate web video) Virginia Gov. Terry McAuliffe said on WTOP that he urged Hillary to consider each of Virginia’s Democratic senators, Mark Warner and Tim Kaine, as a possible running mate. (Richmond Times-Dispatch) A military blimp associated with NORAD’s surveillance of the East Coast that became untethered from its mooring in Maryland is now on the ground in Bloomsburg, Pennsylvania. That South Carolina police officer caught on video yanking a high school student out of her chair and throwing her across a classroom was fired. The District of Columbia Public Service Commission “gave new life to Exelon Corp.’s $6.4 billion bid to merge with Pepco after flatly rejecting the deal last summer,” per Thomas Heath. “The Army agreed to a monetary settlement with a former infection control analyst at one of the busiest military hospitals, after federal investigators found that she was punished for reporting dangerous health and safety conditions for patients to a group that accredits hospitals,” per Lisa Rein. SOCIAL MEDIA SPEED READ: Elise Viebeck has rounded up some amazing pictures posted ahead of tonight’s debate. No one is warming up like Kasich, who has a basketball hoop in his greenroom: (johnkasich) Cruz’s campaign has been all over Instagram today. He will be standing at stage left tonight: (@tedcruz) The three moderators — CNBC’s Carl Quintanilla, Becky Quick and John Harwood — during a dress rehearsal last night: (@nikdeogun) Jeb! went on a hike with veterans at Eldorado Canyon State Park: (@jebbush) Ben Carson visited former UFC Light Heavyweight Champ Vitor Belfort. “He was a great sparring partner!” Carson wrote on Instagram: (@vitorbelfort) Carson was characteristically cool-as-a-cucumber as he arrived at the debate arena: (costareports) Donald Trump, down against Carson in Iowa, preemptively complained: (@realDonaldTrump) (@realDonaldTrump) (@realDonaldTrump) (@realDonaldTrump) Rand Paul enjoyed McDonald’s after landing in Colorado. “It’s important to have fuel before fighting for liberty,” he tweeted: (@RandPaul) Paul also met with students at CU Boulder against this scenic backdrop: (@igorbobic) After some controversy, the Paul campaign was happy to receive this greenroom: (@LaCivitaC) After initially receiving this tiny one: (@LaCivitaC) Team Huckabee prepared with a little basketball: (govmikehuckabee) Chris Christie did his walk-through on stage: (chrischristie) And Christie got this vote of confidence from Yahoo senior political correspondent Jon Ward: (@jonward11) Lindsey Graham recovered after a night of drinking with reporters by drinking some Mountain Dew: (@rickklein) And Rick Santorum enjoyed an early meal with Foster Friess, his biggest donor: (@RickSantorum) Former National Security Council spokesman Tommy Vietor, a veteran of the Obama 2008 campaign, made fun of all the ridiculous pre-debate punditry, prompting Bush communications director Tim Miller to play along: (@TVietor08) (@Timodc) (@TVietor08) Back at the debate site, RNC Chairman Reince Priebus gave a television interview from the spin room: (seanmspicer) And co-moderator Carl Quintanilla praised the candy table, saying this makes him wish CNBC was sponsoring more debates: (@carlquintanilla) There were also RNC-themed cookies on hand, per Sean Spicer: (seanmspicer) Outside, a plane towed a sign that read: “Jeb and Rubio #Kochpuppets”: (@betsy_klein) Bush was also protested by gun-control activists and this puppet: (@regan_page) The Weekly Standard’s Bill Kristol posed three important questions: (@BillKristol) (@BillKristol) On a lighter not, Prince Harry was in D.C. on Wednesday, visiting a Virginia military base as well as the White House: (@ScoutNewsNZ) The prince joined First Lady Michelle Obama and Second Lady Jill Biden at a veterans basketball game: (@markknoller) VIDEOS OF THE DAY:  The Nightly Show’s Larry Wilmore told Paul that one of tonight’s moderators might be high (the debate is in Colorado, after all). Here is how Paul responded: (Comedy Central) In a hilarious pre-debate video, Rubio only cares about Cruz, Bush and Carson when it comes to fantasy football: (Marco Rubio) John Kasich released a video blasting the rest of the GOP field: (John Kasich) Cruz celebrated daughter Catherine’s fifth birthday in Colorado: (@tedcruz) A Cruz supporter, meanwhile, came out with this rap video: (jukworld) If you enjoyed all of this, stay tuned on our live blog tonight! We’ll be back in the morning with a round-up of reaction. - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - Twitter <http://link.washingtonpost.com/click/5425983.195201/aHR0cHM6Ly90d2l0dGVyLmNvbS9Qb3dlclBvc3Q_d3BtbT0xJndwaXNyYz1ubF9kYWlseTIwMg/5483d5bc3b35d0d76d8c549cC49979e50> - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - You are receiving this e-mail because you signed up for the The Daily 202 or were registered on washingtonpost.com or were invited as a VIP. 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