EFTA01125935.pdf

TATt CENTRAL ISTBUREAU ICS COMPLETE LIFE TABLES OF ISRAEL 2004-2008 Jerusalem, February 2010 EFTA01125935 Copyright © 2010 The State of Israel ISSN 1565 - 9143 EFTA01125936  PREFACE The Complete Life Tables of Israel presents complete life tables for 2004-2008. This publication is part of an annual series of publications on that topic. Complete life tables are produced for periods of five calendar years. The tables include information on the probability of death and on life expectancy, including standard deviation and confidence intervals. Pnina Zadka Deputy Director General and Senior Department Director Demography and Census Jerusalem, 2010 - IX - EFTA01125937  This publication was prepared by Oriya Khademifar Other Staff of the Central Bureau of Statistics who participated in preparing this publication: Department of Demography and Census: Ari Paltiel Health and Vital Statistics Sector: Naama Rotem Publication Sector: Orit Penso Tamar Ben Yishai Miriam Schneiderman To receive more information about this publication, please call Ms. Oriya Khademifar, Tel. 02-659-3081. To purchase data of this publication on Cd-Rom (Word, Excel, and PDF), please contact the Central Bureau of Statistics, Tel. 02-659-2032 or 03-568-1932. -x- EFTA01125938  CONTENTS Page INTRODUCTION 1. General XIII 2. Main Findings XIII 3. Methods of Computations XIV A. Types of Life Tables XIV B. Confidence Intervals XIV C. Smoothing Techniques XV 4. Components of a Life Table XVII TABLES 1. Complete Life Table of Israel: Total Population - Males 20 2. Complete Life Table of Israel: Total Population - Females 22 3. Complete Life Table of Israel: Jews and Others - Males 24 4. Complete Life Table of Israel: Jews and Others - Females 26 5. Complete Life Table of Israel: Jews - Males 28 6. Complete Life Table of Israel: Jews - Females 30 7. Complete Life Table of Israel: Arabs - Males 32 8. Complete Life Table of Israel: Arabs - Females 34 - Xl - EFTA01125939 EFTA01125940 CBS. COMPLETE LIFE TABLES OF ISRAEL 7Iney 7e, olnel nninn mm7 ,0"12 INTRODUCTION 1. GENERAL This publication presents complete life tables of Israel for 2004-2008. The tables contain information on probabilities of death and life expectancy, including standard deviation and confidence intervals. Data are presented by population group, sex, and age. The Central Bureau of Statistics produces two series of life tables — abridged' and complete — on a regular basis. The abridged life tables (by five-year age groups) are produced for every calendar year, and the complete life tables (for single years of age) are produced for periods of five calendar years (average). Data in the complete life tables may differ from those in the abridged tables, especially in older age groups, owing to differences in the methods of calculation (see Section 3, "Methods of Computation"). 2. MAIN FINDINGS The life expectancy at birth in 2004-2008 of the total population was 82.2 years for females and 78.3 years for males. For Jews and Others, life expectancy was 82.7 years for females and 78.8 years for males. In addition, life expectancy of female Jews was 82.6, and that of male Jews was 79.1. For Arabs life expectancy was 79.0 for females and 75.3 for males. Based on the age-specific mortality rates in 2004-2008, more than half of the females born these years are expected to live more than 84 years, and more than half of the males born in the same period are expected to live more than 81 years. Assuming that mortality rates will remain unchanged, 27.8% of the females and 19.2% of the males born between 2004-2008 are expected to live at least 90 years. Women aged 65 in this period can expect to live an additional 20 years on the average, whereas women aged 80 are expected to live another 8.9 years on the average. Men aged 65 are expected to live 17.9 more years on average, and men aged 80 are expected to live another 8.2 years on average. Israeli males rank among the group of countries with the highest life expectancy in comparison with other countries. According to the World Health Report 20092, which presents data for the year 2007, the life expectancy of Israeli males equals (rounded figure) that of the leading countries, (Japan, Sweden, Italy, Australia and Switzerland) in which it is 79 years. Israeli women rank lower, and their life expectancy is four years less than that of the leading country, Japan (86 years). Women in Ireland, Belgium, Germany, United Kingdom, Netherlands, Greece and Portugal have a life expectancy similar to that of Israeli women — 82 years. 1 See Statistical Abstract of Israel No. 60, 2009 Central Bureau of Statistics, Chapter 3 — Vital Statistics. 2 World Health Organization, World Health Statistics, 2009. - XIII - EFTA01125941 CBS. COMPLETE LIFE TABLES OF ISRAEL Noel 7e, olnel anion runt, ,0"12 3. METHODS OF COMPUTATION A. Types of Life Tables There are two types of life tables: period life tables, and cohort life tables. The life tables presented in this publication are complete period life tables for single years of age from birth (age 0) until age 100. Period life tables. Period life tables are meant to describe patterns of mortality for a specific period. A period life table reflects the mortality of a hypothetical cohort born in a given year, assuming that this generation will experience at each age the mortality rates existing during that year for each age group. For example, the life table for 1990 assumes that survivors of the generation born in 1990 will be exposed at every age from 0 to 100 to the mortality rates that prevailed at every age from birth up to age 100 in 1990. Thus, the calculation resembles a projection, on the assumption that mortality rates will remain constant. Cohort life tables. In a cohort (generational) life table, mortality rates in a particular birth cohort are observed until all individuals in that cohort die. For example, the annual probabilities of deaths of persons born in 1900 can be tracked until 2000, and their mortality rates can be obtained at every age, from birth to age 100. With this data, a life table can be compiled for the entire cohort, assuming that most of them died by 2000. In order to produce a cohort life table, mortality and immigration data have to be collected over a long period of time. This follow-up is practical only among "closed" populations with no migration, which is far from the case in Israel. Moreover, the value of a cohort table is mainly historical, because it reflects mortality rates of individuals born long ago, who lived under different conditions from those prevailing at the time the table was prepared. B. Confidence Intervals Mortality rates in Israel, as in all countries, are subject to stochastic variation (statistical errors) and to a variety of non-stochastic errors, such as those that arise from errors in reported year of birth or age at death. Due to both kinds of error, calculated mortality rates may differ from the "true" mortality rate, which would have been obtained if it were possible to overcome these errors. Stochastic variations are more significant when the number of deaths is smaller, for example among small population groups or in a single year of age or over a short period of time. This publication presents both standard deviation and confidence intervals for the probability of death and for life expectancy. The confidence intervals are symmetric, reflect only stochastic variation, and are based on the assumption that age-specific deaths follow a binomial distribution'. A confidence interval of 95% represents a range in which the true value of the parameter will be found in 95% of the cases. Whenever the confidence intervals of two probabilities or expected years of life overlap between different ages or different groups, the difference is not statistically significant (at a confidence level of 95%). Chiang, C. L. "Statistical Inference Regarding Life Table Functions". In: C.L. Chiang, The Life Table and its Applications, Malabar, FL: Robert E. Krieger Publishers, pp. 153-167, 1984. - XIV - EFTA01125942 CBS. COMPLETE LIFE TABLES OF ISRAEL 7Iney 7e, olnel nninn ,0"12 The confidence interval of the probability of death (Q) is dependent on the number of deaths in the reference group. Accordingly, there are differences in the relative width of the confidence interval at different ages. At younger ages, in which there are fewer deaths, the confidence interval is wider than at older ages, where there are more deaths. Similarly, the relative width of the confidence interval differs among different population groups. Because there are fewer deaths in the Arab population than in the Jewish population, the relative width of the confidence intervals is greater among the Arabs. The confidence interval of life expectancy is a function of the confidence interval of the probability of death, and is therefore narrower for the Jewish population than for the Arab population. For example, among Jewish females the confidence interval for life expectancy at birth is (±) 0.1 years, compared with (±) 0.25 years for Arab females. Confidence intervals for life expectancy and for probabilities of death were calculated using the methods developed by Chiang', where the significance level a=0.05 corresponds to a standardized normal distribution value of z=1.96. The confidence interval was calculated for the estimated probability of death, which was obtained from the smoothed model (see Section C - "Smoothing Techniques" below). Standard Deviation of the probability of death: Sq — n 4;(I D‘ Confidence interval: Cl = 2*1.96* Sq. Standard Deviation of life expectancy: r S = t2 D, - Absolute number of deaths at age x. 7', - The total number of person-years lived by cohort survivors after reaching age x. /, -The number of survivors at exact age x out of 100,000 infants born. C. Smoothing Techniques Stochastic variation is not the only source of "error" in life table functions. Therefore, in order to overcome irregularities from all sources, it is customary to use a "smoothing" technique of some kind. An "abridged" life table, which is based on mortality rates among broad age groups and not on single years of age, is less exposed to stochastic variations and other errors. The problems are more serious when calculating a "complete" life table based on single years of age. Complete life tables in Israel for 1986-1990 until 1995-1999 were computed using the MORTPAK2 software package, which was provided by the United Nations. The software allows for calculation of complete life tables by estimating a Heligman-Pollard (H-P) Chiang, C.L. 1984. 2 MORTPAK: for Windows Version 4.0. The United Nation Software Package for Demographic Measurement. - XV - EFTA01125943 CBS. COMPLETE LIFE TABLES OF ISRAEL 7?ney 7e, olnel nninn rum, ,0"12 mortality model', by the least-squares method. Since 2000, it was found that this program does not produce reasonable results for Israeli data. The fit between the model and the empirical data is not statistically significant, and it was found that the H-P model raises life expectancy at birth for all population groups (at least by 0.2 years and sometimes more then a single year) as compared to the abridged life table. Moreover, it was found that the curve of the model crosses the boundaries of the confidence interval for empirical probabilities of death (qx). Furthermore, although the parameters of the H-P model can be estimated, the statistical tools (standard deviation and significance) of the parameter estimates cannot be calculated. Thus, the overall statistical significance of the model is not known. Finally, this smoothing procedure does not take into account the distinct features of the Israeli data: at certain ages, the smoothing procedure greatly reduces the probability of death (for example, the ages of compulsory military service) and at other ages (particularly at older ages), it increases the probability. For these reasons, a new method of smoothing was developed by means of a two-stage polynomial function2, and is used as the basis for the complete life tables since 1996-2000. The model is based on the Local Maximum Likelihood method3, as well as on a technique for estimating change points's. This method has four advantages: A. The differences between the smoothed values of life expectancy and the original data are not statistically significant. B. Statistical parameters of the model can be estimated, such as variance, confidence intervals, and statistical significance. C. The model provides a good basis for smoothing qx (the specific probability of death at a certain age) while taking account of the distinct features of the Israeli data. D. The method is easy and convenient to use. In the new method, life expectancy is calculated in four stages: A. Calculation of the q, values based on mortality rates (mx) by singles years of age for each population group and each sex, averaged for the five-year period (2004200-8). B. The hypothesis that there is a change point in the model is tested. If the hypothesis is not rejected we move on to the next stage. C. The q, values are smoothed by estimating one or two models of the qx function, depending on whether or not a change point was found, one for the younger ages (up to the change point) and one for the older ages (after the change point). D. All the parameters of the life table based on the model qx estimates are calculated. Heligman L. and Pollard J.H., "The Age Pattern of Mortality', Journal of the Institute of Actuaries, no. 107, pp. 49-75, 1980. 2 Vexler A., Flaks N. and Paltiel A., "A Method for Smoothing Mortality Functions using a segmented regression model: an application to Israeli data', Working paper series No. 15. Central Bureau of Statistics, 2005 (Hebrew only). 3 Fan J., Farmen M. and Gijbels I., 'Local Maximum Likelihood Estimation and Inference", J.R. Statist. Soc., B. Vol. 60, pp. 591-608, 1998. 4 Koul H.L., Lianfen Q. and Surgailis D., "Asymptotic of M-estimators in Two-phase Linear Regression Models", Stochastic Processes and Their Applications, Vol. 103, pp. 123-154, 2003. - XVI - EFTA01125944 CBS. COMPLETE LIFE TABLES OF ISRAEL 7Iney 7e, olnel nninn rum, ,0"12 4. COMPONENTS OF A LIFE TABLE The life table is based on sex- and age-specific mortality rates, and consists of the following functions: D„ - Absolute number of deaths at age x. mx - Average mortality rates at age x, i.e., the number of people who died at age x divided by the average population at age x. For example: the rn,, values for computing the life table for 2004-2008 is based on average mortality rates for 2004200-8. qx - The probability of death between age x and age x+1. The column presents the proportion of people who died between age x and age x+1 of those living at age x. The qx values are derived from mx values as follows: my q, = ,2 1+ M Ix - The number of survivors at exact age x out of 100,000 infants born (radix of the table = to = 100,000). The Ix values are based on the qx values, which allow for calculation of the number of survivors since age x-1. Ix = Ixa (1- qx., ) Lx - The number of person-years lived by the cohort that reached exact age x, between age x and age x+1. Lx = (I, + lx.,)/2 Lo - The number of person-years lived by the cohort between birth and its first birthday. - The number of person-years lived by the cohort from age 100 until the last one has died. Lo and L100. are calculated differently for two reasons: Lo is affected by the non-linear distribution of deaths in the first year of life. L100. requires an estimate of the number of years that will be lived until the last member of the cohort has died. Thus: Lo=0.3lo+0.7 L,00.=1000 (hoo/ Tx - The total number of person-years lived by cohort survivors after reaching age x; Tx is the sum of Lx for all ages after x. ex- The life expectancy at age x. This is the average number of years a person may expect to live after age x, assuming that he survived to age x, and assuming that mortality rates are unchanging. The complete life tables presented here show the Ix, qx and ex functions for single ages, from birth to age 100. - XVII - EFTA01125945 EFTA01125946  TABLES (PRINTED IN HEBREW ORDER - FROM RIGHT TO LEFT) - XIX - EFTA01125947 CBS. COMPLETE LIFE TABLES OF ISRAEL 7x~vr 7e, oin7er nninn ntnt7 ,en7 Dr13T - neicutixn 673 : I7X-MI IM DIM nrunn ni17 -.1 nu', 2004-2008 nnolininn 53 011)T Olin ri'murt DrIXW3 nun't nnarton IPA Life expectancy Duna Probability of death ino nil, rpn 111430 run I p 11"130 Confidence interval Confidence interval Survivors DOW '1121 linnn '711.1 ex at age x von imnn q. Age Upper Lower Standard Upper Lower Standard boundary boundary deviation Ix boundary boundary deviation 78.4 78.3 0.03703 78.3 100.000 0.00423 0.00384 0.00010 0.00403 0 77.7 77.6 0.03638 77.7 99.597 0.00077 0.00058 0.00005 0.00068 1 76.8 76.6 0.03621 76.7 99.529 0.00034 0.00023 0.00003 0.00029 2 75.8 75.7 0.03616 75.7 99.501 0.00024 0.00016 0.00002 0.00020 3 74.8 74.7 0.03614 74.7 99.481 0.00023 0.00013 0.00002 0.00018 4 73.8 73.7 0.03610 73.8 99.463 0.00022 0.00013 0.00002 0.00017 5 72.8 72.7 0.03607 72.8 99.446 0.00021 0.00012 0.00002 0.00017 6 71.9 71.7 0.03604 71.8 99.429 0.00020 0.00012 0.00002 0.00016 7 70.9 70.7 0.03601 70.8 99.413 0.00019 0.00010 0.00002 0.00014 8 69.9 69.7 0.03599 69.8 99.399 0.00017 0.00009 0.00002 0.00013 9 68.9 68.7 0.03596 68.8 99.386 0.00016 0.00009 0.00002 0.00013 10 67.9 67.7 0.03595 67.8 99.373 0.00017 0.00009 0.00002 0.00013 11 66.9 66.8 0.03592 66.8 99.360 0.00018 0.00010 0.00002 0.00014 12 65.9 65.8 0.03590 65.8 99.346 0.00022 0.00012 0.00002 0.00017 13 64.9 64.8 0.03587 64.8 99.329 0.00026 0.00016 0.00003 0.00021 14 63.9 63.8 0.03584 63.9 99.308 0.00034 0.00022 0.00003 0.00028 15 63.0 62.8 0.03580 62.9 99.280 0.00044 0.00029 0.00004 0.00036 16 62.0 61.8 0.03574 61.9 99.244 0.00054 0.00038 0.00004 0.00046 17 61.0 60.9 0.03567 60.9 99.199 0.00064 0.00047 0.00004 0.00056 18 60.0 59.9 0.03560 60.0 99.143 0.00076 0.00058 0.00005 0.00067 19 59.1 58.9 0.03552 59.0 99.077 0.00096 0.00074 0.00006 0.00085 20 58.1 58.0 0.03540 58.1 98.993 0.00091 0.00068 0.00006 0.00079 21 57.2 57.0 0.03527 57.1 98.914 0.00084 0.00065 0.00005 0.00074 22 56.2 56.1 0.03520 56.1 98.841 0.00080 0.00061 0.00005 0.00071 23 55.3 55.1 0.03512 55.2 98.771 0.00078 0.00059 0.00005 0.00068 24 54.3 54.1 0.03504 54.2 98.703 0.00077 0.00057 0.00005 0.00067 25 53.3 53.2 0.03496 53.3 98.637 0.00076 0.00057 0.00005 0.00067 26 52.4 52.2 0.03490 52.3 98.572 0.00077 0.00057 0.00005 0.00067 27 51.4 51.3 0.03482 51.3 98.506 0.00078 0.00058 0.00005 0.00068 28 50.4 50.3 0.03474 50.4 98.439 0.00079 0.00060 0.00005 0.00070 29 49.5 49.3 0.03469 49.4 98.370 0.00082 0.00062 0.00005 0.00072 30 48.5 48.4 0.03463 48.4 98.300 0.00086 0.00064 0.00006 0.00075 31 47.5 47.4 0.03455 47.5 98.226 0.00090 0.00067 0.00006 0.00079 32 46.6 46.4 0.03447 46.5 98.149 0.00094 0.00072 0.00006 0.00083 33 45.6 45.5 0.03440 45.5 98.068 0.00099 0.00077 0.00006 0.00088 34 44.6 44.5 0.03433 44.6 97.981 0.00106 0.00081 0.00006 0.00094 35 43.7 43.6 0.03425 43.6 97.889 0.00114 0.00087 0.00007 0.00100 36 42.7 42.6 0.03416 42.7 97.791 0.00122 0.00094 0.00007 0.00108 37 41.8 41.6 0.03405 41.7 97.686 0.00131 0.00102 0.00008 0.00116 38 40.8 40.7 0.03395 40.8 97.572 0.00142 0.00110 0.00008 0.00126 39 39.9 39.7 0.03384 39.8 97.449 0.00154 0.00120 0.00009 0.00137 40 38.9 38.8 0.03371 38.9 97.316 0.00165 0.00132 0.00008 0.00149 41 38.0 37.9 0.03361 37.9 97.171 0.00179 0.00144 0.00009 0.00162 42 37.0 36.9 0.03350 37.0 97.014 0.00195 0.00158 0.00010 0.00176 43 36.1 36.0 0.03337 36.0 96.843 0.00212 0.00173 0.00010 0.00193 44 35.2 35.0 0.03325 35.1 96.656 0.00231 0.00190 0.00010 0.00211 45 34.3 34.1 0.03312 34.2 96.452 0.00252 0.00210 0.00011 0.00231 46 33.3 33.2 0.03299 33.3 96.230 0.00276 0.00230 0.00012 0.00253 47 32.4 32.3 0.03286 32.3 95.987 0.00301 0.00254 0.00012 0.00277 48 31.5 31.4 0.03272 31.4 95.721 0.00329 0.00279 0.00013 0.00304 49 30.6 30.5 0.03258 30.5 95.430 0.00360 0.00307 0.00014 0.00334 50 - 20 - EFTA01125948 CBS. COMPLETE LIFE TABLES OF ISRAEL 7x1rr 't CPDE/ nninn nms, ,c(n, TABLE 1.- COMPLETE LIFE TABLE OF ISRAEL: TOTAL POPULATION - MALES Total population 2004-2008 Males Olin thrum DrIXW3 nlny ninartoa '71 Life expectancy Duna Probability of death ino nin 11 130 ono nin I pri T1"00 Confidence interval Confidence interval Survivors DOW '2111 linnn'7111 ex at age x pon) iinnn q. Age Upper Lower Standard Upper Lower Standard boundary boundary deviation Ix boundary boundary deviation 29.7 29.6 0.03243 29.6 95.111 0.00394 0.00338 0.00014 0.00366 51 28.8 28.7 0.03228 28.7 94.763 0.00431 0.00374 0.00015 0.00402 52 27.9 27.8 0.03214 27.9 94.382 0.00472 0.00411 0.00016 0.00442 53 27.0 26.9 0.03200 27.0 93.965 0.00518 0.00453 0.00016 0.00485 54 26.2 26.0 0.03185 26.1 93.509 0.00568 0.00499 0.00017 0.00534 55 25.3 25.2 0.03170 25.2 93.010 0.00623 0.00550 0.00019 0.00586 56 24.4 24.3 0.03155 24.4 92.464 0.00684 0.00605 0.00020 0.00645 57 23.6 23.5 0.03139 23.5 91.868 0.00751 0.00666 0.00022 0.00709 58 22.8 22.6 0.03121 22.7 91.217 0.00826 0.00733 0.00024 0.00779 59 21.9 21.8 0.03099 21.9 90.506 0.00906 0.00808 0.00025 0.00857 60 21.1 21.0 0.03078 21.1 89.731 0.00999 0.00887 0.00029 0.00943 61 20.3 20.2 0.03049 20.3 88.885 0.01100 0.00974 0.00032 0.01037 62 19.5 19.4 0.03011 19.5 87.963 0.01208 0.01073 0.00034 0.01141 63 18.7 18.6 0.02972 18.7 86.959 0.01328 0.01183 0.00037 0.01256 64 18.0 17.9 0.02930 17.9 85.868 0.01457 0.01306 0.00038 0.01382 65 17.2 17.1 0.02890 17.2 84.681 0.01600 0.01442 0.00040 0.01521 66 16.5 16.4 0.02852 16.4 83.393 0.01756 0.01593 0.00042 0.01675 67 15.7 15.6 0.02819 15.7 81.996 0.01931 0.01758 0.00044 0.01845 68 15.0 14.9 0.02787 15.0 80.484 0.02125 0.01939 0.00047 0.02032 69 14.3 14.2 0.02754 14.3 78.848 0.02338 0.02140 0.00050 0.02239 70 13.6 13.5 0.02721 13.6 77.083 0.02574 0.02361 0.00055 0.02468 71 13.0 12.9 0.02687 12.9 75.181 0.02836 0.02605 0.00059 0.02720 72 12.3 12.2 0.02652 12.3 73.136 0.03124 0.02876 0.00063 0.03000 73 11.7 11.6 0.02617 11.6 70.942 0.03437 0.03181 0.00065 0.03309 74 11.1 11.0 0.02592 11.0 68.594 0.03790 0.03512 0.00071 0.03651 75 10.5 10.4 0.02568 10.4 66.090 0.04181 0.03879 0.00077 0.04030 76 9.9 9.8 0.02544 9.8 63.426 0.04611 0.04287 0.00083 0.04449 77 9.3 9.2 0.02525 9.3 60.605 0.05089 0.04738 0.00090 0.04914 78 8.8 8.7 0.02510 8.7 57.627 0.05617 0.05240 0.00096 0.05428 79 8.2 8.1 0.02502 8.2 54.499 0.06206 0.05792 0.00106 0.05999 80 7.7 7.6 0.02498 7.7 51.229 0.06853 0.06409 0.00113 0.06631 81 7.2 7.1 0.02508 7.2 47.832 0.07576 0.07089 0.00124 0.07333 82 6.8 6.7 0.02526 6.7 44.325 0.08381 0.07840 0.00138 0.08111 83 6.3 6.2 0.02554 6.3 40.730 0.09275 0.08673 0.00154 0.08974 84 5.9 5.8 0.02595 5.8 37.075 0.10270 0.09595 0.00172 0.09932 85 5.5 5.4 0.02649 5.4 33.393 0.11390 0.10601 0.00201 0.10995 86 5.1 5.0 0.02701 5.0 29.721 0.12623 0.11729 0.00228 0.12176 87 4.7 4.6 0.02768 4.7 26.102 0.14022 0.12949 0.00274 0.13486 88 4.4 4.3 0.02814 4.3 22.582 0.15551 0.14326 0.00312 0.14939 89 4.0 3.9 0.02870 4.0 19.209 0.17239 0.15862 0.00351 0.16551 90 3.7 3.6 0.02959 3.7 16.029 0.19118 0.17556 0.00399 0.18337 91 3.4 3.3 0.03090 3.4 13.090 0.21204 0.19425 0.00454 0.20314 92 3.2 3.0 0.03289 3.1 10.431 0.23557 0.21444 0.00539 0.22500 93 2.9 2.8 0.03538 2.9 8.084 0.26162 0.23662 0.00638 0.24912 94 2.7 2.6 0.03878 2.7 6.070 0.29053 0.26079 0.00759 0.27566 95 2.6 2.4 0.04354 2.5 4.397 0.32353 0.28599 0.00958 0.30476 96 2.4 2.2 0.04893 2.3 3.057 0.35919 0.31387 0.01156 0.33653 97 2.4 2.2 0.05576 2.3 2.028 0.40005 0.34201 0.01481 0.37103 98 2.4 2.2 0.05891 2.3 1.276 0.44591 0.37057 0.01922 0.40824 99 2.6 755 0.44805 100+ - 21 - EFTA01125949 CBS. COMPLETE LIFE TABLES OF ISRAEL 7x7vr 7e, oin7er nninn ntnt7 ,en7 ruap3 - neicutixn 673 : 11/41W IM n5W nrunn nei -.2 ne, 2004-2008 nnolininn 53 map) Olin n imin 13,1XW3 nun't nnanon 'PA Life expectancy trona Probability of death ono nin hn 111430 ono nin WI) 11"130 Confidence interval Confidence interval Survivors 'FIN 17111 prinn .7ta.1 ex at age x pon pnnn q. Age Upper Lower Standard Upper Lower Standard boundary boundary deviation Ix boundary boundary deviation 82.3 82.2 0.03234 82.2 100.000 0.00355 0.00319 0.00009 0.00337 0 81.6 81.5 0.03158 81.5 99.663 0.00063 0.00045 0.00005 0.00054 1 80.6 80.5 0.03138 80.6 99.609 0.00028 0.00018 0.00002 0.00023 2 79.7 79.5 0.03132 79.6 99.586 0.00020 0.00012 0.00002 0.00016 3 78.7 78.5 0.03129 78.6 99.570 0.00018 0.00010 0.00002 0.00014 4 77.7 77.6 0.03126 77.6 99.557 0.00017 0.00009 0.00002 0.00013 5 76.7 76.6 0.03123 76.6 99.544 0.00016 0.00008 0.00002 0.00012 6 75.7 75.6 0.03119 75.6 99.532 0.00015 0.00007 0.00002 0.00011 7 74.7 74.6 0.03116 74.6 99.521 0.00013 0.00007 0.00002 0.00010 8 73.7 73.6 0.03114 73.6 99.511 0.00013 0.00005 0.00002 0.00009 9 72.7 72.6 0.03111 72.7 99.502 0.00011 0.00006 0.00001 0.00009 10 71.7 71.6 0.03110 71.7 99.493 0.00012 0.00005 0.00002 0.00009 11 70.7 70.6 0.03107 70.7 99.484 0.00013 0.00006 0.00002 0.00010 12 69.7 69.6 0.03105 69.7 99.475 0.00015 0.00007 0.00002 0.00011 13 68.7 68.6 0.03103 68.7 99.464 0.00017 0.00008 0.00002 0.00012 14 67.8 67.6 0.03100 67.7 99.452 0.00018 0.00010 0.00002 0.00014 15 66.8 66.6 0.03096 66.7 99.438 0.00020 0.00010 0.00002 0.00015 16 65.8 65.6 0.03093 65.7 99.422 0.00021 0.00011 0.00002 0.00016 17 64.8 64.7 0.03089 64.7 99.406 0.00022 0.00013 0.00002 0.00018 18 63.8 63.7 0.03086 63.7 99.389 0.00030 0.00018 0.00003 0.00024 19 62.8 62.7 0.03081 62.7 99.364 0.00032 0.00020 0.00003 0.00026 20 61.8 61.7 0.03075 61.8 99.338 0.00030 0.00019 0.00003 0.00024 21 60.8 60.7 0.03071 60.8 99.314 0.00029 0.00018 0.00003 0.00023 22 59.9 59.7 0.03067 59.8 99.291 0.00029 0.00017 0.00003 0.00023 23 58.9 58.7 0.03062 58.8 99.268 0.00028 0.00018 0.00003 0.00023 24 57.9 57.8 0.03059 57.8 99.245 0.00029 0.00018 0.00003 0.00023 25 56.9 56.8 0.03055 56.8 99.222 0.00030 0.00018 0.00003 0.00024 26 55.9 55.8 0.03051 55.8 99.198 0.00031 0.00019 0.00003 0.00025 27 54.9 54.8 0.03047 54.9 99.173 0.00033 0.00020 0.00003 0.00026 28 53.9 53.8 0.03043 53.9 99.147 0.00035 0.00021 0.00003 0.00028 29 52.9 52.8 0.03038 52.9 99.120 0.00036 0.00023 0.00003 0.00030 30 52.0 51.8 0.03034 51.9 99.090 0.00039 0.00026 0.00003 0.00032 31 51.0 50.9 0.03030 50.9 99.058 0.00042 0.00028 0.00004 0.00035 32 50.0 49.9 0.03025 49.9 99.023 0.00046 0.00030 0.00004 0.00038 33 49.0 48.9 0.03020 49.0 98.985 0.00050 0.00033 0.00004 0.00042 34 48.0 47.9 0.03015 48.0 98.944 0.00054 0.00037 0.00004 0.00045 35 47.1 46.9 0.03009 47.0 98.899 0.00059 0.00041 0.00005 0.00050 36 46.1 46.0 0.03003 46.0 98.850 0.00065 0.00045 0.00005 0.00055 37 45.1 45.0 0.02995 45.0 98.796 0.00071 0.00050 0.00005 0.00060 38 44.1 44.0 0.02988 44.1 98.736 0.00077 0.00055 0.00006 0.00066 39 43.2 43.0 0.02980 43.1 98.671 0.00084 0.00061 0.00006 0.00073 40 42.2 42.1 0.02971 42.1 98.599 0.00092 0.00068 0.00006 0.00080 41 41.2 41.1 0.02963 41.2 98.520 0.00101 0.00075 0.00007 0.00088 42 40.3 40.1 0.02953 40.2 98.433 0.00111 0.00083 0.00007 0.00097 43 39.3 39.2 0.02942 39.2 98.337 0.00122 0.00092 0.00008 0.00107 44 38.3 38.2 0.02931 38.3 98.232 0.00132 0.00102 0.00008 0.00117 45 37.4 37.3 0.02920 37.3 98.117 0.00144 0.00113 0.00008 0.00129 46 36.4 36.3 0.02909 36.4 97.991 0.00157 0.00126 0.00008 0.00141 47 35.5 35.4 0.02899 35.4 97.852 0.00173 0.00138 0.00009 0.00155 48 34.5 34.4 0.02886 34.5 97.700 0.00189 0.00152 0.00009 0.00170 49 33.6 33.5 0.02874 33.5 97.534 0.00207 0.00167 0.00010 0.00187 50 - 22 - EFTA01125950 CBS. COMPLETE LIFE TABLES OF ISRAEL a't7E/' yeu CPDE/ an inn nms, ,c(n, TABLE 2.- COMPLETE LIFE TABLE OF ISRAEL: TOTAL POPULATION - FEMALES Total population 2004-2008 Females Olin thrum DrIXW3 nlny ninartoa 12 Life expectancy Duna Probability of death ino nil, hn 111 30 ono ui 11"130 Confidence interval Confidence interval Survivors Ir r>70.1 llnnn .7ta.1 ex at age x IP.71.1 'MA imnn q. Age Upper Lower Standard Upper Lower Standard boundary boundary deviation Ix boundary boundary deviation 32.7 32.5 0.02860 32.6 97.351 0.00226 0.00185 0.00010 0.00205 51 31.7 31.6 0.02846 31.7 97.151 0.00246 0.00204 0.00011 0.00225 52 30.8 30.7 0.02832 30.7 96.933 0.00269 0.00225 0.00011 0.00247 53 29.9 29.8 0.02818 29.8 96.693 0.00295 0.00248 0.00012 0.00271 54 28.9 28.8 0.02804 28.9 96.431 0.00323 0.00274 0.00012 0.00298 55 28.0 27.9 0.02790 28.0 96.143 0.00354 0.00301 0.00013 0.00328 56 27.1 27.0 0.02774 27.1 95.828 0.00388 0.00333 0.00014 0.00360 57 26.2 26.1 0.02759 26.2 95.483 0.00426 0.00367 0.00015 0.00397 58 25.3 25.2 0.02742 25.3 95.104 0.00469 0.00406 0.00016 0.00437 59 24.4 24.3 0.02725 24.4 94.688 0.00519 0.00447 0.00018 0.00483 60 23.5 23.4 0.02703 23.5 94.231 0.00573 0.00494 0.00020 0.00533 61 22.7 22.6 0.02677 22.6 93.728 0.00635 0.00545 0.00023 0.00590 62 21.8 21.7 0.02643 21.7 93.175 0.00701 0.00606 0.00024 0.00654 63 20.9 20.8 0.02609 20.9 92.566 0.00776 0.00674 0.00026 0.00725 64 20.1 20.0 0.02572 20.0 91.895 0.00861 0.00750 0.00028 0.00806 65 19.2 19.1 0.02532 19.2 91.154 0.00954 0.00839 0.00029 0.00896 66 18.4 18.3 0.02494 18.4 90.337 0.01058 0.00940 0.00030 0.00999 67 17.6 17.5 0.02459 17.5 89.435 0.01176 0.01053 0.00031 0.01115 68 16.8 16.7 0.02425 16.7 88.438 0.01312 0.01179 0.00034 0.01246 69 16.0 15.9 0.02390 15.9 87.337 0.01465 0.01323 0.00036 0.01394 70 15.2 15.1 0.02355 15.2 86.119 0.01638 0.01486 0.00039 0.01562 71 14.4 14.3 0.02320 14.4 84.774 0.01836 0.01670 0.00042 0.01753 72 13.7 13.6 0.02281 13.6 83.288 0.02058 0.01881 0.00045 0.01969 73 12.9 12.9 0.02243 12.9 81.648 0.02310 0.02120 0.00049 0.02215 74 12.2 12.1 0.02206 12.2 79.839 0.02596 0.02392 0.00052 0.02494 75 11.5 11.4 0.02170 11.5 77.848 0.02920 0.02701 0.00056 0.02810 76 10.8 10.8 0.02136 10.8 75.660 0.03286 0.03054 0.00059 0.03170 77 10.2 10.1 0.02107 10.1 73.262 0.03703 0.03453 0.00064 0.03578 78 9.5 9.5 0.02083 9.5 70.641 0.04176 0.03906 0.00069 0.04041 79 8.9 8.8 0.02063 8.9 67.786 0.04713 0.04421 0.00074 0.04567 80 8.3 8.2 0.02051 8.3 64.690 0.05321 0.05006 0.00080 0.05164 81 7.7 7.7 0.02049 7.7 61.350 0.06016 0.05665 0.00090 0.05840 82 7.2 7.1 0.02051 7.1 57.767 0.06802 0.06411 0.00100 0.06607 83 6.7 6.6 0.02060 6.6 53.950 0.07699 0.07254 0.00113 0.07476 84 6.1 6.1 0.02074 6.1 49.917 0.08718 0.08204 0.00131 0.08461 85 5.7 5.6 0.02089 5.6 45.693 0.09879 0.09274 0.00154 0.09577 86 5.2 5.1 0.02098 5.2 41.317 0.11193 0.10488 0.00180 0.10841 87 4.8 4.7 0.02104 4.7 36.838 0.12681 0.11861 0.00209 0.12271 88 4.4 4.3 0.02105 4.3 32.318 0.14363 0.13420 0.00241 0.13891 89 4.0 3.9 0.02107 3.9 27.828 0.16257 0.15192 0.00272 0.15724 90 3.6 3.5 0.02125 3.6 23.453 0.18389 0.17207 0.00301 0.17798 91 3.3 3.2 0.02189 3.3 19.279 0.20820 0.19463 0.00346 0.20142 92 3.0 2.9 0.02298 2.9 15.396 0.23594 0.21981 0.00411 0.22787 93 2.7 2.6 0.02452 2.7 11.887 0.26728 0.24809 0.00489 0.25769 94 2.5 2.4 0.02685 2.4 8.824 0.30300 0.27935 0.00603 0.29118 95 2.3 2.1 0.03008 2.2 6.255 0.34304 0.31422 0.00735 0.32863 96 2.1 2.0 0.03512 2.0 4.199 0.38950 0.35104 0.00981 0.37027 97 2.0 1.9 0.04072 1.9 2.644 0.44107 0.39125 0.01271 0.41616 98 2.1 1.9 0.04420 2.0 1.544 0.49746 0.43487 0.01597 0.46616 99 2.3 824 0.51984 100+ - 23 - EFTA01125951 CBS. COMPLETE LIFE TABLES OF ISRAEL 7x~vr 7e, oin7er nninn ntnt7 ,en7 13.13T - ovum no-nno :`/X1VP CII/W nrunn nn -.3 nu' 2004-2008 onnxt orrini Olin nimin n'-men nun runanon IPA Life expectancy Irma Probability of death ino nil, 111 30 ono flit, I prl T1"130 Confidence interval Confidence interval Survivors linnn .7ta.1 at age x pot, pnnn 7111 ex q. Age Upper