📄 Extracted Text (6,786 words)
Deutsche Asset
& Wealth Management
Key Client Partners — U.S.
Investment Themes and Solutions
September 2014
For Internal Use Only
Participant Dial-In: (877) 500-9123
International Dial In: (973) 796-5004
Conference ID:
9048-0259
Encore Dates: 9/10 — 9/30/2014
USA Free Call: (866) 247-4222
Conference ID: 9048-0259
U.S. Key Client Partner opportunities are available to Institutional
Investors only.
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A global partner for our clients
Deutsche Bank
A leading global
financial services
institution with a strong
private client franchise
Deutsche Asset & Wealth Management (DeAWM)
Offers individuals and institutions traditional and alternative investments
across all major asset classes
Wealth Management
Has been providing open architecture, investment management and capital
markets solutions as well as wealth management,
banking and lending services to high-net-worth individuals, families and
select institutions for more than a century
Key Client Partners (KCP)
Key Client Partners aims to provide select sophisticated investors seamless
access to cross asset class, cross border
investment opportunities and financing solutions from Deutsche Asset &
Wealth Management (DeAWM), Corporate Banking &
Securities (CB&S), Global Transaction Banking (GTB) and 3rd party providers
on a non-advised and non-fiduciary basis
Deutsche Asset
& Wealth Management
For Internal Use Only
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Positioned to guide clients through the current market
Deutsche Bank financial standing
Total assets
Core Tier 1 capital ratio
DeAWM financial standing — total assets
Global
Americas
Wealth Management-Americas
Deutsche Bank Ratings
Moody's investors service
Standard & Poor's
Fitch ratings
Presence and span
Global employees (FTE)
Countries with DB presence (as of 12/31/2013)
Total clients (as of 12/31/2013)
Award highlights2
USD 2,255 billion
9.5%
USD 1,287 billion
USD 355 billionl
USD 115 billionl
A2
A
A+
97,184
Over 70
Over 30 million
(1) Included in total global assets
(2) For a full list of awards visit: http://www.db.com/en/content/company/-
current_awards.htm
Source: Company data, as of March 31, 2014 (unless noted otherwise)
Deutsche Asset
& Wealth Management
For Internal Use Only
2
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Wealth Management
One of Deutsche Bank's five core businesses
Deutsche Bank
Private &
Business
Clients
Corporate Banking &
Securities
Asset & Wealth
Management
Global
Transaction
Banking
Global
Markets
Corporate
Finance
Wealth
Management
Asset
Management
Non-Core
Operations
Key Client Partners
Deutsche Asset
& Wealth Management
For Internal Use Only
3
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What is Key Client Partners (KCP)?
A global team with the capabilities and broad coverage to better serve key
clients
KCP has been established to provide high-level coverage and unique
investment opportunities to a subset of the top tier UHNWI & Family Offices
through a
differentiated product offering and investment platform
KCP global coverage
KCP clients will be serviced from one of these regional hubs
KCP capabilities & differentiated offering
Key Client Partners point of access:
Deutsche Asset & Wealth Management (DeAWM)
London
New York
Geneva / Zurich
Frankfurt
Corporate Banking & Securities (CB&S)
Global Transaction Banking (GTB)
Singapore
3rd Party
KCP capabilities
KCP clients
Specialty and boutique offering for our UHNW base with dedicated coverage
expertise
KCP clients are institutional in size, need, sophistication, and are
transactional in nature
Select UHNW individuals with net worth of at least USD 100 million
Provide a comprehensive coverage of capital markets opportunities, private
investments, and asset and liability management
Work with all DB divisions and institutional focus areas to deliver the best
investment
opportunities with a solution oriented approach
Non-advisory platform
Private Markets
Structured Finance
& Lending
Capital Markets
Alternatives
Deutsche Asset
& Wealth Management
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Direct investments
Co-investments, tactical structured vehicles
Bridge loan financing through letter of credit facilities
Structured repurchase agreement
Flow trading, listed & OTC derivatives
Tactical trading opportunities
Private equity, hedge funds
Real estate, infrastructure
For Internal Use Only
4
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Access to exclusive offerings for qualified clients
1
Key Client Partners (KCP) aims to provide selected investors seamless access
to the full resources of Deutsche
Bank on a non-advised and non-fiduciary basis2
Connectivity
— DeAWM
— Corporate Banking & Securities
— Global Transaction Banking
— Research
— Third Party Providers
— Open Architecture
KCP
Clients3
— UHNW Individual Investors
— Family Offices
— Foundations, Endowments
— Private Companies
— Small-Medium Sized Institutions
Cross Border
— USA
— Latin America
— Europe
— Asia Pacific
— Middle East
(1) Institutional investors only as defined by FINRA 2111
(2) KCP services are offered to a select group of DeAWM clients who are able
to meet certain criteria including, without limitation, financial and
sophistication qualifications. All KCP opportunities may
not be available in all DeAWM locations
(3) The KCP on-boarding process applies
Deutsche Asset
& Wealth Management
For Internal Use Only
5
Cross Asset Class
— Alternatives
— Commodities
— Credit
— Currencies
— Equities
— Fixed Income
— Multi Asset
— Real Estate
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Key Client Partners capabilities
Our goal is to provide innovative, personalized investment solutions and
opportunities across a full range of
unique asset classes that meet the needs of sophisticated, qualified clients
Futures & options
Commodities
Equities
Credit
Rates
FX
Capital
Markets
Private
Markets
Real estate
Hedge funds
Infrastructure
Portable alpha
Alternative beta
Custom indices
Private equity funds
Alternative
Investments
Co-investment opportunities
Private direct investments
Client-to-Client interaction
Special opportunities
Debt participation
Deal sourcing
Structured
Finance
Securitization
Municipal finance
and Lending
Supply chain finance
Commercial real estate
Loans vs. illiquid collateral
Deutsche Asset
& Wealth Management
For Internal Use Only
6
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Agenda emphasis
01 Business update
02 Areas of expertise
03 Key investable themes
04 Implementation of themes
05 Key Client Partners FAQ
For Internal Use Only
7
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Business update
Key contacts and metrics
KCP U.S. Desk: 212-250-7722
David Mann
Director, KCP U.S. Sales
New York, North East, South East
Thomas O'Rorke
Director, KCP U.S. Sales
New York, Mid Atlantic, Mid & South West
Tazia Smith
Director, KCP U.S. Sales
New York, West Coast
Matt Glassman
P U.S. Sales
even Quinn
Associate, KCP U.S.
ay ipman
Analyst, KCP U.S.
Ariane Dwyer
Analyst, KCP U.S.
Melissa Mittelman
Analyst, KCP U.S.
KCP Americas
Caroline Kitidis
Managing Director, KCP Americas Desk Head
Bruce McDermott
Managing Director, KCP Americas Alternatives
& Private Markets
Mathew Negus
Vice President, KCP Americas COO
Deutsche Asset
& Wealth Management
People
Matt Glassman joins KCP US sales desk from Goldman Sachs
Daniel Sabba will be joining at the end of September to lead KCP Capital
Markets
Business
- KCP Americas strong YTD, first half of 2014 business surpassed 2013 full-
year revenues
- KCP U.S. + 147% Y/Y, 46% ahead of 2014 budget
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Capital raises of $190mm across Private markets and AFS/ARA investments
55 active relationships
Client base median net worth —$500mm
Made up of 60% family offices
Top sectors of clients; Financial services, Real estate, Entrepreneurs/-
Private businesses
Recent Highlights
- US Client most active regions: NY, Mid-West, South-East
Private Markets: Project Troop
- $25mm syndicated loan
Single Family Office
- PCS Boston
- AWM revenue $0.35mm
Client invested in a syndicated loan
Loan was provided to a recreational ski resort and was collateralized by
lease payments from a publicly traded operator
Structured Financing: Proton Therapy Center
$130mm debt financing
- PCS Winston-Salem
Corporate client
- AWM revenue $1.5.mm (est.)
- GBP 42mm loan
- UHNWI
- PB Chicago
- AWM revenue $2.5mm (est.)
Financing provided to a Proton Therapy center ; $65mm of 5 year bond
issuance and $65mm of 30 year bond issuance
Real Estate Lending: Commercial London Property
Balance sheet financing for operator of landmark events arena in the UK
For Internal Use Only
8
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KCP investment themes and solutions
01 Business update
02 Areas of expertise
03 Key investable themes
04 Implementation of themes
05 Key Client Partners FAQ
For Internal Use Only
9
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KCP areas of expertise
Private Markets
Co-investment opportunities
Private direct investments
Client-to-Client interaction
Special opportunities
Debt participation
Deal sourcing
Facilitate the sourcing,
trading, structuring,
arranging and executing of
opportunistic, asset backed
debt and equity related
investments
Structured Finance
and Lending
Loans vs. illiquid collateral
Commercial real estate
Supply chain finance
Municipal finance
Securitization
Capital Markets
Futures & Options
Commodities
Equities
Credit
Rates
FX
Alternative Investments
Real estate
Private equity funds
Alternative beta
Custom indices
Portable alpha
Infrastructure
Hedge funds
Provide industry leading
solutions that vary in terms
of complexity,
customization, and
underlying asset type
Provide superior expertise
and execution capabilities
for all traded investment and
liability management
products
A leader in the alternative
investment space which can
provide clients portfolio
exposure to opportunistic
special situations and
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targeted sources of return
Deutsche Asset
& Wealth Management
For Internal Use Only
10
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KCP investment themes and solutions
01 Business update
02 Areas of expertise
03 Key investable themes
04 Implementation of themes
05 Key Client Partners FAQ
For Internal Use Only
11
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Themes for UHNW investors
I. Stable sources of current income
II. Distressed asset opportunities
III. Transitional (non-bank) capital — need for asset/debt financing
IV. Structural solutions
V. Real assets as inflation protection
VI. Private investments
VII. Special situations — tactical trade opportunities
VIII. Uncorrelated sources of return
Deutsche Asset
& Wealth Management
For Internal Use Only
12
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KCP investment themes and solutions
01 Business update
02 Areas of expertise
03 Key investable themes
04 Implementation of themes
05 Key Client Partners FAQ
For Internal Use Only
13
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September agenda for implementation of themes
Alternative investments
— Short duration CLO equity
— Hard asset put structure
Private markets
— Private markets bi-weekly deal list
— Suntex Marinas
— LiquidAlts H2O Force 10 Fund
Capital markets
— Japanese Yen & Nikkei geared basket
— BlueChip Stock (XYZ) arbitrage trade
— Positioning against geopolitical risk
Structured finance and lending
— Hedge fund portfolio leverage
— Middle market loan origination
Deutsche Asset
& Wealth Management
For Internal Use Only
14
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Short duration CLO equity
Area of expertise: Alternative investments
Theme: Structural solutions
Overview
— The US CLO market is becoming more open to creativity in deal
structures and investment strategies
— Strong demand for seasoned CLO deals has inspired the creation of short
duration CLOs
— DB is a pioneer in this space, having launched the first short duration
CLO in the US market in May of 2014 for the leading credit manager,
Ares Management
— DB's CLO team have several short duration CLO deals in the pipeline
DB CLO Pipeline
Target Pricing
Late September/Early October
Mid/Late October
4014
4014
1015
1015
Manager
Regiment Capital - Cavalry V (Short Duration)
Ares
Mountain Hawk IV (WAMCO)
Benefit Street VI (Providence)
LCM
Blackrock
Characteristics of short duration CLOs
Short duration CLOs combine the best features of 1.0 and 2.0 CLOs, and
offer an attractive alternative versus CLO 1.0 or refinanced 2011/2012 CLO
bonds:
— Significant Original Issue Discount when compared to typical 2.0 new
issue deals
— Very little or no reinvestment period, and one year non-call period creates
more bullet like debt vs. regular CLOs
— Capped amend-to-extend activity and capped reinvestment of
prepayments gives more certainty over debt and equity life when
compared to typical CLOs
— No issuer repurchase of notes, modification of weighted average life rule,
which are two debt unfriendly features in many CLOs
— Equity is positive IRR to one year call (this is not the case for any new
issue 2.0)
— The short duration CLO deals marketed through DB are Volcker compliant
Deutsche Asset
& Wealth Management
For Internal Use Only
15
Launch
Non-Call Period
Reinvestment Period
Final Maturity
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The evolution of CLOs
CLO 1.0
Columnl
Pre Credit Crisis
3-5 Years
6-7 Years
14-16 Years
Post Credit Crisis
—2 Years
3-4 Years
11-12 Years
Example deal: Ares XXX — Closed May 2014 z
Key features:
— Ares managed CLO with vanilla loan collateral
— 100% ramped at close
— No reinvestment period
— Non call period of one year, and a 10 year legal final
— No single tranche refinancing/re-pricing, no issuer repurchase of
notes
— Simplified documentation and structure, lower fee deal vs typical 2.0
CLOs
— Post closing, the manager has ability to reinvest a maximum of 50%
of loan prepayments and 100% of credit risk/credit improved sales,
provided certain conditions are satisfied
Capital Structure
Rating
Class
Class A Notes
Class B Notes
Class C Notes
Class D Notes
Class E Notes
Equity
TOTAL
(Moody's) Par Amount ($) Percentage
[Aaa]
[Aa2]
[A2]
[Baa2]
[Ba2]
NR
[240,000,000]
[33,000,000]
[17,000,000]
[14,000,000]
[20,500,000]
[36,250,000]
[360,750,000]
[66.5]%
[9.1]%
[4.7]%
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[3.9]%
[5.7]%
[10.01%
[100.0]%
WAL
(years)*
[3.0]
[5.2]
[5.2]
[5.2]
[5.2]
N/A
Coupon
L + [0.85]%
L + [1.45]%
L + [2.20]%
L + [2.85]%
L + [4.20]%
N/A
L + [1.28]%
DM
L + [1.10]%
L + [1.80]%
L + [2.75]%
L + [3.60]%
L + [5.15]%
N/A
L + [1.62]%
* WAL & Price calculated based on a 25% CPR, 2% CADR, 70% recovery and 5.2yr
Call with 50%
prepayments reinvested in equal or shorter maturity assets as long as the
WAL is greater than 2.0 years
Price
[99.27]%
[98.31]%
[97.41]%
[96.55]%
[95.80]%
[87.03]%
CLO 2.0
Short Duration
CLO
2014
1 Year
1 Year
10 Years
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Hard asset put structure
Area of expertise: Alternative investments
Theme: Distressed asset opportunities
Overview
—DB specializes in lending against non vanilla collateral including hard
assets. While lending against these assets provide an attractive risk
reward profile, it is not capital efficient for DB to hold this type of
collateral on its balance sheet
—DB is able to offer compelling, one-off, opportunities for investors
interested in ownership of these assets. This is accomplished through the
use of a "put" structure whereby an interested investor sells a put on the
underlying asset at a discount to the market value. If the underlying
borrower defaults on his loan at or before expiration, DB has the right to
sell the asset to the investor at the strike price. If the borrower does
not default the investor retains the premium paid by DB
Transaction explanation
— At initiation:
—DB enters a transaction with a put writer. The put writer agrees
to purchase a hard asset at a predetermined "strike" price
should DB exercise the option. The strike price can vary
between —30-50% of the market value of the asset
Day 1
Put Purchase
Premium
Put
Writer
—At expiration:
—DB will have the right to sell the asset to the put writer at the
strike price
At exercise
Strike
Put
Asset @ Strike
(30-50% market value)
Writer
Indicative option terms
Principal
$25-250mm
Strike Price
30-50% asset
value
Term
1-3 years
Premium
1-2% per annum
Deutsche Asset
& Wealth Management
For Internal Use Only
16
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Private markets bi-weekly deal list
Current Opportunities
Deal Name
Retrofit
RIN, Ltd.
French
Development
California
Development
Hybrid Truck
Refitter
Asset Class
Real Estate
ESG
Infrastructure
Leisure (Golf)
Leisure (Golf
& Vineyard)
Private, direct
lending
Security Type
PE fund LP
interest
CLO Equity
Private, direct
equity
Minority
equity stake
Mezz loan
Timing
9/31 first
close
Q3-4
TBD
TBD
Q3
Returnl
Tenor
10%+ IRR
13 yrs +
15%+IRR
12 yrs
TBD
TBD
TBD
Negotiable
structure
Pipeline of Potential Opportunities: Not Currently Approved for Distribution
Asset Class
Deal Name
Marina operator2
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French
Development
Put Option
Secondary prelPO
tech
Oil & Gas
Production2
Bermuda
Reinsurance2
H2O Force 10
LiquidAlts
Leisure
(Boating)
Option on
Credit
Tech
Oil & gas
Finance
Hedge Fund
Security Type
Direct private
equity
OTC
Derivative
Secondary
private
placement
Private equity
fund
Private, direct
equity
Liquid HF
(1) Return Tenor projected. Actual return will vary.
(2) DB does not yet have an active mandate.
Deutsche Asset
& Wealth Management
For Internal Use Only
17
Timing
Q4
Q4
TBD
Q3-4
Q4
Q4
Returnl
Tenor
TBD
TBD
20% IRR
5yr
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TBD
TBD
TBD
—3 yrs
TBD
3yrs
TBD
TBD
Min Invest
Total Raise
$5mm
$25mm
$1mm
$75mm
TBD
€660mm
TBD
$110mm
$30mm
$30mm
Onshore /
Offshore
Onshore
Onshore
Both
Both
TBD
Description
RREEF fund to acquire and manage a diverse portfolio of energy
efficiency retrofits on real estate buildings in North America
RIN Ltd. is a newly formed private debt fund, utilizing CLO structuring,
that will seek to originate a diversified portfolio of private infrastructure
loans
Golf course and lodging development in the heart of France. Current
owner is willing to sell anywhere from controlling stake through full
ownership
Vineyard expansion and resort development of 22,000 acres within Napa
and Lake Counties in the historic Guenoc Valley of California
Refitter of GM trucks from internal combustion to extended range electric
vehicles
Min Invest
Total Raise
$25mmm
$300mm
TBD
TBD
TBD
TBD
$65mm
$1mm
TBD
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$1mm
$25mm
Onshore /
Offshore
Both
Both
TBD
Onshore
TBD
TBD
TBD
Description
Investment in a diversified marina assets portfolio managed by the
marina arm of a well-established real estate investment firm
Write a put option on loan secured by French leisure real estate
Opportunity to purchase direct or indirect equity in pre-public VCsponsored
tech, late-stage growth companies
Existing clients will be offered the opportunity to invest in a second equity
raise
Investment in Bermuda reinsurance company that invests in a credit
strategy Hedge Fund
Macro, multi- strat exposure via the LiquidAlts Hedge Fund Platform,
ability to directly own the individual positions traded by the hedge fund
manager
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Suntex marinas
Area of expertise: Private markets
Theme: Private Investments
Investment profile of marinas
KCP believes marinas provide a compelling investment opportunity for several
reasons:
— REIT status: The industry has significant scale, growth potential, strong
free cash flow, and generates an
attractive yield; the asset class now qualifies for REIT status
— High current and forecasted revenue: In 2013, U.S. Marinas generated
$4.2bn in revenue, 68% of which
was generated by boat owners of the Baby Boomer generation (ages 45+). Baby
boomers have, and are
predicted to continue having significant amounts of wealth and leisure time
— Stability: Quality marinas in prime locations are stable through economic
cycles, resistant to down turns
while closely mirroring inflationary trends. The customer base is loyal with
low turnover, resulting in low
default rates
— Barriers to entry: The number of marinas hardly fluctuates due to limited
availability of appropriate land,
regulations and environmental protection laws, and high initial capital
investments
— Consolidation opportunity: The marina industry is very fragmented. In the
US there are approximately
2,500-3,000 institutional quality marinas, with at least 90% of owners being
singular "mom and pop"
businesses poised for acquisition and operational improvement
— Risks: Economic downturn that results in fall in value of marina values,
drought
Suntex Ventures: an overview
— Suntex Ventures, LLC, is a real estate company investing exclusively in
niche
mixed-use marinas and their related operating platforms
— Suntex currently ranks among the top 5 marina owners and operators in the
U.S. The group has acquired 29 marinas and 4 marina loans, valued at
$300mm in total. It currently owns and operates 20 marinas, and manages
another 2
— Suntex has a near 20 year history of success with strong historical
distributions
made from marina cash flow: realized historical IRRs have been in excess of
30%
— The executive team has worked together for over 20 years
— Suntex is already internationally established, and will maintain
exclusivity in
many markets with high demand
— Potential exit strategies are through an IPO or through sale to an
existing REIT
management company
(1) As of February 19, 2014. Source: Green Street Advisors
Deutsche Asset
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& Wealth Management
Key
Suntex managed marinas
Suntex current holdings
For Internal Use Only
Suntex potential acquisitions
Suntex / Sun resorts international sold / disposed
18
Suntex current, past and potential acquisitions
Marinas provide yields at the top end of the
range for all REIT asset classes,
0.00%
1.00%
2.00%
3.00%
4.00%
5.00%
6.00%
7.00%
8.00%
9.00%
8.50%
8.00% 8 00%
6.40% 6.40% 6.30% 6.20% 5.80%
Marinas Lodging
Data
center
Healthcare Retail Multifamily Industrial Office
Nominal cap rates
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LiquidAlts H2O Force 10 Fund
Area of expertise: Private markets
Theme: Structural solutions
Overview
— H2O Force 10 is a global macro, discretionary strategy sponsored by our
LiquidAlts hedge fund platform within DeAWM
— H2O Asset Management
— H2O AM LLP was founded in 2010 by veterans Bruno Crastes (CEO)
and Vincent Chailley (CIO), who worked together for 18 years prior; their
team averages 15years together
— Boutique structure, backed by one of Europe's largest asset managers
(Natixis Global Asset Management, $900 bn under management as of
3/31/14)
— $6.0bn AUM as of May 5th, 2014
— Investing in the LiquidAlts H2O Force 10 Fund presents several benefits and
features:
— Style: Global Macro, Multi-Asset, Active, Top-Down, Value and
Diversified — unlike traditional global-macro, the fund takes a collective
approach across non-siloed asset classes
— Fully Discretionary
— +24.9% compounded annual return since March 2011 inceptionl
— Low correlation with global bond & equity market indices and CTA's
— Daily Liquidity at NAV
— No lock-up gating or minimum holding period
Fund infrastructure
— The LiquidAlts H2O Force 10 Fund is built on the award winning
dbAlternatives
managed account platform infrastructure, which provides daily liquidity, full
transparency, risk reporting/oversight, and institutional fees
— The fund is not a feeder — it invests directly in the financial markets
— Investment decisions are made and implemented by LiquidAlts H2O Force 10
Fund within the risk and infrastructure framework provided by Deutsche Bank
— Deutsche Bank, in its various capacities, provides overall governance,
daily risk
monitoring, operational oversight, legal services, investor services and
service
provider/counterparty oversight
DB
LiquidAlts H2O
Force 10 Fund
Deutsche Asset
& Wealth Management
Liquid Alts
H20Fund
Service
Providers
(1) Reported performance is gross of management and performance fees
For Internal Use Only
19
Monthly
Investment
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Reports
Summary fund terms
Annual Fee: 1.5% p.a.
H2O Performance Fee: 20%
Minimum subscription: $1,000,000 initial subscription, $10,000 incremental
subscriptions
Dealing Frequency: Daily
Dealing Day: Each business day
Subscription notice: 2 business days for initial subscription, 1 business
day for
incremental subscriptions
Redemption notice: 2 business days
Performance
H2O Force 10 Strategy Returnsl
Compounded Annual Return
Cumulative Return
Trailing 12 months
Trailing 3 years
Largest Monthly Gain
Largest Monthly Loss
% Positive Months
% Negative Months
Investor information and materials
Due
Diligence
Independent Due Diligence
by Darius capital partners
produces an investment
and operational due
diligence report
Monthly reports containing
portfolio commentary and
outlook in addition to
detailed risk &
performance data
24.90%
112.05%
14.40%
120.61%
10.73%
-5.58%
75.61%
24.39%
Daily NAV
Reporting
NAV available daily,
including on Bloomberg
M.A.R.S risk system
Online Risk
Reporting
provides aggregate metrics
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on the fund including
sector breakdown, top
holding concentration,
scenario analysis and VaR
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Japanese Yen & Nikkei geared basket
Area of expertise: Capital markets
Theme: Special situations — tactical trade opportunities
Overview
— DB currently holds a bullish outlook on the Japanese Economy and a bearish
outlook on the Japanese Yen. Combining DB's bullish Japanese equity
theme with the bearish JPY outlook, creates an opportunity to focus upon
Japanese equities with an increased Beta to currency fluctuations
— The recent announcement that Japan's 2Q GDP decreased at an annualized
rate of 6.8% was close to the consensus forecast, due to April's sales tax
increase. The focus for the economies of Japan and the US now moves to the
strength of 3Q data. As this is confirmed, we will be watching for the
continued August trend of weaker JPY vs. USD1
— Forecast: Year end forecast for JPY is Y112. Spot JPY trades at Y106.2085
— Risks: Yen appreciation against the dollar, downside to Japanese equities
JPY sensitive stocks — historical betas
— Given our view for further JPY depreciation and our optimistic outlook for
the Japanese economy, we have looked to identify specific stocks which should
continue to outperform amidst further currency weakness
— As opposed to taking a more traditional approach, such as forecasting
exclusively export-oriented stocks or screening for percentage of overseas
sales /
operating profits, we have opted to look at those stocks which have
historically been most sensitive to currency moves based on previous price
performance.
Implementation
— JPY/NKY Geared Basket (ticker DBHKNKJN)
— The JPY & NKY Geared basket consists of the 20 stocks in our
universe with the highest combined sensitivity to changes in the 3month
USDJPY and 3-month changes in the Nikkei, with average
sensitivity of 0.78 and 1.39 respectively
— During the rally of Jun 2012 through Jan 2014, the basket
outperformed the Nikkei by 128.4%
— On average over the last 20 years, this basket has outperformed the
Nikkei by 42.7% during JPY selloff periods and underperformed by
only 2.1% during periods of JPY strength with a return / vol of 3.1
and -0.2, respectively
— Risks: Max loss — 100% of notional
(1) DB Global Markets Research: Japan Data Flash 08/13/14
(2) For additional detail on basket holdings please see Appendix. DB Global
Markets Research: Synthetic Equity & Index Strategy 01/22/14
Deutsche Asset
& Wealth Management
For Internal Use Only
20
JPY & NKY Geared Basket — 20 Year History2
This chart illustrates the outperformance of the basket vs. JPY & NKY over
consecutive reset periods
EFTA01470793
BlueChip stock (XYZ) arbitrage trade
Area of expertise: Capital markets
Theme: Special situations — tactical trade opportunities
Overview
— XYZ's daily stock return has exhibited statistically significant
correlation to whether it is Monday or Friday since 2011, coinciding
with the listing of weekly options
— Looking at the net deltas of actual option activity shows that
Fridays are more likely to see selling activity, while Mondays are
more likely to see buying activity
— Based upon regression analysis of XYZ's daily stock returns vs.
S&P's daily stock returns on Monday and Friday, respectively, both
Monday's and Fridays P-Values have declined (lower p-value
means higher statistical significance) since 2008. Both P-values
demonstrate statistical significance since 2011
— Going long XYZ / Short S&P500 only on Mondays produces over
2x a long/short strategy held over all days
Strategy Implementation
DB proposes a strategy capturing the combined return of the Friday and Monday
trades (short XYZ / Long S&P500 and Long XYZ / Short S&P500, respectively),
with dividends and gains reinvested
Underlying index will go long XYZ / Short S&P500 on Mondays and short XYZ /
Long S&P500 on Fridays. Strategy will use the SPDR S&P 500 ETF to replicate
the S&P 500 total return
Clients access the index via OTC Option with embedded 2bps per execution
(8bps/week) & 1% annualized fee and expected 20% indicative initial
collateral.
Strategy incorporates a transaction cost of 0.002% per execution and notional
amount executed
Risks: Negative performance on the underlying index will be realized on
clients' total notional
(1) Collateral requirement will depend on unique clients' ISDA CSA. Est 30%
Deutsche Asset
& Wealth Management
For Internal Use Only
21
Annual Returns
Weekly Options in XYZ list
(June 2010)
Combined Friday / Monday Performance vs S&P500
EFTA01470794
Positioning against geopolitical risk
Area of expertise: Capital Markets
Theme:Special situations — tactical trade opportunities
Overview: S&P Outperformance over EEM contingent on equities selling off
Rationale: S&P expected to sell off less than EM equities in a global risk-
off scenario
— Protection in global risk-off environment
— Equities will sell-off in a geopolitical stress situation — however, S&P
should perform better (drop less) than EEM
— Trade offers risk-limited exposure via options
— Payoff is equal to the amount of outperformance of the S&P relative to EEM
— and nothing if S&P underperforms
— Given Asia has heaviest weight in EM equities, trade also offers exposure
in case of Asia flare-up
— Risk: Loss of option premium
Implementation: Outperformance Call Option — 12mo (SPY outperformance over
EEM)
Overview: Long European Oil Sensitivity Basket'
Rationale: Benefit from European stocks particularly sensitive to oil prices
— Long / Short basket of Stoxx600 companies with highest and most
consistent positive and negative sensitivity to oil prices — screened for
liquidity
— Basket outperforms in rising oil price environment, therefore offering
positive exposure to Geopolitical disruptions, particularly in Russia and
Middle East
— Risk: falling oil prices will see basket underperform
Implementation: Buy European Oil Sensitivity Basket via Delta One note or
Total Return Swap
Source: Bloomberg Finance LP, Deutsche Bank Research
European Oil Sensitivity Basket Outperforms market when Brent
rises
(1) For additional detail on basket holdings please see Appendix
Deutsche Asset
& Wealth Management
For Internal Use Only
22
EFTA01470795
Hedge fund portfolio leverage
Area of expertise: Structured finance and lending
Theme: Structural solutions
Overview
— Portfolio of diversified hedge fund shares serves as collateral for a
leverage facility
— Additional capital through leverage boosts investor returns and allows for
flexibility of capital deployment
— Risks: leverage may enhance losses and covenant breaches may result in the
sale of the portfolio
Typical financing terms
Portfolio
— Diversified across strategies
— 20+ individual managers
— >$50mm aggregate AUM
Loan to Value
— 10-50% LTV (typical notional is $20mm+, with
capacity at $1bn)
— Variable funding note (VFN)
— Usually structured as a minimum usage facility
(—80% of total size)
Structure
— If the outstanding borrowing amount is less
than the minimum usage threshold, the
borrower must make whole on the minimum
amount
Pricing
— 3M Libor +250bps (on the greater of the
outstanding borrowing and the minimum
usage), depending on characteristics of the
portfolio and creditworthiness of the borrower
— Either undrawn fee or minimum usage
— Upfront structuring fee
DB takes
pledge
over
Custody
Account
Financing Costs
Client
Drawn Amount
Funded Fund Investments
Custodian
Custody Account
— Flexible drawdown and repayment — cash movement usually within 2
business days of notice
— Collateral for the facility is typically secured through a pledge of the
Custody Account. No need for transfers or change of ownership of
underlying fund shares, thus retaining original investment (e.g. fees,
lockups, high watermarks)
— Dynamic haircutting process allows our clients to maintain a more flexible
EFTA01470796
investment process. Haircut will be based on pre-agreed investment
guidelines
— Investment guidelines are easily quantifiable rules and are set based on
concentration limits, strategy diversification and liquidity profile
Deutsche Asset
& Wealth Management
For Internal Use Only
23
EFTA01470797
Middle market loan origination
Area of expertise: Structured finance and lending
Theme: Structural solutions
Overview: Middle market lending
— Middle market loan transactions are typically driven by the need to
finance dividend recaps and leveraged buyouts
— DB works across various business types to provide BDC-style, middle
market lending
Key loan parameters
— Loan size: $50mm-300mm
— Duration: 3-5years, having financed up to 7years
— Leverage: between 3.5-5.5x EBITDA
— 3.5-4x for Senior
— 5-5.5x for Mezzanine
— Rates: Senior can range from 4-7%; Mezz can range from high single
to low double digit yields
— Fees: 1-1.5% upfront
Company profile
Size
EBITDA range $1525mm
Case
Study: Frac sand processing company
— DB extended —$50mm of senior secured debt to a frac sand mining and
processing company that was seeking to purchase reserves currently
being mined under contract
— Its senior secured structure included all assets of the company and its
subsidiaries
— Financing was structured in 3 phases (1 & 2 complete); upsize of up to
-$50mm available upon meeting financial metrics, and its proceeds
would be used for expansion and logistics improvements
— Current off-take contracts and backlog of additional contracts to be
executed as additional mines come online
— Low risk expansion strategy, given agreed purchase price under option
contract and basic, everyday construction processes required for
logistics improvement
Financing
Amount
Tenor
Collateral
Hard assets
Industry
Industry agnostic but
with focus on
industrials & natural
resources
Further draw
conditions
— Completion of asset
purchase
— Certain financial metrics
Covenants
EFTA01470798
— Negative pledge
— Minimum liquidity
— Leverage ratio
— Debt service coverage ratio
— CapEx limits
— Limited distributions
—$100mm (including
potential upsize)
5 yrs
Economics
High single digits
Purpose
Purchase of assets,
logistics improvements, and
working capital
Deutsche Asset
& Wealth Management
For Internal Use Only
24
EFTA01470799
KCP investment themes and solutions
01 Business update
02 Areas of expertise
03 Key investable themes
04 Implementation of themes
05 Key Client Partners FAQ
For Internal Use Only
25
EFTA01470800
KCP FAQs
What is Key Client Partners?
— An AWM Global Client Group (GCG) Sales desk providing senior client
coverage out of the U.S., offering tailored solutions and investments
generally not
available to WM clients on a strictly non-advised basis
What type of clients are covered by KCP?
— AWM-KCP has a mandate to cover private wealth and ultra-high-net worth
individuals and their investment vehicles (Private Clients, Family Offices,
Foundations, Private Companies, Small-Medium Institutions, Funds)
— Quantitative Criteria: Clients with Total Net Worth > $100mm, minimum
$50mm Total Assets
— Qualitative Criteria: All services offered to clients deemed sophisticated
and KCP eligible based on completed and signed Client Approval Form ("CAF")
What kind of transactions can be executed via KCP and how are they selected?
KCP offers clients access to:
a. The full range of Deutsche Bank's institutional capabilities across the
Capital Markets platforms
b.
Proprietary private market investment opportunities from within DB Group and
3rd Parties
c. Structured Financing and Lending solutions
d. Alternatives (Hedge Funds, Private Equity, Real Estate)
e. Non-Core Assets
— Investment opportunities are sourced from the internal DB network, as well
as from external sources (including inquiry from AWM client base)
— The main element of the KCP investment process is a weekly review whereby
the KCP investment specialists discuss current themes and trade ideas and
then filter various investment opportunities based on a number of key factors
— The KCP Product Review Committee (KPRC) reviews the eligibility of non -
flow product for KCP clients
How is KCP different from the normal Wealth Management Business / PIC?
— vs WM: senior coverage, access to full product platform, direct CB&S
access, KCP owned processes geared towards coverage of top tier Key clients,
strictly non-advisory
— vs PIC: part of AWM, focus on holistic client relationship not
transactions, open architecture
What does non-advisory mean?
— KCP is dealing only with sophisticated clients that are able to evaluate
the merits/risks of investment opportunities on their own
— Clients must conduct their own due diligence on investment opportunities
— KCP provides factual information only and does not make personal
recommendations
— Client Advisors must not give an opinion on KCP investments
— KCP is not discretionary — all investment decisions to come from the client
Deutsche Asset
& Wealth Management
For Internal Use Only
26
EFTA01470801
KCP FAQs
Why should I involve KCP in the relationship with my client?
— KCP is your service provider to deepen your relationship to key clients
— Client Advisors receive all revenues (KCP as cost centre)
— KCP investment offering as an enabler to win new Key Clients and increase
NNA
How do I bring clients on to the KCP platform?
— Contact the KCP team to discuss your client case or KCP prospect
— The U.S. adoption should ensure proper documentation of the client's
sophistication and investment experience in order to deal with KCP on a
nonadvised
basis
— The KCP Client Approval Form (available shortly via the WM intranet) is
the second step
What documentation is a client required to sign for KCP?
New clients (to DeAWM) will be legally adopted according to the standard KYC/-
AML process
Mandatory KCP documents:
a. KCP Non-Advisory Letter
b. Institutional Account Certification
c. Additional Documents might be required according to client needs (QIB
Certificate, ISDA)
Can my client get direct CB&S access through KCP and how are revenues shared?
— Yes, KCP U.S. clients are on-boarded to the CB&S platform
— Depending on the transaction revenues will be shared 50/50 between AWM and
CB&S and reviewed on a monthly basis
— In general, KCP clients will be on-boarded to the AWM (Pershing) platform
for execution where possible (100% revenues for AWM, visible in GMIS)
What is the added value of KCP to the client?
— Unique investment opportunities normally not available to WM client base
— Holistic client service for access to all DB capabilities globally
— Access to DB's investment bank and open architecture
— In-house review of product/client suitability enabling quick time to market
Contacts
Caroline Kitidis (Head of KCP Americas) + 1 (212) 454-0601
Mathew Negus (C00, Business Management KCP Americas) +1 (212) 250-6746
Deutsche Asset
& Wealth Management
For Internal Use Only
27
EFTA01470802
Appendix: Basket Holdings
Japanese Yen & Nikkei Geared Basket — Holdingsl
Ticker
7261
8609
7270
8604
5101
8616
6141
8601
5334
7205
Name
MAZDA MOTOR CORP
OKASAN SECURITIES GROUP INC
FUJI HEAVY INDUSTRIES LTD
NOMURA HOLDINGS INC
YOKOHAMA RUBBER CO LTD
TOKAI TOKYO FINANCIAL HOLDIN
DMG MORI SEIKI CO LTD
DAIWA SECURITIES GROUP INC
NGK SPARK PLUG CO LTD
HINO MOTORS LTD
Coeff-icient
3.7
3
2.8
2.3
2.3
2.3
2.2
2.2
2.1
2
Long / Short European oil Sensitivity Basket — Holdings2
Long Basket
Ticker
LUPE SS
STL NO Statoil Asa
PGS NO Petroleum Geo- Services
CGG FP CGG
FUR NA Fugro NV-CVA
Technip SA
TEC FP
BG/ LN Bg Group Plc
RDSA NA Royal Dutch Shell
PMO LN Premier Oil Plc
OMV AV OMV Ag
TLW LN Tullow Oil Plc
Long Name
EFTA01470803
Lundin Petroleum AB
Country
Sweden
Norway
Norway
France
Netherlands
France
Britain
Netherlands
Britain
Austria
Britain
Energy
Energy
Energy
Energy
Energy
Energy
Energy
Energy
Energy
Energy
Energy
Sector
Ticker
8595
6701
7012
9104
6758
7276
5406
7203
8628
7272
Name
JAFCO CO LTD
NEC CORP
KAWASAKI HEAVY INDUSTRIES
MITSUI OSK LINES LTD
SONY CORP
KOITO MANUFACTURING CO LTD
KOBE STEEL LTD
TOYOTA MOTOR CORP
MATSUI SECURITIES CO LTD
YAMAHA MOTOR CO LTD
Coeff-icient
2
2
1.9
EFTA01470804
1.9
1.9
1.8
1.8
1.7
1.7
1.7
Short Basket
Ticker
Short Name
Country
HEI GR HeidelbergCement Ag
SMIN LN Smiths Group Plc
ADS GR Adidas Ag
DAI GR Daimler Ag- registered Shares
EKTAB SS Elekta AB-B Shs
ABI BB
Anheuser-Busch Invben NV
BKT SM Bankiter SA
ZOT SM Zardoya Otis SA
IFX GR Infineon Technologies Ag
CCL LN Carnival Plc
CCLN LN Carillion Plc
ATCOA SS Atlas Copco AB-A Shs
BPSO IM Banca Popolare Di Sondrio
HO FP Thales SA
SAB SM Banco de Sabadell SA
TEF SM Telefonica SA
GAS SM Gas Natural Sdg SA
STM IM Stmicroelectronics NV
UG FP
ALU FP
RCF FP
Peugeot SA
BAYN GR Bayer Ag- reg
Alcatel-Lucent
BATS LN British American Tobacco Plc
NG/ LN National Grid Plc
Teleperformance
UU? LN United Utilities Group Plc
ABF LN Associated British Foods Plc
(1) Source: DB Global Markets Research: Synthetic Equity & Index Strategy
01/22/14
(2) Source: DB Global Markets Research The House View 07/29/14
Deutsche Asset
& Wealth Management
CAST ss Castellum AB
For Internal Use Only
Germany
Britian
Germany
EFTA01470805
Germany
Sweden
Belgium
Spain
Spain
Germany
United States
Britian
Sweden
Italy
France
Spain
Spain
Spain
Switzerland
France
Germany
France
Britian
Britian
France
Britian
Britian
Sweden
Materials
Industrials
Cons Discretionary
Cons Discretionary
Health Care
Consumer Staples
Financials
Financials
IT
Cons Discretionary
Industrials
Industrials
Financials
Industrials
Financials
Telecome
Utilities
IT
Cons Discretionary
Health Care
IT
Consumer Staples
Utilities
Industrials
Utilities
Consumer Staples
Financials
EFTA01470806
28
Sector
EFTA01470807
Disclaimer
This material has been prepared solely for informational purposes, and does
not contain the full range of products and services available through
Deutsche
Bank. Client-Facing Professionals should not rely solely on this material to
determine the products or services to introduce to clients, as all products
included
herein may not be suitable for every client, and there may be eligibility
requirements for certain products. Client-Facing Professionals are
responsible for
determining the suitability of products and services recommended to clients
and for confirming that clients meet any applicable eligibility
requirements. Products and services discussed herein may not be offered by
every division within Deutsche Bank Asset & Wealth Management.
Key Clients Partners services are offered to a select group of Deutsche Bank
Asset & Wealth Management ("DeAWM") clients who are able to meet certain
criteria including, without limitation, financial and sophistication
qualifications. Institutional investors only. All Key Clients Partners
opportunities may not be
available in all DeAWM locations.
This material was prepared by a Sales or Trading function within Deutsche
Bank Private Wealth Management, and was not produced, reviewed or edited by
the Research Department of Deutsche Bank. These trading and investment ideas
are not necessarily consistent with trading and investment ideas provided by
other persons within Deutsche Bank Securities Inc. or with the views of the
Research Department of Deutsche Bank.
This is not an offer, recommendation or solicitation to buy or sell, nor is
it an official confirmation of terms. It is based on information from
sources believed to
be reliable. No representation is made that it is accurate or complete or
that any returns indicated will be achieved. Changes to assumptions may have
a
material impact on any returns detailed. Past performance is not indicative
of future returns. Price and availability are subject to change without
notice.
Additional information is available upon request.
This document is for Internal Use Only. It does not include the requisite
disclosure for public distribution and should not be released
to the public under any circumstance. 019262 091014
Deutsche Asset
& Wealth Management
For Internal Use Only
EFTA01470808
ℹ️ Document Details
SHA-256
8b687c9c63de6d54a14e96186af29ff0758129c95a4561662a49f6faa0e29441
Bates Number
EFTA01470762
Dataset
DataSet-10
Document Type
document
Pages
47
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