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From: Richard Kahn
To: Jeffrey Epstein <[email protected]>
Subject: Fwd: Swaption Indications
Date: Mon, 11 Jul 2016 16:20:06 +0000
Attachments: 10yrlOyr u100_u300_payer_spread_7.11.pdf
Sent from my iPhone
Begin forwarded message:
From: "Weitzman, Maria P - <
Date: July 11, 2016 at 12:16:48 PM EDT
To: Richard Kahn
Cc: "Darrah. John W - "Pollard, James S"
"Graff, Guido M - "Minsky, Julie"
Subject: RE: Swaption Indications
Rich,
Attached please find an analysis as of July 8th which depicts the impact of rate movements at different time horizons.
(This is based on an assumption that rates will rise or fall evenly across the curve, which as we know is unlikely.)
Additionally, the second analysis shows a volatility shock of 10% to the upside.
As mentioned, modeling those scenarios is difficult as there are many variables and underlying assumptions that would
need to be considered such as volatility and skew — both of which would impact the options significantly in either
direction.
Please feel free to reach out to John with any questions.
Best,
Maria
Maria Betzios Weitzman
Director
Merrill Lynch GWRS Markets Group
*Please note that estimated prices or spread levels reflected are based upon model assumptions and are not reflective
of the opinion of BofAML as to the accuracy of such assumptions. BofAML may use proprietary internal models and/or
third party models to determine estimated prices or spread levels based on model assumptions. While BofAML believes
these models to be reliable, we do not represent that they are accurate or complete, and they should not be relied upon
as such.
EFTA00824043
From: Richard Kahn [mailto:
Sent: Friday, July 08, 2016 9:48 AM
To: Weitzman, Maria P -
Cc: Darrah, John W - Pollard, James S; Graff, Guido M - Minsky, Julie
Subject: Re: Swaption Indications
My principal likes this trade idea and would like to see a graph of profits year 1 though 5 at different spot rates. Thank
you.
Rich
Sent from my iPhone
On Jul 6, 2016, at 3:46 PM, Weitzman, Maria P - wrote:
Rich,
John and I were speaking earlier in the day and he had inquired about some indications on interest rate payer
swaptions. Below please find indicative pricing on a few iterations of 10 year 10 year payer swaptions:
10yr Reference Swap Rate: 1.2950
10yr ATMF (At the Money Forward Rate): 2.0360
Strikes Upfront Cost
2.0360 (ATMF): 8.60% offer (8.05% mid)
2.0410 (ATMF+50) 6.65% offer (6.15% mid)
3.0360 (ATMF+100): 5.25% offer (4.68% mid)
To cheapen up the swaption, the client can choose to cap the upside such as:
ATMF+100/ATMF+300: 3.35% (2.85% mid)
My team is responsible for Rates, FX and Commodities OTC derivative products, so please feel free to reach out to me
through John with any additional thoughts or questions.
Thanks,
Maria
Maria Betzios Weitzman
Director
Merrill Lynch GWRS Markets Group
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