EFTA01386077.pdf

USDJPY - Support: 111.93 (200DMA), 111.39 ( top daily cloud) Resistance: 113.26 (27/09 high), 114.495 (July 11 high) EURJPY - Support: 131.75 (26/9 Low), 130.64 (15/09 low), 130.88 (55DMA) Resistance: 134.40 (22/09 High) USDJPY failing to make new highs made last month and 113 has seemingly acted as a barrier for the pair this year. With the assistance of an overstretched fixed income market combined with late corners to the party, a short term squeeze to the downside seems to be in progress. With us edging closer to bigger moving averages to the downside, USD bulls may use this as a scooping point. Its again worth being agile on data and the current domestic US political climate in conjunction with the Japanese elections could still add an anchor to the pair. For now, all eyes are on NFPs today with short term ranges having the potential to break. A 113 close is the key to the topside. AUD, NZD (Greg Fiori) AUDUSD: Support: .7743 (o/n low) then .7700-10 Resistance: .7820 NZDUSD: Support: .7050 Resistance: .7156 (200 dma) AUD-NZD- Aud and Nzd trading heavy with both making new weekly lows in the overnight session. Aud takes another hit lower after comment from RBA board member Harper saying that a rate cut cannot be ruled out. This coming after a dismal Retail Sales report and a bid Usd occurring this week. Scope for lower price action still and would fade and move higher on a disappointing NFP print. Nzd had broken some decent levels this week ( 200 dma at .7156 and August lows ,7130) and like Aud the scope is for lower price action still.NZ political uncertainty should become clearer next week when NZ First party announces their intentions on formation of a collation government. CAD : (Brendan Halligan) USDCAD Support 1.2415 (pivot), 1.2062 (Sept Low) Resistance: 1.2663 (Aug 31 swing high), 1.2723 (38.2% Fib May/Sept) A big move for the USD yesterday was finally enough for USDCAD to eradicate the 1.2420-40 resistance zone that had been holding in. I expect economic data to be the primary driver today, with payroll data on tap from the US, and payroll and PMI data for Canada. Without any notable resistance levels within 100 pips, we continue to favor buying USDCAD dips. In my estimation, the combination of better than expected US data and worse than expected Canadian data could see a quick move toward the 1.2663 Aug 31 swing high. CHF: (Brendan Halligan) USDCHF - Support: 0.9655 (100DMA), 0.9637 (38.2% of Sept advance) Resistance: 0.9836 (200DMA) EURCHF - Support: 1.1415 (50DMA), 1.1362 (Sep 8 low) Resistance: 1.1623(22/09 high) CONFIDENTIAL - PURSUANT TO FED. R. CRIM. P. 6(e) DB-SDNY-0087617 CONFIDENTIAL SDNY GM_00233801 EFTA01386077