📄 Extracted Text (337 words)
From: Tazia Smith
Sent: 4/29/2014 4:55:26 PM
To: [email protected]
CC: Vinit Sahni I ; Nay G upta I I; Paul Morris
Vahe Stepan ian
Subject: Twitter down - 9% on earnings, lowest price since IPO. Earnings call to begin shortly, lock-up expiry on Tuesday (5/6)
ICI
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classification: confidential
Jeffrey -
As you know, you own 1000 shares of TWTR at S26 (+512.7k)
TWTR shares are at their lowest level since the stock's IPO (presently $38.70,
vs. a close of $42.62)
Conference call begins at 5pm ET
Twitter reported a better-than-expected top and bottom line for Q1, however,
Monthly Active user (MAU) growth was shy of whisper expectations. Investors
are focused on valuation (still high at current stock price - OS's price
target of S6S implies 6Sx EV/EBITDA vs. Facebook which is -12x), and stock
action has reflected the forthcoming headwind: -474mm shares come out of 180
lock-up as of next Tuesday, 5/6 (includes Execs and early stage PE).
Top and bottom line beat (like last quarter) but user growth is just inline
with consensus ests and disappoint vs expectations:
Revenues Better - 5250mm vs 1241.5mm
Earnings Setter - 50.00 vs (50.03)
But audience growth (Monthly Active users) just inline - disappointing vs.
whisper
MAu:
Total 255M vs SA 256.8M and 241M in Q4 - represents y/y growth of +25%
Mobile 198M vs 184M in Q4
US 57m vs SA S7.OM and S4M in Q4
International 198m vs SA 200.OM and 187M in Q4
(source: Streetaccount.com)
Guidance inline/better:
Q2 Guidance inline EBIDGA of 135-30mm vs $28mm
FY Guidance EBIDA of 1180mm-205mm vs prior 5150-180mm (cons 181mm)
TwTR Intra-Day/Aftermarket Price History
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TWTR 6mo Price History
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Tazia Smith
Director I Key Client Partners - US
DB Securities Inc
Deutsche Asset & wealth Management
345 Park Avenue, 10154-0004 New York, NY, USA
CONFIDENTIAL - PURSUANT TO FED. R. CRIM. P. 6(e) DB-SDNY-0 123752
CONFIDENTIAL SDNY_GM_00269936
EFTA01461605
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