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22 December 2017
EM Currency Handbook 2018: Still Fuel in the Tank
Macroeconomic inclicatois for year-end 2018
Latin America
Argentina Brazil Chile Colombia Mexico Peru
Nom. GDP (USD bill 653 2,103 289 321 1,132 228
Inflation (YoV%1 160 38 26 32 42 22
0/N rate ••• 28 75 700 250 475 725 325
Govt. debt/GDP, % 497 766 26 7 46 1 47.3 278
Domestic 20 3 733 222 299 274 168
External 29.4 3.3 15 182: . 200 110
Total ext.debtiODP 309 269 606 419 230 372
Budget belJGDP. le -52 -74 -29 ' -33 -n 35
Growth (Sy ay.', % 07 -0 6 22 32 25 36
CA balJGDP, % .41 .12 .13 . 45 -22 .17
FDUGDP, % 1 5% 3 1% 3.1% 27% 13% 31%
EMEA
Czech South
Republic Egypt Hungary Israel Poland Russia Africa Turkey
Nom. GDP (USD bnl 253 268 150 379 603 1,677 396 838
Inflation (Yorle/ 22 155 26 10 24 39 49 9'.7
0/N rate *•• 0.50 18 75 003 010 150 775 675 1225
Govt. debt/GDP. % 333 99.1 706 603 508 16 1 570 793
Domestic 152 87 5 54 3 512 346 11.1 478 181
. External 182 115 162 9.1 16.3 4.9 92 112
Total ext.debt/GDP 51 5 29.1 89.7 222 724 32.5 33 6 53.5
Budget bat/GDP, 15 08 S1 .24 2.6 -25 -39
Growth 15y aryl. % 37 40 33 34 36 03 12 50
CA bal./GDP, % 04 -44 3.1 3D -17 3.1 31 -18
FDVGDP, % 2 2% 3 5% 1 3% 08% 16% -Oa% -01% 09%
Asia
Hong
China Kong India Indonesia Malaysia Philippines
Nom. GDP IIJSD 13.472 367 2,806 1059 330 329
Inflation floY%1 26 44 38 42 . 35. 3.1
0/N rate ••• 1 50 1 75 600 4.25 300 3.50
Govt. debt/GDP, % 304 48 684 306 65.7 439
Domestic 382 42 65 4 200 640 28.5
External 02 06 30 10 5 17 15.5
Total est debt/GDP 132 392.1 188 280 56.7 219
Budget belJGDP, 16 40 26 -30 -2.7 -28 -2 7
Growth i5y ava le 71 28 70 6.1 52 65
CA baIJGDP. 16 08 70 -1 7 -08 2.6 -2.2
FDVGDP. % 04% 68% 18% 1 6% 14% 18%
Asia
South
Singapore Korea Sri Lanka Thailand Taiwan Vietnam
Nom. GDP IUSD bnl 330 1.696 90 491 598 233
Inflation (YoY16/ 20 22 ,54 1.0 09 60
0/N rate • • • 125 I50 875 150 138 625
Govt. debt/GDP, % ' 120 6 411 788 ' 387 36.8 643
Domestic 120 6 408 449 372 388 358
External 00 04 339 ' 1.4 ' 00 28.5
Total ext.debt/GDP 442.9 247 557 316 31.0 49,4
Budget belJGDP, % 06 07 -50 -29 -07 -55
Growth 15y avgl, 15 31 30 43 2.7 2.2 62
CA bilJGDP, % • 200 4.4 -2.8 8.1 10.2 00
FDUGDP, % 127% -I.1% 1.1% 08% -2.2% 5.2%
'" Current OierrugnIRate
Son Puma* At
Deutsche Bank Securities Inc. Page 5
CONFIDENTIAL - PURSUANT TO FED. R. CRIM. P. 6(e) DB-SDNY-0076808
CONFIDENTIAL SDNY_GM_00222992
EFTA01379381
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