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From: Vincenzo lozzo
To: "Jeffrey E." <[email protected]>
Subject: Re: Taxes
Date: Sun, 17 Aug 2014 14:09:58 +0000
I think also an interesting consideration is the following:
Let's say that your portfolio is just 2 bull spread bets on two stocks. At some point this really boils down to:
"what's the statistical distribution of people irrationality?"
Or as a friend of mine was putting it when we were discussing the acquisition of competitors "asymptotically the
question is: what's the multiplier on hate?"
Sent from my Iphone
On 17/ago/2014, at 09:09, "jeffrey E." leevacation@grrtn> wrote:
risk tolerance, can be accomplished by derivatives. , arbitraged for mis pricing, risk is never really reduced
without a corresponding reward adjustment, howevr, tax allows certain arbitrage, for ex gains at 20 -losses at
30 Percent . review monte carlo simulations, need resource , bank, friction charges. read fooled by
randomness.
On Sun, Aug 17, 2014 at 9:02 AM, Vincenzo Iozzo < wrote:
Can you let me know if you are? I'd be helpful if we can meet up - I'm trying to look at derivatives through
my lens.
What is somewhat striking is that it seems like all they are is a programming language whose goal is to
minimize risks (with the side effect of creating arbitrage and speculation opportunities).
What I am is if you interpret trading as an optimization problem of: given a belief(stock X will outperform
the market, etc etc) maximize returns and minimize risks. Then all derivatives are is 'functions' to go from a
risky bet to a less risky one - now you can go to riskier ones but that's an 'anomaly'
Anyhow if this parallel somehow holds there are interesting questions that come up, for example: what is a
Turing machine in this world? Which would be a fancy way to answer the questions: what derivatives are
missing? Also since you can stack up multiple 'functions' (eg: combine a forward with an interest float-to-
fixed swap to make a riskless arbitrage) that leads to complexity and hence to bugs
But I'm not sure if this is me going insane/trying to forcefully fit one thing into the other or if there's actually
something there
One of the reason why meeting up would be useful :-)
Sent from my Iphone
On 17/ago/2014, at 08:47, "jeffrey E." <[email protected]> wrote:
EFTA00995592
not sure yet
On Sun, Aug 17, 2014 at 8:36 AM, Vincenzo Iozzo < > wrote:
That makes sense - do you happen to be in town any day from today to Wednesday?
Sent from my Iphone
On 16/ago/2014, at 16:41, "jeffrey E." <[email protected]> wrote:
taxes are variable friciton
On Sat, Aug 16, 2014 at 4:36 PM, Vincenzo lozzo wrote:
So quick question for you: are taxes a trick?
Here's what I mean, I think (gut feeling - no proof) that there are potentially a number of
arbitrage/risk-free opportunities that are not tackled by anybody because when you add in taxes you
don't actually make money.
Is 'hacking' taxes a strategy? It seems like all the academic texts leave that part for the reader which
makes me think there's something there.
Also I was reading a while ago that rentech was using a weird structure with Credit Suisse (iirc)
where they were taxed on their profits as if it was long-term capital gains instead of short-term.
Sent from my Iphone
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