📄 Extracted Text (12,382 words)
From: Gregory Brown
Sent: Sunday, April 16, 2017 8:22 AM
To: undisclosed-recipients:
Subject: Greg Brown's Weekend Reading and Other Things.. 04/16/2017
DEAR FRIEND
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Obesity's hefty price tag
America's heaviest city grapples with costs from weight-loss surgery =o extra-wide hospital beds.
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=n a recent article in Politico Magazine by Beth Baker she=describes the operation above of a 30 year-old 330 pound
female patient =E24140, considered "morbidly obese" 40=93 with two gaping hernias holes torn in the abdominal sac
that holds the =ody's major organs, as "The belly wall is not designed to =old this much weight," said by her Baptist
Memphis Hospital, surge=n George Woodman.
By the operation's end, most of the patient*=804>s stomach was trimmed away, leaving a much smaller "gas=ric
sleeve" that will allow her to feel full after eating =nly small amounts of food. Removing a portion of the stomach also
suppress=s the hormones that stimulate hunger. The operation (known as a laparoscopic sleeve gastrectom=) is now
the most common type of weight-loss surgery performed in=the U.S. Woodman has conducted 6,000 gastric sleeve
operations, and =id three more that morning. Memphis is the heaviest metropolitan cit= in the country, with an adult
obesity rate of about 36 percent — =pproaching the rate of more than 40 percent that researchers say we4i=99II reach
by 2030, if current trends continue.
"There is an unlimited number of patients," he sai=.
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Memphis may be the heaviest city in the country, but it isn't mu=h of an outlier. From the trimmest state, Colorado, to
the most obese, Mis=issippi, the entire nation has been on a perilous—and costly*=94upward track when it comes to
extreme weight gain. Severe obesity <=span>(a BMI of 40 or more) — the kind most harmful to individual well-being and
expen=ive to society — is rising at an alarming rate and may affect 11 p=rcent of U.S. adults by 2030.
Dieting and exercise are the prescription fo= most Americans who want to lose weight, but only a minority
succeed.t>=A0 Woodman estimates that just 3 percent of his morbidly obese patients co=ld lose their excess weight on
their own, so for most, bariatric surgery i= a last-resort option. With luck, this patient will lose about 75 percent =f her
excess weight, putting her on track to a healthier future. 0=804fleople say that obesity is self-induced," Woodman
said. 4k=A0"But it doesn't matter. We have to do something about it="
Every five days, Woodman holds a seminar for prospective patient=. On a recent Saturday, 60 people showed up.
Perhaps one-third would=follow through with surgery. For some, Medicare, Medicaid, or private insu=ers will pay,
calculating that the price of the surgery is less than the c=st of a lifetime of chronic disease. At Baptist Memphis, the
operati=n costs $14,000 — the cost is often higher elsewhere, $25,000 or m=re. That may seem expensive, but it could
be a bargain compared with=the estimated $200,000 in excess medical costs obese Americans can rack up=over their
lifetimes.
Memphis has the highest obesity rate among U.S. citi=s, and its appetite for unhealthy food is part of the reason.
<1=>
Pedestrians on Beale Street take in the sights, top,=including the day's menu at B.B. King's famous blues club, left.=C24,
At right, spectators wait for the city's famous Mardi Gras parad= to pass by.
As American waistbands continue t= expand, researchers and policymakers are trying to figure out just what t=e obesity
epidemic is going to cost the nation. There are the direct=medical costs of treating obesity-related diseases including
Type 2 diabet=s, heart disease and stroke, high blood pressure, arthritis, and related c=ncers, among others. And then
there are the indirect costs: lost productiv=ty, more illness, extra infrastructure to handle heavier patients and resi=ents.
These bills are already coming due in Memphis. Last year, extr= health care costs from obesity were $538 million —
more than half=the budget of the city's public school system, according to Gallup=Healthways Well-Being Index. For the
state of Tennessee, the annual =xcess health costs of obesity were $2.29 billion — equivalent to m=re than 6 percent of
the entire state budget. No matter how many sur=eries Woodman conducts, he won't make a dent; many more
Americans =re tipping the scales into the obese range each year.
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Endocrinologist Ja= Cohen, who treats many patients with obesity-caused diabetes, estimates t=at the average diabetic
patient costs the health care system triple what a=healthy person costs. Add in their lost productivity and the price t=g
skyrockets. "It's politically imperative to reduce=the obesity rate," said Cohen. Nationally, "it costs literally tr=llions of
dollars to treat these conditions."
AS COSTLY AS the o=esity problem is now, its set to get worse. The baby boom generation=is the fattest on record, and
they are just reaching the age where health =roblems begin to mount. Federal and state officials are growing
incr=asingly worried about the steep price the country will pay for its weight =roblem.
In West Virginia, one of the most obese states, public health comm=ssioner Rahul Gupta says the preventable direct
medical costs of obesity a=e $1.4 billion to $1.8 billion a year, with an additional $5 billion in in=irect costs, such as lost
productivity. Obese patients submit up to =even times the number of medical claims compared with normal-weight
patien=s, he said. "At the state and federal levels, chronic diseas= burden is among the largest drivers of health care
costs/4k=99 Gupta said, "and among chronic diseases it comes down to the conse=uences of obesity and tobacco."
c=pan style="font-size:12ptline-height:17.12px;font-family:georgia,serif"=
And then there are the national co=ts. Zhou Yang, a professor at Emory University who studies the impact of o=esity on
the medical system, found that obese older males spent $190,657 m=re on lifetime health care expenses than their
normal weight peers while o=der obese women spent $223,629 more. A 2016 meta-analysis by Univers=ty of
Washington researchers found that annual medical spending attributed=to obesity nationally was nearly $150 billion —
more than four tim=s the federal budget for foreign aid and nearly enough to fund the entire =.S.
Department of Veterans Affair=.
Other potential costs are harder to quantify but no less worrisome, for =atients, taxpayers and society at large. For
example, researchers ar= discovering that vaccines may not be as effective in those who are obese.=C24> Studies have
found that obese patients do not respond as well to the=HIV vaccine and the flu vaccine, leaving them more vulnerable
to infection=— and to passing those diseases on to others. Over time, it4k=99s possible that a community's "herd
immunity" co=ld suffer, creating the conditions for the return of diseases that were on=e controlled through
immunization—and that could affect us all, ac=ording to an analyst at the Union of Concerned Scientists.
Even the milita=y is affected, as recruiters struggle to find enough soldiers who meet fit=ess requirements. The
percentage of overweight and obese young men doubled=over a 50-year period and tripled for young women.
According to a st=dy by the National Bureau of Economic Research, Navy recruits who were ove=weight were more
likely than their normal-weight peers to fail semiannual =hysical readiness tests. In all, overweight and obese active
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duty mi=itary personnel cost the taxpayer $105 million a year in lost productivity= and $1 billion annually on treating
obesity-related illness —more=than treating military tobacco and alcohol-related illness combined, NBER =stimated.
Transportation costs, too, are rising, and not only for obese pa=sengers who must purchase two seats to fly.
Researchers at the Unive=sity of Illinois estimated that 1 billion additional gallons of gasoline a=e consumed in the U.S.
each year to ferry overweight and obese car passeng=rs from place to place. One study estimated that U.S. airlines
purch=sed 350 million more gallons of jet fuel because of the number of heavier =assengers.
Obesity also affects the bottom line of employers. Obesit= contributes to absenteeism and "presenteeism," whe=
people show up but are less productive. Based on current trends, the cost=of obesity in lost economic productivity by
2030 will be between $390 bill=on and $520 billion annually.
Obese employees may suffer financially as we=l. A 2010 study found that white women had 9 percent lower wag=s
because of obesity, "equivalent in absolute value to the wage ef=ect of roughly 1.5 years of education or three years of
work experience.=E2$4 A study in the Journal of Health Economics found that some =mployers pay lower wages to
obese workers to cover higher insurance costs.=/span>
c=pan style="font-size:12ptline-height:17.12pr,font-family:georgia,serif"=Even the cost of dying is higher for obese
people. Companies like Go=iath Caskets specialize in funeral products for the obese — for a =rice. Everything from
wider grave plots to specialized hearses with reinfa=ced chassis and heavy-duty lifting equipment must be used.
Crematories are=widening furnace doors and chambers to accommodate very large bodies.4,=A0 A "supersize" funeral
costs between $800 and $3,=oo more, notes U.S. Funerals Online. "The costs are not just rela=ed to health care," said
Gupta. "There's a cost fo= people who can't reach their full potential in terms of education= employment, mobility,
physical activity and productivity."=/p>
AT BAPTIST MEMPHIS, case m=nagers Bonnie Jeter and Phyllis Lutz see the costly impact of obesity in t=e long-term
acute care hospital, a special wing for critically ill patient=. When Jeter began as a case manager 27 years ago, obesity
was rare.=C2.> Today, some 40 to 50 percent of the patients she sees are obese or =E204>super obese." Before
opening this special win=, the rooms had to be retrofitted with hydraulic ceiling lifts and wider d=orways because of the
large number of obese patients. On a tour of t=e unit, Jeter and Lutz led visitors to the bathing room. They cannot=lift
their most obese patients into the extra-large tub, so these patients=must be given sponge baths. The large toilet is
mounted on the floor= rather than the wall, to hold heavy patients.
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"It can take three =eople to turn a super obese patient," said Lutz. Patients mu=t be turned every two hours to prevent
pressure ulcers, in addition to bei=g moved for wound care, bed baths, and other needs. To make matters =orse, "We
don't have any more staff [to handle obese patients]," sh= said.
These patients face numerous complex medical problems. Q=9CThey take longer to get better," said Jeter. "Ther= are
a lot of complications—diabetes, renal failure, terrible skin=wounds, circulatory issues, cellulitis, breathing difficulties."
=C240Providing care is not incrementally more difficult, she said, 4>=9Cles a quantum leap." Not surprisingly, pati=nts
often grow depressed and unmotivated. 'They're d=ing younger and younger," said Jeter. "It's horrif=c."
To accommodate the many obese patients, Baptist Memphis Hospit=l has had to install extra-wide hospital doors.
Bariatric surgeon Ge=rge Woodman, right, talks with patient Dana Brown one day after she receiv=d gastric sleeve
surgery to shrink the size of her stomach. Then the=e's the discharge planning for patients ready for release.
Nursing=homes and dialysis clinics can be hard to find. "Some [clinics] have a 350-po=nd size limit," said Jeter. She and
Lutz must plan far ahead=to locate places to send the patients.
=br>
Usually, hospitals must eat the cos= for expensive bariatric equipment. A mechanical lift that can hold up to =00 pounds
costs $6,000 — a bariatric lift, for up to 1,000 pounds,=$13,000. A standard hospital bed runs $8,000 compared with a
large b=d for $45,000. Everything from larger blood pressure cuffs to wheelchairs,=stretchers, waiting room chairs and
patient gowns must be on hand. Y=t health care providers cannot charge insurers for these costs.
=p class="MsoNormal">
4>=804,Obesity is one of the most urgent public health problems in our natio= today," said Jay Bhatt, chief medical
officer of the American Hos=ital Association. In addition to equipment costs, he said, hospitals=pay for special safety
training for workers. Nurse's aides r=nk 4th nationally in job injuries, behind police officers, jailers and fir=fighters, in
part due to lifting heavy patients.
Nursing homes face many o= the same challenges, said Cheryl Phillips, senior vice president for Publ=c Policy and Health
Services for Leading Age, the trade association of non=rofit nursing homes. "We are arguing for better reimbursemen=
that is risk-adjusted," said Phillips. "Medicaid do=sn't even meet the costs for much of the care —obesity is b=t one
example." According to research by Yang, overweight an= obese baby boomers will spend 1.3 billion more days in long-
term care tha= previous generations, costing Medicaid at least $68 billion.
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At the end of a workday, she an= pediatrician-in-chief Jon McCullers sit in his office to reflect on the o=esity epidemic.
McCullers was an infectious disease researcher until=five years ago, when he was recruited to Le Bonheur. "It
was=obvious that my research wasn't what they needed," he said= High poverty levels in Memphis led to a host of
urgent problems...A0 Topping the list was obesity. With an infusion of state and hospi=al funding, he launched the
obesity program, which combines research, comm=nity outreach and a Healthy Lifestyle clinic. Most of the
program*=8040s $3.5 million annual budget is not covered by patient insurance.
Wha= is the goal? "Not to be the worst in the country," McCull=rs said wryly.
The clinic has served 650 high-risk kids since opening in =ctober 2014, the majority African-American girls. For these
children= a healthy lifestyle can be a new concept. Through surveys, Han.=8040s team found that two-thirds of the
families they serve are considere= "food insecure," despite their obesity. "So=it's the types of foods they're eating —
high in f=t, high in sugar," she said. As for exercise, Han, whose own=children go to Memphis public schools said gym
class is held in the hallwa=s, if at all.
Despite the immensity of the problem, Han and McCullers tr= to be hopeful. Nationally, the prevalence of obesity has
remained s=able for children and teens, and the rate decreased significantly among pr=schoolers in 2013.2014,
according to the Centers for Disease Control and P=evention. "We know we can make the obesity rate plateau4=804>
said Han. "Now we need to make it reverse." Th= challenge is finding creative ways to connect with people where they
live= "Most hospitals look at who is inside their walls,"=said McCullers. "You have to look outside your walls, and
be=engaged with local and state governments and community groups."
Ul=imately, they said, its clear obesity has stopped being a problem for only=those affected and is now a national crisis.
The country literally c=nnot afford the impending costs. Shifting investments toward encoura=ing healthy environments
and behaviors rather than paying for expensive, l=fe-threatening chronic disease is the only affordable — and
humane=— response. "Obesity costs everybody,Q=9D said Yang. "Nobody can escape. Someone has to pa= the bill."
=/p>
So True
The Reality of an American being Killed by an Illegal Immigrant
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So Why are so many People T=rrified of Illegal Immigrants?
Beca=se of Fear spread by Our Leaders
Web Link: https://www.facebook.com/marnita.schroedl/posts/1021169359211=912
<https:=/www.facebook.com/marnita.schroedl/posts/10211693592115912>
aspan>
Please see the video via the above web link
Stupid Money
=p class="MsoNormal" align="center">Throwing more money at the military won't make it stronger</=pan>
<=r>
I called this piece stupid money aft=r reading reports that President Trump is proposing a $54 billion increase=for the
Defense Department, which he then claimed would be offset by large=cuts in the State Department, foreign aid and
other civilian agencies.Q=A0 Trump says he wants to do this so that "nobody will dare questi=n our military might
again." But no one does. The U.S. milit=ry remains in a league of its o None of the difficulties the United States=has
faced over the past 25 years has been in any way because its military =as too small or weak. As then-Secretary of
Defense Robert Gates note= in a 2007 lecture, "One of the most important lessons of the wars=in Iraq and Afghanistan
is that military success is not sufficient to win.=E244 To achieve "long-term success," he e=plained, requires
"economic development, institution-building ...E2440. [and] good governance." =herefore, he called for "a dramatic
increas= in spending on the civilian instruments of national security," in=luding "diplomacy" and "foreign
assistan=e."win. The U.S. defense budget in 2015 was nine times the siz= of Russia's and three times that of China's.
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More =mportantly President Trump is proposing dramatically increasing our nuclea= arsenal, as if this will somehow
dissuade ISIS and other terrorist. =Also Trump is stuck in the 20th Century advocating large m=litary programs like
aircraft carriers who are useless against a group of =ad guys with a dirty bomb or an adversary intent to poison our
water suppl= or hack into banking system or election. But then that has already =appened with the President claiming
that it was nothing to do with nothing=
4,=A0
Currently the United States spends almost $600 b=llion yearly on its military which is almost 40% of all of the money
spent=globally, more than the next eight countries and 54% of all of the discret=onary spending in the country. And to
give you more prospective, the=$54 billion that President Trump is proposing is almost as much as the ent=re military
budget in China. Yet we are no safer than Indonesia, Bra=il, Spain, Australia or South Africa which are not in the top 10
of milita=y expenditures.
Just to understand the wastefulness of wars you only have =o look at what US military in Iraq, Just in 2011 after our
politicians had=declared victory and the media have largely moved on because it didni>=99t mean we wasn't going to
spend almost $50 billion on thos= "non-combat troops" which remain, however. What else could we d= with that kind of
scratch if we just brought them home? NPP tells us it w=uld buy:
• 4,0=A0 24.3 million children rece=ving low-income health care for one year, OR
aspan>726,044 elementary school teachers for one year, OR
=C2.829,946 firefighters for one year, OR
=C2$6.2 million Head Start slots for children for one yea=, OR
* Q=A0 10.7 million households with ren=wable electricity -- solar photovoltaic for one year, OR
=C*28.6 million households with renewable electricity-wi=d power for one year, OR
=C2* =C* 6.1 milli=n military veterans receiving VA medical care for one year, OR
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m_2918525785759295066m_7253808749210003129gmail-MsoUstPararraphCxSpMiddle" style="margin-left:lin">•
=C2* 9.8 million people receiving low-income health =are for one year, OR
*=B7 4>=A0 718,208 police=or sheriff's patrol officers for one year, OR
6.0 million scholarships for university students for one year,=OR
* =C24> 8.5 million students receiving Pell=grants of $5,550
It's a tragic iron= that so much of the discussion surrounding the public debt centers on 40=8040entitlements" like Social
Security (which hasn't a=ded a penny to the national debt) when we're still paying for Korea an= Vietnam and Grenada
and Panama and the first Gulf War and Somalia and the=Balkans and on and on. Estimates of just how much of our
national de=t payments are from past military spending vary wildly. In 2007, economist=Robert Higgs calculated it like
this:
I added up all past deficits (minus surpluses) since 1916 (whe= the debt was nearly zero), prorated according to each
year's ratio of=narrowly defined national security spending--military, veterans, and inter=ational affairs--to total federal
spending, expressing everything in dolla=s of constant purchasing power. This sum is equal to 91.2 percent of the v=Iue
of the national debt held by the public at the end of 2006. Therefore,=l attribute that same percentage of the
government's net interest outl=ys in that year to past debt-financed defense spending.
When Higgs did tha= analysis four years later, he came up with a figure of $206.7 billion jus= in interest payments on our
past military adventures. And most peop=e see this number as extremely conservative.
Fareed Zakaria tells a story =hat he was surprise by the answer that General David Petraeus told him dur=ng the early
days of the Iraq War and things were not going well. Wh=n asked whether he wished he had more troops. Petraeus
was too polit=cally savvy to criticize the Donald Rumsfeld "light footprint*=8* strategy, so he deflected the question,
answering it a different way= "I wish we had more Foreign Service officers, aid professionals a=d other kinds of non-
military specialists," he said. The heart of =he problem the United States was facing in Iraq, he noted presciently, was=a
deep sectarian divide between Shiite and Sunni, Arab and Kurd. "=e need help on those issues. Otherwise, we're relying
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on 22-year-o=d sergeants to handle them. Now, they are great kids, but they really don=E2Q4H know the history, the
language, the politics."
I understand the need fo= a strong national defense but when you are already spending more than the=combined
military budgets of the next largest countries, it is difficult t= believe that our military spending is bloated and more
importantly full w=th wasteful boondoggles that suck the resources that we better use non-mil=tary specialists, foreign
aid and diplomacy. As I use to say during =he Vietnam War, "if we had given the Viet Cong televisions instead=of
dropping bombs the war would have ended years earlier." A= such throwing more money in an already bloated military
is not only waste=ul it is dereliction to the fiduciary responsibility that our government o=es its citizens.
Someone Has Got To Be Kidding?
<=pan style="font-size:12ptline-height:107%;font-family:georgia,serif">
It is often =aid that Wall Street (the=financial markets) is a casino, but after this week I would label it the ultimate Ponzi
Scheme (named after Charles Ponzi who=e company, Securities Exchange Company, in 1919 promised returns of 50% in
45 days or =00% in 90 days out of monies from newer investors) — after hearin= that Tesla Corporation surpassed Ford
Motor Company in value. But how can =his be possible? One company is an automotive titan that has built more that
350 million vehicles over the past 115 years with 201,000 employees, sales of 6.6 million vehicles, annual revenues $152
billion and profits of $10.4 billion last year. And the other is only 15 years old, with 30,000 employees, sales of 76,000
vehicles, revenues of $7 billion, pre-tax loss of $746 million and has neve= made a profit. Yet the 15 year-old Tesla is
now valued more than Ford.
=br>
Someone is crazy. =/font>
Even if one were=to believe that Tesla has a more promising future, numbers don't lie. And yet a 7% surge in the value
of shares in electric car firm Tesla a week ago Monday s=w it zoom ahead of Ford Motor Company, in terms of its stock
market value..=A0 As Wall Street closed for the day, Tesla, led by 45-year-old tycoon and futurist Elon Musk, was
worth $49bn (E38bn), compared with a pal=ry $46bn for the empire built by Henry Ford. This astonishing overtaking
maneuver says as much about the nature of stock mark=ts as it does about these two very different carmakers. The old
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clichl>=A9 among stock market investors is that you should "buy on the rumor, sell on the fact" — the idea that
investment is more ab=ut what you expect to happen in the future than the current state of play — obviously =his is the
case with Tesla.
While Tesla's investors believe that it is th= standard-bearer of a battery-powered future — and Ford is the archetypal
mass-produ=tion legacy car business. That is the myth that CEO Elon Musk carefully crafted for thirty-something year
old Wall Street analysists who can afford to buy a $100,000 car. But as someone who j=st leased a Chevy Bolt, I did so
because it was half the price of an entry level Tesla, even though=it is fully loaded and gets the same mileage. And I
leased because in three years every major automaker from Mercedes to Renault will be offering electric vehicles that
get more than 250 miles =ith a single charge, so who knows what is going to be my next car. =nd in spite the setback of
a fatal crash last year, when a Tesla on autopilot failed to tell the difference between =he side of a white lorry and a
bright sky, the company continues to make strid=s towards a fully driverless car but so is Uber, Google and the other big
aut=makers.
I understand that Tesla also has a potentially lucrat=ve sideline in storage batteries for the home. The Powerwall is
intended=to allow homes to store solar power, and Tesla is also due to start installing its first sola= roof tiles this year. I
appreciate that Tesla's has set a goal of building 500,000 cars in 2018 and Musk ha= even raised the prospect of
doubling that to lm by 2020— except that th=se production targets are unprecedented in the automotive industry and
as Sams=ng last year's debacle with its Galaxy Note 7 cellphone catching fire =E2.4) pushing production delivery prior
an exhausted testing has shown that a single defe=tive part from a supplier can kill sales and stock prices faster than
E.coli at Chipotle. And just like McDonald's, Burger King, KFC which also had E.coli outbreaks but fared better than thei=
smaller fast-food rival, should both Ford and Tesla suffer a similar misfor=une, I would bet on Ford coming through
quicker.
Yes, Tesla's new Model 3 is slated to start p=oduction this year and is intended to offer a more affordable version of
previous models,=with a price tag around $35,000. If successful, the Model 3 could supercharge Tesla's growth by
musclin= in on the territory of mass market rivals. But Tesla's model X crossover, while although sexy is currently not
burning down the ho=se with sales. It's important to remember that despite the massive hype surrounding Tesla, the
gigafactory currently nearing construction in Nevada will only allow the company to make 500,000 =nits a year by 2020.
That would be fine if Tesla only wanted to sell cars to rich people, but CEO Elon Musk has been c=ear that the company's
mission is to bring sustainable electric transport t= the mass market. To do that, an automaker needs scale. And to get
scale, =esla will need to sell millions of vehicles a year and to increase production from its current lev=l to 1million cars
is truly wishful thinking.
Therefore to sell more vehicles and more batteries fo= its storage business called Tesla Energy, Tesla needs more
gigafactories. =Gigafactories currently go for about $5 billion. Elon got supplier partners to pay for about 60% of this
one, but w= can't assume that will always be true. Tesla has incredible growth potential with vehicles and energy
storage, but peopl= forget that this growth isn't free. On the positive side, if Tesla can continue to reduce its battery
costs, it ha= the potential for a cost advantage that could never be overcome by internal-combustion manufacturers.
Except again, like with vehicles, there are many other people here and abroad trying to come up with the next
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generation of battery technology Q=80Q ask Motorola which pioneered the cell phone, revolutionized again with its
flip-phone an= today is no longer in the business.
T=day Tesla gross margin profit is more than $20,000 per vehicle but when you add up R&D and oth=r things it actually
loses $19,000 for every car sold, while Ford made more t=an $1500 on each vehicle it sold. With the cost of expansion,
which is going to be in the many billions of dollars, Te=la is years away from making money. I know that this doesn't
mean much in the rarefied air in Silicon Valley a=d Wall Street, as Amazon didn't generate profits for its first two
decades=and today has a $440 billion market cap, $906 share price with less than $5 billion i= net revenues. But
somewhere on Wall Street there has to be other people saying something is wrong when the company tha= loss $746
million is worth more than a company in the same business made $1=.2 billion. If this doesn't sound fishy, I have a great
deal on a bridge for you in the middle of the Sahara Desert.</=pan>
What Was Accomplished?
Like many I was not surprised when I heard a week ago Thursda= evening that the US military launched 59 tomahawk
missiles against a Syrian airfield to punish Syria's President Bashar Assad for allegedly usi=g chemical weapons to attack
his own citizens. This act was a dramatic reversal from Trump's pledges to limit U.S. invo=vement in Syria and to focus
on America First, leaving Syria's neighbors and =he Europeans to sort out the mess. For years President Obama had
resisted growing calls to intervene militarily against the Assad regime. President Barack Obama's decision to refrain
from engagement in 2013 was crit=cized as feckless at the time and is cited now as one of the reasons that Trump was
forced to act.
=span style="font-size:12pt;line-height:107%;font-family:georgia,serif"><=span>
But as Neal Gable= wrote this week in Moyers & Company: It is pretty amazing how quickly the media and suck-up
politicians can transform a mendacious, hypocritical, amateurish, ignorant, incoherent, bigoted buffoon who is
way,=way out of his depth into a man of courage, which is what they did to President Trump this past weekend. All it
takes is some saber rattling and launching a few dozen missiles. Granted, the =rump brand is already so tarnished that
he didn't get the bounce or the adulation that the B=shes, pere and fils, got when they began their wars. According to
one poll, only=51 percent of Americans approved of Trump's action, but given that Trump'= favorability rating has
hovered around or even south of 40 percent, this is an improveme=t.
=br>
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Not to be in=elicate here, but atrocities happen in the world all the time (and have happened on an even larger scale
before in Syria). Humans are c=pable of unimaginable cruelty. Sometimes the victims die quickly and are made visible by
media for the wor=d to see. Other times, they die in slow motion, out of sight and out of mind. Sometimes banned
weapons are used; Sometimes conventional weapons; Sometime=, neglect, isolation and starvation. And sometimes it is
just plain old genocide.
And the world in=general, and America in particular, has a way of being wishy-washy about which atrocities deserve
responses and which one= don't. These decisions can be capricious at best and calculated camouflages for ulterior
motives at worst. Indred, the motivations for military action needn't be singular at all, but are often multiple, tucked
one insi=e the other like nesting dolls. Acts of war can themselves be used as political weapons. They can distract
attention, quell acrimony, increase appetite for military spending and give a boost to sagging approval ratings. This
=E2.4>rally--around--the--flag" (or "rally=E2$4.) effect is well documented over the centuries.
And please realize that President =rump's decision to launch the cruise missile strike is being applauded=by the same
foreign policy traditionalist of both parties — the establishment figur=s who gave us the disastrous war in Iraq — as=a
show of U.S. "strength" and "resolve."= This should worry us all. Red lines and symbolic displays of f=rce do not
constitute a plan or a strategy.
First of all, Syria is truly a Major 'Cluster-F@$K'<=i>
Cr>
Web Link: http=://youtu.beilFpanWNgtQY <https://youtu.be/JFpanWNgfQY>
Syria=E2.4>s war is a mess because after six years because the conflict is divided between four sides with each side
with having foreign backers — who don't even agree with each other on who they are =ighting — or who they are fighting
against. And up until this past Friday, the United States was only focused on fighting ISIS= So to understand the
crisscrossing interventions and battle lines in Syria today and how it got that way you h=ve to go back to the beginning
of the conflict and examine how it unfolded.40=A0
=/span>
The first=shots in the war were fired in March 2011 by its President, Bashar Assad, against peaceful Arab Spring
demonstrators. =y July the protesters started shooting back with some Syrian troops defecting from the Syrian army to
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join them and cal=ing themselves The Free Syrian Army — the uprising becomes a civil war =E244 with extremist from
across the region and around the world traveling to Syria to join The Rebels.
Assad actually encourages this by releasing jihadists' prisoners to taint the rebellion with extremism, with the hope of
making it harder for foreign backers to support them. In January 2012 Al Qaeda forms = new branch in Syria calling
themselves — Jabhat al-Nusra. AIs= around that time, Syrian Kurdish groups take up arms and informally secede from
Assad's rule in the North. 4)=A0
=br>
And that sum=er is when Syria became a proxy war with Iran interceding on Assad's behalf, sending daily cargo flights
and hund=eds of ground officers. This causes several oil-rich Arab states in the region to start sending money and
weapons to Th= Rebels, to counter Iran's influence. Please click on the web link above to see why Syria is such a mess
with no easy answers.
What troubles me is how cavalier both Congressional Republicans and Democrats with their accolades, including Senator
Lindsey Graham comparing Trump to the most beloved Republican President in the mode=n era, the one and only
Ronald Reagan. As pundits used the phrases of 4>=9Cstrong message" and "new sheriff in town=E24,40 few asked what
actually was accomplished. Think about it, the US military did not target President Assad's Sarin gas stoc=pile. And since
President Trump warned the Russians an hour in advanced that he was attacking Shayrat air field, one then has t=
believe that they alerted their ally President Assad. Finally, most p=oportionate military responses are really only made
to make the aggressors feel better when they don't have a strategy.
Talal al-Barazi, the governor of Homs province that includ=s the air base, said at least 13 people were killed in the missile
strikes, including five soldiers on the base and eight civilians in areas surroundin= the facility. The figures could not be
independently confirmed, but are said to include several children, which if true will provide another photo opt for both
the Syrian Regime, as well as terrorist around the world showing the innocent civilians killed by America= aggression.
Q=A0
Although the Pentagon's initial assessment was that the strike severely damaged or destroyed Syrian aircraft and
support infrastructure an= equipment at the airfield. But within hours of the missile attack, Syrian warplanes had taken
off from that same =irfield and launched airstrikes against Khan Sheikhoun, the same town where at leas= 86 people had
been killed in the sarin attack and dropped new conventional bom=s. As Comedian/Satirist John Oliver pointed out
during his show on HBO this week, "while it is natural to take some=kind of action in response, it has to come in the
context in a larger strategy or i= is close to worthless. And though the strikes seem to make certain people feel better...
What did the= actually achieve?"
John Oliver Explains Why Trump's Syria Strike Should Make Us All 4>=9CVery, Very Worried."
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<=b>
Web Link: https://youtu.be/Sjb7yvWWII0 <https://youtu.be/Sjb7yvWW=I0> =/b>
As John Oliver asked, what was actually achieved? President Assad=E24>4>s chemical weapons weren't destroyed.
Neither was the airfield. And since he was able to launch an aircraft attack later in the day, obviously whatever aircraft
were destroyed did not really affect the Syrian governmen= from launching future chemical attacks whenever they
want. Finally, w=ether Assad uses chemical weapons or conventional bombs to kill his adversaries and innocent
civilians, does =t really matter? Because a child killed by a cluster bomb or Sarin gas ends with the same result. Ugly and
unnecessary=death.
In recen= days, the administration has offered conflicting statements on key questions, including whether Assad can
remain in power un=er any sort of negotiated peace settlement. "They seem to be cel=brating the strike almost as
accomplishment in itself rather than as a tool to achieve any particular strategy," said Jeffrey Prescott, who served as
director for Iran, =raq, Syria and the Gulf States at the National Security Council under Obama from 2015 =c, 2017. "Even
days later, they are basking in the glow, but we do not=have a clear sense of why this strike and to what particular
end."</=pan>
Furthermore, launching missiles against any natio= that hasn't attacked you is an Act of War, no matter how well
intentioned. And to do so, without being in any danger and not having a clear cut strategy is definitely an unnecessary
Act of War. Even the President's mo=t ardent supporters admit that the President doesn't have a strategy or a plan to
end t=e conflict in Syria. Consequently, we are destine to enter another phase of Mission Creep, with the pointless
killing of more and more people and costing billions mor= of US taxpayers' dollars.
It is estimated =hat this latest tomahawk attack cost US taxpayers' more than $100 million dollars. And the only thing
that was accomplished is that the President's supporters can claim that there is a new sheriff in town, as even the Trump
Administration admits that overthrowing Assad most likely will make matters even worse. Therefore if this is true, then
the only solution has to be a diplomatic one, which starts with negotiation not missiles. To put it briefly, blowing shit up
does not make a President, Mr. President....=C24,
So again, what was accomplished? President Assad4k=99s chemical weapons weren't destroyed. Neither was the
airfield. And since he was able to launch an aircraft attack later in the day, obviously whatever aircraft were destroyed
did not really affect the Syrian governmen= from launching future chemical attacks whenever they want. Finally,
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w=ether Assad uses chemical weapons or conventional bombs to kill his adversaries and innocent civilians, does =t really
matter? Because a child killed by a cluster bomb or Sarin gas ends with the same result. Ugly and unnecessary death.
</=pan>
In recent days, th= administration has offered conflicting statements on key questions, including whether Assad can
remain in power un=er any sort of negotiated peace settlement. "They seem to be cel=brating the strike almost as
accomplishment in itself rather than as a tool to achieve any particular strategy," said Jeffrey Prescott, who served as
director for Iran, =raq, Syria and the Gulf States at the National Security Council under Obama from 2015 =o 2017. "Even
days later, they are basking in the glow, but we do not=have a clear sense of why this strike and to what particular
end."<hpan>
=/p>
Furthermore, lau=ching missiles against any nation that hasn't attacked you is an Act of War, no matter how well
intentioned. And to do so, without being in any danger and not having a clear cut strategy is definitely an unnecessary
Act of War. Even the President's mo=t ardent supporters admit that the President doesn't have a strategy or a plan to
end t=e conflict in Syria. Consequently, we are destine to enter another phase of Mission Creep, with the pointless
killing of more and more people and costing billions mor= of US taxpayers' dollars.
As Charles Blow wrote in the New York Times: It's ea=y to sell the heroism of a humanitarian mission or the fear of
terror or the two in tandem, as Trump attempted in this case. =The temptation to unleash America's massive war
machine is seductive and also addictive. Put that power in the ha=ds of a man like Trump, who operates more on
impulse and intuition than intellect, =nd the world should shiver.
<=span>
As righteous as =e may feel about punishing Assad, Syria is a hornet's nest of forces hostile to America: Assad, Russia,
and Iran=on one flank and ISIS on another. You can't afflict one faction without assisting the other. In this way, Syria i=
a nearly unwinnable state. We've been down this road before. Just over the horizon is a hill: Steep and greased with
=olitical motives, military ambitions, American blood and squandered treasury. =eing weary here isn't a sign of
weakness; to the contrary, it's a display of hard won wisdom.
Neal Gabler again: Many of us during the campaign noted how Trump's reality TV experience a=fected and even defined
that campaign, but far less attention has been paid to how it would affect his presidency. The narcissism, the imperial
demeanor, the preening, the necessity of hyping the drama — these are now the hal=marks of his early administration.
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It makes for good TV and lousy governance. The impulsiveness for which Trump is famous was built into reality TV too,
whic= lurches mindlessly from one scene to another. Indeed, you could accurately describe reality TV as plot without
content, which, not at all incidentally= is also a way to describe the Trump presidency.
So, whether it was the right thing to do to st=ike Assad, it was, by reality show standards, certainly the best thing to do.
It go= a huge audience. It made Trump look like a man of action. It won him plaudits on cable TV, which likes nothing
better than some military action to boost ratings, just as William Randolph Hearst practically starte= the Spanish-
American War to push newspaper circulation. And, not leas= of all, it did what entertainment is practically designed to
do: It provided a distraction from the mess Trum= is making of the country.
You don't usually think of warfare as a distraction; warfar= is what you usually get distracted from. But Trump grasped
that launc=ing missiles would knock everything else off the front pages at a time when he needed it= And in the short
term, he seems to have been right. Talking about Syria means we aren't talking about the Russian hacking of the
election or the fai=ure of health care reform or the Keystone Cops White House staff or the trashing o= regulations or
the myriad of other disasters in this ongoing reality show t=at stars the "Not Ready for Prime Time Players."<=span>
It is precisely because this new interventionism has h=d the desired result that we should all begin to worry. If a few
missiles i= Syria won him hosannas, what about some action against North Korea for the next reality show episod=? And
what other improvised adventures could our new action hero president embark upon to keep us preoccupied and him
winnin= praise? War may be the force that gives us meaning. But it is also the force that keeps us entertained and
di=tracted. With an entertainer-in-chief in the White House, someone fo= whom the presidency is a great vanity, that
should scare us. That should scare=us a lot.
To su=marize: It is estimated that this latest tomahawk attack cost US taxpayers' as much as $100=million dollars, if not
more. And the only thing that was accomplished is that the President's supporters can claim that ther= is a new sheriff
in town, as even the Trump Administration admits that
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