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3 January 2018
HY Corporate Credit
HY Multi Sector.Media. Cable & Satellite
With this report we are reaffirming our Buy rating on the WYNNMAC 4.875%
Senior Unsecured Notes due 2024 ($100.3, 4.8% YTW, 264bps STW) and
WYNNMAC 5.5% Senior Unsecured Notes due 2027 ($101.1. 5.1% YTW,
273bps STW) given our belief that these notes are trading at attractive levels
based on relative value.
For 2017, we are projecting Wynn Resorts will generate Adjusted EBITDA of
$1.64 billion (+44.5% versus $1.14 billion) on revenues of $6.16 billion (+38.0%
versus $4.47 billion). Factoring capital expenditures of $790 million, cash
interest of $365 million, cash taxes of $2 million, dividends of $320 million, $15
million towards the purchase of intangibles, share repurchases of $20 million,
$20 million towards investments in securities and proceeds from dispositions
of $20 million, we project free cash flow of $132 million in 2017. Using our
projected total debt of $9.93 billion and cash interest of $365 million, we
estimate Wynn Resorts will end the year with leverage of 6.0x and coverage of
4.5x. Factoring consolidated cash of $2.83 billion, we estimate net leverage at
4.3x.
For 2018, we are projecting Wynn Resorts will generate Adjusted EBITDA of
$1.82 billion (+10.5% versus $1.64 billion) on revenues of $6.50 billion (+5.5%
versus $6.15 billion). Factoring capital expenditures of $1.52 billion, cash
interest of $375 million, cash taxes of $2 million, dividends of $315 million. $15
million towards the purchase of intangibles, share repurchases of $20 million.
we project total cash burn of $427 million in 2018. Using our projected total
debt of $10.14 billion and cash interest of $375 million, we estimate Wynn
Resorts will end the year with leverage of 5.6x and coverage of 4.8x. Factoring
consolidated cash of $2.58 billion, we estimate net leverage at 4.1x.
[Exhibit 8: Wynn Resorts ($ Millions)
2015(A) 2018(A) L1M 2017(E) 2018(E)
Cconeallditsd EBITDA $1,071 $1.138 51,535 51,843 $1,815
Less: Capital Expenditures 1,921 1.226 5922 $790 $1.515
Loss: Cash interest 291 265 367 365 375
Less: Cash taxes 3 2 2 2 2
Loss: Purchase of intangibles 4 15 16 15 15
Less: Dividends paid 499 325 332 320 315
Loss: Share Repurchases 12 22 16 20 20
Less: Investments in Securities 6 52 19 20 0
Plus: Dispositions 37 221 237 20 0
Free Cab Flow (S1A271 arta 588 $132 15427)
Total Debt $9,213 $10.324 $9.926 98.926 $10.139
Cash 2,195 2.627 2.679 2.827 2.613
Lessee 8.0x 9.1x 8.5x 8.0x 6.
Net Leverage 0.5x EU3x 4.7x 4.3x 4.1
Cane* 3.7x 4.3x 4.2x 4.5x 4
<our. (avow Morro Onto,* Sint
Downside risks are deterioration of the Macau market, the need for cash at
that entity, which may reduce liquidity.
Page 94 Deutsche Bank Securities Inc.
CONFIDENTIAL - PURSUANT TO FED. R. CRIM. P. 6(e) DB-SDNY-0086653
CONFIDENTIAL SDNY_GM_00232837
EFTA01385369
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