📄 Extracted Text (593 words)
2 March 2014
Wireless Equipment
Signals to Noise (S2N)
likely a CY16+ opportunity for the company - and mostly an out quarter growth story
opportunity for management to share with investors, at the present.
In summary, while we are constructive on Cavium's CY15+ rev growth opportunities for
the new chips - Octeon3, Fusion, Neuron, etc - we remain with our neutral near-term
view and our Hold-rating on the stock - noting balanced risk/reward at current levels -
i.e. the stock trading at appx 24x P/E for -19% First Call consensus rev growth
expectation.
Ixia - Virivalizat ion moderating growth
Our MWC conversations with the network testing solutions vendors is another set of
datapoints supporting our near-term caution on Ixia - a key vendor in enterprise and
carrier network test and network visibility solutions.
While 40GE datacenter switch testing and LTE voice and data network equipment and
network services testing are multi quarter opportunities for Ixia - we note lumpiness in
LTE network testing orders (at telcos such as AT&T, etc) and 40GE datacenter switch
testing still in early stages and virtualization of testing applications moderating demand
for incremental box capacity (that is, customers run virtual instances of testing scripts
which reduce the need to purchase incremental physical capacity, lowering the overall
industry revenue growth rate.
That said, we remain constructive on Ixia's Anue Network Monitoring and Network
Visibility test solutions business, while being cautious on muted growth trends in the
near-term for Ixia's core network testing business. We remain with our Hold rating on
Ixia.
Ruckus - helped by cable providers; in search of mobile
We met with Ruckus management at the show, who felt encouraged by continued
traction by cable providers. One point which struck us as positive was management's
warm reception to LTE-over-unlicensed (LTE-u). They suggested LTE-u could be helpful
for some of their MSO customers, possibly pushing them to stitch together a mobile
strategy (e.g. Republic Wireless). In addition, offering up an AP with integrated LTE-u to
enterprises puts their enterprise customers at the negotiating table for operators. They
noted that integrating LTE into their access points was relatively easy and would be
part of their roadmap if demand trends moved in a positive direction. The one Mobile
World Congress announcement for Ruckus covered their new partnership with Global
Reach, a major VAR in the UK. The agreement is example of how Ruckus is using the
gateway solution in areas outside of the traditional service provider vertical. The
company will likely see more deals like this, as VARs look to increase the
recurring/management piece of their respective revenue bases.
In terms of 802.11ac, the company said it is shipping product and believes this will
contribute to a better year. They also said that they will be on time with Wave 2 of
802.11ac. The offering will undoubtedly help their competitive position, as we believe it
has been a hindrance until now; however, with just a 10 to 15% price premium we
believe it simply keeps ASPs stable and will not necessarily drive a new wave of
demand.
Overall management struck a positive tone, likely helped by the growing cable provider
business. While we believe this to be a source of continued growth, we remain on the
sidelines here, as we would like to see them gain traction in the mobile operator space,
an area where we believe if won, would begin to justify their price multiple. We
maintain our Hold rating.
Page IS Deutsche Bank Securities Inc.
CONFIDENTIAL - PURSUANT TO FED. R. CRIM. P. 6(e) DB-SDNY-0110465
CONFIDENTIAL SDNY_GM_00256649
EFTA01453062
ℹ️ Document Details
SHA-256
b5e9ddd1b8f7b49f8feffd07627880f4f8dd1dc5d616591a7934b4abb5127541
Bates Number
EFTA01453062
Dataset
DataSet-10
Document Type
document
Pages
1
Comments 0