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Feb 2014 Mar 2014
--- Forwarded by Tana Smithlelbabcom on 03/14/2014 09.52 AM ---
Prom' Vansivee Vermardlildbcom@DBEMEA
To. looptagre4 db.com:
Date 03/14/2014 03:53AM
Subject Markets opering weaker. Kerry and Lavrov meeting today key I KCP Capital Markets III
Risk aversion continues from yesterday as we approach the weekend.
Nikkei -3.3.%, MICEX (Russia) -4%, DAX futures -1%
Commodities have remained relatively stable despite the movements in other markets
WTI and Gold (charts below) have hardly reacted
There is increasing nervousness ahead of Sunday's referendum in Crimea.
G7 leaders said they would not recognize the outcome of the referendum,
while Russia has maintained that they were prepared to "mirror" any sanctions
There were reports of Russian military "training exercises" along the border yesterday
Key events to watch today:
1) Russian Foreign minister Sergei Lavrov and US Secy of State John Kerry meet in London.
This is a last-ditch effort to de-escalate the situation
2) Central Bank of Russia meeting today at 9:30 where Bloomberg survey expects no change
Swaps curve is pricing in over a 100bp hike. How will the central bank react to FX pressures?
Ongoing tensions justify a cautious approach into the weekend.
CONFIDENTIAL - PURSUANT TO FED. R. CRIM. P. 6(e) DB-SDNY-0 110763
CONFIDENTIAL SDNY_GM_00256947
EFTA01453252
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