📄 Extracted Text (377 words)
Trade: A 6m EURINR 78 put (at-the-money spot) financed by selling the 83
call has zero net premium (spot ref: 77.95, forward: 80.50)
With the mall government showing decisiveness in pursuing its reform
agenda, capital inflows into India look likely to continue for the
foreseeable future
Indian equities are at all-time highs and the entry point is not very
attractive
The rupee also embeds carry of 7%/year, cheapening risk reversals
Chart of EURINR spot
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source: Bloomberg 25-Sep-2014
S&P 500 Put options dislocated relative to call options
Trade: A 6m 110% calls financed by 6m 90% puts in a ratio of 4 calls
bought per put sold has zero net premium (spot ref: 1998)
Very high demand for SPX puts makes it possible to buy multiple calls
for each call sold
Across major indices, the ratio of calls-to-puts is highest for US
equities
Skew (y-axis) vs ATM vol (x-axis) is stretched
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Source: Bloomberg 24-Sep-2014
Renewed interest in Japanese equities ahead of GPIF re-allocation and policy
momentum
Trade: A 6m 110% call financed by 6m 90% put has zero net premium (spot
ref: 16374)
Investors are waiting for the giant Japanese pension funds to
re-allocate away from bonds to equities
The Abe administration is looking for additional ways to stimulate the
economy
Nikkei vols are high and skew is poor -- no easy way to get into the
trade, best to do calls vs puts 1-to-1 struck around major technical
levels
chart showing NKY history with strike of 90% put highlighted
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Source: Bloomberg 25-Sep-2014
Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.
Best regards,
uzair Aqeel
Investment Specialist
Key client Partners
Deutsche Bank AG, Filiale London
105/108 Old Broad St (Pinners Hall),
London EC2N lEN United Kingdom
Email
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THIS MATERIAL IS INTENDED FOR INSTITUTIONAL CUSTOMERS ONLY AS DEFINED BY FINRA
4512(c). The trading and investment ideas discussed herein are general and do
not take into account an institutional client's particular circumstances
(including tax situation), investment guidelines, investment goals,
restrictions or needs. Deutsche Bank ("DB") is not acting as a legal,
CONFIDENTIAL — PURSUANT TO FED. R. GRIM. P. 6(e) DB-SDNY-0114569
CONFIDENTIAL SDNY_GM_00260753
EFTA01455673
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