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Orszag memo ________________________________ From: Peter Orszag <[email protected]<mailto:[email protected]>> Date: Tue, 11 Nov 2008 19:52:16 -0500 To: <[email protected]<mailto:[email protected]>> Subject: RE: Here are a bunch of ideas on budget process: 1. Amend Budget Act to create a capital budget, using definition of investment already contained in the budget's Analytical Perspectives volume (physical investment, R&D, education and training). Pay-go would apply only to items classified in the operating budget, not capital budget * There would presumably have to be some constraint on the capital budget - for example, a total investment limit * A key issue you need to recognize is that depreciation would then be shown in the budget as an outlay. And a key issue then is whether/how you could depreciation on current outstanding capital. 2. Adopt a statutory pay-go rule * Current rules just Senate and House rules. Make statutory as existed before expiration in Sept 2002. * Blue Dogs want this 3. Embrace the Conrad-Gregg Bipartisan Task Force on long-term entitlements or something similar for long-term fiscal discipline (which could be a proposal on Social Security if it's not this process) * The Task Force would be charged with "putting the nation's fiscal outlook back on a prudent and sustainable path for the future." The Task Force would be composed of 16 members (representing both political parties, and both the legislative and executive branches). The Task Force would analyze all potential solutions to the government's long-term fiscal imbalance, and make legislative recommendations to Congress and the President on how to substantially improve the long-term fiscal balance in a report due December 9, 2009. Any plan submitted by the Task Force to the full Congress would receive fast-track treatment in both the House and the Senate. It would come to a vote without amendment after 100 hours of debate. Final passage would require a supermajority, 60 votes in the Senate, 60 percent of the House of Representatives. * Conrad REALLY wants this 4. Embrace the Daschle-Baucus "Federal Health Board" concept * Improving the efficiency of the health system is the key to the nation's long-term fiscal future * Decisions about health care, though, are the subject of intense political lobbying and often require vast amounts of technical expertise * Both Daschle and Sen Baucus have therefore proposed a Federal Health Board, modeled after the Fed, which would be charged with improving the efficiency of Medicare, Medicaid, and the rest of the health system o The basic idea is to take the existing MEDPAC model and create a "MEDPAC on steroids," where MEDPAC's recommendations would become law unless voted down as a package in a protected legislative process * Could be coupled with a comparative effectiveness entity to examine what works and work doesn't in health care and then supplemented with a change in Medicare's rule to take into account cost effectiveness 5. Improve the accounting of financial market transactions * The TARP legislation gets the accounting for financial market transactions right - if the federal government buys an asset for $1, the budgetary cost under the TARP legislation is not $1 but rather that $1 purchase price minus the market value of the asset. In other words, if the asset is worth $1, the net cost is zero. * The rest of the budget gets this wrong. We could align everything with the TARP accounting, which would be a vast improvement - though also somewhat controversial for student loans and other credit market transactions. 6. Better manage the federal government's assets * This would involve the types of steps we have discussed to create a "physical property" czar to make sure the federal government got a fair price for the assets it sells - and that there were incentives to improve the efficiency with which we managed the federal government's physical assets (like buildings and land) 7. Modernize federal debt limit * A few options here, including adopting a limit based on time (12 months) rather than amount ($X trillion) 8. Modernize scorekeeping and other technical rules * Make treatment of expiring tax provisions and mandatory spending programs more parallel (take away a talking point from conservatives) * Could also explore a rule under which pay-go would be waived if CBO judges that net present value of policy change was positive, even if 5-year or 10-year number is negative * A variety of other technical changes could possibly be made to improve the scorekeeping rules. For example, current rules prevent savings from being scored from improved enforcement activities - even if CBO believes such savings would occur - unless the normal rules are waived. > To: [email protected]<mailto:[email protected]> > Subject: Re: > From: [email protected]<mailto:[email protected]> > Date: Tue, 11 Nov 2008 19:30:14 +0000 > > Done > ------Original Message------ > From: Peter Orszag > To: [email protected]<mailto:[email protected]> > Sent: Nov 11, 2008 2:27 PM > Subject: RE: > > just got the invite. meeting on thursday. > > > > -- Amanda Anderson 301.908.6276
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podesta-emails
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