📄 Extracted Text (683 words)
2 March 2014
Wireless Equipment
Signals to Noise (S2N)
end of the match-making, possibly with Triquint, and certainly outside of this deal, with
other players attempting to redefine their own positions. It will be interesting to watch
Skyworks, which has a healthy handset business in the active elements, but is doing
well growing their business in other areas, outside of the handset market.
There is a lot at stake in the front-end, we estimate the total 3G/LTE FEM addressable
market to be a 57.6 to $11.5 billion annual opportunity in FY15. And while we did not
hear much interest out of the merchant baseband vendors not-named-Qualcomm (they
are likely focused on launching LTE before they attempt integration elsewhere), many
front-end players were likely looking around at possibilities to strengthen their position
or sell while the selling is good. Some have made great strides in recent years - we met
with Ethertronics, who continues to do well and is making similar moves to integrate
front-end elements into their antennaes. I/0 Semiconductor is another player with
whom we met and is sounding encouraged by recent design wins. Altogether, there
appear to be a number of players receiving decent amounts of business. Our thesis
though remains the same - consolidation will continue and many will be best served to
find a dance partner sooner rather than later.
Peregrine - PA catches attention of many
At the show, Peregrine demoed their CMOS PA, and the results were impressive - the
company was able achieve 44% efficiency in LTE used alongside Nuilira's envelope
tracking solution - being at least as good, if not better than the best GaAs competitor.
With WCMDA, the solution achieves 48% efficiency without envelope tracking, in line
with the best GaAs competitor. Many hardware vendors are impressed with the demo
results, and while RFMD has made inroads into Peregrine's territory recently, we
believe that Peregrine should be able to secure design wins with this PA solution given
its efficiency and size. While the existing switch business continues to bump along with
Samsung being their main customer, adding PA revenues could be hugely helpful not
just to the top•line, but also to the company's appeal as a target for others. Meanwhile
the high performance business segment continues to perform well, with automotive
and set-top players both helping to drive profitable growth for the business. Overall,
management sounded encouraged about the results of their PA. We believe this is
certainly a step in the right direction but our excitement is tempered by the view that
something may need to be done, possibly inorganically, in order to expedite their
roadmap to a fully integrated solution for the front end.
AtlifiCI1Ce SCIISIMO MOH:
In our meeting with management, they sounded constructive about growth with
Chinese-based OEMs and their traction in adjacent markets. They also sounded upbeat
about their recent announcement around motion technology, called Motion
technology, which enables activity navigation and gesture interpretation while
consuming low energy (less than 5mW). The company feels that there are a number of
use cases around the technology and while we tend to agree, we also wonder how
quickly Qualcomm would be able to integrate such a technology into their own chipset.
Nonetheless, the technology on its own was interesting, but is still in its early stages.
Management appeared positive, encouraged by recent, more constructive discussions
with Apple than in years past; however nothing was announced, nor did they expect it
to be any time soon. Management simply made the point to suggest that relations were
no longer at a standstill. To us this means taking the value of zero opportunities with
one of the largest handset OEMs in the world to a chance, incorporating a small option
value to the name. We would counter any positive notions about this, with the point
that the company could find it challenging to backfill the waning Apple royalty stream
with profitable sales as we move throughout the year. As a result, we maintain our
Hold.
Page 10 Deutsche Bank Securities Inc.
CONFIDENTIAL — PURSUANT TO FED. R. CRIM. P. 6(e) DB-SDNY-0101370
CONFIDENTIAL SDNY_GM_00247554
EFTA01446928
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