📄 Extracted Text (7,718 words)
Deutsche Asset
& Wealth Management
Key Client Partners — U.S.
Investment Themes and Solutions
November 2014
For U.S. Key Client Partners (KCP) Clients Only
Not for Further Distribution
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A global partner for our clients
Deutsche Bank
A leading global
financial services
institution with a strong
private client franchise
Deutsche Asset & Wealth Management (DeAWM)
Offers individuals and institutions traditional and alternative investments
across all major asset classes
Wealth Management
Has been providing open architecture, investment management and capital
markets solutions as well as wealth management,
banking and lending services to high-net-worth individuals, families and
select institutions for more than a century
Key Client Partners (KCP)
Key Client Partners aims to provide select sophisticated investors seamless
access to cross asset class, cross border
investment opportunities and financing solutions from Deutsche Asset &
Wealth Management (DeAWM), Corporate Banking &
Securities (CB&S), Global Transaction Banking (GTB) and 3rd party providers
on a non-advised and non-fiduciary basis
Deutsche Asset
& Wealth Management
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Positioned to guide clients through the current market
Deutsche Bank financial standing
Total assets
Common equity tier 1 capital ratio
DeAWM financial standing — total assets
Global
Americas
Wealth Management-Americas
Deutsche Bank Ratings (as of July 29, 2014)
Moody's Investors Service
Standard & Poor's
Fitch Ratings
Presence and span
Global employees (FTE)
Countries with DB presence (as of 12.31.2013)
Total clients (as of 12.31.2013)
Award highlights2
USD 2,280 billion
11.5%
USD 1,307 billion
USD 359 billionl
USD 118.4 billionl
A3
A
A+
96,733
Over 70
Over 30 million
(1) Included in total global assets
(2) For a full list of awards visit: http://www.db.com/en/content/company/-
current_awards.htm
Source: Company data, as of June 30, 2014 (unless noted otherwise)
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Wealth Management
One of Deutsche Bank's five core businesses
Deutsche Bank
Private &
Business
Clients
Corporate Banking &
Securities
Asset & Wealth
Management
Global
Transaction
Banking
Global
Markets
Corporate
Finance
Wealth
Management
Asset
Management
Non-Core
Operations
Key Client Partners
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& Wealth Management
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What is Key Client Partners (KCP)?
A global team with the capabilities and broad coverage to better serve key
clients
KCP has been established to provide high-level coverage and unique
investment opportunities to a subset of the top tier UHNWI & Family Offices
through a
differentiated product offering and investment platform
KCP global coverage
KCP clients will be serviced from one of these regional hubs
KCP capabilities & differentiated offering
Key Client Partners point of access:
Deutsche Asset & Wealth Management (DeAWM)
London
New York
Geneva / Zurich
Frankfurt
Corporate Banking & Securities (CB&S)
Global Transaction Banking (GTB)
Singapore
3rd Party
KCP capabilities
KCP clients
Specialty and boutique offering for our UHNW base with dedicated coverage
expertise
KCP clients are institutional in size, need, sophistication, and are
transactional in nature
Select UHNW individuals with net worth of at least USD 100 million
Provide a comprehensive coverage of capital markets opportunities, private
investments, and asset and liability management
Work with all DB divisions and institutional focus areas to deliver the best
investment
opportunities with a solution oriented approach
Non-advisory platform
Private Markets
Structured Finance
& Lending
Capital Markets
Alternatives
Deutsche Asset
& Wealth Management
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Direct investments
Co-investments, tactical structured vehicles
Structured finance and lending solutions
Structured credit and loan syndication
Flow trading, listed & OTC derivatives
Tactical trading opportunities
Private equity, hedge funds
Real estate, infrastructure
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Access to exclusive offerings for qualified clients
1
Key Client Partners (KCP) aims to provide selected investors seamless access
to the full resources of Deutsche
Bank on a non-advised and non-fiduciary basis2
Connectivity
— DeAWM
— Corporate Banking & Securities
— Global Transaction Banking
— Research
— Third Party Providers
— Open Architecture
KCP
Clients3
— UHNW Individual Investors
— Family Offices
— Foundations, Endowments
— Private Companies
— Small-Medium Sized Institutions
Cross Border
— USA
— Latin America
— Europe
— Asia Pacific
— Middle East
(1) Institutional investors only as defined by FINRA 2111
(2) KCP services are offered to a select group of DeAWM clients who are able
to meet certain criteria including, without limitation, financial and
sophistication qualifications. All KCP opportunities may
not be available in all DeAWM locations
(3) The KCP on-boarding process applies
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Cross Asset Class
— Alternatives
— Commodities
— Credit
— Currencies
— Equities
— Fixed Income
— Multi Asset
— Real Estate
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Key Client Partners capabilities
Our goal is to provide innovative, personalized investment solutions and
opportunities across a full range of
unique asset classes that meet the needs of sophisticated, qualified clients
Futures & options
Commodities
Equities
Credit
Rates
FX
Capital
Markets
Private
Markets
Real estate
Hedge funds
Infrastructure
Portable alpha
Alternative beta
Custom indices
Private equity funds
Alternative
Investments
Co-investment opportunities
Private direct investments
Client-to-Client interaction
Special opportunities
Debt participation
Deal sourcing
Structured
Finance
Securitization
Municipal finance
and Lending
Supply chain finance
Commercial real estate
Loans vs. illiquid collateral
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& Wealth Management
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Agenda emphasis
01 Areas of expertise
02 Key investable themes
03 Implementation of themes
For U.S. Key Client Partners (KCP) Clients Only
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KCP areas of expertise
Private Markets
Co-investment opportunities
Private direct investments
Client-to-Client interaction
Special opportunities
Debt participation
Deal sourcing
Facilitate the sourcing,
trading, structuring,
arranging and executing of
opportunistic, asset backed
debt and equity related
investments
Structured Finance
and Lending
Loans vs. illiquid collateral
Commercial real estate
Supply chain finance
Municipal finance
Securitization
Capital Markets
Futures & Options
Commodities
Equities
Credit
Rates
FX
Alternative Investments
Real estate
Private equity funds
Alternative beta
Custom indices
Portable alpha
Infrastructure
Hedge funds
Provide industry leading
solutions that vary in terms
of complexity,
customization, and
underlying asset type
Provide superior expertise
and execution capabilities
for all traded investment and
liability management
products
A leader in the alternative
investment space which can
provide a clients portfolio
with exposure to
opportunistic special
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situations and targeted
sources of return
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& Wealth Management
For U.S. Key Client Partners (KCP) Clients Only
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KCP investment themes and solutions
01 Areas of expertise
02 Key investable themes
03 Implementation of themes
For U.S. Key Client Partners (KCP) Clients Only
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Themes for UHNW investors
I. Sources of current income
II. Hard assets
III. Transitional capital
IV. Uncorrelated/risk management
V. Current tactical ideas
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& Wealth Management
For U.S. Key Client Partners (KCP) Clients Only
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KCP investment themes and solutions
01 Areas of expertise
02 Key investable themes
03 Implementation of themes
For U.S. Key Client Partners (KCP) Clients Only
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November agenda for implementation of themes
Alternative investments
— Rated Infrastructure Notes Ltd (RIN)
Private markets
— Marinas: Suntex NewCo
— Lift One: Aspen resort property
— Home Partners of America
— Proton therapy bonds
Structured finance and lending
— Structured finance: an overview
— Structured finance: corporate credit transactions
— Equity bridge financing for financial sponsors
Capital markets
— Harvesting volatility risk premia in commodities: DB Brent Short
Volatility II index
— CLO mezzanine debt
— Short duration CLO mezzanine debt
— Hedging and monetization
— Hedging and monetization: case study
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& Wealth Management
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Rated Infrastructure Notes Ltd. (RIN)
Area of expertise: Private markets
Theme: Sources of current income/transitional capital
Overview
— There is a long-term need for infrastructure investment; the total
shortfall in U.S. infrastructure funding over the next 10 years is estimated
to be $2tn1 (i.e. $200bn per annum)
— Estimates project approximately $50bn2 of U.S. private infrastructure
loans maturing by 2017
— As U.S. infrastructure needs increase, more private capital, both equity
and debt, will be required to replace and augment inadequate
public funding
Investment opportunity
— RIN Ltd. (the "Issuer") is a newly formed private debt investment,
utilizing CLO structuring, that will seek to originate a diversified
portfolio
of private infrastructure loans
— The Issuer is seeking $75mm of commitments from institutional investors to
fund junior interests in the form of preferred shares
("Equity")
— The first round closed in November, with a second close planned for
December
— The risk profile is attractive, as data demonstrates that infrastructure
loans have lower default and loss characteristics than noninfrastructure
debt
— Stable nature of infrastructure operating cash flows and tangible asset
coverage
— Lender protections provide ability to monitor borrowers and allow lenders
to actively address underperformance
— Risks: Possibility of loan default, lack of liquidity, increase in raw
material prices, loss of principal, loss of share value, and
deflation
Management team
— Provided approximately $14.0bn (€10.7bn) of financing to 18 infrastructure
businesses
— Pioneers of infrastructure finance involved in marquis transactions in
Europe
and North America
— Over 40 years of collective infrastructure experience
— Extensive experience across geographies and infrastructure sub-sectors
(1) Source: The American Society of Civil Engineers report, March 2013
(2) Source: DeAWM's proprietary database of infrastructure financing details
for approximately 500 transactions between January 1, 2005 and August 31,
2013 in Western Europe and North
America
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& Wealth Management
For U.S. Key Client Partners (KCP) Clients Only
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Marinas: Suntex NewCo
Area of expertise: Private markets
Theme: Hard assets/sources of current income
Overview
— Suntex Ventures, LLC is forming a new company, Suntex NewCo, for the
purpose of acquiring and managing institutional quality marinas
— Suntex intends to create an investment vehicle that will aggregate these
marinas with the goal of listing in the public markets as an
internally managed pure play REIT in a three year timeframe
— An investment in Suntex is intended to provide investors with a highly
predictable and durable current income with the potential for
significant capital growth
Investment overview of marinas
Marinas may provide a compelling investment opportunity for several reasons:
— REIT status: The industry has significant scale, growth potential, strong
free cash flow, and generates an attractive yield; in addition, the
asset class now qualifies for REIT status. Marinas provide yields at the top
of the range for all REIT asset classes (—8.5% nominal cap
rate)
— Stability: Quality marinas are historically stable throughout economic
cycles and resistant to down turns while closely mirroring inflationary
trends
— Barriers to entry: The number of marinas hardly fluctuates due to limited
appropriate land, regulations and environmental protection laws,
and high initial capital investments
— Consolidation opportunity: In the U.S. there are 2,500-3,000 institutional
quality marinas. —90% of owners are "mom and pop"
businesses poised for acquisition and operational improvement
— Risks: Economic downturn that results in fall in marina values, unforeseen
weather events, changing environmental regulation
The Suntex advantage
Suntex is uniquely positioned to capitalize on today's market opportunity
and be the
standard bearer for the institutionalization of the marine real estate
sector:
— Leading marina industry sponsor: the Suntex team has been operating marinas
since 1995. Today Suntex is one of the largest and most reputable marina
companies in the U.S, owning and/or operating 22 institutional quality
marinas
across the U.S.
— Proven track record: Suntex principals and management have over 100 years
of
aggregate experience in managing marinas
— Actionable pipeline: Suntex will take advantage of fragmentation in the
marina
industry to acquire high quality assets at attractive initial yields. The
pipeline
exceeds $1.5bn of current opportunities with $200mm in the acquisition and
closing processl
(1) As of 10/14
Deutsche Asset
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& Wealth Management
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Lift One: Aspen resort property
Area of expertise: Private markets
Theme: Hard assets
Overview
— KCP is partnering with an established Sponsor to find co-investors for the
acquisition, development and sellout of a world-class luxury residence
and private ski club in Aspen, Colorado; it is the last remaining ski-in/ski-
out development parcel directly on Aspen Mountain known as "Lift
One"
— The Sponsor is an independent investment group engaged in acquisitions and
repositioning of prime properties, with a proven track record in
the development of ultra-luxury real estate assets
— The opportunity allows equity investors to generate returns resulting from
the sale proceeds of luxury residences and memberships in an
exclusive private ski club; revenues constitute sale proceeds from condo-
hotel fractional units, whole ownership luxury units, exclusive club
memberships and commercial retail space on the mountain
— Risks: challenges in the development and sale of the property, potential
full loss of investment
Investment highlights
— Strong sponsorship: the Sponsor has significant experience within luxury
development and real estate
— Rare generational opportunity: the remaining supply of Aspen's mountain-
side development parcels is essentially
non-existent, and this real estate rests within a long -favored destination
that is a pinnacle of luxury mountain resorts
— Alignment of interest: Sponsor agrees to commit 5% of capital and equity
investors are given priority to net profit via
a high hurdle rate
— Branding: expected affiliation with world class brands including Bulgari,
Cheval Blanc and Baccarat
— Already entitled: current ownership spent over 8 years entitling the site
and the Sponsor believes amendments will
be swift
— Pro-development political climate: the current City Commission is expected
to be very receptive to the
development, especially in light of the 2017 FIS World Cup Ski Competition
coming to Aspen, finishing at Lift One
— Compelling fundamentals: rapidly escalating pricing, strong sales velocity
and pent up demand for luxury product all
coexist in the Aspen market
Deal terms
Offer size
Minimum
Term
Leverage
Up to $30mm
$3mm
3-5 years, expected
Transaction financed with 75% debt, procured at a later date
Deutsche Asset
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& Wealth Management
For U.S. Key Client Partners (KCP) Clients Only
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Home Partners of America
Area of expertise: Private markets
Theme: Hard assets as inflation protection/sources of current income
Overview
— Home Partners of America ("HPA," formerly Hyperion homes) is a single-
family housing investment platform launched in November 2012 with
the goal of providing responsible households that cannot access mortgage
credit a new path to ownership
— The program is built on a resident led model: approved clients are allowed
to find a home from all available housing stock in agreed
communities; HPA purchases the home, leases it and provides a purchase right
to the client
— DB and other institutional investors like BlackRock and KKR have committed
to invest an aggregate of more than $480mm in HPA
— Target unlevered cash on cash returns above 6%, leveraged gross IRRs
between 14-23%, and five year total returns in excess of 2x capital
Market opportunity
— HPA believes that the current lending environment has created an
attractive opportunity to invest in single-family homes
— Compared to the market pre-housing crisis, significant numbers of middle
class American households cannot obtain mortgage credit
— Access to middle market mortgage credit is almost exclusively driven by
government programs which may not be sustainable. Government
sponsored enterprises are currently responsible for 93% of all mortgage
credit
— Strict lending standard across all credit sources now require FICO scores
that are well above the national average, creating a need for
alternative methods of financing
— Risks: potential loss of full investment, lack of operating history,
limited liquidity
GSA and FHA Credit Scores at Underwriting,
Indicative terms
Term
Investment period
Management fee
Minimum commitment
Distributions
(1) Citigroup
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& Wealth Management
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Permanent, with investors holding a specific percentage of
shares having ability to seek certain liquidity events
beginning after two years
18 months
None — the company is internally managed and will bear
its G&A load
$5mm, though the Company reserves the right to accept
subscriptions of lesser amounts
Required to distribute to its stockholders each year at
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least 90% of taxable income
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Proton therapy bonds
Area of expertise: Private markets
Theme: Sources of current income
Overview
— The Provision Center for Proton Therapy (PCPT) is an ancillary healthcare
facility providing cutting edge proton therapy treatment to cancer
patients in Knoxville, Tennessee
— The bonds were issued through the Health, Education & Housing Facilities
Board of the County of Knox, Tennessee with a 20 year fully
amortizing term maturing in 2034. They are secured by a first mortgage on
all property, plant and equipment comprising the project as well
as a pledge of gross revenues
— The amortization profile of the bonds provides a WAL of 6 years for the
2025 bonds and 16 years for the 2034 bonds
— Debt service coverage ratio is expected to climb to 1.75x by the end of
2015
— Risks: Interest rate risk, credit risk of issuer, medical reimbursement
risk
Implementation
Bond structure:
Maturity Par/mm Coupon Average life Turbo A/L
5/1/2034
5/1/2025
75.60
53.97
6.00%
5.25%
9/19/2030
11/4/2020
8/1/2020
n.a.
— Unlevered, the bonds provide a tax exempt return of
approximately 5-6% with upside potential once the project is
stabilized
— The tax exempt municipal bonds backed by the fully
stabilized proton therapy center in Jacksonville, FL, recently
traded at 3.60% yield to worst, illustrating the value the
market assigns to a stabilized project
— Applying TRS leverage, an investor can receive mid to high
teens in taxable interest
— For investors that value the tax exempt income, DB can
utilize a Senior/Sub trust structure to achieve low double
digit tax exempt yield
Business
model
Protected
market share
Management
team
Operating
results
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Credit strengths
Timeline
Project completed on time and budget. Ramp-up accelerating
with all three initial treatment rooms operational, partially
mitigating stabilization risk
Requires 8.8% market share (515 annual patients) of primary
service area proton-eligible patients to reach breakeven, and just
2.3% when extended to secondary service area
Provided through restrictive state certificate of need process.
Strong location on a mature cancer-care medical campus shared
with clinical partners. Nearest competitor over 500 miles away
Considerable experience managing new medical technologies
from both a facilities management and reimbursement
development standpoint
Impressive YTD operating results with the May through July
period producing above budget patient volume, net patient
revenues and cash collections, offsetting initial ramp off softness
Deutsche Asset
& Wealth Management
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Structured finance: an overview
Area of expertise: Structured finance and lending
Theme: Transitional capital
Overview
— DB Structured Credit team works on a fully integrated basis with the
entire Structured Credit group to provide financing, structuring and risk
management solutions for clients with capital needs that are not well served
by traditional banking products
— Through a continued partnership with KCP, Client Coverage and Structuring,
the DB Structured Credit team is able to provide innovative
financing solutions to an expanding universe of investors and clients
— As of 9/29/14 the group has closed over 25 deals and deployed over $4.5bn
of capital,
— Risks: loss of capital, adverse movement of underlying asset value
Corporate credit transaction types
— High growth debt & equity upside
— Turnarounds
— Complex contract monetization
— Trophy asset financing with complex collateral pool
— Transformational financings (novocure cancer therapy,
renovation)
— Financing acquisition of assets out of bankruptcy
— Bridge to event
Natural resources transaction types
— Oil and gas producers
—Mature field acquisitions: stretch first lien + second lien
— New developers: PUD margin loans
— Securitization: rated ABS distributed to Capital Markets
— Logistics and infrastructure: structured PF debt
— Metals & mining: refinancing of combined equipment finance,
contract monetization, cash flow lending
DB Structured
Credit
Financial assets transaction types
— Esoteric securitization (franchises, royalties,
broadcast/wireless towers, ground leases, license fees, longterm
service contracts, vendor loans, rental contracts)
— Purchases of portfolios of hard asset leases (containers,
aircraft, rail cars, ships)
— Single asset financings (loans against concentrated distressed
debt positions and concentrated private equity)
(1) DB Structured Credit release
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& Wealth Management
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Hard assets transaction types
— Aircraft & components
— Rail cars and rail lines
— Marine assets (container, cargo ships, drill ships)
— Auto/truck fleets
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— Energy: solar, wind, biomass
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Structured finance: corporate credit transactions
Area of expertise: Structured finance and lending
Theme: Transitional capital
Recapitalization on gas station properties
Overview:
— Senior secured credit solution consisting of first, second and third lien
non-revolving term
loans, secured by the assets of the borrower and subsidiaries
— This transaction appealed to the owner because it would allow (i) the
refinancing of all
existing term and subordinated debt and (ii) the payment of a dividend to
equity holders by
using the residual proceeds from the new facility
— Allows the owner to consolidate multiple facilities and remove an
expensive piece of
mezzanine debt
— —300 underlying gas stations provide a unique, diversified, recession -
proof asset with high
barriers to entry
Terms:
Economics
Financing amount
Tenor
Undrawn fee
—$260mm
Medical device company — pre-IPO financing
5 years
2% per annum on any undrawn proceeds under
the facility
Security
First, second and third lien secured by priority
interests on all the assets of the borrower and
the applicable subsidiaries
First lien: L + 4.75%
Indicative interest rate
Deutsche Asset
& Wealth Management
Second lien: L + 8.00%
Third lien: L +14.00%
For U.S. Key Client Partners (KCP) Clients Only
Economics
Mid teens
19
Overview:
— Senior secured debt to venture capitalbacked
company seeking to expand clinical
trials and provide liquidity prior to a potential
IPO
Terms:
Financing
amount
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Tenor
—$50mm
3 years
Resort lease monetization
Overview:
— Senior financing to borrower secured by
contracted lease payments from a creditworthy
counterparty to conduct the
operations at the resort owned by the
borrower
Terms:
Financing
amount
Tenor
—$300mm
4 years + 1 year
option to extend
Mid single digits
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Equity bridge financing for financial sponsors
Area of expertise: Structured finance and lending
Theme: Transitional capital
Overview
— Before realizing synergies, financial sponsors are often required to
inject a large amount of capital to finance the acquisitions of target
companies or the construction of hard assets (ships, aircrafts, mines, power
plants, pipelines, large properties, etc.)
— Equity bridge financing funds a large percentage of the capital
contribution required for these projects while also offering delayed capital
investment by the financial sponsor (until permanent financing available at
higher LTVs), higher IRRs and multiples of capital, and lower
operational intensity with fewer draws
— DB Structured Credit can syndicate this bridge loan credit, offering
investors the asset side of the transaction with higher yields on a
marketcomparable
underlying credit
— Risks: loan default, potential loss of full investment
Case study: transportation assets liquidity financing
— DB provided delayed draw term financing to a portfolio company of a large
US private equity
fund
— The financing was used to fund almost 100% of the capital contribution
required for the
construction and acquisition of shipping vessels
— The facility benefits from the credit support of various Sponsor funds.
Each fund is required to
maintain a certain amount of unfunded commitments to meet its credit support
obligations
— Direct recourse to Sponsor's funds allows meaningfully tighter pricing and
the efficient structure
allows the Sponsor to effectively bridge the capital contributions required
for the acquisition
and construction of the vessels until permanent financing is available at a
higher LTV (and thus
better IRRs)
— While providing benefits to the Financial Sponsor, these facilities also
become opportunities for investors to participate in an economically
compelling, recourse investment with an advantageous risk/reward profile
Financing amount
Tenor
Economics
Security
Deutsche Asset
& Wealth Management
$100mm
Draw conditions
3 years
Low-mid single digits
Covenants
Credit supported by various funds of
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the Sponsor
— Prior written notice of borrowing
— Accuracy of representations and warranties
— Absence of default
— Limitations on distributions and additional
indebtedness
— Minimum liquidity & maximum leverage
For U.S. Key Client Partners (KCP) Clients Only
20
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Harvesting volatility risk premia in commodities: DB Brent
Short Volatility II index
Area of expertise: Capital Markets
Theme: Current tactical ideas
Overview
— Rationale: Historically, the uncertainty risk (implied volatility) priced
in by market participants tends to overestimate the realized risk (realized
volatility)
— Commodity markets are said to exhibit one of the highest volatility risk
premia across markets, partly caused by risk management activities of
consumers and
producers)
— DB's offering of algorithmic Short Volatility Strategies allow investors
to monetize this implied/realized spread in different commodities
— DB Brent Short Volatility Strategy offers investors a simple and
convenient vehicle to monetize the implied volatility premium in Brent
Crude. This strategy is
available for WTI crude and other commodities such as Gold, Copper, Nickel
and Natural Gas
Implementation
— Description: DB Brent Short Volatility II strategy aims to capture the
differential between implied and realized volatility in the Brent crude oil
market by
systematically selling straddles and subsequently delta hedging these
straddles
— The index is constructed as an equally weighted average of 3 sub-indices,
each rolling on different dates in order to minimize path dependency and keep
an (almost) constant volatility duration exposure at all times
— On the relevant quarterly roll date, each sub-index sells an equal number
of call and put options
— Every day the delta position implied by these options is hedged by buying
the delta amount of underlying futures at market close
— Profit and loss from each sub index is the sum of:
— Product of number of options sold on previous rebalance date and the
change in option price from the previous day, for both the call and put
— Product of number of options sold, the implied delta position on previous
day and the change in underlying future price from previous day
Commodity markets offer persistent implied/realized premium2 Index returns4
Implied vc. Realised
Implied vc. Realised
Brent crude oil
WTI crude oil
Natural Gas
Aluminium
Copper
Nickel
Gold
Silver
Premium (long-term)3 Premium (since 2010)
5.52%
3.30%
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3.19%
1.32%
0.93%
1.40%
1.10%
-0.55%
6.67%
4.84%
1.23%
1.65%
4.02%
2.72%
0.84%
-0.98%
(1) Academic Background: Pimco Viewpoint (2012), "The Volatility Risk
Premium"
(3) Data since 1999 for energy, 1997 for industrial metals, 2003 for
precious metals and 2007 for agriculture; data until June 2014
(2) Figures in the table represent the 3m implied volatility risk premium.
Historical implied volatility based on DB internal data. *Data since 1999
for energy, 1997 for industrial metals, 2003 for precious metals and 2007 for
agriculture; data until June 2014
(4) Source: Bloomberg. DB Brent Short Volatility II Index has been
retrospectively calculated and did not exist prior to 04 March 2014.
Accordingly, the results shown during the retrospective periods do not
reflect actual returns.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of how the index will perform
in the future. The performance of any investment product based on the DB
Brent Short Volatility II Index have been lower than the Index as a
result of fees and / or costs. Statistics shown are for excess return
indices except S&P 500 (SPTR <index>), which is a total return index. Data
is as of 14 Oct 2014
Deutsche Asset
& Wealth Management
For U.S. Key Client Partners (KCP) Clients Only
21
EFTA01413209
Harvesting volatility risk premia in commodities: DB Brent
Short Volatility II index (cont.)
Area of expertise: Capital markets
Theme: Current tactical ideas
Index summary
— Transparent: the strategy is fully transparent as it is based on listed
option prices
— Market Neutral: the strategy is constructed using a basket of options and
implies limited directional exposure to Brent front month prices
— Rebalancing: the index is rebalanced every year to provide equal exposure
over the course of the year
— Embedded Cost: index cost is embedded in the after cost implied volatility
calculation
— Transparency: rules-based index with the closing level published on
Bloomberg page DBCMBSV2 <index>
— Risk: losses , and mark to market losses , resulting from increase in
volatility
Comparative performance analysis)
Year on year performance comparison)
(1) Source: Bloomberg. DB Brent Short Volatility II Index has been
retrospectively calculated and did not exist prior to 04 March 2014.
Accordingly, the results shown during the retrospective periods do not
reflect actual returns.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of how the index will perform
in the future. The performance of any investment product based on the DB
Brent Short Volatility II Index have been lower than the Index as a
result of fees and / or costs. Statistics shown are for excess return
indices except S&P 500 (SPTR <index>), which is a total return index. Data
is as of 14 Oct 2014
Deutsche Asset
& Wealth Management
For U.S. Key Client Partners (KCP) Clients Only
22
EFTA01413210
CLO mezzanine debt
Area of expertise: Capital markets
Theme: Structural solutions
Overview
— Bank loan strategies have grown in popularity due to the unique features
of the asset class (i.e. senior secured status and attractive cash coupons)
— Investors recognize that the yield and stability of bank loans offer a
prime opportunity to apply leverage and generate higher returns
— CLO mezz is a floating rate product, so the coupon will rise with short
term rates
— CLO mezz offers high spread levels vs. loans and similar assets:
— CLO 1.0 (pre-crisis) mezz offers upside in the event of deals being
called, and ratings upgrades due to deleveraging of the deals and fast
prepayment rates
— At current levels CLO 2.0 (post crisis) mezz spreads carry the widest
spreads vs. other structured products, relative to ratings
— Risks: default of underlying collateral, credit risk of manager, liquidity
risk
Implementation — vehicle 1
Buy Ba2 ACAS CLO debt
— American Capital, Ltd. "ACAS" is a leading manager of alternative assets,
with an AUM of $93bn,
— The Leveraged Finance Group of American Capital "LGG" manages
syndicated corporate debt for ACAS with $1.5bn in CLO debt and equity 2
CLO:
— This is vanilla CLO managed by ACAS, arranged by DB
— It is risk retention compliant, meaning ACAS retains an economic interest
of at least 5% of the deal balance in the equity tranche of the CLO
— We believe this feature adds value versus other U.S. CLOs as it shows
an alignment of interest between the manager and investor
— This tranche is approximately 108.5% over-collateralized
Indicative Terms
Ticker
Size
Offer
Model Discount Margin4
Rating
Coupon
Maturity
Yield to maturity
Deutsche Asset
& Wealth Management
ACASC 2014-1A E
$9.5mm
90.50px
650-680bps (dependent on call date)
Ba2/BB
3 month Libor + 495bps
7/18/26 legal final, 6-8.5 year WAL expected
—8.5%
(1),(2) As of 12/31/13
EFTA01413211
(3),(4) As of 3/2013
(5),(6) Fixed spread over swap discount curve
Implementation — vehicle 2
Buy BB ING/VOYA CLO debt
— Voya Alternative Asset Management (previously ING U.S. Investment
Management), is a leading manager of alternative assets with an AUM of
$213bn 3
— The Senior Loan Group consists of a team of 27 investment professionals
and 25 support staff. It manages $19bn in assets in its portfolio that
includes19 CLOs4
CLO:
— This is a short deal from ING/VOYA, a conservative manager
— It has significant subordination vs. other new issue CLOs (approaching
subordination of an Investment Grade bond)
— This tranche is approximately 110.0% over-collateralized
— Its reinvestment period is over and is de-leveraging rapidly
Indicative Terms
Ticker
Size
Offer
Coupon
Maturity
Yield to maturity
For U.S. Key Client Partners (KCP) Clients Only
INGIM 2011-1A D
$5.0mm
99.97px
Model Discount Margin5 451bps
Rating
Ba2/BB
3 month Libor + 450bps
6/22/21 legal final, 2.5-3 year WAL expected
-6.2%
23
EFTA01413212
Short duration CLO mezzanine debt
Area of expertise: Capital markets
Theme: Structural solutions
Overview
— The US CLO market is becoming more open to creativity in deal structures
and investment strategies
— Strong demand for seasoned CLO deals has inspired the creation of short
duration CLOs
— DB is a pioneer in this space, having launched the first short duration
CLO in the U.S. market in May 2014 for the leading credit manager,
Ares Management
Characteristics of short duration CLOs
Short duration CLOs combine the best features of 1.0 and 2.0 CLOs, and offer
an
attractive alternative versus CLO 1.0 or refinanced 2011/2012 CLO bonds:
—Very little or no reinvestment period, and one year non-call period
—Capped amend-to-extend activity and capped reinvestment of prepayments
gives more certainty over debt and equity life when compared to typical CLOs
—These deals are debt friendly and simplified (no issuer repurchase of notes
nor
modification of weighted average life rule)
Implementation
Buy BBB Regiment Capital Cavalry V short duration CLO debt
—Regiment Capital Advisers is a Boston based independent investment
manager
— It was formed in 1999 by several principals who had provided
investment management services to Harvard Management Company
—Regiment team members have an average of over 20 years of
experience in the leveraged credit markets
— Its investor base is diverse and is comprised of endowments,
foundations, insurance companies, pension funds, and family offices
—Regiment manages $1.3bn in structured products, with a total AUM of
$3.8bn,
Class
A
B
C
D
E
Eq
Rating
(Moody's)
[Aaa]
[Aa2]
[A2]
[Baa2]
[Ba2]
NR
Par amount ($)
WAL/
EFTA01413213
years
$ 244,000,000.00 66.35 2.8
$ 35,750,000.00 9.72 5.1
$ 18,000,000.00 4.89 5.1
$ 14,000,000.00 3.81 5.1
$ 20,000,000.00 5.44 5.1
Price
talk,
Par
99
97.5
96.5
96.5
$ 36,000,000.00 9.79 N/A n/a
$ 367,750,000.00 100.0
(1) As of 09/15/14
(2)(3) "Price talk" and "Spread Talk" refer to estimates, provided by DB's
Syndicate team, of the prices and spreads expected for the bonds on the
primary market
Deutsche Asset
& Wealth Management
For U.S. Key Client Partners (KCP) Clients Only
24
Spread
talk; (bps)
137
235
330
430
630
n/a
Columnl
Launch
Non-Call Period
Reinvestment
Period
Final Maturity
—Risks: default of underlying collateral, credit risk of manager, liquidity
risk WAL
CLO 1.0
CLO 2.0
Pre Credit Crisis Post Credit Crisis
3-5 years
6-7 years
14-16 years
1-4 years
(depending on
amortization)
—2 years
3-4 years
11-12 years
EFTA01413214
6-8 years
Short Duration
CLO
2014
1 year
1 year
10 years
5 years
EFTA01413215
Hedging and monetization
Area of expertise: Capital markets
Theme: Sources of current income and risk management
Strategy
Description
Zero
Premium
Collar
Customized equity collars can be
created to protect value and provide
continued exposure to a stock
position
Loss
Current Price
Implementation: Client purchases a
put option and sells a call of
equivalent value
Put Spread
Collar
Collars can be customized to create a
risk profile that protects only a
strategic portion of the hedged
stock's value, which may allow for an
increase in upside participation
beyond a standard collar
Implementation: Client purchases a
put, sells a lower put and also sells a
call
Variable
Delivery
Forwards
(VDFs)
Variable Delivery Forwards ("VDF")
are used to monetize a client's
position such that the cash proceeds
can be freely invested without any
limitations
Implementation: Collar structure with
upfront payment of proceeds of a
future sale of the stock
Covered
Call
Covered calls can create or enhance
yield from an underlying stock
position, while participating in price
gains up to the call price
Loss
Implementation: Client sells calls on
his long position
Deutsche Asset
& Wealth Management
EFTA01413216
Current Price
Stock Price
Risks: OTC Derivative transactions involve numerous risks including market,
counterparty default and illiquidity risk. In certain transactions you could
lose your entire investment or
incur unlimited loss
For U.S. Key Client Partners (KCP) Clients Only
25
Call Strike
Profit
Loss
Current Price
Put Strike
Stock Price
Call Strike
Profit
— Moderate liquidity
— Downside protection to
extent of premium
received
— Upside is capped
— No downside
protection beyond
premium received
— Investor remains
undiversified
— Downside protection
— Upside participation to
threshold level
— Immediate liquidity and
potential for
diversification
— Upside is capped
— Some downside
exposure possible
— Potential option cost
within structure
Put Strike
Stock Price
Call Strike
Profit
Put Strike Put Strike
Loss
Current Price
Stock Price
— Potential for higher
upside participation
versus standard collar
— Moderate downside
protection
— Upside is capped
EFTA01413217
— Moderate downside
protection
— Investor remains
undiversified
Implementation
Call Strike
Profit
Advantages
— Upside participation up
to call strike
— Downside protection
below put strike
Disadvantages
— Upside is capped
— Some downside
exposure
— Investor remains
undiversified
Terminal Payout
Terminal Payout
Terminal Payout
Terminal Payout
EFTA01413218
Hedging and monetization: case study
Area of expertise: Capital markets
Theme: Sources of current income and risk management
Overview
— An investors holds 70% of their net worth in XYZ currently trading at
$25.00 per share
— Client has a long-term bullish view on XYZ but is concerned about a
general market pullback
— Client recognizes the need to diversify their portfolio
— Client is interested in generating income since the stock pays no dividend
Solution
Solution part 1: zero-premium collars
— Objectives: protect value, upside participation
— Solution: zero-premium collar on 100,000 shares
$15.00
$17.00
$19.00
$21.00
$23.00
$25.00
$27.00
$29.00
$31.00
$15.00
Current stock price
Solution part 2: VDFs
— Objectives: protect value, monetization, upside participation
— Solution: VDF on 100,000 shares
— The VDF provides downside protection and capped upside
protection, similar to a collar while monetizing the protected value
Structure
1 year 85-115%
1 year 85-125%
1 year 100-125%
Protected
Value
$18.00
$21.00
$24.00
$27.00
Stock price
— Put strike 85% ($21.25), call strike 115% ($28.75)
— Full downside protection below the put-strike and appreciation up
to the call strike
$30.00
$33.00
$36.00
$15.00
$17.00
$19.00
$21.00
EFTA01413219
$23.00
$25.00
$27.00
$29.00
$31.00
$33.00
$35.00
$10.00
PV of floor level Cost of option Upfront payment
84.00%
84.00%
98.80%
1-year 85% -125%
1-year 100% -125%
0.00%
2.00%
8.00%
84.00%
82.00%
90.80%
$13.00
$16.00
$19.00
$22.00
Stock price
$25.00
$28.00
Current stock price
$31.00
$34.00
Risks: OTC Derivative transactions involve numerous risks including market,
counterparty default and illiquidity risk. In certain transactions you could
lose your entire investment or
incur unlimited loss
Deutsche Asset
& Wealth Management
For U.S. Key Client Partners (KCP) Clients Only
26
Underlying stock + hedge
Underlying stock + hedge
EFTA01413220
Disclaimer
THIS MATERIAL IS INTENDED FOR INSTITUTIONAL CUSTOMERS ONLY AS DEFINED BY
FINRA 4512C. The trading and investment ideas discussed herein are general
and do not take into account an institutional client's particular
circumstances (including tax situation), investment guidelines, investment
goals, restrictions or needs. Deutsche
Bank ("DB") is not acting as a legal, financial, tax or accounting adviser
or in any other fiduciary capacity with respect to any proposed
transaction(s) mentioned herein. This
document does not constitute the provision of investment advice and is not
intended to do so, but is only intended to be general information. This
material is for our clients'
informational purposes and is a general solicitation of derivatives business
for the purposes of, and to the extent it is subject to, §§ 1.71 and 23.605
of the U.S. Commodity
Exchange Act. This is not an offer, advice, recommendation or solicitation
to buy or sell, nor is it an official confirmation of terms. Any offering or
potential transaction that may be
related to the subject matter of this communication will be made pursuant to
separate and distinct documentation and in such case the information
contained herein will be
superseded in its entirety by such documentation in final form.
Key Clients Partners ("KCP") services are offered to a select group of
Deutsche Asset & Wealth Management ("DeAWM") clients who are able to meet
certain criteria including,
without limitation, financial and sophistication qualifications. All Key
Clients Partners opportunities may not be available in all DeAWM locations.
The sample trading and investment ideas discussed herein are general and do
not take into account a client's particular circumstances (including his or
her tax situation),
investment guidelines, investment goals, restrictions or needs. DB is not
acting as your legal, financial, tax or accounting adviser or in any other
fiduciary capacity with respect to
any proposed transaction(s) mentioned herein. This document does not
constitute the provision of investment advice and is not intended to do so,
but is only intended to be
general information.
The information herein is believed to be reliable and has been obtained from
sources believed to be reliable, but we make no representation or warranty,
express or implied, with
respect to the fairness, correctness, accuracy, reasonableness, completeness
of such information or that any returns indicated will be achieved. In
addition we have no
obligation to update, modify or amend this communication or to otherwise
notify a recipient in the event that any matter stated herein, or any
opinion, projection, forecast or
estimate set forth herein, changes or subsequently becomes inaccurate. All
opinions and estimates herein, including forecast returns, reflect our
judgment on the date of this
report and are subject to change without notice and involve a number of
assumptions which may not prove valid.
EFTA01413221
Investments are subject to various risks, including market fluctuations,
regulatory change, possible delays in repayment and loss of income and
principal invested. The value of
investments can fall as well as rise and you may not recover the amount
originally invested at any point in time Furthermore, substantial
fluctuations of the value of the
investment are possible even over short periods of time. All pricing is
indicative only. Prices and availability are subject to change without
notice. Changes to assumptions may
have a material impact on any returns detailed.
The terms of any investment will be exclusively subject to the detailed
provisions, including risk considerations, contained in the Offering
Documents. When making an
investment decision, you should rely on the final documentation relating to
the transaction and not any summary contained herein. Past performance is no
guarantee of future
results; nothing contained herein shall constitute any representation or
warranty as to future performance. Further information is available upon
investor's request. Deutsche
Bank is not acting as your municipal advisor, swap advisor, financial
advisor or in any other advisory, agency or fiduciary capacity with respect
to any transaction with you
(whether or not Deutsche Bank has provided or is currently providing other
services to you on related or other matters) unless expressly agreed by
Deutsche Bank in writing.
Deutsche Bank may engage in transactions in a manner inconsistent with the
views discussed herein. Deutsche Bank trades or may trade as principal in
the instruments (or
related derivatives), and may have proprietary positions in the instruments
(or related derivatives) discussed herein, and these may be known to the
author. Deutsche Bank may
make a market in the instruments (or related derivatives) discussed herein.
Assumptions, estimates and opinions expressed constitute the author's
judgment as of the date of this
material and are subject to change without notice.
Deutsche Asset
& Wealth Management
For U.S. Key Client Partners (KCP) Clients Only
ℹ️ Document Details
SHA-256
768307c081b97217bd95b3adc973855cb175996bef9af0a9546eaa173b9edb57
Bates Number
EFTA01413178
Dataset
DataSet-10
Document Type
document
Pages
47