EFTA01449278.pdf
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28 February 2013 Exchange Rate Perspectives Deutsche Bank O
Figure 7: Nominal CRB and World IP Growth Figure 8: Nominal CRB and the Dollar
lb 66 420
Ln In
10 6.3 430
5 61
440
0 6.9
450
-6 6.7
460
.10 66
4 20
15 6J
, t7.1 Jan-92 Jan-96 Jan-913 Jar701 Jan-04 Jen-01 Jan
-10 18r1.13 Jan-86 Jan-89 Jan-92 Jan-96 Jan
-Se Jan-01 Jan-04 Jan-07 Jan-10 Jan-13
Figure 9: Long•run Relationship- Nominal CRB Figure 10: Long-run Relationship- Oil
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Ln
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60 60
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; Iran
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Jan-86 Ja088 Jen-92 Jan-96 Jan-68 Jan-OI Jan-04 Jul-01 .0n-10 74013
f‘44:4 0448746o. $44,
Figure 11: RBA Commodity Price Index (Nominal) and Figure 12: Long-run Relationship.AUD/USD
AUD/USD
11 175 0.3 0.3
-AUD noel
Long Run Retabonaly
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if
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08 100 -0 3 -0.3
•
07 75 -0 5 Long•run etastIc -0.5
Ccolm0: 1111/ P1C0 0.4
06 50 -0.7 US GDP: -aas -0.7
88 93 92 94 96 99 00 02 04 OS 08 10 12
05 25
88 88 90 92 94 96 98 03 02 04 06 013 10 12
Deutsche Bank AG/London Page 29
CONFIDENTIAL - PURSUANT TO FED. R. CRIM. P. 6(e) DB-SDNY-0104617
CONFIDENTIAL SDNY_GM_00250801
EFTA01449278
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