EFTA01385356
EFTA01385357 DataSet-10
EFTA01385358

EFTA01385357.pdf

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3 January 2018 HY Corporate Credit HY Multi Sector.Media. Cable & Satellite Modest Yield with Safety CCM Merger. We believe MotorCity will be able to further reduce leverage owing to its strong free cash flow generation. With this report we are maintaining our Buy rating on MOTOR 6.0% Senior Unsecured Notes due 2022 ($102.5, 5.2% YTW. 300bps STW). For 2017, we project CCM Merger to generate Adjusted EBITDA of $130.0 million (+8.8% versus $119.5 million). Factoring in interest expense of $32.0 million, capital expenditures of $10.0 million, dividends of $5.0 million and $4.0 million in tax distributions, we project CCM Merger to generate free cash flow of 879.0 million. Achieving this level of free cash flow will de-lever the company to 4.5x at the end of the year. Factoring in a cash balance of $52.7 million, we project net leverage at 4.1x by the end of 2017. For 2018, we project CCM Merger to generate Adjusted EBITDA of $132.0 million (+1.5% versus $130.0 million). Factoring in interest expense of $29.0 million, capital expenditures of $30.0 million, dividends of 55.0 million and $5.0 million in tax distributions, we project CCM Merger to generate free cash flow of $63.0 million. Achieving this level of free cash flow will de-lever the company to 4.0x at the end of the year. Factoring in a cash balance of $52.7 million, we project net leverage at 3.6x by the end of 2018. Exhibit 1: CCNil Mower i11. 2016 (N 2016 (A) LTM 2017 le 2019 (El EINTDA 61222 $119.5 61280 $130.0 $132.0 Less: Cash Interest 46.0 44.3 44.7 32.0 29.0 Less: Capital Expenditures 13.7 13.7 10.3 10.0 30.0 Less: Dividends 0.0 0.0 1.3 5.0 5.0 Less: Tax distributions 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 5.0 Free Cash Row $62.5 $61.6 $71.7 679.0 $133.0 Total Debt 5707.6 $661.3 5600.0 5587.1 $524.1 Cash 351 42.6 62.7 52.7 52.7 Leverage 6.8x 5.5x 4.7x 4.5x 4.0x NM Leverage 6.6x 5.2x 4.3x 4.1x 3.6x Coverage 2.7x 2.7x 2.9x 4.1x 4.6x Savo. Conway Atria and Clatsch• Os* =Myna Downside risks to our call include increased promotional activity which could curtail MotorCity's market share arid general domestic macroeconomic risks. Gaming and Leisure Properties. We believe the company will be able to utilize its premium valuation, ample liquidity and low-cost debt to complete additional accretive acquisitions. In our view, GLPI will be able to engage in additional deals, outright acquisitions or sale-leaseback transactions, primarily with private operators, although there may be exceptions. Our thesis is based on the fact that private operators often do not have access to low-cost debt as public operators, and there is a degree of 'friction cost" when dealing with public companies, given that public shareholders expect transactions to close at significant premiums from current trading levels. Lastly, private operators may show more willingness to accept GLPI equity as a form of compensation. At this juncture, we rate the 5.375% Senior Unsecured Notes 2026 ($107.4, 4.3% YTW, 193bps STW) with a Buy rating based on price. Supporting our Buy rating on GLPI, we note that this credit offers (1) stable revenue and EBITDA Page 82 Deutsche Bank Securities Inc. CONFIDENTIAL - PURSUANT TO FED. R. CRIM. P. 6(e) DB-SDNY-0086641 CONFIDENTIAL SDNY_GM_00232825 EFTA01385357
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EFTA01385357
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