podesta_email_00783.txt

podesta-emails 1,788 words email

P17 D6 V11 D4 D3

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------------------------------------------------------------ ** Week ending September 18th, 2015 ------------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------------------------ ** Weekly roundup about our democracy and The Common Good community ------------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------------------------ Polls Dems: Clinton leads in Florida but Sanders still ahead in New Hampshire poll. Florida: Clinton 55%, Sanders 18%, Biden 17%, O'Malley 2%, Chafee 1%, Webb 1 (http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/fl/florida_democratic_presidential_primary-3556.html) % , PPP Poll RealClearPolitics [More] New Hampshire: Sanders 35% Clinton 31% Biden 14% Webb 2% O'Malley 1% Chafee 1%, Over half (56%) view Clinton favorably, and just 51% say she is “honest and trustworthy.” Biden (66% favorable) and Sanders (64% favorable) do better. WBUR Poll, RealClearPolitics [More] (http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/nh/new_hampshire_democratic_presidential_primary-3351.html) GOP: PRE-GOP Debate: Trump bests Bush on home ground in Florida: Trump 28%, Carson 17%, Bush 13%, Rubio 10%, Cruz 9%, Fiorina 7%, Kasich 5%, Huckabee 3%, (http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/fl/florida_republican_presidential_primary-3555.html) Walker 2%, Christie 2%, Jindal 1%, Santorum 1%, Paul 0 (http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/fl/florida_republican_presidential_primary-3555.html) %, PPP Poll RealClearPolitics [More] Michigan primary a dead heat: Carson beats Trump by 2 points, within the margin of error. Carson 24% Trump 22% Bush 8% Huckabee 6% Rubio 4% Cruz 3% Fiorina 3% Kasich 2% RealClearPolitics [More] (http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/mi/michigan_republican_presidential_primary-3933.html) ------------------------------------------------------------ 2016 Presidential Campaign Republicans turn on Trump: “Several Republican presidential candidates showed new aggressiveness in lacing into Donald J. Trump on Wednesday night.” Jonathan Martin and Patrick Healy, New York Times [More] (http://www.nytimes.com/2015/09/17/us/politics/candidates-use-second-gop-debate-to-taunt-trump.html?_r=0) Carly Fiorina gains traction in debate: “With Hillary Rodham Clinton’s popularity falling among women as questions about her honesty and integrity continue to shroud her, many Republicans are beginning to see Mrs. Fiorina as someone who, if she is not the presidential nominee, is a much more serious contender for the vice-presidential nomination or a large leadership role of some kind within the party.” Jeremy W. Peters, New York Times [More] (http://www.nytimes.com/2015/09/18/us/politics/carly-fiorina-gains-traction-in-debate-and-republicans-may-seize-on-her-appeal.html) Sanders won the GOP debate - on Facebook: Sanders posted the single most popular Facebook post of the night. Neetzan Zimmerman, The Hill [More] (http://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/253993-bernie-sanders-won-the-gop-debate-for-the-second-time-in-a-row) Signs Biden is going to run?: “Biden's visits Thursday to Michigan and Ohio are being closely watched for signs he's gauging his support in two battleground states that typically play a key role in electing the next president. His usual vice presidential appearances have taken on the air of campaign stops, with supporters cheering "Run, Biden, Run" at nearly every stop.” Julie Carr Smyth and Andrew Welsh-Huggins, The Associated Press [More] (http://www.nytimes.com/aponline/2015/09/17/us/ap-us-biden-.html?_r=0) Wall Street fearful Trump could win: “The real estate billionaire, who took another populist shot on Sunday by ripping into lavish executive pay, continues to rise in the polls... Says one CEO, ‘Right now people think Trump is pretty hilarious but the longer it goes on the more frightening it gets.’” Ben White, Politico [More] (http://www.politico.com/story/2015/09/donald-trump-2016-wall-street-reaction-213614#ixzz3louCvS5J) Nate Silver: Trump has 5% chance of winning: “If you look back at history, you've never seen candidates like Donald Trump certainly or Ben Carson win a party nomination. And secondly, if you look at the polling, a lot of times a candidate who is leading the polls now mid-September didn't win the nomination, didn't even come close.” Nate Silver, Anderson Cooper 360 [More] (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=D11uQ3l6gMg) ------------------------------------------------------------ The Economy The Federal Reserve leaves interest rates unchanged: “A large majority of Fed officials still believe the central bank will raise rates before year-end, but the central bank showed a bit less conviction on that point.” Jon Hilsenrath, Wall Street Journal [More] (http://www.wsj.com/articles/fed-leaves-interest-rates-unchanged-1442512974?mod=djemalertEuropenews) Fed causes stock freakout- Market swoons The Dow dropped 289 points on Friday. Stephen Gandel, Fortune [More] (http://fortune.com/2015/09/18/stock-market-dow-drops-fed/) Standard & Poor’s downgrades Japan’s rating: It has “left the onus on Prime Minister Shinzo Abe and his Cabinet to consider a fiscal stimulus package to boost ...a lackluster recovery in the second half of the year so far.” Keiko Ujikane, Bloomberg Business [More] (http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2015-09-16/japan-s-rating-cut-by-s-p-as-abe-falls-short-of-early-promise) ------------------------------------------------------------ Foreign Affairs/National Security Iran poised to become a major natural Gas Producer to EU: “Iran could become a major supplier of natural gas to the EU by the end of the next decade, according to new estimates from the bloc’s executive” Gabriele Steinhauser and Laurence Norman, Wall Street Journal [More] (http://www.wsj.com/articles/iran-could-become-major-supplier-of-natural-gas-to-eu-1442155324?mod=itp) At least eight tourists are dead in friendly fire in Egypt by government forces: “The episode marks the first time Egyptian security forces have killed tourists in a continuing campaign against an insurgency that has escalated sharply over the past two years.” Tamer El-Ghobashy, Wall Street Journal [More] (http://www.wsj.com/articles/tourists-in-egypt-accidentally-killed-by-security-forces-1442194626) Obama and Khamenei both being challenged in different ways: “Ayatollah Khamenei, who appears to have let the Iran nuclear deal go forward even though he has neither publicly endorsed nor opposed the deal, won't permit closer ties between Iran and the U.S. because he knows that if he opens the door to U.S. diplomats, businesses and entrepreneurs, the flow of American influence into Iran will become even more uncontrollable.” Haleh Esfandiari and Robert S. Litwak, Wall Street Journal [More] (http://tk.wsjemail.com/track?type=click&enid=ZWFzPTEmbXNpZD0xJmF1aWQ9Jm1haWxpbmdpZD01OTY3NDczJm1lc3NhZ2VpZD05ODU5MDAmZGF0YWJhc2VpZD02ODM2MDEmc2VyaWFsPTE2OTg1NTA1JmVtYWlsaWQ9bXNwZHVmZkBhb2wuY29tJnVzZXJpZD1tc3BkdWZmQGFvbC5jb20mdGFyZ2V0aWQ9JmZsPSZleHRyYT1NdWx0aXZhcmlhdGVJZD0mJiY=&&&12373&&&http://blogs.wsj.com/washwire/2015/09/15/the-different-challenges-facing-obama-and-irans-khamenei/?mod=djemCapitalJournalDaybreak) A change in Australia’s leadership: Malcolm Turnbull is the new Prime Minister of Australia. The Economist [More] (http://www.economist.com/news/asia/21665053-yet-another-prime-minister-removed-and-assassin-malcolm-turnbull-promises) Migrants stalled at Hungarian border: “Hungary sealed two transit points from Serbia, as tough penalties for breaking through its newly-fenced border came into effect.” Gerald Seib, Wall Street Journal [More] (http://tk.wsjemail.com/track?type=click&enid=ZWFzPTImbXNpZD0xJmF1aWQ9Jm1haWxpbmdpZD01OTY4Nzc1Jm1lc3NhZ2VpZD04Njg5MDAmZGF0YWJhc2VpZD02ODIwMDAmc2VyaWFsPTMzODcyMTQwJmVtYWlsaWQ9bXNwZHVmZkBhb2wuY29tJnVzZXJpZD1tc3BkdWZmQGFvbC5jb20mdGFyZ2V0aWQ9JmZsPSZleHRyYT1NdWx0aXZhcmlhdGVJZD0mJiY=&&&384013982&&&http://www.wsj.com/articles/hungary-declares-migrant-crisis-situation-1442311633?mod=djem10point) Ultra liberal Jeremy Corbyn becomes Labor Party candidate: Jeremy Corbyn, The Guardian [More] (http://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2015/sep/13/jeremy-corbyn-labour-leadership-victory-vision) Netanyahu’s contradictory plans: “Netanyahu’s complaint is not with the Iran deal. It is with the notion that one can deal with Iran. Like many of his Republican allies on Capitol Hill, he sees this deal as a defeat because it brought about neither complete capitulation by Iran at the negotiating table nor the demise of the Iranian regime. Netanyahu’s worldview is Manichaean; there is good, there is evil, and good people don’t do business with evil.” Jeffrey Goldberg, The Atlantic [More] (http://www.theatlantic.com/international/archive/2015/09/netanyahu-israel-victory-iran/404965/) Turkey stability is increasingly in question ‘Turkey is on the brink of a civil war.’ This is how Selahattin Demirtas, the co-chairman of the pro-Kurdish bloc in the Turkish parliament, the Peoples’ Democracy Party (HDP), chillingly described the spiraling violence that has engulfed Turkey after a two-year ceasefire between rebels of the Kurdistan Workers Party (PKK) and the Turkish army ended in July.” Amberin Zaman, Al-Monitor [More] (http://www.al-monitor.com/pulse/originals/2015/09/turkey-pkk-clashes-pull-back-from-brink-of-civil-conflict.html) Sachs: U.S. policy in Syria needs help: The “current approach – a two-front war against the Islamic State and President Bashar al-Assad’s regime – has failed miserably. The solution to the Syrian crisis, including the growing refugee crisis in Europe, must run through the United Nations Security Council…. If the US wants better results, it should stop going it alone.” Jeffrey D. Sachs (Former TCG Speaker), Project Syndicate [More] (https://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/syria-civil-war-un-security-council-by-jeffrey-d-sachs-2015-09) ------------------------------------------------------------ Domestic Affairs Reduction in the gender wage gap: “Women working full-time, year-round jobs earned 78.6% of what similar men did in 2014, according to a Census report released Wednesday. That’s the smallest gap on record back to 1960.” Eric Morath, Wall Street Journal [More] (http://blogs.wsj.com/economics/2015/09/16/gender-wage-gap-smallest-on-record-but-women-still-earn-21-less-than-men/) Heading for a government shutdown with attacks on Planned Parenthood: The House passed two bills on Friday against Planned Parenthood. Both votes were symbolic: The measures face an uphill battle in the Senate, given Democrats’ ability to filibuster” Benjamin Siegel, ABC News [More] (http://abcnews.go.com/Politics/house-votes-defund-planned-parenthood-shutdown-looms/story?id=33862767) Toobin: Kim Davis still refusing to issue marriage licenses: “On Monday, Davis said ... ‘Effective immediately, and until an accommodation is provided by those with the authority to provide it, any marriage license issued by my office will not be issued or authorized by me.’” Jeffrey Toobin (TCG Speaker), The New Yorker [More] (http://www.newyorker.com/news/daily-comment/kim-daviss-cafeteria-government) ------------------------------------------------------------ TCG Community in the News Schmidt: The artificial intelligence renaissance: “Deep learning really took off when it got an infusion of computing at immense scale, using networks of thousands of computers working together.“ Eric Schmidt (Former TCG Speaker), BBC [More] (http://www.bbc.com/news/technology-34143171) Norquist praises Jim Gilmore’s tax reform proposal: Gilmore coined “The Growth Code.” Under his plan, the top personal income tax rate would decline from 39.6 percent today all the way down to 25 percent, the lowest level since the 1920s. There would be only three income tax rates: 10, 15, and 25 percent.” Grover Norquist (Former TCG Speaker), The Washington Times [More] (http://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2015/sep/13/grover-norquist-creating-republican-consensus-on-t/) Rogoff: Transferring art or transferring money?: “Reportedly, some art sales today result in paintings merely being moved from one section of a storage vault to another, recalling how the New York Federal Reserve registers gold sales between national central banks.” Kenneth Rogoff (Former TCG Speaker), Business Standard [More] (http://www.business-standard.com/article/opinion/kenneth-rogoff-the-art-of-capital-flight-115091601482_1.html) Founder of End Rape on Campus contemplates university sexual violence: “In response of the attention Bill Cosby has been getting lately in regards to his alleged sexual abuse concerns, Andrea Pino (TCG Awardee) contemplates as to why sexual violence on university campus’ across the country isn’t gaining the same traction.” Andrea Pino (TCG Awardee), Huffington Post [More] (http://www.huffingtonpost.com/andrea-pino/no-more-empty-chairs_b_8136558.html) ------------------------------------------------------------ Books Jonathan Alter reflects on upcoming Jimmy Carter biography: “Humility has not always been Jimmy Carter’s strong suit. It can’t be if you’re a politician. But now he is in a different, more soulful place, and the love he gives is being returned by millions of admirers around the world.” Jonathan Alter (Former TCG Speaker), The Daily Beast [More] (http://www.thedailybeast.com/articles/2015/09/13/the-awesomeness-of-jimmy-carter.html) ------------------------------------------------------------ UPCOMING EVENTS NEW EVENT** Pre-premiere screening of "He Named Me Malala" Wednesday, September 23rd, 2015 Screening 7:30-9:00pm, doors open at 7:00pm. Post screening discussion with Director Davis Guggenheim 9:00-9:30pm Executive members only, limited seating. https://www.runmyclub.com/TCGUSA/eventcalendar.asp?id=208900 Ari Berman on Voting RIghts and the efforts to limit them. Wednesday, October 7, 2015, Reception & remarks 6:15-7:45pm https://www.runmyclub.com/TCGUSA/eventcalendar.asp?id=208843 Mark Mellman **SOLD OUT** Leading political strategist and pollster on 2016 Campaign Thursday, October 8, 2015 Lunch and Remarks, 12pm hosted by Paul Beirne, Peter Maroney & AllianceBernstein http://www.runmyclub.com/TCGUSA/eventcalendar.asp?id=208867 ** Ambassador Melanne Verveer ------------------------------------------------------------ ** Wednesday, December 9, 2015 ------------------------------------------------------------ ** Reception & remarks: 6:15-7:45pm; Dinner & conversation: 8:00-9:30pm ------------------------------------------------------------ https://www.runmyclub.com/TCGUSA/eventcalendar.asp?id=208890 ------------------------------------------------------------ Thank you TCG Digest contributors: TCG Staff: Isabelle Lehner, Isaac Getlan, Hugh Ferguson and our interns Samar Nadi, Robin Silver, Tracey Pennito and Justin Vacura. 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