EFTA01388530.pdf
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• Breakeven on structure is - 5% away, structure sees FXI re-enter old trading range, while selling post Feb/March
highs
• Feb gets near-term G20 catalyst, the big rate decisions over December (which can move USD), as well as the full
announcement of Chinese fiscal policy early next year
Light exo — Feb FXI ATM call contingent on SPX <105% for 2.05% vs 4.15% vanilla
• FXI has started to outperform SPX over the last week, and if current fundamental factors keep the US down to only
slightly up, FXI can continue to close the performance gap over the next 3M. Just look to today, SPX down 50bps, and FXI
is trading 40bps higher.
• ATM FXI — 105% SPX is over 3.6% and so the contingency is cheapening the vanilla call 50% and similar structure
43%
While the recent SPX selloff has brought both markets closer, SPX is still massively outperforming on the
year, and FXI can now continue to close that gap if the US underperforms even after the trade deal.
10 3D 1M 6M YID re SY Max Daily V Table
2950 5“.A50 hack i Annulate N -A t- 27_•j'l I Hi: 2230.75 54.00
2900 east Price 52.00
ASP Inicx (LI) 2688.49
2850 mif*lWS Equity (81) i 40.78 50.00
2800 48.00
2750 46.00
4.01% 44.00
2650 42.00
2600
2550 Low: 2554.6201 Low: 38.26
• SPX Index / FXI 1.5 Equity 65.9767
C6..t..f.43.7888
Dec Mar Aim CFO
2017 2018
FXI implied vols are near 2 year highs, and 95/105 skew near flattest levels over same period, indicating
investor expectation for upside here.
CONFIDENTIAL - PURSUANT TO FED. R. CRIM. P. 6(e) DB-SDNY-0092128
CONFIDENTIAL SDNY_GM_00238312
EFTA01388530
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EFTA01388530
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