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Deutsche Bank - Fixed Income Research
Data Flash - China unveils agenda for comprehensive capital market reform
11 May 2014 (2 pages/ 81 kb)
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On May 9, the State Council of China issued the "Guiding Principles for the
Healthy Development of capital Markets", which layouts the detailed roadmaps
of china's future capital market development in nine major areas, including
overall requirements, stock market, bond market, private equity, futures
market, the competitiveness of the securities and futures sector, capital
market openness, financial risks and market regulation. The policy is also
referred as the "New National Nine Rules", in contrast to the earlier
"National Nine Rules" issued in 2004. Under the nine broad guidelines,
details on the directions and goals of reforms for thirty-three areas are
specified, signaling the unprecedented resolution of Chinese government to
push forward the comprehensive capital market reforms. It is government's aim
to establish multi -layer capital markets, enlarge corporate and household
investment channel, encourage efficient capital allocation as well as promote
the economic restructuring. From macroeconomic perspective, we highlight the
below reforms:
Further opening up China's capital markets
Following the recent announcement of Shanghai-Hong Kong Stock Connect Scheme
on Apr 10, the Guideline again emphasizes on opening up the capital markets,
with an aim to facilitate the cross-border investment and financing
activities. Both inward and outward investment quotas under QFII and QDII
programs will be increased. The shareholding limits for foreign capital in
listcos will be relaxed. Domestic capital market will be steadily opened up
for the direct investment of foreign individuals, and the domestic
individuals investing in foreign capital market will be orderly pushed
forward. Moreover, Xiao Gang, chairman of CSRC said this March that the
potential QFII expansion is huge, and he mentioned that CSRC has been working
on the QFII tax policy with other government agencies, as part of the effort
to help facilitate QFII expansion this year.
we believed that this proposal will help inject more liquidity into China A
share market, as well as expedite china's progresses in capital account
liberalization in a boarder sense, including a) further relaxing the foreign
investment management like holding period and remittance; b) implementing and
expanding the stock connect scheme (see our Apr 11 note "A leap in china's
efforts to liberalize capital accounts"); c) establishing capital account
convertibility in serrz and developing a domestic RMB offshore market; d)
permitting cross-border RMB remittances by individuals and broadening
channels for offshore banks to borrow/lend RMB in domestic market.
Promoting direct-financing
To develop a multi -layer capital market with proper structure, complete
function and effective regulation by 2020, the Guideline highlighted the
development of direct financing, which includes three major areas of bond
market, equity market and private equity.
On bond market, the Guideline aimed to a) develop a scheme of local
government bond issuance; 2) enrich bond products suitable for various
investors; 3) develop bond types for SMEs; 4) connect different bond
exchanges and 5) improve issuance procedure, rating mechanism as well
as 6) promote asset securitization. To develop a multi-layered equity
market and cultivate a healthy private equity market are other two
major areas in promoting the direct-financing.
CONFIDENTIAL — PURSUANT TO FED. R. CRIM. P. 6(e) DB-SDNY-0112172
CONFIDENTIAL SDNY_GM_00258356
EFTA01454196
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