EFTA00759807.pdf

From: Jeffrey M Matusow < To: "Epstein, Jeffrey (jeevaeationfAusnail.com)" <[email protected]> Cc: Paul S Barrett "Harry Beller ( )" >, Justin X Gratz Subject: Update Date: Fri, 07 May 2010 21:11:03 +0000 Attachments: FinancialTrust MTM 07May 10a.pdf Jeffrey, The Dow closed down 140 points as Europe failed to provide clarity on a rescue plan. Attached is the spread sheet that we sent to Harry with all of the open positions. The Dividend futures positions are marked down $3MM. Dealer quotes have widened out so we are marking it conservatively. We still like the trade. Based on JPM's and consensus dividend forecasts there is approx. 10% upside in 2011 and 23% in 2012 to your positions. If you assume that the banks pay zero dividends the downside to your positions is 11% in 2011 and 5% in 2012. The swaption positions are down $1.7MM in aggregate based on a 30y swap rate of 4.05%. We still believe the US economy is healthy, and that rates will move higher. GS is down $700k and the WPM preferreds are down $1.8MM. The interest rate swaps are working as designed - as a shock absorber. We should add to this position. If the Europeans announce credible rescue measures over the weekend, we should look to add risk via short JPY, long EM, and long High Yield/Preferreds. If the market continues to sell off we need to reassess the dividend and swaption positions, buy gold and buy CHF. I hope you feel better. Jeff EFTA00759807 Jeffrey M. Matusow JPMorgan Private Bank 140 West 57th Street, 33rd Floor, New York, NY 10019 Email: IRS Circular 230 Disclosure: JPMorgan Chase & Co. and its affiliates do not provide tax advice. Accordingly, any discussion of U.S. tax matters contained herein (including any attachments) is not intended or written to be used, and cannot be used, in connection with the promotion, marketing or recommendation by anyone unaffiliated with JPMorgan Chase & Co. of any of the matters addressed herein or for the purpose of avoiding U.S. tax-related penalties. EFTA00759808