podesta-emails
Correct The Record Tuesday December 16, 2014 Afternoon Roundup
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***Correct The Record Tuesday December 16, 2014 Afternoon Roundup:*
*Headlines:*
*Wall Street Journal: “Jeb Bush to ‘Actively Explore’ Run for President”
<http://www.wsj.com/articles/jeb-bush-to-actively-explore-run-for-president-1418743577>*
“Jeb Bush will ‘actively explore the possibility of running for president’
in 2016, according to an announcement the former Florida governor posted to
his Facebook page Tuesday morning.”
*FROM MEDIA MATTERS FOR AMERICA: Media Matters For America: “The Right's
Jeb Bush-Hillary Clinton Double Standard”
<http://mediamatters.org/blog/2014/12/16/the-rights-jeb-bush-hillary-clinton-double-stan/201894>*
“While the Clintons have done well financially since President Bill Clinton
left office, Secretary Clinton has been consistent in her support for
issues like increasing the minimum wage, paid family medical leave, and
support for equal pay.”
*Washington Post: “O’Malley will probably put off announcement on
presidential bid until spring”
<http://www.washingtonpost.com/local/md-politics/omalley-will-probably-delay-announcement-on-presidential-bid-until-spring/2014/12/15/43f733ba-8458-11e4-9534-f79a23c40e6c_story.html>*
“Maryland Gov. Martin O’Malley will probably push off an announcement about
running for president until spring, a timetable that reflects the dominance
of Hillary Rodham Clinton in the Democratic field and the daunting
challenges that O’Malley faces in raising money, according to several
people helping him prepare for a possible bid.”
*Bloomberg: “Elizabeth Warren Would Make a Good President, Carl Levin Says”
<http://www.bloomberg.com/politics/articles/2014-12-16/elizabeth-warren-would-make-a-good-president-carl-levin-says>*
“Levin also listed former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, saying that
she feels ‘in her gut’ the impact of the country's widening income gap and
the importance of addressing it.”
*Politico: “David Axelrod: Elizabeth Warren trying to ‘leverage’ Clinton”
<http://www.politico.com/story/2014/12/david-axelrod-elizabeth-warren-113600.html?hp=l2_4>*
“Former Obama adviser David Axelrod said Tuesday that he believes Sen.
Elizabeth Warren is keeping a high profile to try to exert ‘maximum
leverage’ on Hillary Clinton’s positions for the 2016 presidential contest.”
*Slate: “MoveOn Appears To Be Losing Mojo, Ramps Up Warren Push”
<http://www.slate.com/blogs/the_slatest/2014/12/16/elizabeth_warren_for_president_moveon_org_appears_to_be_losing_email_subscribers.html>*
“According to numbers from Unroll.me, MoveOn.org’s newsletter was the
second-most unsubscribed in 2014 (the first was StumbleUpon), with a 48
percent unsubscribe rate.”
*Articles:*
*Wall Street Journal: “Jeb Bush to ‘Actively Explore’ Run for President”
<http://www.wsj.com/articles/jeb-bush-to-actively-explore-run-for-president-1418743577>*
By Reid J. Epstein
December 16, 2014, 11:20 a.m. EST
[Subtitle:] Former Florida Governor to Launch Political-Action Committee in
January
Jeb Bush will “actively explore the possibility of running for president”
in 2016, according to an announcement the former Florida governor posted to
his Facebook page Tuesday morning.
Mr. Bush, whose father and brother served as president, is the first
Republican to formally explore a 2016 candidacy. More than a dozen others
are publicly weighing whether to seek the White House.
Mr. Bush wrote that he discussed running with his family over the
Thanksgiving holiday and will launch a political-action committee in
January to promote his political ideals. The announcement doesn’t say that
he has formed an exploratory committee to raise money to back a
presidential campaign.
A two-term governor, Mr. Bush is considered a social and fiscal
conservative, though he has broken with party orthodoxy on immigration and
education policy—two issues that figure to be central to the GOP’s 2016
primary campaign.
Mr. Bush has been a strong backer of Common Core education standards and an
immigration overhaul, which put him at odds with many Republican lawmakers
and voters.
Mr. Bush has also had a low-grade feud with antitax activist Grover
Norquist, whose no-tax pledge is central to party orthodoxy. Mr. Bush has
refused to sign Mr. Norquist’s pledge. Mr. Norquist this month called Mr.
Bush “washed up.”
Due to his family connections—his father George H.W. Bush and brother
George W. Bush were the last two GOP presidents—Mr. Bush has the capacity
to raise substantial amounts of money as fast as any other Republican who
would join the race. He would be viewed as a favorite of the party
establishment, competing for donors and votes with New Jersey Gov. Chris
Christie .
Mr. Bush would also be a threat to Florida Sen. Marco Rubio , another
potential 2016 candidate. The two men share a Miami political base—Mr.
Bush’s office is in the same hotel where Mr. Rubio uses the gym when he is
town.
In recent remarks, Mr. Bush had indicated he was strongly considering
running. At The Wall Street Journal’s CEO Council gathering earlier this
month, he said his decision would depend on whether he has “the skills to
do it in a way that tries to lift people’s spirits and not get sucked into
the vortex.”
He added at the time: “I don’t know if I would be a good candidate or a bad
one, but I kinda know how a Republican could win, whether it’s me or
somebody else, and it has to be much more uplifting, much more positive.”
David Axelrod, a top adviser to Barack Obama ’s two presidential campaigns,
said Tuesday that Mr. Bush would make a “formidable general election
candidate” if he isn’t forced to adopt positions more conservative than he
already holds.
“The problem is in order to get the nomination they have to make Faustian
bargains on issues that take them to the right,” Mr. Axelrod said on MSNBC.
“If Jeb sticks to his guns on these issues, he’s got tremendous appeal to
the Hispanic community, he could be a very formidable candidate.”
*FROM MEDIA MATTERS FOR AMERICA: Media Matters For America: “The Right's
Jeb Bush-Hillary Clinton Double Standard”
<http://mediamatters.org/blog/2014/12/16/the-rights-jeb-bush-hillary-clinton-double-stan/201894>*
By Karen Finney
December 16, 2014
[Subtitle:] Conservative Attacks On Clinton's Wealth Follows Their Defense
Of Romney
Two years after the fact, right-wing media are trying to flip the narrative
that sunk their presidential aspirations in 2012 by charging that current
personal wealth and the fees for paid speeches since leaving the State
Department make former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton "out of touch."
Often aided by Beltway reporters who are fixated on Clinton's so-called
"money problem," conservative pundits want to ensure that the majority of
Americans's belief that the potential Democratic nominee for president
relates to and understands average citizens.
The facts show that Clinton's earnings on the speaking circuit are
consistent with a number of men of similar prominence. According to one
estimate, over 15 months from the end of her term as Secretary through May
2014, Clinton made $5 million dollars. In the 13 months before former Mayor
Rudy Giuliani ran for president in 2007, he earned more than $11 million
dollars, charging anywhere from $100,000 to $300,000. According to a number
of reports former Secretary of State Colin Powell has received between
$100,000 and $200,000 per speech, earning an estimated $6.7 million in
speaking fees in 2000 alone.
As the charges against Clinton illustrate, the GOP still doesn't understand
why the "out of touch" label resonated with voters in 2012. It wasn't
former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney's wealth, or that he did well
financially during his time at Bain Capital. Rather it was the GOP
presidential nominee's comments writing off 47 percent of the American
electorate, claiming they just wanted "free stuff," as well as his support
for massive tax cuts for the wealthiest Americans as a job creation
strategy while imposing steep spending cuts impacting everyone else.
In short, Romney really WAS out of touch. While the Clintons have done well
financially since President Bill Clinton left office, Secretary Clinton has
been consistent in her support for issues like increasing the minimum wage,
paid family medical leave, and support for equal pay. She also has a long
record advocating and supporting policies around the economic empowerment
of women, the role they play in a nation's economy, and micro-lending, from
her time as first lady of Arkansas to the White House to the State
Department to the Clinton Foundation.
Enter former Florida governor Jeb Bush to the 2016 equation. Based on the
conservative line of argument against Clinton, will the millions he's made
on paid speeches since leaving office in 2007, or the $3.2 million in board
fees and stock grants he's received from publicly traded companies, also
label him "out of touch" in the eyes of conservative media? What about his
million-dollar salary from Barclays or what the New York Times termed his
"unapologetic determination to expand his wealth," including "telling
friends that his finances had suffered during his time in government"?
Or, will conservative media hold Bush to the same standard they did for
Romney in 2012, when they declared that neither his wealth, his offshore
accounts, nor his record at Bain Capital were relevant issues in the
election in evaluating Romney's candidacy? Back then such concerns were "an
effort to distract" from real issues like jobs and the economy, as one Fox
News anchor put it. Never mind that it was Romney himself who held out his
Bain experience as evidence that he understood the economy and how things
worked, yet didn't seem to have much regard for the impact of jobs lost
when Bain shut down a company had on the personal economy of middle and low
income people.
Even Romney now admits that his work at Bain Capital was a liability to his
presidential aspirations, recently suggesting that because of his work in
private equity Bush may also have a "Mitt Romney problem." Or as described
by a recent Bloomberg Politics report, "As a budding private equity mogul,
he's begun to resemble a Mini-Mitt."
The report examined a number of Bush's private sector enterprises, but it's
the detail about the three funds he's launched through Britton Hill
Holdings, which he co-founded in 2013, that could require some explaining.
They include a $40 million fund focused on shale oil exploration and a $26
million fund called BH Logistics, which is backed in part by investors from
China, where the Bush name carries significant clout. Bush was also
recently named chairman and manager of an offshore private equity fund
called BH Global Aviation. Incorporated in the United Kingdom, the firm is
not subject to U.S. taxes or regulations and raised $61 million in
September through unknown foreign investors.
Over the weekend Bush said that in an effort to promote transparency, he'd
be releasing 250,000 emails from his time as governor of Florida and an
e-book outlining his approach to governing. Those efforts will help frame
his position on issues like education reform and immigration reform, which
put him at odds with the Republican primary electorate and parts of the
conservative press.
But given that its unlikely right-wing media will hold Governor Bush to the
same standard as Secretary Clinton, will Bush also be transparent about the
details of his time in the private sector? More broadly, will the media
fully examine the "potential political problems" of Jeb Bush's
"unapologetic" expansion of wealth?
*Washington Post: “O’Malley will probably put off announcement on
presidential bid until spring”
<http://www.washingtonpost.com/local/md-politics/omalley-will-probably-delay-announcement-on-presidential-bid-until-spring/2014/12/15/43f733ba-8458-11e4-9534-f79a23c40e6c_story.html>*
By John Wagner
December 15, 2014, 7:12 p.m. EST
Maryland Gov. Martin O’Malley will probably push off an announcement about
running for president until spring, a timetable that reflects the dominance
of Hillary Rodham Clinton in the Democratic field and the daunting
challenges that O’Malley faces in raising money, according to several
people helping him prepare for a possible bid.
The thinking comes as O’Malley convenes some of his biggest supporters in
Annapolis on Tuesday for a day of political briefings capped off by a
reception at a private residence. While the invitation advertises talk of
“the way forward for our country,” aides say the agenda does not include
any definite word on O’Malley’s 2016 ambitions.
Just a few months ago, O’Malley said he would “probably” make up his mind
about running by the time his tenure as governor ends in late January. Some
advisers have urged the governor, who is barely registering in the polls,
to get in early with the aim of becoming better known and establishing
himself as a more progressive and forward-looking alternative to Clinton.
But the more likely scenario, according to several people close to
O’Malley, is to wait until around April, allowing him more time to ponder
his place in a race that almost no one thinks he can win and to assess how
Clinton is faring under mounting scrutiny from the news media and
Democratic activists.
“Right now, things are all Hillary all the time,” said one Democratic
consultant with ties to O’Malley, who spoke on the condition of anonymity
to discuss internal deliberations. “It makes no sense for him to make a
decision until that dies down and we see where the race stands.”
After a year of intense travel — including numerous stops in Iowa, New
Hampshire and other early nominating states — O’Malley has kept a
relatively low profile since the bruising midterm elections. In his heavily
Democratic state, he saw his hand-picked successor upset by a Republican
who argued that electing Lt. Gov. Anthony G. Brown (D) would be tantamount
to giving O’Malley a third term.
O’Malley’s job approval rating has slid, and most leading Democrats in
Maryland are rallying around Clinton.
There are also questions about the extent to which donors in Maryland,
deflated by Brown’s loss, will continue to help bankroll O’Malley’s
ambitions once he is no longer in office — and how extensive a fundraising
network he can build beyond that.
O’Malley would almost certainly run to Clinton’s left in the primaries, and
he has compiled a list of accomplishments as governor that he could tout,
including legalizing same-sex marriage, abolishing the death penalty,
raising the minimum wage and granting in-state college tuition rates to
undocumented immigrants.
He has also called for a special prosecutor to reopen cases against CIA
officials involved in controversial interrogations, telling the New York
Times that “the United States does not torture and should not torture.” In
recent days, O’Malley has also echoed the criticism Sen. Elizabeth Warren
(D-Mass.) leveled at Congress for including a provision sought by Wall
Street in an omnibus spending bill.
Still, O’Malley has long fashioned himself as more of a can-do executive
than a liberal crusader, and there are likely to be others in the
Democratic field, including Sen. Bernard Sanders (I-Vt.), who will make an
appeal to the left wing of the party.
There are also personal considerations for O’Malley, a father of four, who
is moving his family back to Baltimore as he wraps up his second term as
governor following a seven-year tenure as mayor of Maryland’s largest city.
“For 15 years, he has been in some pretty intense public service,” said
Terry Lierman, a former Maryland Democratic Party chairman who has been
helping O’Malley’s political action committee raise money. “Maybe it’s time
to take a break, put family first and assess where he is and where he wants
to go. I think that’s fair.”
Many longtime associates continue to believe O’Malley is more likely to run
than not, even if the odds appear long.
“He’s smart enough to know you have to be in the consideration set to win,”
said Trevor Cornwell, a technology company executive in the San Francisco
Bay Area who met O’Malley more than 30 years ago, when both were working on
Gary Hart’s 1984 presidential campaign.
Cornwell, who is helping O’Malley raise money, said he could see him moving
forward “if he believes it’s the right thing in terms of his ability to
contribute his voice on issues that matter.”
O’Malley is doing many of the things that would be expected of someone
gearing up for a White House bid.
He has retained Bill Hyers, the architect of Democratic New York Mayor Bill
de Blasio’s campaign last year, as a senior adviser. O’Malley met privately
with several potential donors while in Los Angeles last week for a
Democratic Governors Association meeting and then headed to Seattle to
court more prospects.
If O’Malley gets in the presidential race, “I do not underestimate his
ability to gain a lot of traction,” said Lanny Davis, a former lawyer to
President Bill Clinton who has supported O’Malley as governor but is
backing Hillary Clinton in 2016.
Davis, a Maryland resident, credited O’Malley for being “a hands-on
governor who did a lot of good things,” but like many said he thinks
O’Malley’s odds of winning the Democratic nomination are slim.
“It would take serious mistakes from Secretary Clinton,” Davis said.
Clinton has said she will probably make a decision about running after the
first of the year. Speculation about her timeline, however, has started to
shift in the wake of several recently planned paid speeches, including one
in March.
Several O’Malley associates suggested that her popularity could sag with
the increased scrutiny that will come in the new year. The landscape
O’Malley would face could be clearer come March or April, they say.
O’Malley spokeswoman Lis Smith declined to discuss O’Malley’s timetable for
a potential White House bid but insisted “nothing has changed” regarding
his intentions since a Washington Post interview in September when he said
he would “probably” make up his mind about running by Jan. 21, when his
term ends.
Fundraising remains a looming challenge for O’Malley and other Democrats
considering a race likely to involve Clinton.
By Maryland standards, O’Malley was a prolific fundraiser as governor, and
he gained exposure to donors across the country during stints as chairman
and finance chairman of the Democratic Governors Association. But he would
be competing against Clinton for some of the same dollars.
“It’s always a challenge when you have a dominant candidate,” said Bruce
Charash, a New York cardiologist who has given to O’Malley’s PAC and is
planning to attend Tuesday’s gathering in Annapolis. “The Clintons have
built an enormous fundraising base. . . . But there are a lot of people who
want to see more than one candidate and a lot of people who see Martin as
the more progressive candidate.”
O’Malley has funded his political activities through a political action
committee, which had close to $1 million in the bank as of last month. None
of that money can be used on a presidential campaign.
For the coming months, aides say, O’Malley will probably continue using the
PAC to pay for his modest-size political staff and to make appearances
around the country.
Unlike a presidential committee, there are no limits on what donors can
give, so a relatively small number of loyal supporters can keep the PAC
afloat. This month, O’Malley’s O’Say Can You See PAC reported raising
$581,550 during a seven-week stretch in October and November. About half of
that came from just 18 donors who gave $10,000 or more.
If O’Malley were to announce a presidential bid and open a fundraising
account, donors would be allowed to give only about $2,700 during the
primaries.
Some activists in early nominating states hope to see O’Malley jump in
sooner rather than later.
“I just think if you’re serious about running for president, you should get
out here and get started,” said Tom Henderson, the longtime chairman of the
Polk County Democrats in Iowa. “You want to get in and lay the groundwork
for the caucuses.”
Henderson said that it’s unclear how much “pizazz” O’Malley has but that he
thinks the Maryland governor has the potential to be a credible candidate
in a state where a sizable number of Democrats are looking for an
alternative to Clinton.
One reason Henderson said he knows O’Malley is seriously looking at the
race: He recently got a Christmas card from him.
Kathleen Sullivan, a former chairwoman of the New Hampshire Democratic
Party, said O’Malley clearly faces long odds if Clinton enters the race, as
she hopes the former secretary of state will.
“I think it’s an uphill climb for Governor O’Malley, no question,” Sullivan
said. “But New Hampshire is the kind of state where people can climb
mountains.”
*Bloomberg: “Elizabeth Warren Would Make a Good President, Carl Levin Says”
<http://www.bloomberg.com/politics/articles/2014-12-16/elizabeth-warren-would-make-a-good-president-carl-levin-says>*
By Annie Linskey
December 16, 2014, 11:20 a.m. EST
[Subtitle:] But he won't tell her to run.
Senator Elizabeth Warren is one of several potential standard-bearers for
the Democratic Party, which would benefit from a competitive presidential
primary, retiring Senator Carl Levin said Tuesday.
"Sure she would make a good president," the Michigan Democrat said at a
Bloomberg News breakfast. "She's got a lot of fire in the area of consumer
protection."
Levin also listed former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, saying that
she feels "in her gut" the impact of the country's widening income gap and
the importance of addressing it.
Levin said Democrats need to talk more about their efforts to protect the
middle class, and he acknowledged that doing so could turn off some of the
Wall Street and Silicon Valley donors who are giving record amounts to fund
political campaigns.
"This is the New Deal, the fair deal, the square deal," Levin said. "I
believe as a party we have to let it come out and not worry about the
impact of campaign contributions. We can't worry about that."
Levin didn't seek another term and is set to be replaced by Democratic
Representative Gary Peters. He demurred on recommending that Massachusetts'
Warren get into the race. "I'm not going to advise anyone to run when I'm
not running," he said.
*Politico: “David Axelrod: Elizabeth Warren trying to ‘leverage’ Clinton”
<http://www.politico.com/story/2014/12/david-axelrod-elizabeth-warren-113600.html?hp=l2_4>*
By Lucy McCalmont
December 16, 2014, 10:20 a.m. EST
Former Obama adviser David Axelrod said Tuesday that he believes Sen.
Elizabeth Warren is keeping a high profile to try to exert “maximum
leverage” on Hillary Clinton’s positions for the 2016 presidential contest.
“I think Elizabeth’s very sincere about her concerns about what’s happening
in the American economy and Hillary hasn’t said yet what exactly her
program will be, what she’s running on,” Axelrod said Tuesday on MSNBC’s
“Morning Joe.” “I think Elizabeth knows she’s got maximum leverage by still
being in the conversation.”
When asked if there was a possibility for an opening for Warren to run,
Axelrod responded, “I suppose.”
“My suspicion is that what she’s doing is trying to influence how Hillary
frames her candidacy and the issues she focuses on,” he said.
Axelrod added that Clinton runs the risk of facing similar pitfalls in 2008
by being overly cautious to define herself and her platform.
“You hear ‘Ready For Hillary’— It’s like, ready for what?” Axelrod said,
noting that as a candidate in 2008, Clinton was very effective in reaching
the American people, but only after the New Hampshire primary when “her
back was to the wall, she through caution to the wind.”
“And now Hillary’s task is to define what it is that she’s running for and
running about and what would the future look like under another President
Clinton,” he said. “And I suspect that what she’s taking her time working
through now, but she has to answer that question.?”
*Slate: “MoveOn Appears To Be Losing Mojo, Ramps Up Warren Push”
<http://www.slate.com/blogs/the_slatest/2014/12/16/elizabeth_warren_for_president_moveon_org_appears_to_be_losing_email_subscribers.html>*
By Betsy Woodruff
December 16, 2014, 12:31 p.m. EST
MoveOn.org has snagged headlines for its Elizabeth Warren for President
agitation, but behind the scenes, things may be looking bleak for the group.
According to numbers from Unroll.me, MoveOn.org’s newsletter was the
second-most unsubscribed in 2014 (the first was StumbleUpon), with a 48
percent unsubscribe rate. Spokesman Frankie Timmons said those numbers are
based on a random sample of 500,000 Unroll.me users. Among that group,
nearly half of MoveOn.org subscribers ended their subscriptions. Unroll.me
is a site that lets users mass-unsubscribe from email newsletters, and
MoveOn.org was the only politics site to make their most-unsubscribed list.
It’s a dubious distinction. With the ascent of Hillary Clinton—a former
Walmart board member who voted in 2002 to give President Bush the authority
to go to war in Iraq—the progressive left is desperately hunting for a 2016
presidential standard-bearer. MoveOn.org has won substantial media
attention for its “Run Warren Run” campaign and its plans to host an event
in a Des Moines, Iowa coffee shop to try to demonstrate that the
Massachusetts Democratic senator has “grassroots” support.
When Warren and her allies tried last week to block a government funding
bill that changed some of the Dodd-Frank Wall Street regulations, there was
an uptick in populist progressive rhetoric on the Hill. But Warren and the
liberal contingent failed to stop the bill, despite finding odd bedfellows
in Tea Party conservatives who loathed it with equal passion (though for
different reasons). If MoveOn.org’s subscription levels are decreasing as
precipitously as UnRoll.me suggests, then those progressives may be
struggling to pitch their message.
MoveOn.org did not immediately respond to a request for comment on the
UnRoll.me data.
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