📄 Extracted Text (12,768 words)
From: Gregory Brown
To: undisclosed-recipients:;
Bce: [email protected]
Subject: Greg Brown's Weekend Reading and Other Things.... 03/03/2013
Date: Sun, 03 Mar 2013 19:58:16 +0000
Attachments: Austerity„Italian_Style_Paul_Krugman_NYT_Februaty_24„2013.pdf;
The_GOP_revival_must_go_beyondjoining_Twitter_Stuart_Stevens_TWP_February_24„
2013.pdf;
Blaming_the_Tea_Party—Controled_GOP_for_Sequestration_Isnt_Partisanits_Factual+Mit
chell Bard_Huff Post 02 24_2013.pdf;
The_True_nationkdect_Ribert_Samuelson_TWP_February_24„2013.pdf;
Why_Obama_Must_Meet_the_Republican_Lies_Directly,Robert_Reich_Huff_Post_02-25-
13.pdf;
What_Should_the_Republican_Party_Stand_For_Molly_Ball_The_Atlantic_02_26_13.pdf;
Ending_the_permanent_crisis_BJ_Dionne_TWP_February_27,2013.pdf;
Congress's_Power_to_Protect_the_Vote_NYT_Editorial_February_27„2013.pdf;
Moyers_&_Company_Fighting_Creeping_Creationism_March_l „2013.pdf;
The Return of the Euro Crisis Robert Samuelson TWP February 28, 2013.pdf;
.pdf;
Dionne_Warwick_bio.pdf; As_the_Cuts_Hit_Home_NYT_editorial_March_1„2013.pdf
DEAR FRIENDS
As many of you know, I am a huge fan of Bill Moyers and this week on his show MOYERS &
COMPANY, Fighting Creeping Creationism -- he interviewed 19-year-old anti-creationism
activist Zack Kopplin, who from the time he was a high school senior in his home state of Louisiana,
has been speaking, debating, cornering politicians and winning the active support of 78 Nobel
Laureates, the American Association for the Advancement of Science, the New Orleans City Council,
and tens of thousands of students, teachers and others around the country, challenging education laws
that encourage teaching creationism alongside evolution, and supporting school vouchers to transfer
taxpayer money from public to private schools, where religious fundamentalists backed by the right
wing can push a creationist agenda. Also on the program was journalist and historian Susan Jacoby
who talked with Bill about the role secularism and intellectual curiosity have played throughout
America's history — a topic explored in her new book, The Great Agnostic: Robert Ingersoll
and American Freethought.
ZACK KOPPLIN: Evolution and climate change aren't scientifically controversial, but they are controversial to Louisiana
legislators. Arid basically, everyone who looked at this law knew it was just a backdoor to sneak creationism into public
school science classes.
BILL MOYERS: And...
SUSAN JACOBY: I never do debates about the existence of God. Why would you do that? Who are you going to
convince? I like to talk about public issues.
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Creationists say/believe that the earth is less than 10,000 years old. And when confronted with
scientific evidence that the earth is millions of years old and evolution of the species they then say that
we were created in our present form by intelligent design which is dressed up to look like it's scientific,
but it's really not.
In 2008, Governor Bobby Jindal, a very smart man and Brown University biology major and Rhodes
Scholar signed the Louisiana Science Education Act and since then voiced support for intelligent
design creationism and he has defended the law every since. Working with Louisiana State Senator
Karen Carter Peterson, who represents a district in New Orleans (one of the few votes against the law
when it first passed) Kopplin and others have tried to get the bill repealed. The latest findings from
Gallup last June are that 46 percent of Americans believe in creationism. 32 percent believe in
evolution guided by God. I guess they would call that a form of intelligent design. While only 15
percent believe in evolution without God's help. The Catholic Church accepts a point somewhere in
between — Pope John Paul II said there is no conflict between evolution and the doctrine of faith.
Suggesting: "We think God started evolution. And it's run the way scientists say it's run." Then how do
they explain as the Bible suggests that the earth is about 9,000 years old and was created in six days.
And this is what Bobby Jindal and religious fundamentalists would like taught along science in our
public schools instead of evolution, embryology and the big bang theory.
Since America's beginning, every generation has had to engage in the battle over freedom of religion
and freedom from religion -- whether it's Roger Williams fighting Puritan intolerance in New England,
the deism of Jefferson and Thomas Paine in the early days of independence, or a man you may never
have heard of — an orator so famous in the 19th century that standing-room-only crowds turned out
wherever he went -- just to hear him speak. He captivated audiences -- with his wit and warmth -- and
enraged them, too, with his outspoken views on evolution, religion and reason, the separation of
church and state, and women's suffrage. Robert Ingersoll was his name and he's the subject of a new
biography by scholar and journalist Susan Jacoby.
Robert Ingersoll was one of the most famous orator and towering public intellectual between the end
of the Civil War and the beginning of the loth century. Although there were newspapers, the chief
form of mass entertainment was lecturing, especially for those who wanted to be well informed.
Ingersoll started starts speaking out on behalf of separation of church and state, against what religion
was silent about, about slavery for so long, and what religion was still silent about, about what needed
to be done to provide true equality and education for former slaves. He is an active Republican. He
had strong political ambitions. But he decides that speaking out on behalf of reason, on behalf of
Darwin's theory of evolution, against attempts to introduce more religion into government, that this is
more important to him than his political ambitions.
Ingersoll was one of those indispensable people, who keep an alternative version of history alive. He
revived the memory of Thomas Paine. The historical reputation of Thomas Paine so famous, say, by
1800 because of the role he played in the revolution. "These are the times that try men's souls." Paine
was driven out of England, charged with treason, for writing The Rights ofMan. His book The
Age of Reason, which was published in 1793, the first part of it, in which he put forward the
astonishing idea that the Bible was written by men, not actually directly handed down by God. The
Age of Reason was published when he was in jail in France under the Jacobins, for opposing the
execution of Louis the XVI, because he didn't believe in capital punishment as no free thinkers ever
have. Teddy Roosevelt, the future president, wrote a biography in which he called Paine "a filthy little
atheist, which esteems a dirty bladder of water" -- bladder meaning a sack to carry in, not bladder
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the organ in the body - "as something to throw on all religion." It was Ingersoll who revived Paine's
reputation.
Ingersoll was one of the truly freethinkers, "One of the most important champions of reason and
secular government in American history." He raised the issue of religion, the role of religion and
championed the separation of church and state. Most people don't realize that the
Constitution doesn't mention God. It was said that, "Under this constitution, an atheist, a Jew, or God
help us even a universalist could become president" which was true in theory. He said the glory of the
founding generation was that they did not establish a Christian nation. And he praised those founders
who wrote our Constitution for establishing the "first secular government that was everfounded" in
the world at a time when government in Europe was still based on union of church and state. Because
they knew that the recognition of a Deity would be seized by fanatics and zealots as a pretext for
destroying the liberty of thought.
In the centennial address he gave in Peoria, Illinois, on the centennial of the Declaration of
Independence in 1876 Ingersoll quoted, "thefirst secular government, thefirst government that said
every church has exactly the same rights and no more. Every religion has the same rights and no
more. In other words, ourfathers were thefirst men who had the sense, the genius to know that no
church should be allowed to have the sword." With the Puritans hating other religions forcing Anne
Hutchinson and Roger Williams to flee to Rhode Island and the Mormons being chased all the way
across the country, the framers of the Constitution understood that best way to avoid religious
domination is to not allow it and not privileging Protestant Christianity over Quakers, Baptists,
Catholics, Lithuanians, Episcopalians, Jews, etc
In America we live in a pluralistic society soaked in religiosity. We live in a country where after
knocking out an opponent, time and again the winning fighter starts the interview with, "first of all I
like to thank my Lord and Savior Jesus Christ...." What does he say when he looses? Does it mean
that God didn't like the fighter who was knocked out? You have to also ask, if there is this all good, all
powerful, all loving god, how come kids are shot in Newtown? How come people when I was young
died of polio-- a child I knew? How come? "Why should people suffer?" How does one come to grips
with evil, in a world created by an all-powerful God? And God giving us free will is not a satisfactory
answer to me. Robert Ingersoll said of Thomas Paine, "His life is what the world callsfailure and
what history calls success." Can the same thing be said of The Great Agnostic? It is difficult to talk
about religion as one person's conviction can be another's skepticism. As such, the framers of the
Constitution were wise to keep church and state separate -- and I would add, out of our public
schools If you get a chance I urge youfreethinkers to watch the show or read the attached
transcript.
Unlike Congressional Republicans, Republican Governors are forced to show leadership, as they have
actual responsibilities of providing services and balancing budgets, which often necessitates
compromised even among ideologically hard —liners such as Florida Gov. Rick Scott who last week
broke with party orthodoxy -- joining six other Republican governors — and agreeing to accept the
Medicaid expansion funded by Obamacare. Recently a number of prominent conservatives with
national profiles (Louisiana's Bobby Jindal, South Carolina's Nikki Haley, and Wisconsin's Scott
Walker) have made it clear that they had little use for the congressional GOP's approach, which has
mainly consisted of sitting on its collective hands, blaming the White House, and waiting for the cuts
to take effect. As such this is a split between the Republicans who are charged with governing and
those who have dug in as a pure opposition party.
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These GOP governors don't have the luxury of taking symbolic stands on principle; they have budgets
to balance, deadlines to meet, and constituents to serve. From Wisconsin's Walker to Virginia's
McDonnell to Nevada's Brian Sandoval, many have raised taxes when that was what it took to run their
states the way they saw fit. They don't have the luxury of saying no to federal handouts -- since the
economic collapse of 2008, states have relied heavily on federal funds, whether in the form of
unemployment benefits to their struggling populations or the massive, direct federal grants of the
2009 stimulus bill, which kept teachers employed and road projects going at a time when state budgets
were hard pressed. Now, it's the federal funds imperiled by Friday's sequestration deadline -- from
defense-contractor jobs to kids in Head Start preschool -- that the GOP governors can't afford to do
without.
Right now the greatest strength that the GOP has is its governors. Currently Republican Governors
rule 3o states and many like Christie, Sandoval, McDonnell, and New Mexico's Susana Martinez, are
overwhelmingly popular even though their states went for Barack Obama in the last two presidential
elections. More and more they are at odds with congressional Republicans, example — a couple
months ago, it was New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie chewing out House Speaker John Boehnerfor
holding up Hurricane Sandy aid to his state. Their frustration is real and goes beyond routine M. -
bashing to score political points. It's Indeed, the party's future may hinge on which faction prevails --
these state executives, whose responsibility is to govern has made them pragmatists, while the
legislators, many of whom seem content to serve solely as an alternative and obstacle to the
Democratic White House and Senate. It would be so much better for the country if Congressional
Republicans would think and act more like most Republican governors. When it comes to leadership
over ideology
*****
One of the greatest new additions to the US Senate this year in the new Senior Senator from
Massachusetts, Elizabeth Warren who on Tuesday showed why big banks are not her biggest fans
during her grilling of Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke about the risks and fairness of having
banks that are "too big to fail." Warren (D-Mass.) questioned Bernanke during his latest semiannual
appearance before the Senate Banking Committee to discuss the economy and monetary policy.
Warren pressed the Fed chairman about whether the government would bail out the largest banks
again, as it did during the financial crisis. "We've now understood this problem for nearly five years,"
she said. "So when are we gonna get rid of 'too big tofail?"'
Warren also asked whether big banks should repay taxpayers for the billions of dollars they save in
borrowing costs because of the credit market's belief that they won't be allowed to fail, repeatedly
citing a recent Bloomberg View study estimating that the biggest banks essentially get a government
subsidy of $83 billion a year, nearly matching their annual profits. Though Bernanke questioned the
accuracy of the $83 billion figure, he admitted that big banks get some subsidy. But he said the market
was wrong to give banks any subsidy at all (in the form of lower borrowing costs), insisting that the
government will in fact let banks fail. The 2010 Dodd-Frank financial reform law has given
policymakers the tools to safely shut down big, failing banks, he claimed.
But when repeatedly pressed by Warren, Bernanke's confidence seemed to waver. "The subsidy is
coming because of market expectations that the government would bail out thesefirms if theyfailed,"
Bernanke said. "Those expectations are incorrect. We have an orderly liquidation authority. Even in
the crisis, we -- uh, uh -- in the cases of AIG, for example, we wiped out the shareholders..." "Excuse
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me, though, Mr. Chairman," Warren said. "You did not wipe out the shareholders of the largest
financial institutions, did you, the big banks?" "Because we didn't have the tools," Bernanke replied.
'Wow we could -- now we have the tools."
Later, when pressed again by Warren, Bernanke suggested that the government's tools to wind down a
big bank that is failing were still a work in progress -- or at least that financial markets have not yet
been convinced of their power. "Some of these rules take time to develop -- um, uh, the orderly
liquidation authority, I think we've made progress on that," he said. "We've got the living wills -- I
think we're moving in the right direction ... We do have a plan, and I think it's moving in the right
direction." "Any idea about when we're gonna arrive in the right direction?" Warren said.
"It's not a zero-one kind of thing," Bernanke stammered in response. "Over time we will see
increasing, uh, increasing market expectations that these institutions canfail."
He later added, 'As somebody who's spent a lot of late nights dealing with these problems, I would
very much like to have confidence we can close down a large institution without causing damage to
the economy." Bernanke suggested that banks would eventually lose some of the benefits of size and
would shrink themselves voluntarily -- news that might surprise JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon,
who was again extolling the benefits of his bank's size even as Bernanke spoke. Warren also pointed
out that big banks are probably loath to give up any market subsidy -- $83 billion or otherwise. "Big
banks are getting a terrific break, and little banks are just getting smashed," Warren said. "I agree
with you 100 percent," Bernanke said. Boy could we use more people in Congress like
Elizabeth Warren, who truly represents the interest of The People.
In an editorial this week in the New York Times — Congress's Power to Protect the Vote
— they address the outrageous suggestion that Supreme Court Justice Antonio Scalia said about
Section 5 which is the central provision of the Voting Rights Act of1965 that it is a "perpetuation
of racial entitlement," and that minority voters in covered districts are getting something they do not
deserve — protection of their right to vote. For some reason Conservatives believe that just because we
have an African American President and therefore voter protection is on longer needed. When the
truth is actually the opposite. Remember Republican efforts in Pennsylvania, Ohio and elsewhere to
suppress voter access in urban areas and the 6 to 8 hour voting lines in inner city neighborhoods in
Florida in the 2012 election. If anything the Voting Rights Act of 1965 should be expanded beyond the
seven states, as there is undeniable evidence proving that it worked as Mississippi has the highest
voting rate for African Americans in the country and Massachusetts has the worse record. NYT:
Congress exercised its constitutional authority in carefully and deliberately renewing Section 5. If the
Supreme Court substitutes its judgment for Congress's, it will enable state and local governments to
erode nearly half a century of civil rights gains. I would suggest if the Supreme Court decides that it is
unfair to the states that is currently covered, Congress should expand the ACT nationwide. Voting is
not and entitlement — it is a right guaranteed by the Constitution and whether you are a minority in
Florida or a white Conservative in Wyoming, it is a right that everyone should vigorously support.
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Speaker John A. Boehner this week decided that the best way to negotiate with President Obama over
the fiscal issues currently facing the country was to not negotiate, pledging not to raise taxes even
though every major economist will tell you that we can't grow the country's economy by cuts alone.
Being told by many House Republican that the consequences of allowing the sequester to take effect
could be less damaging than the consequences of going back on his promise not to allow any new tax
revenues Boehner has now dug himself into a corner, refusing to even discuss an increase in revenue
and insisting in his typical colorful language that it was time for the Senate to produce a measure
aimed at the cuts.
"The revenue issue is now closed,"Mr. Boehner said Thursday, before the House left town for the
weekend without acting on the cuts and a Senate attempt to avert them died. Mr. Boehner said the
dispute with Democrats amounted to a question of "how much more money do we want to stealfrom
the American people tofund more government." Mfor no more," he said. While the frustrations of
Congressional Democrats and Mr. Obama with Mr. Boehner are reaching a fever pitch, House
Republicans could not be more pleased with their leader. "We asked him to commit to us that when
the cuts actually came on March 1, that he would standfirm and not give in, and he's holding to
that,"said Representative Steve Scalise, Republican of Louisiana and chairman of the conservative
Republican Study Committee. "I think Friday will be an important day that shows we'refinally
willing to stand andfightfor conservative principles andforce Washington to start living within its
means. And that will be a big victory."
The most striking and disconcerting thing about the latest round in the budget war is that the debate
within the Republican Party is proceeding on the basis of completely false premises. I don't mean false
in the sense of wrongheaded policy beliefs. Republicans are debating their strategy as if President
Obama's offer consists solely of maldng rich people pay more taxes and he is "the enemy." They won't
acknowledge his actual offer, which includes large cuts to retirement programs. It's crazy. —
Jonathan Chait has a good post up about how Republicans don't really care about tax reform. El go
further and say they aren't all that interested in deficit reduction, either. Let's review the contours of
the current dispute between President Obama and House Republicans over ending the sequester. Here
is what the president has put on the table:
1. Cancel the sequester by substituting a combination of spending cuts and tax increases. Obama has
proposed more spending cuts ($930 billion) than tax increases ($68o billion), and that's before you
add to the spending cuts $200 billion in foregone interest payments.
2. The tax cuts proposed by the president would not be a rate increase, but rather a limit on tax
deductions to 28 percent of income for high earners. Obama has advocated this change since 2009.
3. In addition, the president proposes to close various tax loopholes, as yet unspecified, to reach $580
billion.
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4. The remaining $100 billion in revenue would come from applying to income-tax-bracket thresholds
(which rise with inflation) the same "chained" Consumer Price Index that Obama would use to lower
Social Security payments. Since the chained CPI rises more slowly than the conventional CPI,
taxpayers would reach higher-rate brackets more quickly than in the past. (Liberals can take only
limited "what's-sauce-for-the-goose-is-sauce-for-the-gander" delight in this, because chaining income-
tax brackets is also regressive. The biggest increase is for incomes between $30,000 and $40,000, and
the increase for incomes above $500,000 is negligible.)
The House counteroffer is ... actually, there is no House counteroffer, unless you count a sequester-
replacement bill the House passed last May that eliminates the sequester's defense cuts and replaces
them with domestic cuts. The House hasn't bothered to re-pass the bill since the new Congress began
in January. (The Senate, being majority Democrat, is largely a bystander to this dispute, though it's
worth noting that yesterday a Democratic bill to replace the sequester, which combined spending cuts
with revenue increases, would have passed if it hadn't gotten filibustered by the GOP.) And House
Speaker John Boehner won't support the president's offer because it includes a tax increase. Which
part of the tax increase does he object to?
It can't be the deduction limit, because, according to The New York Times, Boehner as recently as
December 17 was willing to support that.
It can't be the $100 billion raised by switching to a chained CPI, because, according to CNN, Boehner
supported that in December, too.
By process of elimination, it must be getting rid of tax loopholes.
But wait. Didn't Boehner give a speech this week saying tax reform was one of his highest priorities?
He's reserved the designation "HR 1" for an income-tax-reform bill. The animating idea of tax reform
is to swap lower tax rates for getting rid of loopholes. If Obama wants to eliminate loopholes now,
shouldn't Boehner be in favor of that? Actually, no, because Boehner wants to eliminate
loopholes and lower rates. Never mind that doing so would likely eliminate any deficit-reduction
benefit from eliminating the loopholes, and that reducing the deficit is the only thing any serious-
minded person is supposed to care about these days.
It would be absurd to think the "reform" part of tax reform consists in lowering marginal rates. You
might have a case if rates were unusually high, but in fact they're quite low by historic standards. As a
percentage of GDP, tax revenue hasn't been this low since 1950! (The fiscal cliff deal bumped the top
rates up, but only a little, and only on very high incomes.) Boehner could try arguing that taxes are
too progressive, and that what's needed is a tax system that's nicer to rich people and meaner to poor
people. But Mitt Romney didn't have much luck with that gambit in 2012.
Inescapable conclusion: The GOP is not interested at all in tax reform, and it's only mildly interested in
deficit reduction. It is mainly interested in tax reduction. All you need to do is look at the history of the
past thirty-two years. The GOP has intermittently been interested in lowering the deficit whenever a
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Democrat was in the White House, but it has always been interested in lowering taxes. It has never
not wanted to lower taxes. That's how they got so low! The sequester can't be stopped because John
Boehner thinks taxes are too high. But as we have seen, America's real problem is that taxes are
too low. Historically low tax receipts go a long way toward explaining why the federal government is
so broke right now. And the Republicans' refusal to acknowledge this is pretty much the whole
problem.
THIS WEEK'S READINGS
Two months ago, when Mario Monti stepped down as Italy's prime minister, The Economist opined that "The
coming election campaign will be, above all, a test of the maturity and realism ofItalian voters." The mature,
realistic action, presumably, would have been to return Mr. Monti — who was essentially imposed on Italy by
its creditors — to office, this time with an actual democratic mandate. As Paul ICrugman wrote this week in the
New York Times — Austerity, Italian Style — things aren't looking good as Mr. Monti's party appears likely
to come in fourth; running well behind the former Prime Minister Silvio Berlusconi who has been convicted of
fraud, and also behind comedian, Beppe Grillo, "whose lack of coherent platform hash t stopped him from
becoming a powerfulpoliticalforce."
!frogman: For Mr. Monti was, in effect, the proconsul installed by Germany to enforce fiscal austerity on an
already ailing economy; willingness to pursue austerity without limit is what defines respectability in European
policy circles. This would be fine if austerity policies actually worked — but they don't. Andfar from seeming
either mature or realistic, the advocates ofausterity are sounding increasingly petulant and delusional.
Consider how things were supposed to be working at this point. When Europe began its infatuation with
austerity, top officials dismissed concerns that slashing spending and raising taxes in depressed economies might
deepen their depressions. On the contrary, they insisted, such policies would actually boost economies by
inspiring confidence.
But the confidence fairy was a no-show. Nations imposing harsh austerity suffered deep economic downturns;
the harsher the austerity, the deeper the downturn. Indeed, this relationship has been so strong that the
International Monetary Fund, in a striking mea culpa, admitted that it had underestimated the damage austerity
would inflict.
Meanwhile, austerity hasn't even achieved the minimal goal of reducing debt burdens. Instead, countries
pursuing harsh austerity have seen the ratio ofdebt to rise, because the shrinkage in their economies has
outpaced any reduction in the rate of borrowing. And because austerity policies haven't been offset by
expansionary policies elsewhere, the European economy as a whole — which never had much ofa recoveryfrom
the slump of2008-9 — is back in recession, with unemployment marching ever higher.
Outside observers are terrified about Italy's election, and rightly so: even if the nightmare ofa Berlusconi return
to power fails to materialize, a strong showing by Mr: Berlusconi, ME Grillo, or both would destabilize not just
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Italy but Europe as a whole. But remember, Italy isn't unique: disreputable politicians are on the rise all across
Southern Europe. And the reason this is happening is that respectable Europeans won't admit that the policies
they have imposed on debtors are a disastrous failure. If that doesn't change, the Italian election will be just a
foretaste of the dangerous radicalization to come.
As bad as sequestration, the debt ceiling debacle and congressional gridlock in America appears, Italy's
dysfunction and Europe's austerity failure and even worse, European leaders refusal to acknowledge the failure,
makes me believe that there is a new normal going around and America may not be as bad as people say.
As dysfunctional as American politics are today with the sequester it pales in comparison to Italy. In an op-ed
this week in The Washington Post, Robert Samuelson — The return of the euro crisis — in Italy's latest election
in which a new political party, headed by a professional comedian named Beppe Grillo, received 26 percent of
the vote and business tycoon and former prime minister, Silvio Berlusconi, repeatedly pronounced politically
dead, rose from the grave and almost won..... Samuelson called the outcome, "a mix of absurdity and
anarchy quashing any optimism." As important is the messages that it sent. . "The election wasn't just anti-
austerity. It was also anti-German," says David Smick, editor of the International Economy magazine. Italian
voters rejected both Europe's main response to high government debt — cut spending, raise taxes — and a major
rebuke to German Chancellor Angela Merkel, who was the main architect of the austerity policies.
The resentment of austerity is no mystery. The Italian economy has contracted for six consecutive quarters; it is
now 7.8 percent below its peak in the third quarter of 2007, reports economist Martin Schwerdtfeger of TD
Economics. In 2013, the economy will shrink another 1 percent, he forecasts. Unemployment in December was
11.2 percent, up from 2007's 6.1 percent (annual average). This, too, will probably worsen in 2013. The point:
Italians haven't gotten much return on their austerity, while taxes have gone up. The value-added tax (a sales
tax) is scheduled to rise from 21 percent to 22 percent; there's a new tax on homes. Welfare benefits went down.
The eligibility age for pensions (once 65 for men and 60 for women) is being raised to 67 by 2022. And yet, the
debt picture hasn't improved. Interest payments and a contracting economy (gross domestic product) mean that
the debt burden is worsening, notes Jeffrey Anderson of the Institute of International Finance, an industry think
tank. Debt rose from 120 percent of GDP in 2011 to 127 percent in 2012, says the Organization for Economic
Cooperation and Development.
Without stronger economic growth, Italy can't generate jobs and the tax revenues to shave the debt. Even before
the financial crisis, growth was dismal, avenging less than 1 percent annually from 2001 to 2008. What
obstructs it, many economists argue, are protections for firms and workers that provide privileges for some but
discourage — or prevent — expansion. One example is Article 18 of Italy's labor law, which makes it hard for
firms to fire workers. "Ifyou can'tfire, you won't him," says Matthew Melchiorre of the Competitive Enterprise
Institute, a free-market think tank. Finns have an incentive to stay small. Italy has the largest share of
employment in micro-firms (less than 10 workers) in the European Union, he says. At least 28 service sectors —
taxi drivers, pharmacists, lawyers, accountants — enjoy licensing and other restrictions that limit competition.
Rome has 2.2 taxis for each 1,000 people, much fewer less than Paris (7.7) or London (8.1), says Melchiorre.
Italy's recent government under Mario Monti curbed some of these restrictions but was stymied in enacting
more sweeping overhauls. Some economists believe that major "structural" changes would accelerate growth,
but estimates of how much are mostly guesswork. And although the day after the election, the rate on Italy's 10-
year government bonds rose from 4.5 percent to 4.9 percent — a large one-day move, but still well below last
summer's peak of 6.6 percent.
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Needless to say, if financial markets decide that Italy's situation is slipping out of control, it will slip out of control. Interest
rates will rise; the debt burden will increase. At some point, Italy — the eurozone's third-largest economy — might need a
bailout. Spain — the fourth-largest — might, too. The amounts required would dwarf the rescues of Greece, Portugal and
Ireland. Agreement would be hardly guaranteed. As conditions for aid, the ECB and Germany have insisted on precisely
the austerity and structural changes that Italian voters just rejected. Could Italy, backed by other debtor nations, force
changes in old policies and, if not, Europe's future remains in play. And the European political, business and media elites
who convinced themselves that the worst had passed last year have only themselves to blame for writing loans that
countries and people couldn't afford and expecting them to swallow the entire pill themselves
In response to a cover story in The New York Times Magazine last week on Republicans and their
problem with technology, one quote that caught everyone's eye was, "Romney's senior strategist
Stuart Stevens, may well be remembered by historians as the last guy to run a presidential campaign
who never tweeted," Stevens wrote an op-ed this week in The Washington Post - The GOP
revival must go beyond joining Twitter — which is just another excuse by many Republicans for the
shellacking that they received last November's election. To set the record straight, Stevens says that
he has had a Twitter account right after the service was initially launched. But he is missing the point.
I agree with Stevens that this last election or any other will be won because as he put it, someone won
the Facebook war, and the same is true for Twitter. Last week on NBC's `This Week With
George Stephanopoulos,' Newt Gingrich said — I think the way Stuart just said it is exactly right.
The technology problem is a culture problem. I mean the Democrats had 54 data analysts and were
hiring Ph.Ds in advanced math because they were using the most advanced decision processes in the
country. They were bringing in behavioral scientists. They were trying tofigure out how you talk to
311 million people and do so in a way that you can survive 8 percent unemployment and get re-
elected and it worked.
Now, I think it's actually -- he's right in a sense it's a cultural problem. None of our consultants
would have imagined hiring 54 people in the decision area, none of them would have imagined
having 24 people did nothing full time except e-mails and then blind tested the best e-mails to see
which ones worked. I mean, this -- they are a Super Bowl team that we ought to respect deeply. And
we are currently a mid-level college team floundering around and I agree. It's not just -- you can't
just go out and buy this, this is a ndamental rethinking of how you relate to the American people.
And, frankly, most of them -- embarrassed to say I thought election day win. I couldn't
imagine this economy and Obama getting re-elected and that made me think if your airplane hits the
mountain maybe you better buy new radar.
And Newt is wrong too In reality both men are really saying that Democrats only won because they
pandered to certain voting groups. Stevens suggested that because the Democratic Party favored gay
marriage and supported contraception it somehow pandered to younger voters and that more
African Americans in Ohio voted for President Obama in 2012 than in 2008 was due to Obamacare
and that Hispanics voted overwhelmingly Democrat because of Obamacare and not immigration.
With guys as tone-deaf like Stuart Stevens around him, it's no wonder why Mitt Romney was blindside
by his election loss.
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African Americans voted in mass numbers and were willing to wait for hours, because they understood
that Republican efforts to suppress the vote was to deny their vote, no matter coded the wording was.
Concurrently, Hispanics understand that self-deportation and border security are not terms of
endearment. Democrats appealed to issues that appealed to the young, people of color and people
who supported income equality, gay and women's rights, as well as an economy that grows bottom up
instead of trickling down, as thirty-plus years of Reaganomics has proven a disaster for the Middle
Class. Mitt Romney and his supporters pooh-pooh President Obama as a community organizer. But if
they think that they can employ his methods, without embracing his message is another recipe for
failure in future elections.
As I said last week in my Weekly Readings: for those Conservatives who retain their skepticism
about government intervention and believe that letting markets direct economic resources to grow the
economy they should remember that in his first Inaugural Address, Reagan famously said that
"government is not the solution to our problem; government is the problem." The less
famous yet crucial beginning of that sentence was "in our present crisis." Not only Republicans,
both parties need new policies and solutions for today's problems which are much different than three,
two and one decade ago... And as Albert Einstein would say, "to say and do the same things again and
again and expecting different results is insanity."
This week in The Huffington Post, Mitchell Bard wrote - Blaming the Tea Party-Controlled
GOPfor Sequestration Isn't Partisan, It's Factual — that the Republican policy position on
sequestration is irrational. First of all there is near universal agreement that the deep cuts from the
sequester that are due to take place in a few days will be damaging to the economy, costing in the
neighborhood of a million jobs (based on a nonpartisan estimate) and threatening our economic
recovery (the Congressional Budget Office estimates growth to be reduced by 0.6 percent). While the
Republicans in Congress are nevertheless willing to take the pocketbooks of the American people
hostage, all to try and ransom spending and entitlement cuts that would, in the opinion of many
economists, cause further economic damage to all but the wealthiest Americans.
You would think that after a majority of voters just three-and-a-half months ago rejected the very
economic policies the Republicans are blackmailing the country to implement. And President Obama
got nearly five million more votes than Mitt Romney (and126 more electoral votes), the Democrats
picked up two seats in the U.S. Senate in a year in which the Democrats had far more seats to defend,
and Democratic House candidates received more votes than Republicans. There would seem to be no
argument for the Republicans to threaten the country over rejected policies. But the decision of
Republicans in Congress to continue an ideology-first, country-second approach to governing is, in its
own way, extremely logical, even calculating. Thanks to gerrymandering, a large amount of
Republican House members represent solidly red districts, so they have little to fear from a
Democratic challenger, nor do senators in solid red states. But the same cannot be said about
competition from the Tea Party right.
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The fear is not abstract. The Tea Party has routinely challenged Republican incumbents, even
staunchly conservative ones, who even emitted a whiff of being somewhat reasonable. Conservative
standard-bearer Orrin Hatch narrowly survived a Tea Party challenge last year. Hatch wasn't as
fortunate as his fellow conservative from Utah, Bob Bennett, who lost to his primary challenger in
2010, just as conservative Indiana senator Richard Lugar lost in 2012 to the now infamous Richard
Mourdock, he of rape from pregnancy "is something that God intended to happen" fame. The Tea
Party primary challenge has become such a threat to mainstream Republicans that Karl Rove started
the Conservative Victory Project to help GOP incumbents ward off less electable primary opponents.
When you consider how few people actually vote in midterm primaries (voter turnoutfor the 2010
primaries was only 17.8 percent), it means a narrow slice of the population, residing on the far right of
the political spectrum, is dictating how Republicans in Congress are proceeding. No wonder John
Boehner is insisting on cuts to entitlements and other programs mainly aimed at working and middle
class Americans, all while protecting the wealthy from any tax increases, to avert sequestration. A big
chunk of his caucus is made up Tea Party ideologues, and the rest are in danger of being primaried if
they don't do the Tea Party's bidding.
So what is the result of all this madness? Well, for one, the Republican party, at a federal level, has
become a toxic brand. Beyond the election losses in November, polling data shows that the majority of
the American people are not with the GOP. According to a recent Bloomberg poll, only 35 percent
have a positive image of Republicans (the same poll shows a 55 percent approval rating for the
president), and only 44 percent believe the GOP policy of cutting spending and taxes -- the thing
Republicans say is so important they will blackmail the country to get it -- will create more jobs than
the infrastructure investments proposed by the president.
But more importantly, Republicans in the House and Senate, afraid of primary challenges and, in some
cases, the product of them, have handed their party over to the lunatic fringe. They have placed a
purist, anti-government, anti-taxes, pro-wealthy, anti-middle class, Ayn Randian ideal above the
practical, compromising, hard work of actually governing. They have created a toxic atmosphere in
Washington, in which damaging the country (again, we are talking about a million people losing their
jobs) is preferable to working with a president they irrationally despise and compromising to move
even an inch closer to where the majority of voters stand on the issues.
Simply put, the Tea Party-controlled Republicans in Congress are driving us over an
economic cliff. And until we get away from the "blame everyone," "it's both sides" false
equivalency of shying away from telling the truth about the GOP's suicide mission,
pretending the same thing is happening on both sides (David Brooks's pathetic attempt to
draw a false equivalency was so loathsome, hefelt the need to walk back his characterization of the
president's position the next day), the dysfunction in Washington will continue. The only
way things will get better is if we cast off the fear of seeming partisan and let the truth
and facts drive the debate.
The bottom line is that the Republicans are demanding spending cuts that were soundly rejected by
the voters in November, and to get them, they are threatening to allow the sequestration cuts to go
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forward, which will be bad for the American people. (Let's remember that the sequestration cuts are
the result of the Republicans holding the country hostage last year over the debt ceiling.) And a major
driving force behind the Republicans' refusal to compromise--again, against the wishes of a majority of
Americans--is a fear of losing their seats to Tea Party challengers. Which means we, as a country, are
being held hostage by a small number of far-right ideologues whose views have been rejected, again
and again, by a majority of voters (and not just by Democrats, when you consider GOP losses in red
state Senate races like Indiana and Missouri).
If the sequester goes forward, and the country pays the price, everyone has a responsibility to stand up
and point a finger at the reason for our government's epic dysfunction. If John Boehner, Mitch
McConnell and their Republican colleagues in the House and Senate have any sense at all, they'll duck
at that moment. Because this fabricated, unnecessary national disaster will be on them and their
inability/lack of desire to do what is best for Americans, not what is best for the Tea Party.
Joining the chorus of people fed up with Republicans attempt to obstruct anything supported by the
Obama Administration, whether it be the nomination of Chuck Hagel to providing disaster relief to
victims of Hurricane Sandy to the continual manufacturing of self-imposed destructive budget
showdowns, this week in The Washington Post, E.J. Dionne wrote — Ending the permanent
crisis — asking where is the old formula held that when government was divided between the parties,
the contending sides should try to "meet in the middle." Donne's solution is — President Obama
should demand the repeal of all artificial deadlines and tell both houses of Congress that he won't
make further proposals until each actually passes a replacement to the sequester — not a gimmick or
something that looks like an alternative, but the real thing. With everyone on the record, normal
discussions could begin, and Washington would no longer look like the set of a horror movie in which a
new catastrophe lurks around every corner.
Dionne believes that in the Senate one way to stop the abuse of the filibuster is to let a plan pass by
simple-majority vote, as "misuse of thefilibuster is a central cause of Washington's contorted policy
making." And ";et's end the permanent budget crisis by governing ourselves though the majorities
that every sane democracy uses." He also points out, "the air of establishment Washington isfilled
with talk that Obama must "lead." But Obama cannotforce the House Republican majority to act if
it doesn't want to. He is (fortunately) not a dictator." In a candid interview Monday with Ezra Klein
on MSNBC, Ben Domenech, a conservative blogger, said the new tea party Republicans in the House
don't want their leadership to sit down with Obama to talk because "they have their doubts about the
ability of Republicans to negotiate any better situation." . Domenech added that many conservatives
"don't buy this distinction between smart cuts and dumb cuts," a distinction that is not "all that
critical."
House Speaker John Boehner keeps saying that the House has twice voted for ways to replace the
sequester. What he doesn't say is that those votes were held in the last Congress, so the bills are dead.
If they are so good, why doesn't the speaker bring them up again and pass them now? The answer is
almost certainly that he doesn't have the votes One proposal Republicans are floating would give
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Obama more flexibility to administer the sequester. Thus, a party that says it can't trust Obama
enough to negotiate with him would trust him so much as to grant him exceptional power. The
contradiction is so glaring that Republicans are split on the idea, and it's foolish anyway. As a senior
administration official suggested, it's like being told that two of your fingers will be cut off but you
could choose which fingers. How is it a "concession"to ask Obama to organize the cuts he says would
be a disaster? The nation is exhausted with fake crises that voters thought they ended with their
verdict in the last election. Those responsible for the Washington horror show should be held
accountable. And only one party is using shutdowns, cliffs and debt ceilings as routine political
weapons. And this is not me being partisan.
*****
Included this week is an op-ed from The Washington Post by Conservative columnist Robert J.
Samuelson - The true national debt. Starting with the question: How big is the national debt?
First of all it is not a easy question, because it depends on what is included, as such Samuelson reckons
that the national debt could be anywhere from $11 trillion to $31 trillion by my reckoning. The
differences mostly reflect explicit and implicit "off-budget" federal loan guarantees. And in another
economic downturn, these could result in large losses that would be brought "on budget" and worsen
already huge deficits. Ergo the danger.
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