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18 May 2015
Software & Services
Baidu
No wavering on 020
Baidt€ sees a clear chance at expanded relevance in 020
More 020: 2015 investment likely to beget 2016 investment
The company believes that it has already equipped itself well to advance its
offensive across many 020 (offline to online) fronts, with a wide array of
services, including its group-buying asset Baidu Nuomi, Baidu Map, food
takeaway Baidu Waimai (covering 70 cities and supposedly No.1 in 16 cities in
terms of GMV), the Baidu Connect program etc. All of these offerings are
bridged to Baidu Wallet, the company's payment solution. The company
expects significantly more commission-based revs from 020 merchants in the
next few years, although right now this aspect remains immaterial due to: 1)
necessary concessions such as commissions, 2) subsidies, which are
effectively contra-revenue. With the environment remaining extremely
competitive, we expect Baidu to remain aggressive in its subsidy program to
acquire and retain customers, and thus feel that the guided 50% YoY increase
in SG&A is likely to be met in 2015. We expect Baidu to take their aggressive
subsidy and promotional plans into 2016 as the company drives into more
geographies.
Mobile search continues to advance
Mobile revenue contribution as disclosed at the quarter surpassed 50% in 10.
The company revealed that most of its mobile search traffic comes from its
native search app. Baidu's competitors in the space meanwhile tend to rely
heavily on mobile browsers (e.g. Sogou and UCWeb). The company has
launched a range of new search functionalities such as "click to call" and
"click to book" to facilitate "closed loop" transactions. In addition, the
company has also launched city/provincial level bidding. It has beta tested
distance-targeted bidding capabilities such as 10km distance bidding based on
the promoter's locations. These new initiatives should be complementary to
Baidu's 020 offerings.
Aware of mobile gains horn verticals but confident in enduring need for mobile
search
The company seems to have acknowledged that popular verticals have gained
ground within the mobile space, yet given the sheer amount of new apps and
diversified services emerging on mobile - especially those with lower
frequency usage - the company believes that users will continue to set their
main entrance point in the mobile world to search. In addition, we expect
Baidu to revamp its search product (e.g. Aladdin and Zhixin) and offer more
services to verticals. Despite some industry verticals claming reduced reliance
on search when transitioning to mobile, the company is not too concerned on
losing traction with most key vertical clients. Further, Baidu expects to benefit
from intensifying competition for eyeballs and usage amongst China's main
industry verticals.
Online video: claiming to remain laithhti to growth needs of iOrvi in 20i S
As a strategic investor in the space. Baidu considers video a critical channel to
acquire customers and enrich content offerings. The company indicated that it
is determined to be supportive for iQiyi this year once again, both in terms of
head content procurement and in terms of partnership with in-house
Deutsche Bank AG/Hong Kong Page 3
CONFIDENTIAL — PURSUANT TO FED. R. CRIM. P. 6(e) DB-SDNY-0117089
CONFIDENTIAL SDNY_GM_00263273
EFTA01457516
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