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From: Gregory Brown
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Subject: Greg Brown's Weekend Reading and Other Things.... 05/11/2014
Date: Sun, 11 May 2014 08:51:42 +0000
Attachments: The_States_With_the_Worst_Healthcare_Systems_OLGA_KHAZAN_The_Atlantic_MAY_
1„2014.docx;
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ocx; Palin_goes_too_far„Again_David_Perry_CNN_Politics_May_1„2014.docx;
All Science Is Wrong„Concludes_Esteemed_Fox_News_Panelionathan_Chait_Huff Pos
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_11,_2014.docx; Queen_Latifah_bio.docx
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DEAR FRIEND
WHY ISN'T ANYONE LISTENING
As a liberal Democrat who is interested in politics as well as the welfare of my fellow men/women, I
often find myself watching Moyers & Company, Frontline and Hardball with Chris
Matthews and on the April 29th show Chris Matthews closed with the following:
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MATTHEWS: Let me finish tonight with these war hawks who seize on every world conflict, whatever
the sides, to root for American engagement. It seems there is no war that can't use military action or
the threat of it. In their alarmist world view, this country must forever be aiming its guns at someone,
somewhere, demanding they follow our orders. Well, the effect of this posture, as we've learned in
tragedies, is to transform every regional difference into a loaded weapon. We set up a demand, an
ultimatum, to use an old war, where term, when that's not met, we have no choice but to act. Load her
up. Argue that Saddam Hussein's possession of WMD constitutes a cause for war. Then accuse him of
having them and then it's on to Baghdad.
Do the same with Iran, in Libya, and Syria, and Russia and what God knows what other nation. Then,
cock the hammer. If they don't do what we demand they do, we start the war drums. Well, this has
been the Geronimo talk before and after the hell and stupidity of Iraq. Ever since Vietnam, the
neoconservatives and the militarist hawks have pushed this line. If a country fails to act the way we' d
like, we start war talk. We are always one thumb to nose away from battle. Well, this is the world of
Dick Cheney, the American Enterprise Institute and those killers of the keyboard, those thicken hawks
who send others to battle while they man the op-ed pages. Well, President Obama did a great job in
calling them out for what they are -- warriors without swords, hawks without wings, patriots by the
page, soldiers of the sound bite. That's HARDBALL for now. Thanks for being with us.
2,SARAH PALIN NRA
When Sarah Palin commented, at this last week's national National Rifle Association convention,
"...waterboarding is how we baptize terrorists," she did worse than offend, worse than
degrade human beings, worse than stir up a group of weapon-advocates. She did so in the Name of
God. The fact that the NRA would allow someone to promote fundamentalism at their convention is a
violation of their civic responsibility and a threat to human rights on a national scale. Most faith
traditions incorporate water's restorative power. The Muslim ritual ablution of Wudu, the Jewish
Mikveh ritual bath, the Hindu ritual immersions in the River Ganges, and the Christian practice of
baptism, each point to renewal, transformation, and life. How dare the NRA tolerate -- worse, amplify
-- hatred garbed in religious symbolism. As CNN's David Perry wrote in the article PalM Goes
Too Far, Again -- this was not a joke or an accident and is not new rhetoric -- it is just pure barbaric
hatred.
Leave aside the fact, which Palin consistently ignores, that torture has been proven ineffective in
acquiring actionable intelligence. Leave aside the illegality of torture, affirmed by the United States'
signature on the UN Convention Against Torture, which stipulates, "No exceptional
circumstances whatsoever, whether a state of war or a threat of war, internal political instability or
any other public emergency, may be invoked as a justification of torture." Leave aside the partisan
semantics of what actually constitutes torture in the first place. That has all been settled beyond
question, and is not the source of my outrage at the NRA. We have to wonder how God and guns
merged especially when people are talking about torture -- and waterboarding is torture and was
definitely thought so when the Japanese used in during WWII.
Faith traditions consider torture to be a desecration of the image of God, which is why groups like
T'ruah: The Rabbinical Callfor Human Rights and NRCAT (National Religious
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Campaign Against Torture) have been marshalling religious leaders to address the moral
question of torture. The National Rifle Association consistently grants fundamentalists a platform for
spewing hatred and promoting the tools of war, using the Second Amendment to garner financial gain.
They are using talking heads and patriotism to feed their greed, and the human cost is growing beyond
31,000 annual U.S. gun violence deaths. Fueled by demagogues like Sarah Palin, the NRA's social
impact is immeasurable. Witnessing Sarah Palin's ignorance and venom paired with the
NRA's profitability is both terrifying and offensive. And more terrifying is that someone like
Sarah Palin was almost one heartbeat from being President of the United States.
******
A Few Fascinating Quotes
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******
End The War On Drugs, Say Nobel Prize-
Winning Economists
Read LSE's full report here:
REPORT-FINAL-WEB.pdf
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WAR is failure. So after a decades-long global war on drugs a new report endorsed by five Nobel
Prize-winning economists concludes that it has failed and ifs time to shift the focus from mass
incarceration to public health and human rights. The report, titled "Ending the Drug Wars" and
put together by the London School of Economics' IDEAS Center, looks at the high costs and
unintended consequences of drug prohibitions on public health and safety, national security and law
enforcement. "The pursuit of a militarized and enforcement-led global `war on drugs'strategy has
produced enormous negative outcomes and collateral damage," says the 82-page report. "These
include mass incarceration in the US, highly repressive policies in Asia, vast corruption and political
destabilization in Afghanistan and West Africa, immense violence in Latin America, an HIV epidemic
in Russia, an acute global shortage ofpain medication and the propagation of systematic human
rights abuses around the world."
The report urges the world's governments to reframe their drug policies around treatment and harm
reduction rather than prosecution and prison. It is also aimed at the United Nations General
Assembly, which is preparing to convene a special session on drug policy in 2016. The hope is to push
the U.N. to encourage countries to develop their own policies, because the report declares the current
one-size-fits-all approach has not proved to be effective. "The UN must recognize its role is to assist
states as they pursue best-practice policies based on scientific evidence, not undermine or counteract
them," said Danny Quah, a professor of economics at LSE and a contributor to the report. "If this
alignment occurs, a new and effective international regime can emerge that effectively tackles the
global drug problem."
In addition to contributions from Quah and a dozen other foreign and drug policy experts, the report
has been endorsed by five past winners of the Nobel Prize in Economics: Kenneth Arrow (1972),
Sir Christopher Pissarides (2010), Thomas Schelling (2005), Vernon Smith (2002) and Oliver
Williamson (2009). Also signing on to the report's foreword are a number of current and former
international leaders, including George Shultz, secretary of state under President Ronald Reagan; Nick
Clegg, British deputy prime minister; and Javier Solana, the former EU high representative for
common foreign and security policy. Guatemalan President Otto Perez Molina, who has announced
that his government may present a plan to legalize production of marijuana and opium poppies by the
end of 2014, has also publicly backed the report. Molina plans to discuss the report at the U.N.
A recent Pew survey suggests that Americans may be ready to refocus the U.S. end of the drug war,
with 67 percent favoring policies that would provide drug treatment. "The drug war'sfailure has been
recognized by public health professionals, security experts, human rights authorities and now some
of the world's most respected economists," said John Collins, the International Drug Policy
Project coordinator at LSE IDEAS. "Leaders need to recognize that toeing the line on current drug
control strategies comes with extraordinary human andfinancial costs to their citizens and
economies." Hopefully, governments will now listen to what many professionals have been saying for
decades. The War Against Drugs only makes things worse as it doesn't address the underlying
issues and the collateral damages that it creates worse unintended consequences.
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Special Advisor to the White House — John Podesta
Tuesday the White House released the National Climate Assessment (NCA) Report 2014 saying
that -- Climate change is here and will only worsen. Get used to more flooding, wildfires and drought,
depending on where you live. Cities and states across America already are spending lots of money to
respond. Those are the take-home messages are part of President Barack Obama's second-term effort
to prepare the nation for the impacts of a changing climate such as rising sea levels and increasingly
erratic weather. The National Climate Assessment update said evidence of human-made climate
change "continues to strengthen" and that "Americans are noticing changes all around them." "This
is not some distant problem of thefigure," Obama told NBC, while John Holdren, who directs the
White House Office of Science and Technology Policy, said climate change "already is
affecting every region of the country and key sectors of the economy."
The report, more than 800 pages long, detailed how consequences of climate change could play out on
several fronts, including infrastructure, water supplies, and agriculture. Climate impacts are already
apparent in the United States, they are likely to worsen, and communities should begin factoring
climate change into all kinds of decisions. From Hawaii to Maine, from the fishing industry to
manufacturing, the report's 3o chapters emphasize that "evidence of human-induced climate change
continues to strengthen and that impacts are increasing across the country." Severe weather and
other impacts of climate change also increase the risk of disease transmission, decrease air quality and
can increase mental health problems, among other effects, the report said. That could mean that over
time the demand for certain medications could rise, for example, along with more severe seasonal
allergies. And a changing climate that thrusts U.S. corn production further northward could alter the
transportation patterns needed to move agricultural products to market, boosting road and rail
construction.
Thirteen government departments and agencies, from the Agriculture Department to NASA, were part
of the committee that compiled the report, which also includes academics, businesses, non-profit
organizations and others. By highlighting issues in each corner of the country, the administration
hopes to garner support for federal and state actions, including measures already under way and some
that are pending. "They get that climate change is happening, they get that it is caused by human
activity and support the solutions to climate change but they don'tfeel that sense of urgency," John
Podesta, an adviser to President Barack Obama, told reporters Tuesday.
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Unlike a major United Nations report on climate released earlier this year, which looked at North
America as a whole, the vast U.S. report outlines in detail the effects on different geographic regions
and segments of the economy. For example, while residents of the coastal Northeast could face bigger
storm surges and coastal areas around the country risk more flooding, the southwestern United States
is likely to confront more wildfires and severe water shortages. "It will help put their own experiences
in context, and we think that is important in generating interest and action on the issue," said
Lyndsay Moseley, director of the American Lung Association's Healthy Air campaign.
Instead of climate change as a global problem or a future problem the report lays out climate change as
a problem of today and how it is affecting us now. And these are the effects. Starting with the
Northeast were 64 million people live and super storm Sandy and all of damage that are came from
that and all of huge snowstorm that have slept through the Northeast in recent years, the report says
that these weather events, extreme precipitation events will continue damaging our infrastructure
(roadways, railways, bridges and the electric supplies). Moving down to the Southeast, climate
change is causing seas to overwhelm the low lying coastal areas (these billion dollar weather events)
causing billions of dollars in damages from the Carolinas to Texas.
Not all is bad as climate change may produce a longer growing season in the Midwest where it is all
about agriculture but the downside is that the growing season will be less predictable thus driving up
the cost of food. Moving to the Great Plains the growing problem will be water scarcity. And the
Southwest (Southern California, Arizona, etc.) are already experiencing a growing number of gigantic
wildfires as things dry out and become less favorable for growing conditions. The sort of the same
thing happens in the Northwest as climate change is responsible for insect infestation killing vast
swaths of forest. As a result, no matter where you live in this country there is something in this report
that should concern you. Attached, please find CNN article - Chan es east to west: Breaking
down the climate report by region and for the entire report -
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I just read an interesting article in The Daily Beast by Jay Parini — GOP Hypocrisy: Outraged
Over Benghazi, Silent on Iraq — This week the House of Representatives established a select
committee to investigate the attack on Benghazi that left four Americans dead in 2012. I couldn't help
but wonder what these same legislators might have done had Barack Obama been president in 2003,
and had the audacity of George W. Bush to attack a sovereign country that had no relevant connection
to the 9/11 attacks with the result that nearly 5,000 Americans and well over 100,000 Iraqi civilians
(many of them women and children) perished. Had Obama's war in Iraq also cost American
taxpayers $1.7 trillion, with another $490 in veteran expenses (thus far) — with a total cost of $6
trillion projected — I have no doubt that a select committee would long ago have sent him to the Hague
for trial as a war criminal.
It's sad to think how in our fury over Benghazi we've almost forgotten a recent war that destroyed so
many families, nearly bankrupted this country (and may yet), and led to a hugely destabilized Iraq that
no longer serves as a buffer to Iran. Needless to say, this terrible war was pursued under false
pretenses, with huge amounts of government corruption — Houston-based company KBR alone (a
spinoff from Halliburton, where Dick Cheney was chairman and CEO before becoming vice president)
racked up charges of nearly $4o billion during the war, making it (by far) the winner in the Iraq
sweepstakes. In most banana republics, this would be cause for serious investigation; but not so much
here, where our politicians (or their friends) are allowed to profit from armed invasions. Can it
possibly be so that the U.S. Congress has ignored such obvious corruption while investigating over and
over whether Susan Rice was given some edited "talking points" on Benghazi? Really?
Iraq now lies in ruins, and the U.S. has tens of thousands of enemies with a right to their anger. And
the unintended consequence of this misadventure is the total destabilization of the Middle East, with
the Iraqi government almost a client-state of its former enemy Iran, much like the relationship that
Afghanistan has with its neighbor Pakistan. Meanwhile, Americans mourn the loss of so many
brothers, fathers, uncles, sisters, and mothers. Many veterans lie in hospitals across the nation, dazed
and confused. This war that somehow never found its way onto the books continues to drag on our
economy. So why haven't we brought Bush and Cheney to Washington to answer some very hard
questions under oath? We have serious problems in America and trying to find out why a one-time
description on several Sunday morning news programs by one person in the Obama Administration is
nowhere close to the top nor will it change anything other than muddy up Hillary Clinton should she
run for President in 2016. Since Congress has time to investigate Benghazi, they should also create a
House committee to study the unprovoked attack on Iraq which led to the deaths of hundreds of
thousands of innocent people. This is blatant evidence of the hypocrisy in the GOP's latest attempt to
damage Hillary Clinton, President Obama and their legacies and this is my rant of the week.
WEEK's READINGS
Obama grins and roasts the press,
himself, Republicans and Putin at 2014
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White House Correspondence Dinner
President enjoys tradition of wise-cracks at the expense ofhis critics and himselfat Correspondents
Association dinner
On the 100 anniversary of its founding President Obama made fun of himself at the White House
Correspondents Association dinner on Saturday, the annual nerd-ball schmooze-fest where
Washington's media stars get comfy with a mix of political bigwigs and Hollywood beautiful people to
celebrate a year of journalism. Obama, known for his comic timing and delivery, didn't disappoint.
President Obama poked fun at the press, his political rivals and his own healthcare policy a week ago
Saturday night, as he spoke at the White House Correspondents' Association Dinner.
Web Link:
In the annual tradition of the president offering a sendup of the press, his rivals and often himself,
President Obama noted that House Republicans have been as tough on Speaker John A. Boehner
(Ohio) as they had previously been on him. And one of MY FAVORITES: "Which proves that
orange really is the new black," he said, to roars from the audience of 2,600 or so members of
the media, Congress, visiting celebrities and others at the Washington Hilton. He was, of course,
poking fun at the preternaturally tan Boehner who is a frequent target of Washington punch lines. The
technical problems with the government's health-care Web site provided the inspiration for one of the
year's most popular movies, Obama said. Then the poster for the animated film "Frozen"appeared
on the large television screens. Obama's routine at the dinner focused mostly on those likely to be
vying for the 2016 presidential nominations. Fox News will miss him when he leaves office, he said,
because ANOTHER FAVORITE: "it will be harder to convince the American people that
Hillary was born in Kenya."
WHCA
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The White House Correspondents' Association (WHCA) is an organization of journalists who cover the
White House and the President of the United States. The WHCA was founded on February 25, 1914,
by journalists in response to an unfounded rumor that a Congressional committee would select which
journalists could attend press conferences of President Woodrow Wilson. The WHCA operates
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independently of the White House. Among the more notable issues handled by the WHCA are the
credentialing process, access to the President and physical conditions in the White House press
briefing rooms.
The States With the Worst Healthcare
Systems
Nearly a quarter of West Virginians have lost six or more teeth, and otherfindingsfrom a new
Commonwealth Fund report.
Overall performance, 2010
Top qua,We Ill states)
• Second quart* (I1 states a)
• Med goattge (14 states)
• Bottom quasole ( I2 states)
Minnesota has the nation's best-performing healthcare system, according to a Commonwealth Fund
ranking released this week, and Massachusetts, Vermont, and New Hampshire are tied for second.
Mississippi ranks last, just as it did on the previous ranking in 2009. Louisiana, Oklahoma, and
Arkansas round out the bottom of the list.
For the ranking, the Commonwealth Fund relied on 42 different metrics that gauged everything from
insurance coverage to avoidable hospital stays to vaccination rates, at the systemic level; and from
obesity rates to how many adults have lost six or more teeth, at the individual level.
Here's the tooth map:
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Healthy Lives: Percent of adults ages 18-64 who have lost six or more teeth
because of tooth decay, infection, or gum disease, 2012
. • 5~4 Quonito • Third°aft* • t tom QUHUO No De 4
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*Plablit
sal
Almost all states either stagnated or declined in performance since the survey was performed five years
ago, and once again, Southern states scored especially poorly across all of the dimensions. What's
more, there were wide mortality differences between black and white residents of several states in the
Deep South. "Racial and ethnic minorities in Arkansas, Georgia, Indiana, Mississippi, and North
Carolina faced some of widest disparities relative to the national average across all of the indicators
assessed in our Equity dimension," the group wrote.
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U.S. average, all races - 86 per 100.000
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Demographically, Mississippi is already at a disadvantage. A black man in Mississippi has a shorter life
expectancy than the average American did in 1960. The state has an obesity rate of 35 percent, one of
the highest poverty rates in the country, and just one abortion clinic. Healthcare in Mississippi and in
other Southern states is unlikely to become more equitable anytime soon, however. As the study
authors note, 16 of the states in the bottom half of the ranking have opted not to expand Medicaid
under the Affordable Care Act to adults making up to 138 percent of the federal poverty level.
In Mississippi, for example, "Medicaid eligibility for non-disabled adults is limited to parents with
incomes below 29 percent of poverty, or about $6,800 a year for a family of four, and adults without
dependent children remain ineligible regardless of their income," as the Kaiser Family Foundation
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points out. Those Mississippians making between too percent of the federal poverty level, or $23,850
for a family of four, and 400 percent, can qualify for subsidies to buy health insurance on the
exchanges. But 30 percent of uninsured Mississippians fall into the "coverage gap" between the state's
current income cutoff for Medicaid and the federal cutoff for health insurance subsidies. They don't
qualify for any kind of financial help to buy health insurance and are likely to remain uninsured.
Mississippi also had the largest percentage of adults who went without medical care because of cost
issues, according to the Commonwealth Fund report.
In an editorial in the Journal of the American Medical Association last week, the Commonwealth
Fund's Douglas McCarthy and David Radley highlighted Medicaid expansion as one way to bridge the
North-South healthcare divide. "If all states participate in Medicaid expansions, the geographic divide
documented by the scorecard might narrow," they wrote. "However, if many states do not, the divide
could widen in the future."
Overlook by almost everyone in the American press was that Al Qaeda Chief Ayman Al-Zawahri
has publicly admitted that al Qaeda's entry into Syria's civil war caused "a political disaster" for
Islamist militants there, the movement's global leader al-Zawahri said in a video message, urging the
faction to redouble its efforts in Iraq instead. Zawahri has repeatedly tried to end infighting between
the Islamic State in Iraq and the Levant (ISIL) and another al Qaeda-aligned group, the Nusra Front.
He said on Friday in a message translated by SITE Monitoring that if ISIL had accepted his decision
not to get involved in Syria and had instead worked to "busy itself with Iraq, which needs double its
efforts" then it could have avoided the "waterfall of blood" caused by militant infighting. ISIL
militants joined the conflict in Syria last year and unilaterally declared they were taking over the Nusra
Front, which had won the admiration of many rebels fighting Syria's President Bashar al-Assad for its
battlefield prowess.
Zawahri, who has run al Qaeda since Osama bin Laden was killed in April 2011, accused ISIL's leader,
Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi, of "sedition" and said rebel disunity had been handed "on a plate of gold" to
Assad, the ultimate target of all Sunni Islamist groups in Syria. Zawahri said Baghdadi should instead
redouble his efforts against the Iraqi government, led by Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki who is a
Shi'ite - an Islamic sect regarded by al Qaeda as heretical. Shi'ism is the dominant sect in Iran. He said
that toppling Assad would "cause the elimination of more than half of the Iranian power alliance that
seeks to establish a Shi'ite statefrom Afghanistan to south Lebanon". On Wednesday the United
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States said al Qaeda's core organization in Pakistan, led by Zawahri, had been severely degraded, but
that the movement's affiliates in Africa and the Middle East were becoming more autonomous and
aggressive. The leadership of Al Qaeda and AI-Zawahri are learning the lesson that cross border
intervention can have unintended consequences as the locals whom you support may be crazier than
you
Last week in the New York Times economist Paul Krugman wrote a scathing op-ed — Inventing a
Failure - on how House Republicans released a deliberately misleading report on the status of
health reform, crudely rigging the numbers to sustain the illusion of failure in the face of unexpected
success.... Asking readers "are you shocked?"
Krugman: You aren't, but you should be. Mainstream politicians didn't always try to advance their
agenda through lies, damned lies and — in this case — bogus statistics. And the fact that this has
become standard operating procedure for a major party bodes ill for America's future.
About that report: The really big policy news of 2014, at least so far, is the spectacular recovery of the
Affordable Care Act from its stumbling start, thanks to an extraordinary late surge that took
enrollment beyond early projections. The age mix of enrollees has improved; insurance companies are
broadly satisfied with the risk pool. Multiple independent surveys confirm that the percentage of
Americans without health insurance has already declined substantially, and there's every reason to
believe that over the next two years the act will meet its overall goals, except in states that refuse to
expand Medicaid.
This is a problem for Republicans, who have bet the ranch on the proposition that health reform is an
unfixable failure. "Nobody can make Obamacare work," declared Eric Cantor, the House majority
leader, a couple of weeks ago (when it was already obvious that it was working pretty well). How can
they respond to good news? Well, they could graciously admit that they were wrong, and offer
constructive suggestions about how to make the law work even better. Oh, sorry —
I forgot that I wasn't writing jokes for the White House Correspondents' Dinner.
No, they have in fact continued to do what they've been doing ever since the news on Obamacare
started turning positive: sling as much mud as possible at health reform, in the hope that some of it
sticks. Premiums were soaring, they declared, when they have actually come in below projections.
Millions of people were losing coverage, they insisted, when the great bulk of those whose policies
were canceled simply replaced them with new policies. The Obama administration was cooking the
books, they cried (projection, anyone?). And, of course, they keep peddling horror stories about people
suffering terribly from Obamacare, not one of which has actually withstood scrutiny.
Now comes the latest claim — that many of the people who signed up for insurance aren't actually
paying their premiums. Obviously this claim is part of a continuing pattern. It also, however, involves
a change in tactics. Previous attacks on Obamacare were pretty much fact-free; this time the claim was
backed by an actual survey purporting to show that a third of enrollees hadn't paid their first premium.
But the survey was rigged. (Are you surprised?) It asked insurers how many enrollees had paid their
first premium; it ignored the fact that the first premium wasn't even due for the millions of people who
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signed up for insurance after March 15.
And the fact that the survey was so transparently rigged is a smoking gun, proving that the attacks on
Obamacare aren't just bogus; they're deliberately bogus. The staffers who set up that survey knew
enough about the numbers to skew them, which meant that they have to have known that Obamacare
is actually doing O.K.
First of all, it fires up the base. After this latest exercise in deception, we can be fairly sure that
Republican leaders know perfectly well that Obamacare has failed to fail. But the party faithful don't.
Like anyone who writes about these issues, I get vast amounts of mail from people who know, just
know, that insurance premiums are skyrocketing, that far more people have lost insurance because of
Obummercare than have gained it, that all the horror stories are real, and that anyone who says
otherwise is just a liberal shill.
Beyond that, the constant harping on alleged failure works as innuendo even if each individual claim
collapses in the face of evidence. A recent poll by the Kaiser Family Foundation found that a majority
of Americans know that more than eight million people enrolled in health exchanges; but it also found
a majority of respondents believing that this was below expectations, and that the law was working
badly.
So Republicans are spreading disinformation about health reform because it works, and because they
can — there is no sign that they pay any political price when their accusations are proved false. And
that observation should scare you. What happens to the Congressional Budget Office if a party that has
learned that lying about numbers works takes full control of Congress? What happens if it regains the
White House, too? Nothing good, that's for sure.
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One of the scariest phrases in military jargon has to be unintended consequences. An example of
unintended consequences is the United States arming Mujahideen forces and Osama bin Laden in
Afghanistan in the 198os only to face the same forces and weapons itself in 2001. And probably a
better example is the Bush/Cheney administration's miscalculations of the benefits of regime change
in Iraq. Because of instead of giving us access to cheap crude oil, stabilizing the Middle East and
isolating al Qaeda and Iran, the exact opposite happened on all three, not to mention 9/11 as well as
the embassy bombings in Kenya and Tanzania by al Qaeda in 1998.
This week in The Daily Beast Bruce Riedel wrote an interesting article — Syria's Terror
Blowback Threatens Europe and the United States - pointing out that the Afghan war of the
198os gave us al Qaeda and the Syrian war of today may spawn something worse as the flow of foreign
fighters to Syria to join the war against Bashar Assad's dictatorship is becoming the largest in the
history of the global jihad, and the Syrian battleground is on the way to outstripping the 1980s Afghan
war against the Soviets as a training ground for Islamic militants. Security services around the world
are becoming increasingly alarmed at the implications for the safety of their citizens.
American intelligence officials now put the number of foreign fighters who have gone to Syria since the
war began in 2011 at between 8,000 and 10,000. Other sources put the total even higher, up to 12,000.
The largest contingent is probably Saudis. Saudi sources put the number of their citizens who have
gone to wage jihad in Syria at 1,200, of whom 300 are reported to have died on the battlefield.
Jordanian sources report about a thousand Jordanians have gone to fight in their northern neighbor.
Figures for other Arab countries are largely unavailable. There are no coherent governments counting
the flow of fighters from broken states like Yemen, Libya or Iraq, but we know from previous
experience they are likely sources of jihadists.
Virtually every country in Western Europe has reported that some of its Muslim citizens have gone to
Syria. A small but significant number have died in the war and become martyrs back in the United
Kingdom, France, Belgium, and other states with sizable Muslim minorities. Even tiny Luxembourg
has had one jihadi martyr already. Americans are now fighting in Syria as well. In comparison, the war
against the Soviet 40th Red Army in Afghanistan in the 198os attracted an estimated 20,000 foreign
volunteers over a decade, according to the estimate of the American intelligence community when the
Russians retreated from Afghanistan in 1989. So Afghanistan attracted more volunteers, but over a
longer time period. If Syria continues to attract foreign fighters at the rate we have seen so far and the
civil war goes on for a decade, the Syrian war is all but certain to be an even larger factory for
extremism than Afghanistan.
Syria is worrisome in other ways as well. Many of the so-called Arab Afghans who came to Pakistan
and Afghanistan in the 198os were labeled "tourist jihadis" at the time. Considerable numbers of the
Arab and other Muslim volunteers in the '8os never actually crossed the border from Pakistan into
Afghanistan to fight the Russians. They got their pictures taken with an AK47 assault rifle in the
Afghan refugee camps and the training bases of the mujahedin in Pakistan, endured a few months
hardship and then they went home to boast of their "experience" in jihad. Understand that foreign
fighters are often the most fanatical on the battlefield and among jihadis they probably make up the
majority of suicide bombers.
Even those who did fight against the Russians played only a marginal role in determining the outcome
of the war. The best estimate available of the total number of Arab Afghans who died on the battlefield
in the 1980s is no more than 500. Over a million Afghans died in the war. The vast bulk of the fighting
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was done by thousands of Afghan mujahedin backed by several hundred Pakistani intelligence officers
from the ISI and Pakistan Special Forces commandoes. With a few notable exceptions (Osama bin
Laden being the most important) the Arab Afghans were not regarded by either the mujahedin or the
ISI as serious contributors to the war effort. They were good for fundraising, medical services and
public relations purposes, not combat.
That is not the case in Syria today. Foreign fighters are a mainstay of the rebellion against Assad.
Especially in the extremist factions like al Qaeda's Al Nusra Front or the even more radical Islamic
State of Iraq and al Shams group (expelled from al Qaeda this winter for its extremism), the foreign
volunteers are a major source of manpower for the war. The foreign fighters are often the most
fanatical on the battlefield. They probably make up the majority of suicide bombers. In Afghanistan in
the 1980s there were no suicide bombers—the mujahedin then did not feel that was a heroic way to
fight or die.
The blowback from the Afghan war was massive and enduring. As early as 1991 Algerian veterans of
the Afghan war were a critical ingredient in starting the Algerian civil war that ultimately claimed an
estimated 150,000 lives. Afghan veterans in Egypt played a role in the wave of terror that swept Cairo
and other Egyptian cities in the 199os. The Who's Who of the Global Jihad is full of Afghan war
veterans from bin Laden to his successor, the Egyptian Ayman Zawahiri, who was a doctor in the
refugee camps during the war. Of course the most dangerous blowback of the war was the role it
played in creating the ideology of global jihad.
The father of that ideology was an Afghan war veteran, Abdallah Azzam, a Palestinian who was bin
Laden's first partner in attracting foreign fighters to come to Afghanistan. Few volunteers in the 198os
came from the Muslim Diaspora in Europe and North America. Now there are dozens of fighters in
Syria who have American and European passports and will come home if they survive the war. For the
intelligence and security services of the Western allies the specter of dozens of battle-hardened,
experienced fanatics returning to their homes full of anger and resentment is a very deeply troubling
one.
The Six Principles of the New Populism
(and the Establishment's Nightmare)
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Robert Reich — Huffington Post— 05/06/2014
More Americans than ever believe the economy is rigged in favor of Wall Street and big business and
their enablers in Washington. We're five years into a so-called recovery that's been a bonanza for the
rich but a bust for the middle class. 'The game is rigged and the American people know that. They
get it right down to their toes,"says Senator Elizabeth Warren. Which is fueling a new populism on
both the left and the right. While still far apart, neo-populists on both sides are bending toward one
another and against the establishment. Who made the following comments? (Hint: Not Warren,
and not Bernie Sanders.)
A. We "cannot be the party of fat cats, rich people, and Wall Street."
B. "The rich and powerful, those who walk the corridors of power, are getting fat and happy..."
C. "If you come to Washington and serve in Congress, there should be a lifetime ban on lobbying."
D. "Washington promoted moral hazard by protecting Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, which privatized
profits and socialized losses."
E. "When you had the chance to stand up for Americans' privacy, did you?"
F. "The people who wake up at night thinking of which new country they want to bomb, which new
country they want to be involved in, they don't like restraint. They don't like reluctance to go to war."
(Answers: A. Rand Paul, B. Ted Cruz, C. Ted Cruz, D. House Republican Joe Hensarling, E. House
Republican Justin Amash, F. Rand Paul )
You might doubt the sincerity behind some of these statements, but they wouldn't have been uttered if
the crowds didn't respond enthusiastically — and that's the point. Republican populism is growing, as
is the Democratic version, because the public wants it. And it's not only the rhetoric that's converging.
Populists on the right and left are also coming together around six principles:
1. Cut the biggest Wall Street banks down to a size where they're no longer too big to fail. Left
populists have been advocating this since the Street's bailout now they're being joined by populists on
the right. David Camp, House Ways and Means Committee chair, recently proposed an extra 3.5
percent quarterly tax on the assets of the biggest Wall Street banks (giving them an incentive to trim
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down). Louisiana Republican Senator David Vitter wants to break up the big banks, as does
conservative pundit George Will. "There is nothing conservative about bailing out Wall Street," says
Rand Paul.
2. Resurrect the Glass-Steagall Act, separating investment from commercial banking and thereby
preventing companies from gambling with their depositors' money. Elizabeth Warren has introduced
such legislation, and John McCain co-sponsored it. Tea Partiers are strongly supportive, and critical of
establishment Republicans for not getting behind it. "It is disappointing that progressive collectivists
are leading the effort for a return to a law that served well for decades," writes the Tea Party Tribune.
"Of course, the establishment political class would never admit that their financial donors and patrons
must hinder their unbridled trading strategies."
3. End corporate welfare -- including subsidies to big oil, big agribusiness, big pharma, Wall Street,
and the Ex-Im Bank. Populists on the left have long been urging this; right-wing populists are joining
in. Republican David Camp's proposed tax reforms would kill dozens of targeted tax breaks. Says Ted
Cruz: "We need to eliminate corporate welfare and crony capitalism."
4. Stop the National Security Agency from spying on Americans. Bernie Sanders and other populists
on the left have led this charge but right-wing populists are close behind. House Republican Justin
Amash's amendment, that would have defunded NSA programs engaging in bulk-data collection,
garnered in Democrats and 94 Republicans last year, highlighting the new populist divide in both
parties. Rand Paul could be channeling Sanders when he warns: "Your rights, especially your right to
privacy, is under assault... if you own a cellphone, you're under surveillance."
5. Scale back American interventions overseas. Populists on the left have long been uncomfortable
with American forays overseas. Rand Paul is leaning in the same direction. Paul also tends toward
conspiratorial views about American interventionism. Shortly before he took office he was caught on
video claiming that former vice president Dick Cheney pushed the Iraq War because of his ties to
Halliburton.
6. Oppose trade agreements crafted by big corporations. Two decades ago Democrats and
Republicans enacted the North American Free Trade Agreement. Since then populists in both parties
have mounted increasing opposition to such agreements. The Trans-Pacific Partnership, drafted in
secret by a handful of major corporations, is facing so strong a backlash from both Democrats and tea
party Republicans that it's nearly dead. "The Tea Party movement does not support the Trans-Pacific
Partnership," says Judson Philips, president of Tea Party Nation. "Special interest and big
corporations are being given a seat at the table" while average Americans are excluded.
Left and right-wing populists remain deeply divided over the role of government. Even so, the major
fault line in American politics seems to be shifting, from Democrat versus Republican, to populist
versus establishment -- those who think the game is rigged versus those who do the rigging. In this
month's Republican primaries, tea partiers continue their battle against establishment Republicans.
But the major test will be 2016 when both parties pick their presidential candidates. Ted Cruz and
Rand Paul are already vying to take on Republican establishment favorites Jeb Bush or Chris Christie.
Elizabeth Warren says she won't run in the Democratic primaries, presumably against Hillary Clinton,
but rumors abound. Bernie Sanders hints he might.
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Wall Street and big business Republicans are already signaling they'd prefer a Democratic
establishment candidate over a Republican populist. Dozens of major GOP donors, Wall Street
Republicans, and corporate lobbyists have told Politico that if Jeb Bush decides against running and
Chris
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