podesta_email_01004.txt

podesta-emails 1,772 words email

P17 V11 P22 V16 V12

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Bush job approval and cool attitudes toward the president in ARG and Democracy Corps polling. Congressional approval also low, with a majority pessimistic about likelihood of Congress passing legislation to help Americans. An anti-government attitude also appears in a recent Rasmussen poll in which a majority of Americans (62 percent) said they prefer fewer services and lower taxes (with 29 percent supporting the alternative of "bigger government and higher taxes"). There is slight abatement of Americans' negative outlook on the economy from ARG -- fewer now think the US is in a recession, 57 percent as compared to 68 percent in April. **Rasmussen finds that Americans believe McCain more likely to win war in Iraq but say Obama would be more likely to bring troops home. Also see links to exit polling from Kentucky and Oregon. * *Bush Approval* *Approval Low* [American Research Group<http://americanresearchgroup.com/economy/>, 5/20/08] - Among all Americans, 28 percent approve of the way Bush is handling his job as president and 69 percent disapprove. **** *High Disapproval, Cool Thermometer Score* [Democracy Corps/Greenberg Quinlan Rosner<http://www.democracycorps.com/wp-content/files/dcor051508fq5_release.pdf>, 5/20/08] - Disapprove 65, approve 31 - Bush thermometer: Cool 58, Warm 30** *Bush Disapproval High *[Rasmussen<http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/political_updates/president_bush_job_approval>, 5/18/08] - Disapprove 66, approve 32 *High Disapproval for Bush's handling of Economy* [American Research Group<http://americanresearchgroup.com/economy/>, 5/20/08] - 23 percent approve of Bush's handling of the economy, 70 percent disapprove. *Congressional Approval* *Attitudes toward Congress Not Improving, Most Believe Congress Not Helping (And Won't Help)* [Rasmussen<http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/mood_of_america/congressional_performance/congressional_performance>, 5/20/08] - 13 percent give Congress a job approval of "good" or "excellent," 47 percent say "poor" - Men: 59 poor, 11 good or excellent - Women: 35 poor, 14 good or excellent - Republicans: 58 poor - Democrats: 31 poor - Has Congress passed legislation to improve life in America within past year? 61 percent said no, 12 yes. - Will Congress address important problems in the next six months? 56 percent say no, 37 yes. - Nearly three quarters believe lawmakers are more interested in their own careers than helping people. *Direction of the Country*** Wrong track 77 [George Washington University<http://www.gwu.edu/%7Enewsctr/pressrelease.cfm?ann_id=28188>, 5/22/08] Wrong track 75, right direction 17 [Democracy Corps/Greenberg Quinlan Rosner<http://www.democracycorps.com/wp-content/files/dcor051508fq5_release.pdf>, 5/20/08] *Thermometers* * GOP Thermometer Cool* [Democracy Corps/Greenberg Quinlan Rosner<http://www.democracycorps.com/wp-content/files/dcor051508fq5_release.pdf>, 5/20/08] - Republican Party: cool 48, warm 32 - Democratic Party: cool 38, warm 43, - NRA: cool 36, warm 42 - Pro-life, anti-abortion groups: cool 42, warm 37 - NAFTA and international trade agreements: cool 45, warm 22 - Big corporations: cool 45, warm 28 - Gay marriage: cool 54, warm 25 - Immigration into the Country: cool 49, warm 24 *Government * *Voters Prefer Fewer Government Services and Lower Taxes* [Rasmussen<http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/mood_of_america/benchmarks/america_s_best_days>, 5/20/08*]* - 62 prefer, 29 disagree, 10 not sure** - GOP: 83 prefer, 13 disagree** - Democrats: 46 disagree, 43 prefer** *Economy* *U.S.** Hiring Slips Further, Suggests More Job Losses Ahead *[Gallup<http://www.gallup.com/poll/107434/US-Hiring-Slips-Further-Suggests-More-Job-Losses-Ahead.aspx>, 5/21/08] - "Net New Hiring Activity" fell 1.1 percentage points from March to April, followed by a 3.6 point decline between April and May, continuing the trend of steady declines since the beginning of the year. - Number of companies hiring has fallen from 39.8 percent in January to 38.1 percent in April. - The percentage of firms letting people go has increased from 13.7 percent to 15.5 percent.** *Half of Americans Say Economy Will be Better in a Year* [American Research Group <http://americanresearchgroup.com/economy/>, 5/20/08] - 51 percent of Americans say they believe the national economy will be better in a year from now. - But 70 percent of Americans say they believe the national economy is getting worse right now. - 57 percent of Americans say the national economy is in a recession, down from 68 percent in April. *Consumer Finances, Hopes for Economy Weak* [Rasmussen<http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/business/indexes/rasmussen_consumer_index>, 5/20/08] - Good or excellent 35, poor 22. - 54 percent of investors rate their personal finances as good or excellent. - Republicans rate the economy: good or excellent 25, poor 36. - Getting better 19, getting worse 58 - Democrats rate the economy: good or excellent 7, poor 68. - Getting better 3, getting Worse 85 *Voters Stay Cool on Economy *[Democracy Corps/Greenberg Quinlan Rosner<http://www.democracycorps.com/wp-content/files/dcor051508fq5_release.pdf>, 5/20/08] - Cool 69, warm 17 ** *Negative Economic Outlook Persists *[Gallup<http://www.gallup.com/poll/107398/Gallup-Daily-Poor-Ratings-Economy-Back-45.aspx>, 5/19/08] - Poor ratings of economy back up to 45 percent. - Additionally, 85 percent of Americans say the economy is getting worse. *Iraq*** *Voters Cool Toward Iraq War* [Democracy Corps/Greenberg Quinlan Rosner<http://www.democracycorps.com/wp-content/files/dcor051508fq5_release.pdf>, 5/20/08] - Cool 62, Warm 24 *General Election* [George Washington University<http://www.gwu.edu/%7Enewsctr/pressrelease.cfm?ann_id=28188>, 5/22/08] - Barack Obama leads John McCain 49 percent to 47 percent. McCain leads Hillary Clinton 51 percent to 43 percent. - One-fifth of Clinton supporters said they would not vote for Obama if he is the Democratic nominee. - Fifty-six percent of Americans say the Iraq war is not worth fighting. Forty percent said troops should stay till the country is stabilized, 32 percent say there should be a withdrawal within two years and 25 percent want an immediate withdrawal. - If it was discovered that Iran had developed nuclear weapons, a third of voters would support military action, 29 percent would oppose it and 38 percent are unsure. - Both John Mccain and Barack Obama are viewed favorably by 54 percent of voters while 51 percent view Hillary Clinton negatively. *About Half Say Victory in Iraq Likely if McCain Elected *[Rasmussen<http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/49_say_victory_in_iraq_likely_if_mccain_elected>, 5/19/08] If Obama is elected President: - 20 percent believe victory in Iraq is likely if Barack Obama is elected in November. - 59 percent say it is at least somewhat likely that virtually all combat troops will come home from Iraq during his first term. If McCain is elected President: - 43 percent believe the troops are likely to come home if McCain is elected. - Among those who believe that getting the troops home is the top priority, 84 percent believe that victory is at least somewhat likely. *Electoral College: Democrats 200, Republicans 189, Toss-up 38 [Rasmussen<http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/election_2008_electoral_college_update>, 5/19/08]* · Study finds when "leaners" are added, Democrats lead 260 to 240. FL, PN, OH, MI, VI, MO, WI, CO, IA, NV, NM, NH are toss-up or just slightly leaning to one party. Obama 48, McCain 46, and Clinton 49, McCain 47 [Democracy Corps/Greenberg Quinlan Rosner<http://www.democracycorps.com/wp-content/files/dcor051508fq5_release.pdf>, 5/20/08] Obama 46, McCain 45, and Clinton 48, McCain 44 [Gallup<http://www.gallup.com/poll/107395/Gallup-Daily-Obama-Opens-16Point-Lead-Biggest-Yet.aspx>, 5/18/08] *Democratic Primary * Obama 55, Clinton 39 [Gallup<http://www.gallup.com/poll/107395/Gallup-Daily-Obama-Opens-16Point-Lead-Biggest-Yet.aspx>, 5/19/08] *Voters Warmer toward Obama than Clinton *[Democracy Corps/Greenberg Quinlan Rosner<http://www.democracycorps.com/wp-content/files/dcor051508fq5_release.pdf>, 5/20/08] - Hillary Clinton: Cool 48, warm 38 - Barack Obama: Warm 44, cool 42 - McCain: Warm 40, cool 40 *Key Clinton Constituencies Moving Toward Obama* [Gallup<http://www.gallup.com/poll/107407/Obama-Surge-Fairly-BroadBased.aspx>, 5/20/08] - Obama now favored among men, 18- to 29-year-olds, postgrads, and upper-income Democrats by a 2-to-1 margin, or better, over Clinton. - 18-29 years of age: Obama 74, Clinton 25 - Postgraduate education: Obama 65, Clinton 31 - Monthly incomes of $5,000 or more: Obama 64, Clinton 33 - Men: Obama 63, Clinton 31 - Support for Clinton among her core support groups has fallen below 50 percent. - Non-Hispanic whites: Clinton 47, Obama 47 - Women: Obama 49, Clinton 46 - High school graduate or less: Obama 47, Clinton 46 - Easteners: Obama 52, Clinton 43 - Only women aged 50 and older still supporting Clinton strongly. - 26 percent of men 18 to 49 support Clinton - 39 percent of men 50 or older support Clinton - 41 percent of women 18 to 49 support Clinton - 52 percent of women 50 or older support Clinton *States � General Election* *Alaska* McCain 50%, Obama 41% [Rasmussen<http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/alaska/election_2008_alaska_presidential_election>, 5/17/08] *Colorado* Obama 48, McCain 42 [Rasmussen Reports<http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/colorado/election_2008_colorado_presidential_election>, 5/21/08] *Florida* McCain 50, Obama 40 [Rasmussen Reports<http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/florida/election_2008_florida_presidential_election>, 5/21/08] *Minnesota* Obama 51, McCain 38 [Star Tribune<http://www.startribune.com/templates/Print_This_Story?sid=19043869>, 5/18/08] *Nebraska * McCain 50, Obama 39 [Rasmussen<http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/nebraska/election_2008_nebraska_presidential_election>, 5/18/08] *New Mexico* McCain 44, Obama 44, Undecided 12 [Survey USA<http://blogs.cqpolitics.com/polltracker/2008/05/updated-statebystate-general-e-2.html>, 5/20/08] - White Voters: McCain 52, Obama 37 - Latino Voters: Obama 51, McCain 40 Obama 50, McCain 41 [Rasmussen<http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/new_mexico/election_2008_new_mexico_presidential_election>, 5/17/08] *Ohio** * McCain 45, Obama 44 [Rasmussen<http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/ohio/election_2008_ohio_presidential_election>, 5/19/08] - McCain leads by seven percentage points among men but trails by four among women. - McCain supported by 77% of GOP voters while Obama attracts 65%. *Pennsylvania* **Obama 48, McCain 40 [Survey USA<http://blogs.cqpolitics.com/polltracker/2008/05/updated-statebystate-general-e-2.html>, 5/20/08] *States � Democratic Primary* *Kentucky* Clinton 62, Obama 31 [Survey USA<http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=12224d8c-e666-436d-a478-bfcb5f6aec2f>, 5/19/08] *Oregon* Obama 58, Clinton 39 [Public Policy Polling<http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_Oregon_051908.pdf>, 5/19/08] *Exit Polls KY and OR from MSNBC, Fox, ABC, and CNN* [via CQ, 5/20/08]* * *MSNBC* <http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/24736399/> - Seven in 10 white voters backed Clinton in Kentucky, including about three-quarters of those who did not complete college. - Only four in 10 white working-class voters said they would support Obama against John McCain in the general election. - About one in five white voters in Kentucky said race was a factor in their decision and nine of 10 of them said they voted for Clinton. *Fox News*<http://elections.foxnews.com/2008/05/20/ky-exit-polling-clintons-core-base-still-loyal/> - Clinton won 73 percent of the vote among white women. - Forty-five percent of voters said they had been affected by the economic downturn and, of them, 68 percent backed Clinton. - Forty-seven percent of voters in Kentucky said they regard Obama as trustworthy compared to 45 percent for Clinton. - Fifty-three percent of Kentucky voters believe Obama shares the views of his controversial ex-pastor, the Rev. Jeremiah Wright. - In Oregon, unlike other states, Obama was splitting the women's vote with Clinton and he also was beating her handily among union voters. *ABC News:*<http://blogs.cqpolitics.com/polltracker/**http://abcnews.go.com/PollingUnit/Politics/story?id=4896202&page=1> - Unlike Kentucky, only one in six said they would vote for McCain over Obama. *CNN:* <http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2008/primaries/results/epolls/#KYDEM> - Fifty-six percent of Kentuckians said that Obama should choose Clinton as his running-mate against 42 percent who said he should not. Seventy-seven percent of Clinton supporters expressed that view but only 41 percent of Obama supporters agreed. -- Rebecca Buckwalter-Poza Progressive Media USA [email protected] 202-609-7674 (o) 919-423-4783 (m) --~--~---------~--~----~------------~-------~--~----~ You received this message because you are subscribed to the "big campaign" group. 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