Polling TPs

podesta-emails 1,092 words email

P17 V16 V12 D6 P22

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Polling TPs below and a different document attached, from Aug 13th and 12th, respectively. Jesse is out of town, so Christina Reynolds is making sure that these are the best, most updated TPs. These OK to review in the meantime. Thanks, Milia __________________________________________________________________ From the economy to immigration to health care to LGBT rights, the majority of Americans are in one place - and the leading GOP candidates are in another. Simply put: America is moving forward and the Republican candidates are stuck in the past. *Fact:* Last week, NBC/WSJ released a survey that showed just 28% of Americans have a positive view of the Republican Party. [NBC/WSJ, July 26-30] *Fact: *Fifty-three percent of Americans think the Democratic Party is more concerned with the needs of people like them, while just 31% said the GOP [Pew Research, July 14-20] *Out of touch with the middle-class: * All of the Republican candidates support a top-down, trickle-down economic approach - the American people do not. They’re looking for a President who knows that a strong economy is based on a strong middle class: *Fact: *Sixty percent of Americans support increasing taxes on high earners in order to lower taxes on the middle class [Quinnipiac, July 23-28] *Fact: *Fifty-eight percent of Americans think it’s mainly just a few people who have a chance to get ahead, while just 38% think that everyone has a fair chance to get ahead [CBS/NYT, July 14-19] *Out of touch with African Americans: *As we were reminded with the recent 50th anniversary of the Voting Rights Act, none of the Republican candidates supports measures to expand access to and ease of voting. In fact, many have worked to put up new obstacles. When asked if he thought that the horrendous murders in a South Carolina church were motivated by race, Jeb Bush said, “I don’t know.” And most of the GOP field haven’t even addressed issues like criminal justice reform, racial disparities in America or the racial wealth gap. *Fact: *Hillary Clinton has strong support among African Americans: 83% say they have a favorable opinion of her according to a July 2015 PPP poll, while just 9% are unfavorable. Meanwhile, views of the GOP presidential candidates among African American voters are bleak; Jeb Bush, for instance, has a net favorability of negative 58 points (17 / 75) and five candidates (Cruz, Huckabee, Paul, Trump and Walker) have favorability ratings below ten. *Fact: *Hillary Clinton's support in the general election horserace matchups in the July 2015 PPP poll is even stronger than was President Obama's support against Mitt Romney at the same point in the 2012 election cycle. In PPP’s July 2011 poll, Obama had a 66 point margin among African Americans. In PPP’s 2015 July poll, Clinton leads all tested Republicans by at least 74 points. *Out of touch with Hispanics: *In 2013, RNC Chairman Reince Priebus said: “In essence, Hispanic voters tell us our Party’s position on immigration has become a litmus test.” If he was right, then the entire GOP field is failing the test - as nearly every Republican candidate opposes a pathway to citizenship. Jeb Bush insists only on “legal status,” which the Hispanic community knows is code for second class status. Scott Walker and Marco Rubio both oppose a pathway. Meanwhile, a strong majority of the American people support a pathway to citizenship. *Fact: *Seventy-two percent of voters think undocumented workers in the U.S. should be allowed to stay. Just 27% think they should not be allowed to stay. [Pew, May 12-18] *Fact: *Fifty-four percent of Hispanic voters said they would be more likely to vote for a candidate who supports a pathway to citizenship, only 22% of Hispanic voters think Republicans share their views on the economy and job creation. And only 20% of Hispanic voters think Republicans share their views on immigration. [Univision, July 16] *Fact: *Among Hispanic voters, Hillary Clinton has a substantial lead in both the Democratic primary and general election matchups. She wins 73% of Democratic primary voters. In general election matchups, she leads five major Republican candidates (Bush, Cruz, Paul, Rubio, Walker) by an average margin of 44 points. [Univision, July 16] For context, this is the same margin that President Obama won the Hispanic vote by in 2012. [New York Times National Exit Polls] *Out of touch with women: *One Republican candidate has said the Senate was “wasting time” debating equal pay for women; another once asked, “what is the Paycheck Fairness Act?” and every Republican in the field either has, or wants to, defund Planned Parenthood. Thursday night’s debate clearly demonstrated a party that fundamentally doesn’t understand the challenges facing women in America. *Fact: *Sixty-three percent of Americans (including 68% of Independents) oppose defunding Planned Parenthood. [Hart Research, July 23-26] *Out of touch with LGBT Americans: *All of the major Republican candidates supported an Indiana law that allows businesses to discriminate against LGBT citizens. And none of them believe that everyone should be able to marry who they love - here again, the American people disagree with them. *Fact: *Fifty-four percent said it was wrong for businesses to refuse services to LGBT Americans, while 28 percent said they should have that right. [Reuters, April 2015] *Fact: *Fifty-four percent of Americans support legal same-sex marriage. [Pew July 14-20] *Out of touch with Millennials: *Millennials are strong supporters of all the issues discussed above, so it’s not surprising that Hillary holds such a commanding lead with them - according to three of the most recent national polls: *Fact: *Hillary holds a lead of 63-36 (+27) over Bush among 18-34 year-olds. [CNN July 22-25] *Fact: *Hillary holds a 56-24 (+32) lead over Bush among 18-29 year olds (Marist July 22-28). This is a wider margin than President Obama’s margin of victory in 2012 among 18-29 year olds, which according to exit polls was +23. -- Milia Fisher Special Assistant to the Chair Hillary for America [email protected] o: 646.854.1198 c: 858.395.1741